Races to Support - 2018 Congress
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PREDICTIONPRIMARYDISTRICT
MAIN CHALLENGER
CHALLENGER 2CHALLENGER 3ANALYSISNOTES
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4Solidly Republican6/5AL-2Tabitha IsnerAudri Scott Williamshttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/AL/2/No idea here - just not a lot of information about the candidates. Will keep tabs.
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4Solidly Republican6/5CA-1Audrey Denneyhttps://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/CA/1/Georgetown grad and attorney.
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4Solidly Republican8/28FL-16David ShapiroJan Schneider http://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/FL/16/Shapiro is a good shot for FL-16. He's well known in the area, well connected, and has some momentum behind him. Jan Schneider got crushed in 2016 by the incumbant, but her outspoken nature vs. Trump might bolster her this time. Will watch this race.
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3Likely Republican3/20IL 13
Betsy Dirksen Londrigan
Erik Joneshttps://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/IL/13/The dem race is close here, no clear challengers.
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3Likely Republican5/8NC-9Dan McCreadyhttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/NC/9/Another Marine. Outraising the incumbent. Good shot here too.
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3Likely Republican6/5MThttps://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/MT/AL/
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3Likely Republican6/12VA-5Leslie Cockburnhttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/VA/5/
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3Likely Republican9/11NY-24Dana Balterhttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/NY/24/Fundraising is even-steven here.
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3Likely Republican9/11NY-23Tracy Mitranohttps://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/NY/23/Tracy.
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Likely/Lean Republican
8/28FL-18Lauren BaerPam Keithhttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/FL/18/Tough district - incumbant is a purple heart Army vet who lost limbs in Afghanistan. Pam Keith is a Navy vet herself, and Lauren an Obama administration official. Not sure who is the clear challenger yet but will watch.
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Likely/Lean Republican
5/15PA-16Ronald DiNicolahttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/PA/16/Former Marine
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1Lean Republican3/20IL-6Sean Castenhttps://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/IL/6/Casten
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1Lean Republican5/15NE-2Kara EastmanBrad Ashfordhttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/NE/2/Brad is a former Congressman (for the same district), and Kara is a non-profit exec. They are both raising money, and the DCCC hasn't yet favored one.
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0.5
Lean/Tossup Republican
6/12ME-2Jared Goldenhttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/ME/2/Interview @ Great Slate
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0.5
Lean/Tossup Republican
3/6TX-32Colin AllredLillian Salernohttps://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/TX/32/Former NFL player, now attorney.
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0Tossup5/22KY-6Amy McGrathhttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/KY/6/LT. Colonel in the Marines. Viral videos. Raising lots of money. Real shot to oust a 3rd term R congressperson.
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0Tossup9/11NY-22Anthony Brindisihttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/NY/22/Biology professor. Outraised R incumbant (2x!!) last quarter.
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0Tossup9/11NY-19Antonio DelgadoJeff Bealshttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/NY/19/Lots of people in this race, but Beals is a former CIA, diplomat, and now teacher, and presently seems to be the frontrunner here.
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0Tossup3/20IL-12Brendan Kellyhttps://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/IL/12/Kelly is a vet and attorney and seems to be the foredrawn conclusion for democratic candidates.
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0Tossup3/6TX-23Gina Ortiz Joneshttps://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/TX/23/Gina is now the clear front-runner here/ Gina's a lesbian BU grad and airforce vet who served in iraq.
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0Tossup6/26CO-6Jason Crowhttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/CO/6/Jason is a former Army Ranger, endorsed by Gabby Giffords and the DCCC. Safe bet to put money here.
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0Lean Republican8/28FL-26
Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
Steve Smithhttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/FL/26/Ecuadorian immigrant, life long public servant (mostly working for charities and non profits.) She's being endorsed by many democrats in congress and looks to be the front-runner. Has a weak spot in that her residency in the district is in sloppy (rental property, etc.) - Steve is an Army vet. Think Debie will end up at the front on this, but not 100% clear yet.
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0TossupCA-39Gil Cisneroshttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/CA/39/Navy vet
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0TossupCA-48Harley Roudahttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/CA/48/
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0TossupIA-3Cindy Axnehttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/IA/3/
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0TossupKS-3Sharice Davids
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0TossupMI-16Haley Stevens
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0TossupMN-1Dan FeehanArmy Vet
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0TossupMN-2Angie Craig
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0TossupMN-8Joe Radinovich
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0TossupNJ-3Andy Kim
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0WA-8Dino Rossi
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-1Lean Democratic6/5NJ-11Mikie SherrillTamara Harrishttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/NJ/11/Mikie is a former Navy pilot and federal prosecutor, as well as mother of 4. Tamara has a less clear past. Both have been raising a lot of money. I think Mikie has the best shot here, but not sure yet. GREAT chance to unseat a long sitting R seat.
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-1Lean Democratic6/12VA-10Jennifer WextonDan HelmerJennifer Wextonhttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/VA/10/HUGE field of democrats, bbig money being thrown in here on both sides. Helmer is an Army Vet, Alison a single mom, Jennifer an Attorney and legislator, all have lots of cash right now, and there are like 5 others competing so who knows. Will watch.
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-1Lean Democratic8/28FL-27Donna Shalalahttp://media.cq.com/electionguide/house/FL/27/José is a Cuban-American state legislator with a track record of winning contested elections. Field is crowded right now, however, so not defining him as a "Clear Challenger" just yet.
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TO GIVE TO ALL OF THESE CANDIDATES WITH ONE DONATION:
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https://secure.actblue.com/donate/bluefrontrunners
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It is basically a mutual fund for the above challengers
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Only includes clear challengers
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WORK IN PROGRESS - Check back periodically
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PRIMARY DATES:
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http://www.ncsl.org/research/elections-and-campaigns/2018-state-primary-election-dates.aspx
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