Cassandra's List: 2018 Election - House & Senate Composition/Predictions and Historical Data (2006-2016)
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Summary of State Primaries BY DATE
Numbers verified on Wikipedia (including Unopposed races) which summarizes State Election Board reportsMy current prediction (visual version):
https://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/lpRqv2
My current prediction (visual version):
http://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/4KRAqdl
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Primary Stats Source:
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G18/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_gubernatorial_elections,_2018
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2018
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2018
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State Primaries - Upcoming: 8/11/2018Hawaii8/14/2018Connecticut, Minnesota, Vermont, Wisconsin
http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/801yAl
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Special Elections: Done8/28/2018Runoff: OK12/8/2018Runoff: LAState Governors
Runoff Candidate
Runoff Candidate
Runoff Candidate
Runoff Candidate
Runoff Candidate
Runoff Candidate
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Other Sources:
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/
Incumbent Governor (R/D/I)Primary or Runoff ElectionGeneral ElectionU.S. SenatePrimary or Runoff ElectionGeneral ElectionU.S. House of RepresentativesPrimary or Runoff ElectionGeneral Election
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% votes (P)StatePresident (2016)Primary Reliable Score (2016 & 2014)*FLIPPrimary DayRunoff/ 2nd Election DayTop CandidateRepublican VotesTop CandidateDemocratic VotesRepublican VotesDemocratic VotesIncumbent Senate - Class 1 (R/D/I)Top CandidateRepublican VotesTop CandidateDemocratic VotesRepublican VotesDemocratic VotesDistrictIncumbent (R/D)Top CandidateRepublican VotesTop CandidateDemocratic VotesRepublican VotesDemocratic Votes
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100TexasTrump
(35/36) & (35/36)
3/6/20185/22/2018Greg Abbott (R)Greg Abbott1,540,363Lupe Valdez1,017,959Ted Cruz (R)Ted Cruz1,543,725Beto O'Rourke1,037,7991Louie Gohmert (R)Louie Gohmert72,463Shirley J. McKellar15,039
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2Ted Poe (R)**Dan Crenshaw46,140Todd Litton28,598
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3Sam Johnson (R)**Van Taylor53,712Lorie Burch31,181
10
4John Ratcliffe (R)John Ratcliffe73,804Catherine Krantz13,104
11
5Jeb Hensarling (R)**Lance Gooden58,577Dan Wood16,923
12
6Joe Barton (R)**Ron Wright45,785Jana Lynne Sanchez29,389
13
7John Culberson (R)John Culberson38,032Lizzie Pannill Fletcher33,176
14
8Kevin Brady (R)Kevin Brady67,593Steven David13,183
15
9Al Green (D)No Candidate0Al Green32,881
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10Michael McCaul (R)Michael McCaul52,294Mike Siegel38,616
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11Mike Conaway (R)Mike Conaway76,457Jennie Lou Leeder8,784
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12Kay Granger (R)Kay Granger49,385Vanessa Adia21,018
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13Mac Thornberry (R)Mac Thornberry71,018Greg Sagan7,322
20
14Randy Weber (R)Randy Weber44,542Adrienne Bell24,381
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15Vicente González (D)Tim Westley14,794Vicente González33,549
22
16Beto O'Rourke (D)**Rick Seeberger10,489Veronica Escobar49,868
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17Bill Flores (R)Bill Flores44,388Rick Kennedy22,643
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18Sheila Jackson Lee (D)Ava Pate7,634Sheila Jackson Lee40,118
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19Jodey Arrington (R)Jodey Arrington55,433Miguel Livario9,648
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20Joaquín Castro (D)No Candidate0Joaquín Castro32,189
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21Lamar S. Smith (R)**Chip Roy71,396Joseph Kopser50,664
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22Pete Olson (R)Pete Olson45,647Sri Kulkarni29,755
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23Will Hurd (R)Will Hurd30,992Gina Ortiz Jones44,320
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24Kenny Marchant (R)Kenny Marchant40,735Jan McDowell27,740
31
25Roger Williams (R)Roger Williams51,122Julie Oliver42,406
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26Michael Burgess (R)Michael Burgess54,974Linsey Fagan26,219
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27Blake Farenthold (R)**Michael Cloud43,893Eric Holguin21,187
34
28Henry Cuellar (D)No Candidate0Henry Cuellar39,221
35
29Gene Green (D)**Phil Aronoff6,220Sylvia R. Garcia18,443
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30Eddie Bernice Johnson (D)No Candidate0Eddie Bernice Johnson50,987
37
31John Carter (R)John Carter52,697Mary Hegar30,841
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32Pete Sessions (R)Pete Sessions41,359Colin Allred40,084
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33+Marc Veasey (D)Willie Billups5,254Marc Veasey21,231
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34+Filemon Vela Jr. (D)Rey Gonzalez10,227Filemon Vela Jr.25,344
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35+Lloyd Doggett (D)David Smalling13,281Lloyd Doggett32,101
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36+Brian Babin (R)Brian Babin50,317Dayna Steele13,675
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100IllinoisClinton
(15/18) & (15/18)
Flip3/20/2018Bruce Rauner (R)Bruce Rauner705,627J.B. Pritzker1,269,2381Bobby Rush (D)Jimmy Lee Tillman15,389Bobby Rush104,114
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2Robin Kelly (D)David Merkle13,563Robin Kelly98,299
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3Dan Lipinski (D)Arthur Jones20,681Daniel Lipinski95,205
46
4Luis Gutiérrez (D)**Mark Lorch5,805Jesús G. Garcia74,950
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5Mike Quigley (D)Tom Hanson18,837Mike Quigley106,073
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6Peter Roskam (R)Peter Roskam56,544Sean Casten67,013
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7Danny K. Davis (D)Craig Cameron6,579Danny K. Davis110,437
50
8Raja Krishnamoorthi (D)JD Diganvker25,448Raja Krishnamoorthi44,042
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9Janice D. Schakowsky (D)John Elleson25,950Jan Schakowsky108,417
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10Brad Schneider (D)Douglas Bennett30,423Brad Schneider58,195
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11Bill Foster (D)Nick Stella30,245Bill Foster49,762
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12Mike Bost (R)Mike Bost37,916Brendan Kelly50,081
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13Rodney Davis (R)Rodney Davis44,512Betsy Dirksen Londrigan53,700
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14Randy Hultgren (R)Randy Hultgren51,672Lauren Underwood51,251
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15John Shimkus (R)John Shimkus73,825Kevin Gaither27,873
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16Adam Kinzinger (R)Adam Kinzinger66,120Sara Dady43,129
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17Cheri Bustos (D)Bill Fawell38,411Cheri Bustos42,964
60
18Darin LaHood (R)Darin LaHood78,257Junius Rodriguez35,936
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100IndianaTrump(9/9) & (9/9)Flip5/8/2018Joe Donnelly (D)Mike Braun506,337Joe Donnelly284,3441Pete Visclosky (D)Mark Leyva22,080Peter J. Visclosky52,476
63
2Jackie Walorski (R)Jackie Walorski54,618Mel Hall36,927
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3Jim Banks (R)Jim Banks58,738Courtney Tritch20,715
65
4Todd Rokita (R)**Jim Baird80,142Tobi Beck18,701
66
5Susan Brooks (R)Susan W. Brooks63,901Dee Thornton34,111
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6Luke Messer (R)**Greg Pence73,465Jeannine Lake23,182
68
7André Carson (D)Wayne Harmon22,675André Carson42,536
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8Larry Bucshon (R)Larry Bucshon57,822William Tanoos25,472
70
9Trey Hollingsworth (R)Trey Hollingsworth60,329Liz Watson37,630
71
100North CarolinaTrump
(5/13) & (7/13)
5/8/2018Roy Cooper (D)1G. K. Butterfield (D)Roger AllisonUnopposedG.K. ButterfieldUnopposed
72
2George Holding (R)George Holding23,071Linda Coleman32,751
73
3Walter B. Jones, Jr. (R)Walter B. Jones48,508No Candidate0
74
4David Price (D)Steve LoorUnopposedDavid E. Price67,366
75
5Virginia Foxx (R)Virginia Foxx40,237DD Adams28,347
76
6Mark Walker (R)Mark WalkerUnopposedRyan Watts33,546
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7David Rouzer (R)David RouzerUnopposedKyle Horton31,945
78
8Richard Hudson (R)Richard HudsonUnopposedFrank McNeill28,451
79
9Robert Pittenger (R)Mark Harris35,494Dan McCready45,660
80
10Patrick McHenry (R)Patrick T. McHenry48,154David BrownUnopposed
81
11Mark Meadows (R)Mark Meadows41,038Phillip Price33,031
82
12Alma Adams (D)Paul Wright7,435Alma Adams45,275
83
13Ted Budd (R)Ted BuddUnopposedKathy Manning27,761
84
100OhioTrump
(16/16) & (16/16)
Flip5/8/2018John Kasich (R)*Mike DeWine827,039Richard Cordray679,738Sherrod Brown (D)James B. Renacci760,808Sherrod Brown605,4481Steve Chabot (R)Steve Chabot49,134Aftab Pureval27,641
85
2Brad Wenstrup (R)Brad Wenstrup44,829Jill Schiller32,860
86
3Joyce Beatty (D)Jim Burgess20,772Joyce Beatty45,457
87
4Jim Jordan (R)Jim Jordan65,344Janet Garrett20,892
88
5Bob Latta (R)Bob Latta61,625Michael Galbraith26,081
89
6Bill Johnson (R)Bill Johnson59,261Shawna Roberts29,289
90
7Bob Gibbs (R)Bob Gibbs53,811Ken Harbaugh29,755
91
8Warren Davidson (R)Warren Davidson51,654Vanessa Enoch19,614
92
9Marcy Kaptur (D)Steven Kraus20,784Marcy Kaptur48,009
93
10Michael R. Turner (R)Michael R. Turner53,473Theresa Gasper34,030
94
11Marcia L. Fudge (D)Beverly Goldstein13,180Marcia L. Fudge65,329
95
Special Election 8/7/201812Vacant (Resigned 1/15/2018); Special Election 8/7/2018Troy Balderson67,133Danny O'Connor43,885
96
13Tim Ryan (D)Chris DePizzo24,100Tim Ryan62,492
97
14David Joyce (R)David Joyce49,986Betsy Rader35,747
98
15Steve Stivers (R)Steve Stivers49,220Rick Neal34,804
99
16Jim Renacci (R)**Anthony Gonzalez64,187Susan Moran Palmer41,463
102
100West VirginiaTrump(1/3) & (0/3)Flip5/8/2018Jim Justice (R)Joe Manchin (D)Patrick Morrisey136,220Joe Manchin159,8911David McKinley (R)David B. McKinley40,122Kendra Fershee48,703
103
2Alex Mooney (R)Alex X. Mooney36,477Talley Sergent46,082
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2018 Election Summary
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