Cassandra's List: 2018 Election - House & Senate Composition/Predictions and Historical Data (2006-2016)
 Share
The version of the browser you are using is no longer supported. Please upgrade to a supported browser.Dismiss

View only
 
 
ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACAD
1
Summary of State Primaries BY DATE
http://www.270towin.com/2018-governor-election/83Ky
My current prediction (visual version):
https://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/lpRqv2
My current prediction (visual version):
http://www.270towin.com/2018-house-election/4KRAqdl
2
Primary Stats Source:
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/G18/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_gubernatorial_elections,_2018
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2018
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2018
3
General Stats Source: https://ballotpedia.org/United_States_Congress_elections,_2018
4
State Primaries - Upcoming:
http://www.270towin.com/2018-senate-election/801yAl
Did Not Predict
https://vote.sos.ca.gov/
5
Special Elections:State Governors
Runoff Candidate
Runoff Candidate
Runoff Candidate
Runoff Candidate
Runoff Candidate
Runoff Candidate
6
Other Sources:
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/
Incumbent Governor (R/D/I)Primary or Runoff ElectionGeneral ElectionU.S. SenatePrimary or Runoff ElectionGeneral ElectionU.S. House of RepresentativesPrimary or Runoff ElectionGeneral Election
7
% votes (P)StatePresident (2016)Primary Reliable Score (2016 & 2014)*FLIPPrimary DayRunoff/ 2nd Election DayTop CandidateRepublican VotesTop CandidateDemocratic VotesRepublican VotesDemocratic VotesIncumbent Senate - Class 1 (R/D/I)Top CandidateRepublican VotesTop CandidateDemocratic VotesRepublican VotesDemocratic VotesDistrictIncumbent (R/D)Top CandidateRepublican VotesTop CandidateDemocratic VotesRepublican VotesDemocratic Votes
8
100TexasTrump(35/36) & (35/36)3/6/20185/22/2018Greg Abbott (R)Greg Abbott1,540,363Lupe Valdez1,017,9594,638,5823,528,705Ted Cruz (R)Ted Cruz1,543,725Beto O'Rourke1,037,7994,244,2044,024,7771Louie Gohmert (R)Louie Gohmert72,463Shirley J. McKellar15,039168,16561,263*
9
2Ted Poe (R)**Dan Crenshaw46,140Todd Litton28,598139,188119,992*
10
3Sam Johnson (R)**Van Taylor53,712Lorie Burch31,181169,520138,234*
11
4John Ratcliffe (R)John Ratcliffe73,804Catherine Krantz13,104188,66757,400*
12
5Jeb Hensarling (R)**Lance Gooden58,577Dan Wood16,923130,61778,666*
13
6Joe Barton (R)**Ron Wright45,785Jana Lynne Sanchez29,389135,961116,350*
14
7John Culberson (R)John Culberson38,032Lizzie Pannill Fletcher33,176115,642127,959*
15
8Kevin Brady (R)Kevin Brady67,593Steven David13,183200,61967,930*
16
9Al Green (D)No Candidate0Al Green32,8810136,256*
17
10Michael McCaul (R)Michael McCaul52,294Mike Siegel38,616157,166144,034*
18
11Mike Conaway (R)Mike Conaway76,457Jennie Lou Leeder8,784176,60340,631*
19
12Kay Granger (R)Kay Granger49,385Vanessa Adia21,018172,55790,994*
20
13Mac Thornberry (R)Mac Thornberry71,018Greg Sagan7,322169,02735,083*
21
14Randy Weber (R)Randy Weber44,542Adrienne Bell24,381138,94292,212*
22
15Vicente González (D)Tim Westley14,794Vicente González33,54963,86298,333*
23
16Beto O'Rourke (D)**Rick Seeberger10,478Veronica Escobar49,86849,127124,437*
24
17Bill Flores (R)Bill Flores44,388Rick Kennedy22,643134,84198,070*
25
18Sheila Jackson Lee (D)Ava Reynero Pate7,634Sheila Jackson Lee40,11838,368138,704*
26
19Jodey Arrington (R)Jodey Arrington55,433Miguel Livario9,648151,94650,039*
27
20Joaquín Castro (D)No Candidate0Joaquín Castro32,1890139,038*
28
21Lamar S. Smith (R)**Chip Roy71,396Joseph Kopser50,664177,654168,421*
29
22Pete Olson (R)Pete Olson45,647Sri Kulkarni29,755152,750138,153*
30
23Will Hurd (R)Will Hurd30,992Gina Ortiz Jones44,320103,285102,359*
31
24Kenny Marchant (R)Kenny Marchant40,735Jan McDowell27,740133,317125,231*
32
25Roger Williams (R)Roger Williams51,122Julie Oliver42,406163,023136,385*
33
26Michael Burgess (R)Michael Burgess54,974Linsey Fagan26,219185,551121,938*
34
27Blake Farenthold (R)**Michael Cloud43,893Eric Holguin21,187125,11875,929*
35
28Henry Cuellar (D)No Candidate0Henry Cuellar39,2210117,494*
36
29Gene Green (D)**Phil Aronoff6,220Sylvia R. Garcia18,44328,09888,188*
37
30Eddie Bernice Johnson (D)No Candidate0Eddie Bernice Johnson50,9870166,784*
38
31John Carter (R)John Carter52,697Mary Hegar30,841144,680136,362*
39
Flip32Pete Sessions (R)Pete Sessions41,359Colin Allred40,084126,101144,067*
40
33+Marc Veasey (D)Willie Billups5,254Marc Veasey21,23126,12090,805*
41
34+Filemon Vela Jr. (D)Rey Gonzalez10,227Filemon Vela Jr.25,34457,24385,825*
42
35+Lloyd Doggett (D)David Smalling13,281Lloyd Doggett32,10150,553138,278*
43
36+Brian Babin (R)Brian Babin50,317Dayna Steele13,675161,04860,908*
44
100IllinoisClinton(15/18) & (15/18)Flip3/20/2018Bruce Rauner (R)Bruce Rauner705,627J.B. Pritzker1,269,2381,725,2972,388,4601Bobby Rush (D)Jimmy Lee Tillman15,389Bobby Rush104,11450,960189,560*
45
2Robin Kelly (D)David Merkle13,563Robin Kelly98,29944,567190,684*
46
3Dan Lipinski (D)Arthur Jones20,681Daniel Lipinski95,20557,885163,053*
47
4Luis Gutiérrez (D)**Mark Lorch5,805Jesús G. Garcia74,95022,294143,895*
48
5Mike Quigley (D)Tom Hanson18,837Mike Quigley106,07365,134213,992*
49
Flip6Peter Roskam (R)Peter Roskam56,544Sean Casten67,013146,445169,001*
50
7Danny K. Davis (D)Craig Cameron6,579Danny K. Davis110,43730,497215,746*
51
8Raja Krishnamoorthi (D)JD Diganvker25,448Raja Krishnamoorthi44,04267,073130,054*
52
9Janice D. Schakowsky (D)John Elleson25,950Jan Schakowsky108,41776,983213,368*
53
10Brad Schneider (D)Douglas Bennett30,423Brad Schneider58,19582,124156,540*
54
11Bill Foster (D)Nick Stella30,245Bill Foster49,76282,358145,407*
55
12Mike Bost (R)Mike Bost37,916Brendan Kelly50,081134,884118,724*
56
13Rodney Davis (R)Rodney Davis44,512Betsy Dirksen Londrigan53,700136,516134,458*
57
Flip14Randy Hultgren (R)Randy Hultgren51,672Lauren Underwood51,251141,164156,035*
58
15John Shimkus (R)John Shimkus73,825Kevin Gaither27,873181,29474,309*
59
16Adam Kinzinger (R)Adam Kinzinger66,120Sara Dady43,129151,254104,569*
60
17Cheri Bustos (D)Bill Fawell38,411Cheri Bustos42,96487,090142,659*
61
18Darin LaHood (R)Darin LaHood78,257Junius Rodriguez35,936195,92795,486*
63
100IndianaTrump(9/9) & (9/9)Flip5/8/2018Joe Donnelly (D)Mike Braun506,700Joe Donnelly284,6211,158,0001,023,5531Pete Visclosky (D)Mark Leyva22,080Peter J. Visclosky52,47685,594159,611*
64
2Jackie Walorski (R)Jackie Walorski54,618Mel Hall36,927125,499103,363*
65
3Jim Banks (R)Jim Banks58,738Courtney Tritch20,715158,92786,610*
66
4Todd Rokita (R)**Jim Baird80,142Tobi Beck18,701156,53987,824*
67
5Susan Brooks (R)Susan W. Brooks63,901Dee Thornton34,111180,035137,142*
68
6Luke Messer (R)**Greg Pence73,465Jeannine Lake23,182154,26079,430*
69
7André Carson (D)Wayne Harmon22,675André Carson42,53676,457141,139*
70
8Larry Bucshon (R)Larry Bucshon57,822William Tanoos25,472157,39686,895*
71
9Trey Hollingsworth (R)Trey Hollingsworth60,329Liz Watson37,630153,271118,090*
72
95North CarolinaTrump(5/13) & (7/13)5/8/2018Roy Cooper (D)1G. K. Butterfield (D)Roger AllisonUnopposedG.K. ButterfieldUnopposed82,218190,457*
73
2George Holding (R)George Holding23,591Linda Coleman33,287170,072151,977*
74
3Walter B. Jones, Jr. (R)Walter B. Jones48,727No Candidate0187,9010*
75
4David Price (D)Steve LoorUnopposedDavid E. Price67,71482,052247,067*
76
5Virginia Foxx (R)Virginia Foxx40,420Denise D. Adams28,496159,917120,468*
77
6Mark Walker (R)Mark WalkerUnopposedRyan Watts33,791160,709123,651*
78
7David Rouzer (R)David RouzerUnopposedKyle Horton32,086156,809120,838*
79
8Richard Hudson (R)Richard HudsonUnopposedFrank McNeill28,597141,402114,119*
80
9Robert Pittenger (R)*Mark Harris35,643Dan McCready46,020139,246138,341
81
10Patrick McHenry (R)Patrick T. McHenry48,321David BrownUnopposed164,969113,259*
82
11Mark Meadows (R)Mark Meadows41,304Phillip Price33,257178,012116,508*
83
12Alma Adams (D)Paul Wright7,455Alma Adams45,43175,164203,974*
84
13Ted Budd (R)Ted BuddUnopposedKathy Manning27,878147,570130,402*
85
100OhioTrump(16/16) & (16/16)5/8/2018John Kasich (R)*Mike DeWine827,039Richard Cordray679,7382,187,6192,005,627Sherrod Brown (D)James B. Renacci760,684Sherrod Brown605,4482,053,9632,355,9231Steve Chabot (R)Steve Chabot49,134Aftab Pureval27,641154,409141,118*
86
2Brad Wenstrup (R)Brad Wenstrup44,829Jill Schiller32,860166,714119,333*
87
3Joyce Beatty (D)Jim Burgess20,772Joyce Beatty45,45765,040181,575*
88
4Jim Jordan (R)Jim Jordan65,344Janet Garrett20,892167,99389,412*
89
5Bob Latta (R)Bob Latta61,625Michael Galbraith26,081176,56999,655*
90
6Bill Johnson (R)Bill Johnson59,261Shawna Roberts29,289172,77476,716*
91
7Bob Gibbs (R)Bob Gibbs52,811Ken Harbaugh29,755153,117107,536*
92
8Warren Davidson (R)Warren Davidson51,654Vanessa Enoch19,614173,85287,281*
93
9Marcy Kaptur (D)Steven Kraus20,784Marcy Kaptur48,00974,670157,219*
94
10Michael R. Turner (R)Michael R. Turner53,473Theresa Gasper34,030157,554118,785*
95
11Marcia L. Fudge (D)Beverly Goldstein13,180Marcia L. Fudge65,32944,486206,138*
96
Special Election 8/7/201812Troy Balderson*Troy Balderson68,802Danny O'Connor44,940175,677161,251*
97
13Tim Ryan (D)Chris DePizzo24,100Tim Ryan62,49298,047153,323*
98
14David Joyce (R)David Joyce49,986Betsy Rader35,747169,809137,549*
99
15Steve Stivers (R)Steve Stivers49,220Rick Neal34,804170,593116,112*
100
16Jim Renacci (R)**Anthony Gonzalez64,187Susan Moran Palmer41,463170,029129,681*
103
100West VirginiaTrump(1/3) & (0/3)5/8/2018Jim Justice (R)Joe Manchin (D)Patrick Morrisey136,220Joe Manchin159,891271,112290,5051David McKinley (R)David B. McKinley40,122Kendra Fershee48,703127,99770,217*
Loading...
Main menu