AK4SB Recommendations 2018
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2018 Election Cycle
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(Independent candidates filed with the Division of Elections as of 8.1.2018)
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(Party candidates filed with the Division of Elections as of 8.1.2018)
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Incumbent Filed for ReelectionIncumbentOther CandidatesAlaskans for Sustainable Budgets Recommendation (Primary, as of Aug 6)Comments
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Incumbent Seeking Other Office/RetiringRD+Other
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Statewide
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GovernorWalker (I)Colbry, Dunleavy, Gordon, Heikes, Hlatcu, Sheldon, TreadwellBegichWalker (I), Toien (L)R: DunleavyFormer Sen. Dunleavy supports reducing spending to long-term sustainable levels based on current revenues and restoring a 50/50 PFD. We should note, however, we have concerns about an answer given earlier this campaign which indicates he would have voted for HB 331 (which kicks costs to future generations).
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Lt GovMallott (D)Gattis, Grunwald, Jackson, Meyer, Stevens, WrightCallMallott (I)R: GattisGattis impresively stood her ground against significant poltical pressure from her own party when the first (at the time GCI-sponsored) effort to cut the PFD reached House Finance (2016). She is by far the most knowledgable and consistently reliable fiscal candidate in the field
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DistrictSenate
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AKelly (R)KellyKawasaki
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CBishop (R)Bishop
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EShower (R)Kowalke, ShowerKayR: ShowerPerfect record on three key votes last session. Voted for a full PFD, against an unsustainable budget and against kicking costs down the road.
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GMacKinnon (R)Reinbold, SaddlerSchiessR: No recommendationThe good: both voted this past session against unsustainable spending levels and for restoring the PFD. Both also voted against misguided SB 26. The bad: both voted irresponsibly for kicking current costs to future generations. While Rep. Reinbold is certainly louder on fiscal issues than Rep. Saddler, its not clear that volume has produced any greater results and we are significantly disappointed in her vote earlier this year by voting for HB 331 to kick a significant share of current costs to future generations. While Rep. Saddler occassionally muddles his message by saying one thing and then doing another, he also deserves credit for voting against the first (GCI-led) effort permanently to cut the PFD against significant political pressure when it reached the House Finance Committee in 2016. Viewed as a whole, when push comes to shove it is hard to separate their actual voting records. We see nothing that causes us to recommend one over the other from a fiscal policy perspective.
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IGardner (D)CrawfordGray-JacksonIsley (I)
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KCostello (R)CostelloCason (U)
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MMeyer (R)Birch, HalatParkHalatAs a Rep, Birch voted to cut the PFD (and said he is willing to cut it to zero), to kick costs down the road and for the misguided SB 26. While inexperienced, Halat's views are much more fiscally responsible.
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OMicciche (R)Gillham, MiccicheGillhamMicciche was on the wrong side on all three key votes last session. He voted to cut the PFD, for an unsustainable budget and for kicking current costs to future generations. He also voted for the misguided SB 26. Basically he has turned out to be a tax and spend R. While inexperienced, Gillham's views are much more fiscally responsible.
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QEgan (D)KiehlCotter, Etheridge
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SHoffman (D)Hoffman
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DistrictHouse
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1Kawasaki (D)Falke, LeBonDodgeSimonIn process
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2Thompson (R)ThompsonLawrence
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3Wilson (R)Wilson
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4Guttenberg (D)SackettHopkinsLamkin
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5Wool (D)McKinleyWool
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6Talerico (R)TalericoAlexander
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7Sullivan-Leonard (R)Sullivan-Leonard
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8Neuman (R)Murr, NeumanChesbroFish (L)R: NeumanWhile we have significant concerns based on the positions taken during his term as HFIN Co-Chair, Rep. Neuman (like Sen. Shower) was perfect this past session on all three key votes. Because of previous history, however, this is a recommendation we will reassess during the general.
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9Rauscher (R)Culver, Goode, RauscherJohnsonSquyresR: GoodeThis past session Rep. Rauscher voted against unsustainable spending levels and for restoring the PFD. However, like Reps. Birch and others, when push came to shove he also voted irresponsibly for kicking current costs to future generations. A long-time commentator on fiscal issues, Pam Goode has a track record that promises a more consistent record on fiscal issues going forward.
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10Eastman (R)EastmanFaye-Brazel, LacyHolmes
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11Johnson (R)DeVries, JohnsonPattersonR: DeVriesLike Rep. Rauscher, Rep. Johnson voted against unsustainable spending levels and for restoring the PFD. However, also like Reps. Birch, Rauscher and others, when push came to shove Rep. Johnson voted irresponsibly for kicking current costs to future generations. Her challenger, Edna DeVries, has a solid record over a long period of public service on fiscal issues and has said she would have put the HB 331 bonds to a public vote.
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12Tilton (R)TiltonJeffers (U)
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13Saddler (R)Christenson, Cook, DahlstromKimp (NP)R: In process
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14Reibold (R)Allard, Harnett, MerrickHackenmueller (NP)R: HarnettEvaluating a race where none of the candidates have a prior voting record is challenging. We are left with trying to divine their positions by reading their websites, listening to their statements during debates and looking at the positions of those who support them (and, presumably, believe that the candidate is similary aligned). Using those tools in this race we have decided to recommend Eugene Harnett. The position Merrick outlines on her website immediately sends up red flags. "We need to "protect as much of the PFD as we possibly can" clearly signals a willingness at least to tax some of it away, "Our state needs to find a way to pay outstanding oil tax credits," strongly suggests support for reducing the provisions designed to protect the state during challenging fiscal times (such as these) included in the program since its inception. While Allard's website and other statements are more comforting, we note that she is strongly aligned with current Rep. Lora Reinbold who, while fiscally conservative in some areas, nevertheless was a strong supporter this past session of HB 331, which in our view irresponsibly kicks costs which should be paid by the current generation down the road to future Alaskans. While not perfect, at least from our review we believe that, overall, Harnett's views are more fiscally responsible.
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15LeDoux (R)LeDoux, WeaverFranks, McCormack, Phillips (U) R: No recommendation D: In processLet's be clear. We have opposed Rep. LeDoux in the past. There also is the matter of her having joined the majority caucus this past session. Nonetheless, when push came to shove this past session, Rep. LeDoux was perfect on all three key votes, and voted no also on misguided SB 26. This very well could be a matter of fool us once, fool us however many times there are, but her votes this past session (even in losing causes) give us pause in recommending her less well known opponent over her.
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16Spohnholz (D)WrightSpohnholz
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17Josephson (D)SandersJosephson
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18Drummond (D)LekanofDrummond
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19Tarr (D)TarrChaffee (I), Stevens(L)
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20Gara (D)MartinsonFeilds, Groh, RojasWest (L)D: In process
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21Claman (D)StewartClaman
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22Grenn (I)Rasmussen, VaszquezDardenGrenn (I)R: RasmussenIn our view one of the problems this past session with the House R caucus was the lack of a younger (Millenial) voice. We believe that is a critically important perspective as issues with long-term effect, such as proposals permanently to cut the PFD and to kick current costs down the road to future generations, increasingly arise. Rasmussen offers a significant opportunity to add that voice. We believe it is an opportunity that should be taken.
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23Tuck (D)Dougherty, McDonaldTuckR: In process
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24Kopp (R)Duplantis, KoppLeviR: DuplantisLike Rep. Birch, Rep. Kopp voted to cut the PFD and to kick costs down the road. He also voted for the misguided SB 26. Duplantis's views are much more fiscally responsible.
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25Millett (R)Millett, RevakHiggins
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26Birch (R)Fogle, Riggs, ShawDunnR: RiggsJoe Riggs has long experience working with governmental fiscal issues. He also has a strong position on reducing government spending to long term sustainable levels and preserving the PFD. Adding an experienced, knowledgable voice on fiscal issues in a body that has few is too good an opportunity to pass up.
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27Pruitt (R)Jones, PruittSnyderR: JonesLike Rep. Birch, Rep. Pruitt voted to cut the PFD and to kick costs down the road. He also voted for the misguided SB 26. Jones's views are much more fiscally responsible.
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28Johnston (R)Bieling, JohnstonLeeR: BielingThis is a tougher call than others. We like Rep. Johnston as a person and are concerned at the divisiveness Bieling could bring as a legislator. Nevertheless, like Rep. Birch, Rep. Johnston voted to cut the PFD, to kick costs down the road and for the misguided SB 26. In our view, Bieling's views are much more fiscally responsible.
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29Chenault (R)Carpenter, OgleButler (NP)R: In process
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30Knopp (R)
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31Seaton (R)Cox, Kroll, VanceSeaton (NP)Cizek, MaddenR: VanceWe have been impressed by the level of engagement and positions taken by Vance this cycle. Like Rasmussen, Vance would bring an articulate (and badly needed) Millenial voice to the R caucus.
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32Stutes (R)Stutes, WalkerHarrisKatelnikoff-LesterR: In process
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33Kito (D)Handy, Hannan, Hart, MorphetDimondD: In process
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34Parish (D)NankervisEdwardson (NP), StoryD+: In process
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35Kreiss-Tomkins (D)Skaflestad, WeinKreiss-TomkinsR: In process
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36Ortiz (I)ShawAbbottOrtiz (I)
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37Edgmon (D)Swetzof, WeatherbyEdgmonR: WeatherbyWhile he does not have previous electoral experience, Weatherby consistently has voiced and campaigned on preserving the PFD and reducing spending to sustainable levels.
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38Zulkosky (D)DeaconZulkosky
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39Foster (D)Foster
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40Lincoln (D)LincolnMack, Savok
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