ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ
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DeSart Model:
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RESULTij = 1.028* (RESULTij-1) + 0.593 * (POLLSj) + 2.835 * (HOME STATEi) - 1.066 * (CONSECUTIVE TERMSj) - 31.118
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Prior result coefficient:1.028Constant:-31.118
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Poll coefficient:0.593
Home state coefficient:
2.835
Consecutive terms coefficient:
-1.066
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Poll average:49.78617188Home state:0Consecutive terms:1
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(Both Trump and Biden were on ballot in previous race)
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Biden total:241Trump total:297
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