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1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | ASX: A1M three statement model | Year -2 | Year -1 | Year 0 | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | |||||||||||||||||||
3 | All figures in AUD '000s unless stated otherwise | 30 June 2023 | 30 June 2024 | 30 June 2025 | 30 June 2026 | 30 June 2027 | 30 June 2028 | |||||||||||||||||||
4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | Statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income | 30 June 2023 | 30 June 2024 | 30 June 2025 | 30 June 2026 | 30 June 2027 | 30 June 2028 | |||||||||||||||||||
6 | Sales revenue | 125,635 | 180,515 | 189,554 | 235,700 | 293,080 | 364,429 | |||||||||||||||||||
7 | Cost of sales | (88,487) | (112,264) | (105,110) | (131,366) | (163,345) | (203,111) | |||||||||||||||||||
8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
9 | Depreciation and amortisation expenses | (29,564) | (39,879) | (43,125) | (46,431) | (49,282) | (54,850) | |||||||||||||||||||
10 | Corporate and administration costs | (5,386) | (6,959) | (8,843) | (10,062) | (12,512) | (15,558) | |||||||||||||||||||
11 | Exploration and evaluation costs | (5,388) | (6,600) | (13,345) | (11,773) | (14,639) | (18,203) | |||||||||||||||||||
12 | Share-based payment expense | (2,025) | (2,628) | (3,234) | (3,751) | (4,664) | (5,799) | |||||||||||||||||||
13 | Transaction and integration costs | (1,485) | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||
14 | Other income | 70 | 104 | 4,296 | 1,870 | 2,325 | 2,891 | |||||||||||||||||||
15 | Interest income | 540 | 1,283 | 2,209 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
16 | Interest expense | (1,077) | (2,017) | (3,955) | (3,638) | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
17 | Fair value profit/(loss) on financial assets | 6 | (144) | 233 | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||
18 | (Loss) on sale of plant and equipment | 4 | (221) | (306) | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||
19 | Profit before income tax expense | (7,157) | 11,190 | 18,374 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
20 | Income tax expense | 1,342 | (3,496) | (3,416) | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
21 | Net profit for the year after tax | (5,815) | 7,694 | 14,958 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
22 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
23 | Other comprehensive income | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
24 | Total comprehensive income for the year | (5,815) | 7,694 | 14,958 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
25 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
26 | Statement of financial position | 30 June 2023 | 30 June 2024 | 30 June 2025 | 30 June 2026 | 30 June 2027 | 30 June 2028 | |||||||||||||||||||
27 | Cash and cash equivalents | 30,888 | 74,341 | 60,925 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
28 | Trade and other receivables | 1,021 | 1,975 | 3,650 | 2,934 | 3,646 | 4,534 | |||||||||||||||||||
29 | Inventories | 10,834 | 9,545 | 13,715 | 14,520 | 18,055 | 22,450 | |||||||||||||||||||
30 | Financial assets at fair value through profit and loss | 6,864 | 13,285 | 28,791 | 21,830 | 27,145 | 33,753 | |||||||||||||||||||
31 | Total current assets | 49,607 | 99,146 | 107,081 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
32 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
33 | Right of use assets | 467 | 130 | 32,033 | 39,831 | 49,528 | 61,585 | |||||||||||||||||||
34 | Performance bond | 4,354 | 5,685 | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||
35 | Property, plant and equipment | 40,840 | 44,031 | 63,741 | 71,122 | 88,437 | 216,926 | |||||||||||||||||||
36 | Exploration properties | 39,972 | 49,243 | 3,152 | 3,152 | 3,152 | 3,152 | Assuming focus shifts to Jericho, no impairments, no capitalisations (couldn't see policy) | ||||||||||||||||||
37 | Mines under construction | - | - | 90,974 | 145,776 | 213,919 | - | Assuming commercial production achieved end of June 2026 | ||||||||||||||||||
38 | Mine properties | 57,274 | 68,551 | 79,260 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
39 | Deferred tax assets | 2,187 | - | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||
40 | Other non-current assets | - | - | 678 | 678 | 678 | 678 | |||||||||||||||||||
41 | Total non-current assets | 145,094 | 167,640 | 269,838 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
42 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
43 | Total assets | 194,701 | 266,786 | 376,919 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
45 | Trade and other payables | 14,769 | 16,308 | 21,437 | 39,388 | 48,977 | 60,900 | |||||||||||||||||||
46 | Provisions | 2,329 | 4,073 | 5,513 | 5,526 | 6,866 | 8,533 | |||||||||||||||||||
47 | Interest bearing liabilities | 826 | 2,944 | 6,403 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
48 | Lease liabilities | 261 | 92 | 9,011 | 9,707 | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
49 | Total current liabilities | 18,185 | 23,417 | 42,364 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
51 | Provisions | 20,480 | 19,851 | 22,217 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
52 | Interest bearing liabilities | 1,609 | 3,893 | 6,439 | 10,294 | 10,914 | 11,656 | |||||||||||||||||||
53 | Lease liabilities | 136 | 65 | 23,445 | 25,255 | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
54 | Deferred tax liabilities | - | 446 | 3,156 | 3,156 | 3,156 | 3,156 | |||||||||||||||||||
55 | Total non-current liabilities | 22,225 | 24,255 | 55,257 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
56 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
57 | Total liabilities | 40,410 | 47,672 | 97,621 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
58 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
59 | Net assets | 154,291 | 219,114 | 279,298 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
60 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
61 | Issued capital | 151,932 | 206,628 | 248,823 | 248,823 | 248,823 | 248,823 | |||||||||||||||||||
62 | Share-based payment reserve | 2,640 | 5,075 | 8,106 | 10,449 | 13,298 | 16,787 | |||||||||||||||||||
63 | Option reserve | 409 | 409 | - | - | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||
64 | Accumulated profit | (692) | 7,002 | 22,369 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
65 | Total equity | 154,289 | 219,114 | 279,298 | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
66 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
67 | Check | 2 | - | - | #REF! | #REF! | #REF! | |||||||||||||||||||
68 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
69 | Statement of cash flows (reference) | 30 June 2023 | 30 June 2024 | 30 June 2025 | 30 June 2026 | 30 June 2027 | 30 June 2028 | |||||||||||||||||||
99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | Projections | 30 June 2023 | 30 June 2024 | 30 June 2025 | 30 June 2026 | 30 June 2027 | 30 June 2028 | |||||||||||||||||||
101 | Assumptions and drivers | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
102 | Revenue growth rate | 43.68% | 5.01% | 24.34% | 24.34% | 24.34% | ||||||||||||||||||||
103 | Gross margin proportion | 29.57% | 37.81% | 44.55% | 37.31% | 37.31% | 37.31% | |||||||||||||||||||
104 | Corporate and administration proportion of sales revenue | 4.29% | 3.86% | 4.67% | 4.27% | 4.27% | 4.27% | |||||||||||||||||||
105 | Exploration and evaluation expense proportion of sales revenue | 4.29% | 3.66% | 7.04% | 5.00% | 5.00% | 5.00% | |||||||||||||||||||
106 | Share-based payment expense proportion of sales revenue | 1.61% | 1.46% | 1.71% | 1.59% | 1.59% | 1.59% | |||||||||||||||||||
107 | Other income proportion of sales revenue | 0.06% | 0.06% | 2.27% | 0.79% | 0.79% | 0.79% | |||||||||||||||||||
108 | Effective tax rate | -18.75% | -31.24% | -18.59% | -22.86% | -22.86% | -22.86% | |||||||||||||||||||
109 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
110 | Projections | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
111 | Sales revenue | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
112 | Historical sales revenue | 125,635 | 180,515 | 189,554 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
113 | Projected sales revenue growth rate | 24.34% | 24.34% | 24.34% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
114 | Projected sales revenue | 189,554 | 235,700 | 293,080 | 364,429 | |||||||||||||||||||||
115 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
116 | Cost of sales | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
117 | Cost of sales | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
118 | Mine operating costs | 80,746 | 102,593 | 94,997 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
119 | Royalty and transport costs | 7,741 | 9,671 | 10,113 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
120 | Total cost of sales | 88,487 | 112,264 | 105,110 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
121 | Check | - | - | - | ||||||||||||||||||||||
122 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
123 | Mine operating costs proportion of sales revenue | 64.27% | 56.83% | 50.12% | 50.12% | 50.12% | 50.12% | Obvious downward trend, revenue increasing more than costs given copper price | ||||||||||||||||||
124 | Royalty and transport costs proportion of sales revenue | 6.16% | 5.36% | 5.34% | 5.62% | 5.62% | 5.62% | |||||||||||||||||||
125 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
126 | Projected mine operating costs | 94,997 | 118,124 | 146,880 | 182,637 | |||||||||||||||||||||
127 | Projected royalty and transport costs | 10,113 | 13,242 | 16,465 | 20,474 | |||||||||||||||||||||
128 | Projected total cost of sales | 105,110 | 131,366 | 163,345 | 203,111 | |||||||||||||||||||||
129 |