Democratic Primary Polls
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The Primaries are Coming. Feel the Bern?
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Can Sanders win in Iowa? It's close - and with human head counts, he just might.
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Can Sanders win in NH? The polls show he has a solid lead. but this is New Hampshire - and they use voting machines.
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Remember the 2008 NH primary?
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https://richardcharnin.wordpress.com/tag/new-hampshire-primary/
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Obama led in all the pre-election and exit polls, but Clinton was the come from behind winner.
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Obama won the hand counted precincts by the same 5% margin that Hillary won the machine counts.
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But since there were many more voting machine precincts than hand-counted paper ballot precincts, Hillary was the clear winner.
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http://richardcharnin.com/NHBeyondReasonableDoubt.htm
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2016 Iowa Democratic Presidential Caucus
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LVMOVINGAVERAGE
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POLLSTERDATESSampleSANDERSCLINTONO'MALLEYUNDMoESANDERSCLINTON
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1Gravis Marketing12/20 - 12/22418314910104.8%31.049.0
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2NBC/WSJ/Marist1/2 - 1/74224548524.8%38.048.5
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3Quinnipiac1/5 - 1/104924944434.4%41.747.0
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4ARG1/6 - 1/106004744364.0%47.045.3
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Des Moines Register/Bloomberg/Selzer
1/7 - 1/1050440424144.4%45.343.3
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6PPP (D)1/8 - 1/105804046864.1%42.344.0
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Gravis Marketing/One America News
1/11 - 1/124813657704.5%38.748.3
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Monmouth College/KBUR/Douglas Fulmer & Associates
1/18 - 1/195703948764.1%38.350.3
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9CNNNEW!1/15 - 1/202805143425.9%42.049.3
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Emerson College Polling SocietyNEW!
1/18 - 1/202584352326.1%44.347.7
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2016 New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Primary
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LVMOVINGAVERAGE
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POLLSTERDATES SampleSANDERSCLINTONO'MALLEYUNDMoESANDERSCLINTON
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1ARG12/20 - 12/226004346384.0%43.046.0
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2PPP (D)1/4 - 1/64804447364.5%43.546.5
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3NBC/WSJ/Marist1/2 - 1/74255046134.8%45.746.3
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4FOX1/4 - 1/738650373105.0%48.043.3
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5Monmouth University1/7 - 1/104135339534.8%51.040.7
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6ARG1/7 - 1/106004744364.0%50.040.0
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7CNN/UNH/WMUR1/13 - 1/184206033164.8%53.338.7
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Gravis Marketing/One America News
1/15 - 1/184724643294.5%51.040.0
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9ARG1/15 - 1/186004943354.0%51.739.7
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10SuffolkNEW!1/19 - 1/215005041264.4%48.342.3
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http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-iowa-presidential-democratic-caucus
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http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-new-hampshire-presidential-democratic-primary
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