ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ
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MEMPELAJARI MODEL DINAMIKA POPULASI DAN LEDAKAN POPULASI
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Panduan:
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1) Jangan mengubah apapun pada sel berwarna merah
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2) Lakukan perubahan HANYA pada sel berwarna hijau
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Parameter
Dinamila Populasi
No ourbreaksOccasionalOutbreak
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URL: http://www.gypsymoth.ento.vt.edu/~sharov/PopEcol/lec13/model.html
r1111
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Model of the Spruce Budworm:
dN/dt = r*N*(1-N/K) - alpha*N^2/(1+ beta*N^2) + N*noise
K1000100010001000
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alpha0,50,50,50,4
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TimeN(t)N'(t)N(t+0.5)N'(t+0.5)NoiseNN'beta0,040,040,040,04
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00,10,09499199920,10474960,09925479498-0,165638492200noise range0,30,30,70,3
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0,10,10495632470,099439819750,10992831570,1038770334-0,48421965390,50,3759876238time step0,10,10,10,1
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0,20,10009745350,09507969090,1048514380,09934594841-0,232863778510,5182307692
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0,30,1030393270,097722411910,10792544760,1020925608-0,21534550581,50,4656399083
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0,40,10659186620,10090217210,11163697490,1053962098-0,337026644420,271862069
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0,50,10635419750,10068983640,11138868930,10517563920,23207901852,5-0,00625
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0,60,12427653480,11654352940,13010371130,1216290230,46332124863-0,3178235294
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0,70,15371342490,14188704350,1608077770,1478657074-0,27988702973,5-0,622988255
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0,80,15559327740,14347614460,16276708470,1495080525-0,36938382044-0,8940487805
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0,90,15330199090,14153877520,16037892970,1475057259-0,14611981584,5-1,114172652
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10,16133242590,14830585710,16874771880,15449754560,17719787975-1,275
Phase plots
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1,10,18535850960,168168840,19376695160,1749847414-0,46022059135,5-1,374141403
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1,20,17726524290,161542060,18534234590,16815567-0,41008521196-1,41304918
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1,30,17227265350,15742163670,18014373530,16390643590,025126854846,5-1,395409851
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1,40,18996189810,17190905690,19855735090,1788364528-0,0085575571447-1,326027027
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1,50,20735786040,18585313380,21665051710,1931788363-0,25265185287,5-1,210096154
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1,60,21095893970,18870214010,22039404670,19610580150,46920174058-1,052764045
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1,70,26026421040,22641926260,27158517350,23474064810,30526085768,5-0,8588823907
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1,80,3075728180,26035601020,32059061850,2693090706-0,0057015109679-0,6328867925
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1,90,33397763620,27834328730,34789480050,2875499312-0,19373861939,5-0,3787532538
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20,34332131940,28454524630,35754858180,29382545-0,155253351810-0,1
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2,10,35671332880,29328606780,37137763220,3026573966-0,402203325710,50,2002860444
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2,20,34393768230,28495137180,35818525090,29423613720,3661403085110,5194109589
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2,30,41114013070,32702061780,42749116160,33659716080,268930702311,50,855031399
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2,40,4779703080,36454843160,49619772960,37404600890,2537892396121,205112426
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2,50,55176602520,40107014750,57181953260,410114447-0,179194981712,51,567887931
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2,60,56311535910,40623465230,58342709170,41517926050,1561351955131,941824742
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2,70,63100992320,43464612110,65274222920,44284986040,0191608503213,52,325590772
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2,80,67892211520,45216586020,70153040820,45971641920,191155545142,718027149
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2,90,76382767520,47818050420,78773670040,48436622290,326783577614,53,11812407
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30,88714619960,50485516080,91238895770,50874265280,1746941573153,525
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3,10,98451424220,51699915031,01036420,51894990420,090818656815,53,937883836
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3,21,0632329110,52132358161,089299090,5217093985-0,2003801101164,356099644
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3,31,0514886320,52098167651,0775377160,52159869350,154586217216,54,779053616
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3,41,1524121970,52055241151,1784398170,51923196920,3229086391175,20622293
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3,51,315972550,50444456611,3411947780,50036437510,0541109256517,55,637146226
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3,61,3873715350,49184687921,4119638790,48677043490,2378074618186,071415473
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3,71,535026770,45599590991,5578265650,4493549612-0,0724710615418,56,508668993
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3,81,546588760,45266356891,5692219390,4459304852-0,01807156828196,948585492
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3,91,5827970230,44176061311,6048850540,43476870860,145404841419,57,390878933
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41,6953177990,40356702061,715496150,3960630801-0,4106841905207,835294118
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4,11,5260520420,45853196831,548978640,45196567560,0994846117220,58,281602892
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4,21,6167942180,43089394721,6383389150,4237004592-0,2067558344218,729600858
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4,31,5588797730,4490413811,5813318420,44221537180,157345391721,59,179104541
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4,41,6766860740,41032428161,6972022880,4028743378-0,03713423812229,629948919
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4,51,698294770,40247200311,718418370,39496056930,294725038722,510,08198529
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4,61,8879498240,32459416831,9041795330,31724108570,2750950452310,53507942
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4,72,0754836260,23392749142,087180,2278907809-0,396906135623,510,9891099
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4,81,8511410480,34089134441,8681856150,33341123140,12567556032411,44396672
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4,91,9542751280,29392468681,9689713620,2869126558-0,312536586924,511,89955008
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51,799731650,36273517481,8178684090,35515423570,24073071992512,35576923
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5,11,9652222820,28870867731,9796577160,2817664478-0,178167385825,512,81254156
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5,21,8883573720,32441075891,904577910,3170593349-0,38911536072613,26979173
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5,31,6996266470,40198074061,7197256840,3944660556-0,27650400126,513,72745093
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5,41,5980871830,43694764971,6199345650,429860091-0,088985923862714,18545623
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5,51,5984110120,43684439551,6202532320,4297548991-0,497749230827,514,64375
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5,61,4027041470,48872527421,427140410,4834542237-0,25526404192815,10227936
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5,71,343631590,49994853631,3686290170,4954653327-0,000962941578328,515,56099574
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5,81,3927899720,49076022981,4173279830,4856142038-0,05314130322916,0198545
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5,91,419146990,48521816861,4434078980,4797463775-0,433453361429,516,47881451
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61,2825814180,5092089861,3080418670,5056424030,45035949093016,93783784
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6,11,5064324720,46392027561,5296284860,4575266699-0,219213828830,517,39688949
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6,21,453115890,47745888211,4769888340,47159911930,3662540843117,85593712
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6,31,6599386910,41625503851,6807514430,40886408030,479552385131,518,31495079
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6,41,9396333670,30083434941,9546750840,29373486550,0023810673473218,77390276
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6,51,9703923720,28623062811,9847039040,27932266710,476462707932,519,23276734
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6,62,2799701850,12304887972,2861226290,11955545540,45613783253319,69152065
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6,72,603919928-0,069755477852,600432154-0,06760564195-0,174093184233,520,1501405
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6,82,461161950,017145357672,4620192180,016631225760,130214933420,60860627
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6,92,558969082-0,042139818372,556862091-0,040850515230,346487399234,521,06689873
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72,820879193-0,2051292032,810622733-0,19868118190,34113308023521,525
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7,13,089699637-0,37400065663,070999604-0,36231834020,432773002935,521,98289336
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7,23,45460938-0,59636101053,424791329-0,5787199631-0,0022201231263622,44056321
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7,33,394436486-0,56064584753,366404194-0,543855727-0,114813954536,522,89799498
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7,43,223132311-0,45672440783,20029609-0,4426587472-0,17082331183723,35517504
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7,53,013690595-0,32641793632,997369698-0,31617167060,40641705437,523,81209061
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7,63,349518004-0,53369764943,322833122-0,5175804006-0,37648747793824,26872975
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7,72,919444489-0,26716402252,906086287-0,2587547313-0,40616379538,524,72508123
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7,82,53783722-0,029231263232,536375656-0,02834033582-0,48167839023925,18113454
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7,92,1682767820,18495634812,1775245990,17994666930,198035134839,525,63687979
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82,3150899440,10300074582,3202399820,10003955770,246933984026,09230769
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8,12,496596212-0,0041914639992,496386639-0,0040647682790,318072603240,526,54740951
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8,22,734419392-0,1508781292,726875486-0,1461588974-0,080495256144127,00217702
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8,32,653771166-0,10059952972,648741189-0,097478150490,217536066641,527,45660248
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8,42,817210633-0,20282257732,807069504-0,1964479344-0,0033415051564227,91067859
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8,52,794741723-0,18870239962,785306603-0,1827773455-0,0713876855742,528,36439846
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8,62,716610945-0,1397424392,709623823-0,1353779977-0,47317077164328,8177556
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8,72,3174468760,10164620732,3225291870,09872160261-0,426443033143,529,27074387
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8,82,0308413140,25658255912,0436704420,2501359139-0,030383907714429,72335747