ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ
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MEMPELAJARI MODEL DINAMIKA POPULASI DAN LEDAKAN POPULASI
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Panduan:
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1) Jangan mengubah apapun pada sel berwarna merah
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2) Lakukan perubahan HANYA pada sel berwarna hijau
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Parameter
Dinamila Populasi
No ourbreaksOccasionalOutbreak
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URL: http://www.gypsymoth.ento.vt.edu/~sharov/PopEcol/lec13/model.html
r1111
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Model of the Spruce Budworm:
dN/dt = r*N*(1-N/K) - alpha*N^2/(1+ beta*N^2) + N*noise
K1000100010001000
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alpha0,50,50,50,4
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TimeN(t)N'(t)N(t+0.5)N'(t+0.5)NoiseNN'beta0,040,040,040,04
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00,10,09499199920,10474960,099254794980,105326765300noise range0,30,30,70,3
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0,10,11308528250,10668162280,11841936360,11139769840,22344291960,50,3759876238time step0,10,10,10,1
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0,20,1318054840,12310780050,1379608740,12843247920,155790930210,5182307692
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0,30,15080896160,13942488260,15778020570,145320397-0,44683789681,50,4656399083
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0,40,14512485350,13458204480,15185395580,1403117093-0,0861226821920,271862069
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0,50,1554064620,14331838090,1625723810,14934501760,14922378232,5-0,00625
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0,60,17729806580,1615690670,18537651910,16818351360,18374567553-0,3178235294
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0,70,2038897430,18309716390,21304460120,19034633890,16764740143,5-0,622988255
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0,80,23317885250,20599729030,24347871710,2138486129-0,042991556254-0,8940487805
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0,90,25155629730,21993261780,26255292820,2281117508-0,22012063724,5-1,114172652
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10,25775565260,22455827250,26898356630,23283952920,19352569575-1,275
Phase plots
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1,10,29600430820,25226041840,30861732910,26108049880,036006556945,5-1,374141403
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1,20,32530978680,27251377230,33893547550,28164469840,0021371817896-1,41304918
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1,30,35368283050,29132336640,36824899880,3006755317-0,22025155676,5-1,395409851
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1,40,36038062550,29564925640,37516308830,3050426478-0,21980794267-1,326027027
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1,50,36712053310,2999583640,38211845130,30938911020,47729714377,5-1,210096154
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1,60,45062711870,34970971530,46811260450,35928077930,22674256198-1,052764045
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1,70,51720810080,38460450530,53643832610,3939048606-0,42027654388,5-0,8588823907
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1,80,4913874570,37157009860,50996596190,3810120080,27743577219-0,6328867925
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1,90,57038719530,40948082470,59086123660,4183577005-0,07056746219,5-0,3787532538
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20,60014773230,42225660940,62126056280,4308263315-0,0990893891710-0,1
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2,10,62538988380,43245477260,64701262250,440728550,296795136110,50,2002860444
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2,20,72514654150,46711813110,74850244810,4739543668-0,2185433804110,5194109589
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2,30,72499918530,46707347670,74835285910,473912105-0,476520234611,50,855031399
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2,40,66874736120,44861848930,69117828570,45631572940,3285126774121,205112426
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2,50,780286530,48249177910,80441111890,4883883158-0,087822632612,51,567887931
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2,60,80856731640,48935371830,83303500230,4947385320,2910956382131,941824742
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2,70,92865229530,51097086490,95420083850,51403826630,474475198513,52,325590772
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2,81,1122428670,52162807891,1383242710,5210636648-0,191599326142,718027149
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2,91,1004177380,52171886951,1265036810,5213812529-0,206141931314,53,11812407
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31,0845031920,52167679241,1105870320,5216470271-0,2563289446153,525
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3,11,0532710270,52104033061,0793230440,5216221879-0,478423432415,53,937883836
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3,20,95426038380,51404480140,97996262390,51660117170,07719720222164,356099644
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3,31,0280203710,5199822421,0540194830,5210642376-0,33006981716,54,779053616
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3,40,97833124560,51645453611,0041539720,51852909050,3792872662175,20622293
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3,51,141504730,52096082551,1675527710,5198432951-0,250997132217,55,637146226
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3,61,1075347350,52167664131,1336185670,5212023157-0,4482955049186,071415473
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3,71,0107041140,51897206781,0366527170,5203990999-0,414186060118,56,508668993
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3,80,93715815730,51205062180,96276068840,51494857030,1759570034196,948585492
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3,91,0381228770,5204643711,0641460950,5213457720,124096478819,57,390878933
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41,1289056720,52132498331,1549719210,5204441062-0,2983490405207,835294118
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4,11,0799077050,52162936051,1059891730,52168900590,211490175720,58,281602892
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4,21,2005935670,51772852471,2264799930,51553621920,06369706824218,729600858
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4,31,2750894760,51017673331,3005983130,5067292733-0,0000258372116421,59,179104541
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4,41,325752520,50291114871,3508980770,49868607070,0524399181229,629948919
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4,51,3964778330,49001030821,4209783480,48481742850,104121635922,510,08198529
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4,61,4885806430,46863497691,5120123920,46240969810,24782837612310,53507942
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4,71,645495370,42125930921,6665583350,4139271632-0,352382735323,510,9891099
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4,81,5129348380,46215829451,5360427530,4557060211-0,35724017812411,44396672
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4,91,3963611070,49003417221,4208628160,48484276920,176947320824,511,89955008
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51,5189700910,46050171171,5419951770,45399625670,25003128192512,35576923
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5,11,6783067280,40974312991,6987938850,402288003-0,394116657125,512,81254156
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5,21,5201009370,46018905251,543110390,45367376920,2433611132613,26979173
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5,31,6764483510,41040942021,6969688220,4029602445-0,322907161326,513,72745093
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5,41,5543432220,45038782651,5768626140,44359551160,21027764482714,18545623
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5,51,6967558630,40303858291,7169077920,39553098370,267805142527,514,64375
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5,61,8726289450,33144231491,8892010610,32403086840,2809998722815,10227936
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5,72,062894580,24037876352,0749135180,23422068440,432947224628,515,56099574
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5,82,3542539930,080351936582,358271590,0780120279-0,41641895572916,0198545
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5,92,0679483990,23779473072,0798381360,2316848377-0,34232526229,516,47881451
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61,878743590,32872014321,8951795970,32133105620,20549392063016,93783784
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6,12,0266978110,25865341342,0396304820,2521716472-0,00398527462230,517,39688949
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6,22,0494918920,24719343212,0618515630,2409110856-0,38742255183117,85593712
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6,31,8353771870,3477053781,8527624560,3401847768-0,204205595231,518,31495079
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6,41,7569573770,38005416571,7759600850,3724586801-0,011967948983218,77390276
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6,51,7878950920,36760728231,8062754560,360015966-0,427342161432,519,23276734
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6,61,5946838030,43802952671,6165852790,4309625546-0,13973168523319,69152065
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6,71,5709317020,44541068271,5932022360,43849860550,396407766133,520,1501405
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6,81,801600420,36196048311,8196984450,3543816245-0,4546772293420,60860627
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6,91,5912945770,43910090061,6132496220,43205483090,317905778934,521,06689873
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71,7862645820,36827370331,8046782680,3606813372-0,35317113293521,525
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7,11,633075590,4254794681,6543495640,4182037691-0,100791843935,521,98289336
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7,21,6255157570,42801026791,6469162710,42077158390,14686386293622,44056321
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7,31,7392117730,38700182981,7585618640,3794190238-0,353490075936,522,89799498
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7,41,5927154450,43865247831,6146480680,43159759690,45020430463723,35517504
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7,51,8509894090,34095737071,8680372770,3334768283-0,00404630911937,523,81209061
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7,61,8820901890,32722409561,8984513940,3198477720,28155986533824,26872975
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7,72,0730512840,23517770322,084810170,2291171953-0,29431364138,524,72508123
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7,81,9129248220,31323748291,9285866970,30599611880,20228744263925,18113454
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7,92,0596126350,24205263082,0717152670,2358636477-0,118898687639,525,63687979
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82,0097334280,26707371072,0230871140,26045345560,035109123314026,09230769
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8,12,0569467680,24340983732,0691172590,23719597730,0494927365240,526,54740951
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8,22,1112075430,21536313852,12197570,2096947632-0,05920902984127,00217702
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8,32,0946762540,22400043782,1058762760,21815727160,429005241541,527,45660248
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8,42,3860801090,061735850652,3891669010,05992075596-0,23897164474227,91067859
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8,52,2210105380,15609940782,2288155080,1517702577-0,143455089542,528,36439846
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8,62,1406029840,19981251832,150593610,19447293670,46149837814328,8177556
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8,72,4564157190,01998990182,4574152140,01939114990,380107346143,529,27074387
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8,82,738465332-0,15341029682,730794817-0,1486103527-0,28412291124429,72335747