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1 | Sept. 19-23, 2024, Washington Post-Univeristy of Maryland poll of 1,012 Maryland likely voters with an error margin of +/- 3.5 percentage points. * = <0.5% | Likely voters | Maryland regions | Gender | Party registration | Ideology | Age | Education | Race/Ethnicity | Senate vote choice | Presidential vote choice | Validated 2020 voters - voter file record | 2020 vote | Say each is "extremely important" in Senate choice | Registered Democrats by ideology | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Likely voters | Montgomery County | Prince George's County | Central Md. | Baltimore City | **NET Rest of Maryland** | Eastern Shore/ Southern Md. | Male | Female | Registered Democrat | Registered Republican | Independent/Other | Liberal | Moderate | Conservative | Age 18-39 | Age 40-64 | Age 65+ | **NET No college degree** | High school or less | Some college | **NET College graduate** | Bachelor's degree | Post-graduate | White | **NET Non-White** | Black | Angela Alsobrooks, the Democrat | Larry Hogan, the Republican | Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, the Democrats | Donald Trump and JD Vance, the Republicans | Voted according to record | No record of voting | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | The economy | Immigration | Abortion | Health care | Protecting American democracy | Crime and safety | U.S. policy on the Israel-Gaza war | Liberal Democrats | Moderate/Conservative Democrats | |||
3 | Q2. If the 2024 presidential election were being held today, for whom would you vote? Who would you lean toward? | Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, the Democrats | 63% | 69% | 77% | 60% | 78% | 46% | 48% | 58% | 66% | 85% | 14% | 60% | 92% | 72% | 21% | 67% | 58% | 64% | 56% | 54% | 58% | 69% | 64% | 75% | 54% | 74% | 83% | 97% | 26% | 100% | 0% | 63% | 61% | 94% | 4% | 50% | 36% | 83% | 72% | 72% | 52% | 58% | 95% | 79% | |
4 | Donald Trump and JD Vance, the Republicans | 31% | 25% | 15% | 32% | 12% | 50% | 49% | 35% | 28% | 9% | 83% | 27% | 4% | 22% | 73% | 26% | 35% | 32% | 36% | 38% | 34% | 26% | 29% | 22% | 40% | 17% | 7% | 1% | 65% | 0% | 100% | 31% | 31% | 2% | 92% | 42% | 58% | 12% | 20% | 24% | 41% | 34% | 2% | 16% | ||
5 | Jill Stein and Butch Ware, of the Green Party | 1% | * | 2% | * | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | * | * | 2% | 2% | 1% | * | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
6 | Chase Oliver and Mike ter Maat of the Libertarian Party | 1% | * | * | 1% | * | 0% | 0% | 1% | * | 0% | 1% | 2% | * | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | * | * | * | * | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | * | * | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | * | * | 1% | * | * | 0% | * | * | * | 0% | 0% | 0% | ||
7 | (VOL) Someone else | * | 1% | 0% | 0% | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 1% | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 0% | * | 0% | 0% | * | * | 0% | 0% | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 0% | * | ||
8 | (VOL) Would not vote | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | * | * | * | * | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
9 | No opinion/Skipped | 4% | 4% | 5% | 6% | * | 2% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||
10 | Q3. If the only candidates were (Kamala Harris and Tim Walz, the Democrats) and (Donald Trump and JD Vance, the Republicans), for whom would you vote? | Harris | 64% | 69% | 81% | 61% | 79% | 46% | 48% | 59% | 68% | 86% | 14% | 62% | 93% | 73% | 22% | 68% | 59% | 65% | 58% | 56% | 59% | 70% | 65% | 75% | 55% | 76% | 85% | 98% | 26% | 100% | 0% | 65% | 61% | 95% | 4% | 51% | 37% | 85% | 74% | 72% | 54% | 60% | 96% | 80% | |
11 | Trump | 32% | 26% | 16% | 33% | 14% | 51% | 49% | 36% | 28% | 9% | 85% | 29% | 4% | 23% | 74% | 26% | 36% | 33% | 37% | 39% | 35% | 26% | 30% | 22% | 41% | 19% | 9% | 1% | 66% | 0% | 100% | 32% | 33% | 2% | 94% | 44% | 59% | 13% | 21% | 25% | 41% | 35% | 2% | 16% | ||
12 | (VOL) Someone else | * | * | 0% | * | 0% | * | 0% | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 0% | * | * | 0% | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 0% | * | 0% | 0% | * | 0% | * | 0% | * | * | * | * | * | * | * | 0% | * | ||
13 | (VOL) Would not vote | 1% | * | * | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | * | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | * | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 0% | 0% | * | 2% | * | * | * | * | * | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | 0% | ||
14 | No opinion/Skipped | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 4% | ||
15 | Q4. Now, turning to the U.S. Senate election in Maryland, if the 2024 election for the U.S. Senate were being held today, would you vote for (Angela Alsobrooks, the Democrat), (Larry Hogan, the Republican) or Mike Scott, the Libertarian? Which one are you leaning toward? | Angela Alsobrooks, the Democrat | 51% | 59% | 72% | 47% | 62% | 35% | 36% | 50% | 53% | 76% | 8% | 40% | 82% | 56% | 17% | 50% | 48% | 58% | 47% | 46% | 48% | 56% | 52% | 59% | 40% | 67% | 77% | 100% | 0% | 80% | 2% | 52% | 50% | 78% | 2% | 40% | 30% | 70% | 60% | 60% | 43% | 50% | 90% | 67% | |
16 | Larry Hogan, the Republican | 40% | 33% | 23% | 44% | 30% | 54% | 54% | 42% | 39% | 18% | 84% | 48% | 13% | 37% | 74% | 40% | 42% | 38% | 42% | 40% | 45% | 38% | 39% | 37% | 51% | 25% | 15% | 0% | 100% | 17% | 84% | 39% | 42% | 17% | 84% | 50% | 58% | 25% | 32% | 34% | 48% | 39% | 6% | 26% | ||
17 | Mike Scott, the Libertarian | 3% | 2% | * | 2% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | * | 0% | 0% | * | 8% | 3% | 3% | * | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | * | 2% | ||
18 | (VOL) Other | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | * | * | * | 1% | * | * | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | * | 1% | 0% | 0% | * | 1% | 1% | * | * | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | 0% | * | ||
19 | (VOL) Would not vote | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 1% | * | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | * | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | * | * | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
20 | No opinion/Skipped | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ||