ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ
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MEMPELAJARI MODEL DINAMIKA POPULASI DAN LEDAKAN POPULASI
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Panduan:
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1) Jangan mengubah apapun pada sel berwarna merah
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2) Lakukan perubahan HANYA pada sel berwarna hijau
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Parameter
Dinamila Populasi
No ourbreaksOccasionalOutbreak
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URL: http://www.gypsymoth.ento.vt.edu/~sharov/PopEcol/lec13/model.html
r1111
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Model of the Spruce Budworm:
dN/dt = r*N*(1-N/K) - alpha*N^2/(1+ beta*N^2) + N*noise
K1000100010001000
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alpha0,50,50,50,4
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TimeN(t)N'(t)N(t+0.5)N'(t+0.5)NoiseNN'beta0,040,040,040,04
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00,10,09499199920,10474960,099254794980,368139009700noise range0,30,30,70,3
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0,10,12096964980,11364246840,12665177320,11862053950,28912854190,50,3759876238time step0,10,10,10,1
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0,20,14332443730,13304138070,14997650630,1387176467-0,366335387410,5182307692
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0,30,1414447580,13142944050,148016230,13704951050,44958683611,50,4656399083
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0,40,17422721940,15903770860,18217910480,16557330380,0465479800220,271862069
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0,50,19321752730,17454152140,20194460340,1815462190,47380541412,5-0,00625
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0,60,23883640240,21032287550,24935254610,21827915030,32537387733-0,3178235294
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0,70,28397765530,24370500630,29616290560,25237229140,037607023153,5-0,622988255
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0,80,31241875070,26370820290,32560416080,27271295530,00074208407024-0,8940487805
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0,90,33975959850,28219115670,35386915630,29144429790,26061228774,5-1,114172652
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10,39546768620,31760009080,41134769070,3271437925-0,49857884665-1,275
Phase plots
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1,10,36903051860,30117148270,38408909270,3106120684-0,38358785535,5-1,374141403
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1,20,35762503790,29387478930,37231877730,3032517180,37097813616-1,41304918
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1,30,42775153070,33674757890,44458890960,34633685550,030223103766,5-1,395409851
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1,40,46626360990,35828245240,48417773250,36781818560,34542695117-1,326027027
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1,50,55136343360,4008847480,5714076710,4099324466-0,44042144797,5-1,210096154
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1,60,51950699370,38573457460,53879372250,3950202056-0,059696820498-1,052764045
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1,70,54970513960,40011948740,56971111390,40918108670,16584085388,5-0,8588823907
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1,80,61797231910,42951844650,63944824150,43788239590,2944089649-0,6328867925
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1,90,71634153580,46441623030,73956234730,47139420490,47957204739,5-0,3787532538
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20,86654216930,5012916510,89160675190,50558027510,364657755310-0,1
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2,11,0118975940,51904917321,0378500520,520452384-0,28373264510,50,2002860444
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2,20,97781031780,51640726841,0036306810,5184922540,0574963214110,5194109589
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2,31,0465256920,52080556821,072565970,5215206096-0,461039807411,50,855031399
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2,40,9539307520,51400858860,97963118140,51657155090,4909205234121,205112426
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2,51,1460791620,52080003231,1721191640,51959717480,422190492912,51,567887931
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2,61,3431979980,50002280541,3681991380,4955457568-0,3911081285131,941824742
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2,71,2351518770,51469807631,2608867810,51190821310,132364322713,52,325590772
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2,81,3353897110,50133971331,3604566960,4969744042-0,3031154754142,718027149
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2,91,2636539650,51158149351,289233040,50831850070,190314098814,53,11812407
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31,3866331650,49199355481,4112328420,4869266605-0,3186419361153,525
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3,11,3027739880,50641534831,3280947550,50253472490,463718397615,53,937883836
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3,21,534263540,4562133081,5570742060,44957860180,2232882638164,356099644
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3,31,6819963130,40841535441,7024170810,40094877340,393900804316,54,779053616
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3,41,9208531010,30958316041,9363322590,302381514-0,3492402301175,20622293
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3,51,7498394980,38285793321,7689823950,37526620960,290471205617,55,637146226
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3,61,9398495160,30073290651,9548861610,29363466420,4104079535186,071415473
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3,72,2080518830,16325478132,2162146220,1587523068-0,171505751218,56,508668993
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3,82,1103190350,2158293752,1211105040,21015141770,472705405196,948585492
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3,92,4306019410,035402065672,4323720440,03434846811-0,490310435119,57,390878933
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42,0765119390,23339840572,0881818590,2273718058-0,3996503024207,835294118
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4,11,8502855320,34126372981,8673487190,3337812039-0,241968928420,58,281602892
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4,21,749350170,38304984761,7685026630,3754584477-0,4909145721218,729600858
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4,31,5292615680,45763013181,5521430750,45103682670,32058974121,59,179104541
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4,41,7214449220,39381451991,7411356480,3862554710,2210633071229,629948919
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4,51,8742349610,33072875181,8907713990,32332305760,249249992422,510,08198529
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4,62,0467131820,24859927492,0591431460,2422918098-0,33468499172310,53507942
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4,71,8654411070,33462347991,8821722810,32718734270,413845389423,510,9891099
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4,82,1297611020,20557613912,1400399090,20011264960,22923236742411,44396672
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4,92,2962354210,11379583252,3019252130,1105458619-0,0887508991324,511,89955008
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52,246152120,14210298012,2532572690,1381209580,24834571582512,35576923
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5,12,4273108920,037359656332,4291788750,036248745750,0100898006525,512,81254156
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5,22,4382830920,03082659052,4398244210,02990736421-0,34342206862613,26979173
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5,32,1900657610,17311775252,1987216490,16838121430,23223896126,513,72745093
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5,42,3594894620,07730213322,3633545680,075047370810,35101849972714,18545623
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5,52,615461534-0,076877591862,611617655-0,0745042655-0,40164853427,514,64375
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5,62,292862220,11571939432,298648190,11241849650,4777459412815,10227936
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5,72,632725756-0,08755291952,62834811-0,08484359904-0,0630162560628,515,56099574
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5,82,57447004-0,051639716672,571888054-0,050055569190,37008862192916,0198545
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5,92,855299104-0,22678307662,84395995-0,2196474359-0,0902687271929,516,47881451
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62,756011095-0,16440011952,747791089-0,15924978990,39783128873016,93783784
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6,13,06901435-0,36107708543,050960496-0,34978072520,17611800330,517,39688949
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6,23,196188881-0,44012447523,174182657-0,42652372340,47326033413117,85593712
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6,33,607325334-0,68477155093,573086756-0,66524954530,00245089396731,518,31495079
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6,43,543452731-0,64820856713,511042303-0,62942292080,44372452163218,77390276
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6,53,952205499-0,87014629653,908698184-0,8479867316-0,0975273933332,519,23276734
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6,63,751772336-0,76502548463,713521062-0,74411869510,44482746243319,69152065
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6,74,178027877-0,97885211744,129085271-0,956219330,33147158633,520,1501405
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6,84,497875202-1,1133591974,442207242-1,0916639230,43584963953420,60860627
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6,94,976827995-1,2689086994,91338256-1,2515492890,489737526234,521,06689873
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75,582874895-1,3846761965,513641086-1,3759891640,36002354223521,525
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7,16,048265898-1,4137413335,977578831-1,4125483750,32920345135,521,98289336
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7,26,504344062-1,3950224666,434592939-1,400768271-0,48450565893622,44056321
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7,35,418849783-1,3622177535,350738896-1,350973181-0,49476411736,522,89799498
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7,44,479436737-1,106254964,424123989-1,084458152-0,035056787443723,35517504
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7,54,323880523-1,043121694,271724439-1,0206936530,333394760337,523,81209061
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7,64,654278891-1,1703299184,595762395-1,149707996-0,092182857953824,26872975
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7,74,410594673-1,0790165444,356643845-1,056889834-0,438722322438,524,72508123
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7,83,724397788-0,75008965953,686893305-0,7294147650,47190409743925,18113454
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7,94,178723884-0,97917016994,129765376-0,95653743-0,335887649339,525,63687979
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83,661995618-0,71555737053,62621775-0,69546478630,01174825244026,09230769
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8,13,605355754-0,6836534973,57117308-0,66415308470,338507778440,526,54740951
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8,23,905072736-0,84612320743,862766576-0,8241874267-0,28062353734127,00217702
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8,33,493897396-0,61942474973,462926158-0,60126068330,27379333141,527,45660248
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8,43,720753069-0,7480911243,683348513-0,7274481938-0,27461595564227,91067859
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8,53,341474802-0,52884789423,315032407-0,51285440020,199857798942,528,36439846
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8,63,490535302-0,61745930133,459662337-0,59933895960,29111571614328,8177556
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8,73,735446311-0,75613376343,697639623-0,7353635352-0,327330725243,529,27074387
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8,83,295092052-0,50074493343,270054806-0,4854837338-0,36089192984429,72335747