ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAMANAOAPAQARASATAUAVAWAXAYAZBABBBC
1
NationalAKAZCOFLGAIAKSMEME-02MIMNMTNE-02NVNHNCOHPASCTXUTVAWI
2
Forecasterd probEC MoVMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoVd probMoV
3
ModelersModels (avg):86.07172.808.8610.72-8.3664.662.5195.8112.8475.064.2955.631.0244.28-1.042.31-13.1097.2613.3659.561.8188.137.9889.548.507.21-10.7469.793.7784.747.1588.478.0365.312.6644.28-0.9683.216.5312.36-7.6745.23-0.925.92-15.0295.7111.5481.226.12
4
Models (median): 87.29156.008.3210.62-8.5065.102.2097.9012.6079.604.9050.500.3244.70-1.492.70-13.6097.0012.3057.551.7290.407.7093.308.604.85-11.0668.543.3789.507.8090.938.2060.401.4043.60-0.8086.106.008.60-8.2043.70-1.830.20-18.1897.3010.8081.196.30
5
OurProgress81.31986.817.10-9.8756.501.7885.408.2652.100.8550.500.3244.70-1.493.30-11.7096.0010.9954.801.4380.207.0883.007.7210.30-9.3549.90-0.0877.606.4880.507.0753.201.0649.60-0.0871.305.068.60-9.5443.70-1.830.10-18.1894.609.5870.604.95
6
The Economist911568.26.5-8.465.12.298.912.679.64.446.4-0.636.5-20.5-14.697.51190.47.2948.61.2-12.691.4892.88.260.41.443.6-0.886.166.7-8.231.7-2.60.2-18.497.310.887.36.4
7
JHK Forecasts87.291568.4310.62-9.1473.73.6897.1312.4682.55.1147.53-0.3252.590.411.74-13.996.0212.351.840.392.758.3493.39.384.85-11.0661.872.0490.918.9590.938.870.332.9343.3-1.0189.847.16.51-9.1931.23-2.790.18-20.9397.7411.9181.195.35
8
LeanTossup972221217.9-5.9784.799.715.985.96.277.44.539.5-1.62.7-11.799.817.471.33.5959.693.89.617.6-5.792.28.489.57.892.58.889.57.449.1-0.2949.218.8-5.2723.425.2-4.799.716.489.27.6
9
Plural Vote73.7813211.5-8.5500.297.91575.24.956.31.248.1-0.53.3-13.69715.160.3282.37.783.67.22.1-1575.24.774.34.585.67.353.10.535.8-2.774.85.321.2-6.247.5-0.83.9-12.989.2977.86.3
10
11
MarketsPredictIt64757.5021-5.20621.91887.79591.4140-1.6039-1.7712-7.82856.7844-0.96754.29805.4217-6.23733.88825.93764.50560.9343-1.12733.8815-6.8136-2.2710-8.62898.18703.31
12
Betfair61.5
13
Augur
14
15
Polls538 Polling8.28733.869713.16825.9142-1.2643-1.116-10.81898.04887.6410-8.46846.49919.23621.9147-0.52846.5611-8.08530.5310-8.759410.68867
16
RCP Polling73.57488.017.834.46-2.741.47-1.589.548.473.57475.044.362.56259.531.586.897.483.716.4
17
CBS Battleground Tracker26.55-473.58496.521373.58473.58437.58-29.16-985.69782.27690.8993.51-1392.791085.69762.57243.73-178.23517.83-650.08026.55-495.551273.584Verbal LabelVerbal ProbsInferred MoV
18
19
HandicappersHandicappers (avg):12.18-9.9555.731.0286.279.5855.731.0237.00-2.2434.45-2.665.55-12.9691.7311.8146.40-0.6069.453.3775.365.1112.55-10.3755.801.6774.094.4264.642.4848.36-0.2839.36-1.8566.272.755.55-12.9635.27-2.439.09-10.6586.279.5860.641.82
20
Cook Political15-6.8150-0.01856.78682.9450-0.0132-2.9715-6.81856.7850-0.01682.94682.9415-6.81682.94856.78682.9450-0.0132-2.97682.9415-6.8132-2.9715-6.81856.78682.94Safe R2-15.26
21
Crystal Ball15-6.8150-0.01856.7850-0.0132-2.9732-2.9715-6.81856.7832-2.97682.94682.9415-6.8150-0.01682.94682.9450-0.0132-2.97682.9415-6.8132-2.9715-6.81856.7850-0.01Likely R15-6.81
22
Inside Elections15-6.81601.589815.24601.5850-0.0140-1.615-6.819815.2450-0.01682.94856.7832-2.97601.58856.78682.9450-0.0140-1.6682.9415-6.8132-2.9715-6.819815.24601.58Leans R32-2.97
23
CNalysis67.22-15.2650-0.019815.2432-2.9715-6.8115-6.812-15.269815.24682.94856.782-15.26856.78682.9432-2.9715-6.81682.942-15.2632-2.972-15.269815.2450-0.01
24
Niskanen Center2-15.26682.949815.24682.9450-0.0150-0.012-15.269815.2450-0.01856.78856.7832-2.9750-0.01856.78856.7850-0.0150-0.01856.782-15.2650-0.012-15.269815.24682.94Toss-up50-0.01
25
Politico2-15.2650-0.01682.9450-0.0132-2.9732-2.972-15.26856.7850-0.01682.94682.942-15.2650-0.01682.94682.9450-0.0132-2.97682.942-15.2632-2.9715-6.81682.9450-0.01Leans D682.94
26
CNN2-15.2650-0.01682.9450-0.0132-2.9732-2.972-15.269815.2432-2.9750-0.01682.942-15.2632-2.97682.94682.9450-0.0132-2.9750-0.012-15.2632-2.972-15.26682.9450-0.01Likely D856.78
27
NPR2-15.2650-0.01682.9450-0.0132-2.9732-2.972-15.269815.2450-0.01682.94682.942-15.2632-2.9750-0.0150-0.0150-0.0150-0.0150-0.012-15.2632-2.972-15.26682.9450-0.01Safe D9815.24
28
PEC9932-2.97856.789815.24856.7832-2.9750-0.012-15.269815.24682.94856.789815.242-15.269815.24856.7832-2.9750-0.01682.94682.942-15.2650-0.0115-6.819815.24856.78Tilts D601.58
29
US News15-6.8150-0.01856.7850-0.0132-2.9732-2.972-15.26682.9432-2.97682.94682.942-15.2650-0.01682.94682.9450-0.0150-0.01682.942-15.2632-2.9715-6.81856.78682.94Tilts R40-1.6
30
ABC32-2.9750-0.019815.2450-0.0150-0.0132-2.972-15.269815.2450-0.01682.94682.9432-2.97682.94682.94682.9450-0.0132-2.97682.942-15.2632-2.972-15.269815.24682.94
31
32
8/1 Contest Entrants (avg):84.15153.077.5316.44-7.3472.383.0294.0111.0968.392.9743.63-0.8538.30-2.139.73-10.0389.379.0648.78-0.2285.187.1589.748.1013.59-8.4165.792.2786.866.6084.476.3062.861.9644.12-0.9683.125.9011.57-7.3638.84-1.978.15-11.6691.599.9377.704.82Entry time:
33
8/1 Contest Entrants (median):
87.42144.507.3011.50-6.2074.003.0099.0011.0067.002.3044.00-1.0037.00-2.255.00-10.0090.738.6050.000.2088.137.1094.008.007.75-7.8569.003.0090.006.7787.006.0060.001.8042.00-1.1585.016.008.50-7.1637.00-2.013.00-10.0098.0010.0078.505.00
34
@PoliticalKiwi962741132-4938991476863332-214-689819-6888961112-109811999948846530931012-56529-139915726
2020/07/24 8:38:15 PM AST
35
@tenpointmatt1-10011-201-399101-41-61-41-119955011-19941-1430-109955011-21-61-31-101-81-201-7502
2020/07/25 11:00:17 AM AST
36
@daves_00851628.3530-3803.57956.39701.37551.2740-0.8720-2.48854.5840-2.84855.44956.87552.16754.67853.69957.36581.3945-1.25855.7325-2.95500.0910-3.25957.58632.42
2020/07/25 11:10:48 AM AST
37
@LouisTheJoyce9912981-99939911994.51-21-41-79961-4991199141-12993999996993.51-399121-81-31-69910995
2020/07/25 11:45:01 AM AST
38
@themb_mazi951663.8930-5773.45998.89671.935-2.245-1.55-1385127558010986.53-11603.3955742.5500.140-270220-9.336-51-209012707
2020/07/25 11:55:53 AM AST
39
@pete_monahan_JD821666.420-77529510501450.537-210-118810500.580488613-11754.5876.5823.5642.8400.8843.7515-638-210-109812745
2020/07/25 12:30:44 PM AST
40
@revolutionsky821327.98-11611.8914.2652.348-0.842-2.46-8.9713.9612.1863.6884.518-7.7642.4763.1865592.140-3.1723.811-7.440-3.94-4.9886.7784.4
2020/07/25 12:49:38 PM AST
41
@TuckLeg841709.79-4.7893.59910.4742.3540.543-0.71-9.9995.717-5.2917.39911.627-4.7671.99912.7994804.347-1.3996.71-12.345-0.091-199911863
2020/07/25 1:48:43 PM AST
42
@ssupak80286930-3805951670860255115-5901225-4808.5901130-2706809708654603758.515-5500.510-78510656.5
2020/07/25 3:52:07 PM AST
43
@Jack_Lund29416492-10752.5981280545-120-2.52-1296815-59589691.5-147039379166016029278-635-21-189811927
2020/07/25 4:02:57 PM AST
44
@spreekaway781001115-5663971268760230-218-485730-58510921222-665583580764435-380815-745-210-149814654
2020/07/25 4:03:27 PM AST
45
@WV_Law871378.7515-9744867673.525-222-48-1165645-180790810-1355280780965340-1.5823.7510-920-61-258511655
2020/07/25 4:03:41 PM AST
46
@briankgolden861988.2222-4.4703.49816.9784.6561.938-1.311-8.6898.145-0.5928.99410.318-6.7734.2865.4835.2683.1521.2846.48-7.937-0.810-8.59811.2796.1
2020/07/25 4:41:36 PM AST
47
@tinderella958669906.311-9632951157236-332-48-1088827-58068698-1216-1084781644-134-479614-1035-39-129410632
2020/07/25 5:22:56 PM AST
48
@Carnitastaco962389.0925-485490970360235-320-490820-6858951414-68069910981165435-3931116-65518-89913826
2020/07/25 5:46:53 PM AST
49
@jmizzle36952009.55-58039912804550.535-32-129812752958991310-98059559568025519872-830-21-269910904
2020/07/25 5:53:10 PM AST
50
@tartjesus89132710-11540.5991270435-335-35-1490955298698815-835-298896552140-2754.58-1035-2.52-12999654
2020/07/25 6:14:14 PM AST
51
@calcrisk79851005.88-12601.4997550.835-2.512-98-12702.51-10754905.51-1570299670349-0.515-67551-1130-1.51-15999652
2020/07/25 7:18:29 PM AST
52
@schludinho871026.715-4.2632.79514.3724.738-0.731-2.33-11.3928.7601.8878.59310.67-11.1736.3744.3826.842-0.537-1.2866.413-7.623-3.85-8.69611.3837.1
2020/07/25 11:02:34 PM AST
53
@CharlesHwang20831106.91-289911991939-250-139-81-1599151-69999951-18693991190939-219-1290111-2239-31-239919603
2020/07/26 12:30:45 AM AST
54
@AlexAnd43897280993971220-589699178678157544-999208679916991630-3951099139712918918991321-470337-299209812
2020/07/26 7:22:40 AM AST
55
@Talophex86866.212-96949610581.127-434-1.811-6918.548-0.2875935.57-15693.5898877.545-145-0.58578-618-5.513-6958836
2020/07/26 6:51:04 PM AST
56
@BasefromPI85496.0135-685785849-0.935-349-0.545-290949-0.985885445-1.540-1.9602805653.5500.585445-1.537-1.2706855510.9
2020/07/27 8:54:10 AM AST
57
ANONYMOUS - NPE85100628-8653901255235-230-618-1490925-180590815-10705877.5786601.839-4.687810-939-310-159510.5672.7
2020/07/27 10:01:29 AM AST
58
@weirdmonkey9395100740-270399960345233-320-785965-69589991-365785590665140-380620-635-210-5999756
2020/07/27 1:09:12 PM AST
59
@AIBetsPredictit851747.822-6.2783.79910.8753.2550.530-5.13-9.7905.9591.6895.6948.221-8.6764.2907.1885.1662.437-2.3863.718-6.248-0.35-12.6999.8843.6
2020/07/27 5:54:12 PM AST
60
@pjhurray991132.85-530-299860215-425-31-109065029069061-121-1885570351140-29965-810-51-13906552
2020/07/27 8:01:58 PM AST
61
@deadmoney_pi80986.6610-8754951050125-530-55-960345-1.5806951110-635-490875730-455280710-620-55-109915705
2020/07/27 9:16:35 PM AST
62
@StockJabber994002099199109915991599109921-29915993991499101-7991299169916991299799151-39981-399199916
2020/07/27 9:56:48 PM AST
63
@iSavage_PI891647.319-7.5843.9998.1551.5511.539-415-12956.847-4857.6947.25-11801.5956.5853.959346-3.1813.99-9.844-2.55-12998824.9
2020/07/27 11:56:41 PM AST
64
@CMSinatra9927610.61-6.2995.69916.3996.9993.543-0.61-14.49913.1991.8999999.51-9998.89910.99912.3994.3991.4998.81-5.8991.11-7.39914.8997.6
2020/07/28 1:48:16 AM AST
65
@HeimoRS47-621.6211-2450-2.580760240-114-84-179067-14662.8580.33-1662127-256150-123-1650.5211-1012-86-20708701
2020/07/28 2:57:32 AM AST
66
@treb_1901806.6125-3.14692.74958.36651.9249-0.1235-2.410-11.39010.345-0.49744.13806.355-16.8249-0.23856.31755.68550.69550.09853.745-8.6345-1.865-9.6956.3652.3
2020/07/28 3:32:40 AM AST
67
@tonkatimedfs991687.851-6.2994.69913.2995.41-4.21-4.31-6.4994.11-2.1998.1999.51-3.2991.1997.6995.43997.4992.1995.871-8.751-3.61-3.5998.87994.3
2020/07/28 7:08:58 AM AST
68
@WillRippey87.241627.1212-6.38763.899412.69733.82530.635-4.336-9.5887.523-4.2818.74917.675-8.9877.615.05868.6766.3460.542.7331-1.52807.35-9.2733.33-2.023-20.579611.76776.37
2020/07/28 3:22:54 PM AST
69
@piprincehal912769.128-3.9774.59912.6836.2682.640-1.415-7.99810.4553.1948.59410.124-6.5857.8907.9887.3745.2602.1908.118-7.7531.114-9.49913.2875.9
2020/07/28 5:18:07 PM AST
70
@AceSocialist90178910-7.6723.59916856.5643.2622.61-119911.89911.2947.29611.21-9.41-12.2968.3967.4724.6641.691.26.718-4.822-2.41-149911.8928.4
2020/07/28 6:08:25 PM AST
71
@seslund199987.31-4.5752.3997.5752.115-3.3602.21-13995.540-1.5994.49961-22550.5902.199635-3.140-2994.71-7.525-4.51-9996.6802.2
2020/07/28 8:45:43 PM AST
72
@Altamish24821245.9510-6703951265265240-1.510-109011602808901015-865465475645-140-1.580625-735-425-6807705
2020/07/28 11:06:41 PM AST
73
ANONYMOUS - NPE87.61448.510.9-7.675.24.197.112.582.94.951.90.953.32.51.9-12.496.414.552.30.292.99.193.211.35.2-9.562.42.790.99.589.110.170.83.644.1-0.290.28.36.9-7.232.6-41-22.697.612.481.86.3
2020/07/29 12:31:12 AM AST
74
@zachc99053851207.515-6652991270540-145-0.51-119910551.58079081-8655655806.5551.545-0.575715-6.540-11-109010756
2020/07/29 1:17:16 AM AST
75
@obamoracle45-461.155-14.8740-3.43754.3248-0.730-4.2820-8.433-21.87644.8940-2.1645-0.52571.213-22.7442-1.29581.32520.3238-3.7821-7.84561.937-11.3423-7.341-20.48808.2345-1.23
2020/07/29 1:39:05 AM AST
76
@anthonyoneil_991647.11-49949913993990.51-41-11991299299799111-4995997997.59931-39971-41-21-8.59912997
2020/07/29 2:36:27 AM AST
77
@JermaineKearsed992025.061-6.8992.4996.3992.02992.03992.031-3.3996.54995.53995.2994.871-3.91-7.34996.13995.97993.07992.53995.781-4.79992.211-5.87998.33995.65
2020/07/29 8:42:44 AM AST
78
@GarrettfromIowa40-1501.525-545-2.575430-2.540-1.2535-235-5.545-0.825-5.5802.2753.520-5.580848-135-3.5501.140-0.535-2.5652.540-242-3.548-137-2.6
2020/07/29 9:54:35 AM AST
79
ANONYMOUS - NPE68-2-1.425-1045-270850-0.545-240-535-8681045-1.555160340-650-260268450-340-750-235-945-340-860750-0.8
2020/07/29 10:23:43 AM AST
80
@ConradElliott1701007.530-755-1851255135-340-220-97510602684851430-655178676850-135-467520-732-420-58810656
2020/07/29 10:32:50 AM AST
81
@mercierbrett991548.21-8601.49912.881546-0.637-1.81-14991145-3.2997998.81-12.245-4998997.8621.845-0.8866.21-832-2.61-18.29911996.4
2020/07/29 11:46:47 AM AST
82
@Slade3666625-811.783-1628-2.599725-418-4.63-131-23803.510-1227-16521-2420-450240-122-43-928-11-1516-81-3075524-2
2020/07/29 1:18:42 PM AST
83
@mikeyfranz991797.31-9994991299444-339-529-12991945-1998991256299899119989949959981-736-61-179989915
2020/07/29 2:29:32 PM AST
84
@ArmenianBacon901688.911-7724991672442-139-25-12971260290995108-860387892965442-190815-738-21-159912908
2020/07/29 4:03:50 PM AST
85
@benweissbo992169.255-7953.759914952.555125-11-11998500.599109941-6995999998994652995.51-71-21-5999994
2020/07/29 8:14:35 PM AST
86
@KH_in_KC9914512.513-3994991252147-25711-59912994997991315-799399599599575299715-435-11-69910995
2020/07/29 10:27:45 PM AST
87
@m777z9916371-799399129921-21-41-79961-19979981-59919959949931-39951-61-41-8996993
2020/07/29 11:47:40 PM AST
88
@alwayslookeye991327.41-7.87049910.5602.830-228-3.81-13999.550-199999101-7996.4997.8996.8601.538-3997.51-830-31-10999.8995.6
2020/07/30 12:41:18 AM AST
89
@plantbased849928811.5145-2996.5997997703.58531-10998995991065438-5853998998996954.599835-27021-4997997.5
2020/07/30 2:33:05 AM AST
90
@bagley20142001.115-450-1.3599835-0.215-215-11-10998.530-0.88654.59971-785385599335-11-1992.81-2.981-0.791-6.5995500
2020/07/30 5:23:23 AM AST
91
@PIHillBelichick891124.0125-3991.9998.2602.71-2.1702.21-149915401908.69951-7.6999993.6994751.150-29941-8.66011-9.39910994
2020/07/30 11:01:10 AM AST
92
@profess123485985.551-9.15601.359910.55651.7525-2.2525-2.251-18.959912.340-2.55956.5997.71-9.545-0.5997.5997.535-1.3525-2.25993.751-11.251-3.751-229910.5803.5
2020/07/30 11:57:56 AM AST
93
@idubois4741305.7112-8.75581.25908.25611.7539-1.7536-2.254-13.75877.2541-2754.25815.57-11.5725825.75805.2556136-2.257348-10.2532-3.256-16.75908.25713.5
2020/07/30 1:11:59 PM AST
94
@Popinski1922028.545-1.57539710753500.545-0.520-6958755958971025-640-19710906804601.59275-840-25-79711855
2020/07/30 1:46:22 PM AST
95
@goodjobtommypi991366.14-6643.7997.8571.942-1.937-2.11-11.5995.7501997.7997.53-7.5501994.9994.344-1.1530.7771.91-8.917-2.91-12.9998802.1
2020/07/30 2:00:27 PM AST
96
@Gandalf_of_PI802888.320-5703971370260160310-10806602804971015-1070597685460260280510-76023-259710705
2020/07/30 2:01:31 PM AST
97
@SamuelOrfield711005.7111-9.6592.18612.9561.845-3.637-5.59-10.28714.6511806.7847.115-5698.1909.1774.749-0.431-6613.35-16.139-4.48-189511.3643.8
2020/07/30 4:11:16 PM AST
98
@sameervd801306.520-5803961260240-0.535-25-8901035-38088585-875390485755240-18076-845-0.510-159715756
2020/07/30 4:35:42 PM AST
99
@Exodus2221701816.8925-1077470645-0.9441.458221-11658582.464669829-7.5604719.4655582.8463.2677.338-5.3423.14-237612627.3
2020/07/30 6:06:26 PM AST
100
@dylansh9975130435-9.15328811.1500.0947-2.145-4.134-8.4594.2511.8618.2609.723-9.4510.84628.5585.6521.846-3.4593.621-8.347-4.718-10.3689.9582.5
2020/07/30 9:21:56 PM AST