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2021 GiveWell cost-effectiveness analysis — version 1Change 1: Updated the baseline mortality rate estimate for our CEA of Helen Keller International (Helen Keller) in NigeriaChange 2: Updated probabilities for leverage and funging scenarios for AMF and Helen Keller InternationalChange 3: Updated Helen Keller International CEA for CameroonChange 4: Updated room for more funding estimates for AMF, Malaria Consortium, and New IncentivesChange 5: Corrected error in "adjustment for program impact being to move distributions closer together" for AMFChange 6: April 2021 allocationChange 7: Updates to "Cost-effectiveness by funding gap" sheet2021 GiveWell cost-effectiveness analysis — version 2
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Cost-effectiveness, including leverage and funging adjustments, including additional adjustmentsCost-effectiveness, including leverage and funging adjustments, including additional adjustmentsDifference in cost-effectiveness estimates between previous two versions (in multiples of the cost-effectiveness of cash transfers)Cost-effectiveness, including leverage and funging adjustments, including additional adjustmentsDifference in cost-effectiveness estimates between previous two versions (in multiples of the cost-effectiveness of cash transfers)Cost-effectiveness, including leverage and funging adjustments, including additional adjustmentsDifference in cost-effectiveness estimates between previous two versions (in multiples of the cost-effectiveness of cash transfers)Cost-effectiveness, including leverage and funging adjustments, including additional adjustmentsDifference in cost-effectiveness estimates between previous two versions (in multiples of the cost-effectiveness of cash transfers)Cost-effectiveness, including leverage and funging adjustments, including additional adjustmentsDifference in cost-effectiveness estimates between previous two versions (in multiples of the cost-effectiveness of cash transfers)Cost-effectiveness, including leverage and funging adjustments, including additional adjustmentsDifference in cost-effectiveness estimates between previous two versions (in multiples of the cost-effectiveness of cash transfers)Cost-effectiveness, including leverage and funging adjustments, including additional adjustmentsDifference in cost-effectiveness estimates between previous two versions (in multiples of the cost-effectiveness of cash transfers)Cost-effectiveness, including leverage and funging adjustments, including additional adjustmentsDifference in cost-effectiveness estimates between previous two versions (in multiples of the cost-effectiveness of cash transfers)
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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1-fb74yL-FS1inZ-_mQt0uUwpkHLHrzypwVNlOA2nmsw/edit?usp=sharinghttps://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1080g6t-wetlekDX_y4ii0mHQk--vlT7o3wkMB3qKZVs/edit?usp=sharinghttps://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NfIn1cZbhblSSpR_dRW6vGwyh7lMBG4qFoE_UUZiJkw/edit?usp=sharinghttps://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1kqIGtBIDqfo1C7ymXMRVDoOw4FowmGrVwM_9mX4QwlQ/edit?usp=sharinghttps://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YKbuPztNNpYQbuFDgaOaqBSBjkeVDxHnUWX7pqf4uXg/edit?usp=sharinghttps://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sUX698s1mHXYlruKg0FJbBdUfLSlC4PiVUxKK_zJO-4/edit?usp=sharinghttps://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hN_8dFpsMBnQXbgmnDv4N7EVlWsKFzGix9GCcOxwf5w/edit?usp=sharinghttps://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16heOfAsuEjFq-Cp5huO-NsctXpMO6Qj4JmTOBjvBMNY/edit?usp=sharinghttps://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11HsJLpq0Suf3SK_PmzzWpK1tr_BTd364j0l3xVvSCQw/edit?usp=sharing
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Against Malaria Foundation
2020 CEA V12020 CEA V1Change 1
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DRC10.310.30.012.72.512.70.012.70.012.70.012.70.012.70.012.70.0
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Guinea16.416.40.016.40.016.40.016.40.016.40.016.40.016.40.016.40.0
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Togo9.49.40.09.40.09.40.09.40.09.40.09.40.09.40.09.40.0
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Uganda17.217.20.017.20.017.20.017.20.017.20.017.20.017.20.017.20.0
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Nigeria (PMI states)14.814.80.014.80.014.80.014.80.014.80.014.80.014.80.014.80.0
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Deworm the World
2020 CEA V1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1
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Kenya32.432.40.032.40.032.40.032.40.032.40.032.40.032.40.032.40.0
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Pakistan5.15.10.05.10.05.10.05.10.05.10.05.10.05.10.05.10.0
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Lagos, Nigeria5.45.40.05.40.05.40.05.40.05.40.05.40.05.40.05.40.0
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Oyo, Nigeria15.815.80.015.80.015.80.015.80.015.80.015.80.015.80.015.80.0
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Ogun, Nigeria13.913.90.013.90.013.90.013.90.013.90.013.90.013.90.013.90.0
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Rivers, Nigeria12.812.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.0
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The END Fund
2020 CEA V1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1
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Ethiopia2.32.30.02.30.02.30.02.30.02.30.02.30.02.30.02.30.0
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Angola23.023.00.023.00.023.00.023.00.023.00.023.00.023.00.023.00.0
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DRC9.49.40.09.40.09.40.09.40.09.40.09.40.09.40.09.40.0
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Rwanda7.07.00.07.00.07.00.07.00.07.00.07.00.07.00.07.00.0
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Zimbabwe12.812.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.0
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SCI Foundation
2020 CEA V1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1
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Overall9.99.90.09.90.09.90.09.90.09.90.09.90.09.90.09.90.0
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Ethiopia3.63.60.03.60.03.60.03.60.03.60.03.60.03.60.03.60.0
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DRC27.827.80.027.80.027.80.027.80.027.80.027.80.027.80.027.80.0
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Madagascar29.929.90.029.90.029.90.029.90.029.90.029.90.029.90.029.90.0
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Tanzania6.36.30.06.30.06.30.06.30.06.30.06.30.06.30.06.30.0
29
Cote d'Ivoire9.99.90.09.90.09.90.09.90.09.90.09.90.09.90.09.90.0
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Liberia12.812.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.012.80.0
31
Malawi6.96.90.06.90.06.90.06.90.06.90.06.90.06.90.06.90.0
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Mauritania29.929.90.029.90.029.90.029.90.029.90.029.90.029.90.029.90.0
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Uganda-0.7-0.70.0-0.70.0-0.70.0-0.70.0-0.70.0-0.70.0-0.70.0-0.70.0
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Burundi14.014.00.014.00.014.00.014.00.014.00.014.00.014.00.014.00.0
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Zanzibar-Pemba-0.4-0.40.0-0.40.0-0.40.0-0.40.0-0.40.0-0.40.0-0.40.0-0.40.0
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Zanzibar-Unguja-1.3-1.30.0-1.30.0-1.30.0-1.30.0-1.30.0-1.30.0-1.30.0-1.30.0
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Sudan5.05.00.05.00.05.00.05.00.05.00.05.00.05.00.05.00.0
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Niger1.41.40.01.40.01.40.01.40.01.40.01.40.01.40.01.40.0
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Sightsavers
2020 CEA V1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1
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DRC1.51.50.01.50.01.50.01.50.01.50.01.50.01.50.01.50.0
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Benue State12.612.60.012.60.012.60.012.60.012.60.012.60.012.60.012.60.0
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Kebbi State54.554.50.054.50.054.50.054.50.054.50.054.50.054.50.054.50.0
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Kogi State9.69.60.09.60.09.60.09.60.09.60.09.60.09.60.09.60.0
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Kwara State44.344.30.044.30.044.30.044.30.044.30.044.30.044.30.044.30.0
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Sokoto State45.445.40.045.40.045.40.045.40.045.40.045.40.045.40.045.40.0
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Taraba State1.91.90.01.90.01.90.01.90.01.90.01.90.01.90.01.90.0
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Chad14.114.10.014.10.014.10.014.10.014.10.014.10.014.10.014.10.0
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Senegal3.53.50.03.50.03.50.03.50.03.50.03.50.03.50.03.50.0
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West, Cameroon11.711.70.011.70.011.70.011.70.011.70.011.70.011.70.011.70.0
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Far-North, Cameroon18.318.30.018.30.018.30.018.30.018.30.018.30.018.30.018.30.0
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North, Cameroon23.723.70.023.70.023.70.023.70.023.70.023.70.023.70.023.70.0
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Adamoua, Cameroon11.011.00.011.00.011.00.011.00.011.00.011.00.011.00.011.00.0
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East, Cameroon9.29.20.09.20.09.20.09.20.09.20.09.20.09.20.09.20.0
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Malaria Consortium
2020 CEA V1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1
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Burkina Faso14.714.70.014.70.014.70.014.70.014.70.014.70.014.70.014.70.0
56
Chad6.26.20.06.20.06.20.06.20.06.20.06.20.06.20.06.20.0
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Nigeria10.210.20.010.20.010.20.010.20.010.20.010.20.010.20.010.20.0
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Nigeria (first ~$15 million)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
59
Nigeria (last ~$10 million)N/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A
60
Togo9.29.20.09.20.09.20.09.20.09.20.09.20.09.20.09.20.0
61
Helen Keller International
2020 CEA V1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1Change 1
62
Burkina Faso23.123.10.023.10.023.10.023.10.023.10.023.10.023.10.023.10.0
63
Cameroon27.127.10.032.15.128.4-3.828.40.028.40.028.40.028.40.028.40.0
64
Côte d'Ivoire14.214.20.014.20.014.20.014.20.014.20.014.20.014.20.014.20.0
65
DRC17.817.80.017.80.017.80.017.80.017.80.017.80.017.80.017.80.0
66
Guinea15.815.80.015.80.015.80.015.80.015.80.015.80.015.80.015.80.0
67
Kenya7.17.10.07.10.07.10.07.10.07.10.07.10.07.10.07.10.0
68
Mali36.536.50.036.50.036.50.036.50.036.50.036.50.036.50.036.50.0
69
Niger79.379.30.079.30.079.30.079.30.079.30.079.30.079.30.079.30.0
70
Nigeria28.824.1-4.724.10.024.10.024.10.024.10.024.10.024.10.024.10.0
71
New Incentives
2020 CEA V1Change 1Change 1
72
Overall10.810.80.010.80.010.80.010.80.010.80.010.80.010.80.010.80.0
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
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