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WeekHomeAwayBase Home Win Probability
Slimmed Home Win Probability
Base Predicted WinnerSlimmed Predicted Winner
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10Texas StateJames Madison53.12%43.51%Texas StateJames Madison
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10Kennesaw StateUTEP83.48%81.34%Kennesaw StateKennesaw State
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10Middle TennesseeJacksonville State22.25%20.95%Jacksonville StateJacksonville State
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10Missouri StateFlorida International82.33%83.35%Missouri StateMissouri State
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10Coastal CarolinaMarshall34.86%35.69%MarshallMarshall
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10UTSATulane37.75%48.92%TulaneTulane
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10RiceMemphis15.93%11.59%MemphisMemphis
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10SyracuseNorth Carolina63.33%61.74%SyracuseSyracuse
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10Louisiana TechSam Houston98.28%97.75%Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech
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10BaylorUCF54.06%45.07%BaylorUCF
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10HoustonWest Virginia93.64%95.21%HoustonHouston
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10Air ForceArmy26.19%34.77%ArmyArmy
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10UConnUAB92.78%88.46%UConnUConn
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10TexasVanderbilt78.76%78.38%TexasTexas
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10Bowling GreenBuffalo57.69%56.60%Bowling GreenBowling Green
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10North TexasNavy79.65%80.70%North TexasNorth Texas
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10IllinoisRutgers75.47%75.44%IllinoisIllinois
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10ClemsonDuke61.87%53.22%ClemsonClemson
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10SMUMiami39.88%33.29%MiamiMiami
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10Ohio StatePenn State90.98%86.19%Ohio StateOhio State
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10Iowa StateArizona State61.00%66.06%Iowa StateIowa State
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10TempleEast Carolina73.26%69.29%TempleTemple
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10UNLVNew Mexico84.24%77.13%UNLVUNLV
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10Virginia TechLouisville12.54%15.72%LouisvilleLouisville
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10Boise StateFresno State93.84%94.11%Boise StateBoise State
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10StanfordPittsburgh5.48%4.66%PittsburghPittsburgh
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10Boston CollegeNotre Dame1.63%1.61%Notre DameNotre Dame
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10MinnesotaMichigan State77.48%78.29%MinnesotaMinnesota
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10UL MonroeOld Dominion16.16%13.94%Old DominionOld Dominion
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10LibertyDelaware64.62%58.13%LibertyLiberty
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10Western KentuckyNew Mexico State82.18%78.88%Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
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10MarylandIndiana37.22%34.87%IndianaIndiana
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10Kansas StateTexas Tech39.88%34.54%Texas TechTexas Tech
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10South AlabamaLouisiana61.54%60.45%South AlabamaSouth Alabama
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10CaliforniaVirginia37.18%35.29%VirginiaVirginia
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10ArkansasMississippi State52.96%54.78%ArkansasArkansas
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10KansasOklahoma State94.99%95.68%KansasKansas
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10Western MichiganCentral Michigan69.59%71.12%Western MichiganWestern Michigan
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10ColoradoArizona38.68%40.39%ArizonaArizona
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10Ole MissSouth Carolina82.07%82.53%Ole MissOle Miss
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10San Diego StateWyoming94.27%92.44%San Diego StateSan Diego State
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10MichiganPurdue96.51%96.11%MichiganMichigan
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10TennesseeOklahoma68.51%67.16%TennesseeTennessee
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10NC StateGeorgia Tech30.88%33.61%Georgia TechGeorgia Tech
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10AuburnKentucky91.28%90.22%AuburnAuburn
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10Florida StateWake Forest71.68%76.49%Florida StateFlorida State
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10NebraskaUSC71.82%64.30%NebraskaNebraska
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10Oregon StateWashington State17.65%18.54%Washington StateWashington State
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10TroyArkansas State83.55%82.56%TroyTroy
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10UtahCincinnati82.23%78.46%UtahUtah
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10San José StateHawai'i26.91%27.73%Hawai'iHawai'i
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