| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z | |
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1 | Region : Hamburg, Germany Of Europe | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | -Seat Estimation | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | Type | Polling Date | Social Democrats | Christians | Greens | Left | Alternatives | Free Democrats | Alliance SW | Volt | Animal Protection | Diversity | Choice | Party | Ecological Democrats | Free Voters | Alliance Germany | Nationals | ||||||||
4 | SPD | CDU | GRN | DL | AfD | FDP | BSW | VOLT | PMUT | DAVA | WFG | DP | ÖDP | FW | BD | NPD | ||||||||||
5 | Center-Left | Center-Right | Center-Left | Left-wing | Far-Right | Lean-Right | Left-wing Big Tent | Lean-Left | Left-wing | Big Tent | Left-wing | Left-wing | Center | Lean-Right | Center-Right | Far-Right | ||||||||||
6 | Seat Estimation | 02/21~02/28 | 44 | 24 | 23 | 17 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
7 | "Last Election Difference" | "-10" | "+9" | "-10" | "+7" | "+6" | "-1" | "-1" | "=0" | "=0" | "=0" | "-2" | "=0" | "=0" | "=0" | "=0" | "=0" | |||||||||
8 | Seat Percentage | 36.36% | 19.83% | 19.01% | 14.05% | 10.74% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |||||||||
9 | Constituency | 22 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
10 | Proportional | 22 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||
11 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | -Vote Share Projection | 39.23% | 11.17% | 24.16% | 6.98% | 5.30% | 4.97% | 0.70% | 1.29% | 0.67% | 0.00% | 1.40% | 1.40% | 0.68% | 0.62% | 0.00% | 0.00% | |||||||||
13 | Pollster | Polling Date | Sample Size | Sample Percentage | Social Democrats | Christians | Greens | Left | Alternatives | Free Democrats | Alliance SW | Volt | Animal Protection | Diversity | Choice | Party | Ecological Democrats | Free Voters | Alliance Germany | Nationals | Source | |||||
14 | SPD | CDU | GRN | DL | AfD | FDP | BSW | VOLT | PMUT | DAVA | WFG | DP | ÖDP | FW | BD | NPD | ||||||||||
15 | Center-Left | Center-Right | Center-Left | Left-wing | Far-Right | Lean-Right | Left-wing Big Tent | Lean-Left | Left-wing | Big Tent | Left-wing | Left-wing | Center | Lean-Right | Center-Right | Far-Right | ||||||||||
16 | Projection | 02/21~02/28 | 4,281 | 100.00% | 32.58% | 17.49% | 16.83% | 12.29% | 9.58% | 3.05% | 2.75% | 1.93% | 0.84% | 0.81% | 0.61% | 0.39% | 0.37% | 0.34% | 0.11% | 0.03% | ||||||
17 | 0.3258301411 | 0.1748958236 | 0.1683303747 | 0.1228720919 | 0.0958394843 | 0.0304586615 | 0.0274798277 | 0.0192589708 | 0.0084399935 | 0.0080582940 | 0.0061245817 | 0.0039274184 | 0.0036683149 | 0.0033735629 | 0.0011085806 | 0.0003338784 | 1.0000000000 | |||||||||
18 | "Last Election Difference" | "-6.65pp" | "+6.32pp" | "-7.33pp" | "+5.31pp" | "+4.28pp" | "-3.92pp" | "+2.05pp" | "+0.64pp" | "+0.17pp" | "+0.81pp" | "-0.79pp" | "-1.01pp" | "-0.31pp" | "-0.28pp" | "+0.11pp" | "+0.03pp" | |||||||||
19 | "National Swing" | 0.8304829860 | 1.5659377901 | 0.6966195688 | 1.3538802640 | 1.8082915511 | ||||||||||||||||||||
20 | Average | 02/21~02/28 | 4,281 | 100.00% | 32.58% | 17.49% | 16.83% | 12.29% | 9.58% | 3.05% | 2.75% | 1.93% | 0.84% | 0.81% | 0.61% | 0.39% | 0.37% | 0.34% | 0.11% | 0.03% | ||||||
21 | 0.3258301411 | 0.1748958236 | 0.1683303747 | 0.1228720919 | 0.0958394843 | 0.0304586615 | 0.0274798277 | 0.0192589708 | 0.0084399935 | 0.0080582940 | 0.0061245817 | 0.0039274184 | 0.0036683149 | 0.0033735629 | 0.0011085806 | 0.0003338784 | 1.0000000000 | |||||||||
22 | INSA | 02/24~02/26 | 1,000 | 23.36% | 32.00% | 17.00% | 16.00% | 13.00% | 11.00% | 3.00% | 3.00% | 1.39% | 0.87% | 0.83% | 0.63% | 0.40% | 0.38% | 0.35% | 0.11% | 0.03% | https://www.bild.de/politik/inland/hamburg-insa-umfrage-zur-buergerschaftswahl-rot-gruen-muss-zittern-67c020baf88f7b32cd40396e | |||||
23 | 0.0747453985 | 0.0397084929 | 0.0373726992 | 0.0303653181 | 0.0256937307 | 0.0070073811 | 0.0070073811 | 0.0032528130 | 0.0020298975 | 0.0019380952 | 0.0014730193 | 0.0009445809 | 0.0008822641 | 0.0008113735 | 0.0002666240 | 0.0000803009 | ||||||||||
24 | Civey | 02/13~02/27 | 935 | 21.84% | 32.00% | 17.00% | 18.00% | 10.00% | 9.00% | 4.00% | 3.00% | 1.95% | 1.22% | 1.16% | 0.88% | 0.57% | 0.53% | 0.49% | 0.16% | 0.05% | https://civey.com/pressemitteilungen/civey-sonntagsfrage-fuer-die-buergerschaftswahl-in-hamburg-spd-klar-vorn | |||||
25 | 0.0699018967 | 0.0371353826 | 0.0393198169 | 0.0218443427 | 0.0196599084 | 0.0087377371 | 0.0065533028 | 0.0042588431 | 0.0026577042 | 0.0025375093 | 0.0019285947 | 0.0012367209 | 0.0011551308 | 0.0010623151 | 0.0003490855 | 0.0001051363 | ||||||||||
26 | FGW | 02/26~02/27 | 1,046 | 24.43% | 33.00% | 18.00% | 17.00% | 12.00% | 9.00% | 2.92% | 2.59% | 3.00% | 0.60% | 0.57% | 0.44% | 0.28% | 0.26% | 0.24% | 0.08% | 0.02% | https://www.forschungsgruppe.de/Aktuelles/PB-Extra_Hamburg/ | |||||
27 | 0.0806269270 | 0.0439783238 | 0.0415350836 | 0.0293188826 | 0.0219891619 | 0.0071222138 | 0.0063278142 | 0.0073297206 | 0.0014685273 | 0.0014021130 | 0.0010656543 | 0.0006833561 | 0.0006382731 | 0.0005869873 | 0.0001928889 | 0.0000580936 | ||||||||||
28 | Prognos | 02/24~02/28 | 500 | 11.68% | 32.50% | 17.50% | 16.50% | 13.00% | 10.00% | 2.50% | 2.50% | 2.00% | 0.84% | 0.81% | 0.61% | 0.39% | 0.37% | 0.34% | 0.11% | 0.03% | https://x.com/PrognosUmfragen/status/1895731731224809498 | |||||
29 | 0.0379566477 | 0.0204381949 | 0.0192702980 | 0.0151826591 | 0.0116789685 | 0.0029197421 | 0.0029197421 | 0.0023357937 | 0.0009847300 | 0.0009401955 | 0.0007145811 | 0.0004582287 | 0.0004279979 | 0.0003936080 | 0.0001293428 | 0.0000389550 | ||||||||||
30 | WK. | 02/26~02/28 | 800 | 18.69% | 33.50% | 18.00% | 16.50% | 14.00% | 9.00% | 2.50% | 2.50% | 1.11% | 0.70% | 0.66% | 0.50% | 0.32% | 0.30% | 0.28% | 0.09% | 0.03% | https://www.wahlkreisprognose.de/trends-in-hamburg | |||||
31 | 0.0625992712 | 0.0336354293 | 0.0308324769 | 0.0261608895 | 0.0168177147 | 0.0046715874 | 0.0046715874 | 0.0020818003 | 0.0012991344 | 0.0012403809 | 0.0009427323 | 0.0006045318 | 0.0005646490 | 0.0005192790 | 0.0001706394 | 0.0000513926 | ||||||||||
32 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
33 | SPD | CDU | GRN | DL | AfD | |||||||||||||||||||||
34 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.28 | 0.78 | 1.12 | 1.34 | 0.49 | 25.53% | 15.50% | 22.36% | 26.81% | 9.80% | 95.96% | 24.50% | 14.88% | 21.46% | 25.72% | 9.40% | ||||
35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.92 | 0.94 | 0.56 | 1.09 | 0.81 | 38.43% | 18.77% | 11.11% | 21.73% | 16.21% | 101.94% | 36.87% | 18.01% | 10.66% | 20.85% | 15.55% | ||||
36 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.96 | 0.62 | 1.32 | 1.54 | 0.22 | 19.21% | 12.40% | 26.35% | 30.76% | 4.33% | 89.30% | 18.44% | 11.90% | 25.29% | 29.51% | 4.16% | ||||
37 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.45 | 1.58 | 0.76 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 28.99% | 31.66% | 15.25% | 11.57% | 9.99% | 93.52% | 27.82% | 30.38% | 14.63% | 11.10% | 9.58% | ||||
38 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.68 | 0.58 | 0.85 | 0.58 | 0.12 | 22.68% | 19.26% | 28.31% | 19.33% | 3.96% | 89.75% | 21.76% | 18.48% | 27.17% | 18.55% | 3.80% | ||||
39 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.87 | 0.61 | 0.71 | 0.55 | 0.26 | 28.91% | 20.40% | 23.67% | 18.34% | 8.67% | 95.94% | 27.74% | 19.57% | 22.71% | 17.60% | 8.32% | ||||
40 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.45 | 1.04 | 0.70 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 36.35% | 25.95% | 17.50% | 10.72% | 9.42% | 95.90% | 34.88% | 24.90% | 16.79% | 10.29% | 9.04% | ||||
41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.96 | 0.97 | 0.95 | 0.52 | 0.18 | 24.06% | 24.32% | 23.81% | 12.98% | 4.52% | 86.06% | 23.09% | 23.33% | 22.85% | 12.46% | 4.34% | ||||
42 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.38 | 0.90 | 1.08 | 0.90 | 0.39 | 27.52% | 17.95% | 21.56% | 18.06% | 7.73% | 89.07% | 26.41% | 17.23% | 20.69% | 17.33% | 7.41% | ||||
43 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.31 | 0.95 | 0.85 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 32.80% | 23.66% | 21.13% | 10.16% | 10.36% | 94.15% | 31.48% | 22.71% | 20.27% | 9.75% | 9.95% | ||||
44 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.38 | 0.92 | 0.65 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 34.53% | 23.01% | 16.19% | 13.12% | 13.38% | 96.18% | 33.14% | 22.08% | 15.53% | 12.59% | 12.84% | ||||
45 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.45 | 1.17 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 0.60 | 36.18% | 29.37% | 12.20% | 12.98% | 14.89% | 101.35% | 34.71% | 28.19% | 11.70% | 12.46% | 14.29% | ||||
46 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.69 | 1.93 | 0.77 | 0.33 | 0.43 | 33.75% | 38.51% | 15.46% | 6.63% | 8.67% | 98.86% | 32.39% | 36.96% | 14.84% | 6.36% | 8.32% | ||||
47 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.56 | 1.01 | 0.55 | 0.38 | 0.62 | 39.03% | 25.13% | 13.79% | 9.45% | 15.45% | 98.70% | 37.45% | 24.12% | 13.24% | 9.07% | 14.83% | ||||
48 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.64 | 1.65 | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.69 | 32.89% | 32.96% | 12.12% | 11.29% | 13.76% | 98.86% | 31.56% | 31.63% | 11.63% | 10.83% | 13.20% | ||||
49 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.90 | 0.84 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 30.03% | 28.07% | 15.75% | 16.65% | 15.64% | 101.85% | 28.82% | 26.93% | 15.12% | 15.98% | 15.01% | ||||
50 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 0.55 | 32.37% | 33.29% | 14.08% | 11.99% | 18.28% | 105.57% | 31.06% | 31.95% | 13.51% | 11.51% | 17.54% | ||||
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