Nigeria Oyo and FCT SMC budget sense check (public)

	A	B	C	D
1		Value	Source	Notes
2	Past GiveWell analysis
3	GiveWell's estimate of total cost per equivalent child treated with four cycles, Nigeria	$7.14	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rTmOgxHMFTnjvrtcf5rTkrkJhxwk96iAANLRlg9jDs8/edit#gid=1670911500&range=A30:D30
4	Sanity check: effective coverage rate for 4-cycles of person-months of coverage	56%	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rTmOgxHMFTnjvrtcf5rTkrkJhxwk96iAANLRlg9jDs8/edit#gid=1670911500&range=A32:D32
5	Total cost per child targeted	$4.01	Calculation
6	Percent of total costs covered by Malaria Consortium in Nigeria	89%	https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rTmOgxHMFTnjvrtcf5rTkrkJhxwk96iAANLRlg9jDs8/edit#gid=1598546462&range=E10
7	Malaria Consortium's cost per equivalent child covered, Nigeria	$6.35	Calculation
8	Malaria Consortium's cost per equivalent child targeted, Nigeria	$3.57	Calculation
9	Malaria Consortium's cost per cycle, Nigeria	$0.89	Calculation
10	Estimate of total cost per equivalent child treated with five cycles, Nigeria	$8.93	Calculation
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13	Oyo and FC budget
14	Malaria Consortium's cost per child targeted, FCT	$4.75
15	Malaria Consortium's cost per child targeted, Oyo	$4.75
16	Number of children effectively covered, FCT	570,075	Calculation	Assuming MC achieves the same effective coverage rate as it has in past Nigeria programs.
17	Number of children effectively covered, Oyo	165,687	Calculation	Assuming MC achieves the same effective coverage rate as it has in past Nigeria programs.
18	Malaria Consortium's cost per child fully covered, FCT	$8.46	Calculation
19	Malaria Consortium's cost per child fully covered, Oyo	$8.46	Calculation
20	Total cost per child fully covered, FCT, before management fee	$9.51	Calculation	Assuming the same proportion of total costs are covered by Malaria Consortium and governments as in past programs in Nigeria
21	Total cost per child fully covered, Oyo, before management fee	$9.51	Calculation	Assuming the same proportion of total costs are covered by Malaria Consortium and governments as in past programs in Nigeria
22	Malaria Consortium management fee	12%	Christian Rassi, Programme Director, SMC and Multi-country Programmes, Malaria Consortium, email to GiveWell, September 24, 2021 (unpublished)	Malaria Consortium told us that the budget did not include the mangagement fee.
23	Total cost per child fully covered	$10.65
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25	Weighted average
26	Weight on past GiveWell analysis	65%	GiveWell's rough best guess
27	Weight on budgeted costs	35%	GiveWell's rough best guess
28	Weighted average cost per child fully covered	$9.53	Calculation
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