Democratic Dozen in VA
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NOPE Neighbor's Virginia DEMOCRATIC DOZEN 2019
Donate: https://secure.actblue.com/donate/nope4vadems2019
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Virginia DistrictPhotoD- Candidate *=IncumbentR-Opponent *=IncumbentFlipping or Defending the SeatVideo2017 D/R Northam/ GillespieEvery District LDI*Dem Cash on Hand 5/30/19R Cash on Hand 5/30/19Dem Cash Raised Apr-MayR Cash Raised Apr-MayCommentaryLuria Margin 2018
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House of Delegates
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128
Joshua ColePaul MildeFlip2017 Video50/5051/48-1$158.1K$7.0K$88.7K$82.9KJosh suprised experts losing this Stafford Co+ district in 2017 by only 73 votes. R incumbent Anderson lost to more extreme right opponent Milde in primary. Thus now an open seat.
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283
Nancy GuyChris Stolle*Flip43/57**50/48**6$112.0K$93.3K$46.2K$27.2KRedistricting suggests 12.4% Dem shift - VA Beach, Norfolk8.99
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385Alex AskewRocky HolcombDefend. Open seat. Was held by Cheryl Turpin (D) who is now running for State Senate.51/49**53/45**1$122.4K$34.2K$82.1K$22.3KIncumbent Turpin running for Senate. Redistricting suggests 2.7% Dem shift, VA Beach district.9
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4100
Phil HernandezRob Bloxom*Flip2019 Video - Hernandez thanks NOPE48/5253/465$151.4K$25.5K$92.3K$0.4KHernandez is energetic new candidate. Bloxom is popular on Eastern Shore, which is most voters~4.31
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566
Sheila Bynum-ColemanKirk Cox*Flip36/63**39/60**7$123.6K448.4K$79.4K$76.3KCox is current HoD speaker. Redistricting suggests 32% Dem shift in this South of Richmond district. Bynum-Coleman has run before in different district.
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627Larry BarnettRoxann Robinson*Flip2017 Video50/5051/48-2$170.1K$165.5K$70.2K$38.0KLarry only lost in 2017 by 128 votes, and is now experienced and well prepared in this increasingly blue suburban Richmond district. Early money is pivotal.
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773Rodney WillittMary KastlebergDefend. Open seat. Was held by Deborah Rodman (D) now running for State Senate.Video51/4853/457$151.3K$64.8K$86.9K$34.9KIncumbent Rodman running for Senate. Richmond suburb area somewhat bluish
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810
Wendy Gooditis*Randy MinchewDefendVideo52/4854/454$182.4K$260.20$62.7K$58.3KWendy is a very strong candidate, but former incumbent Minchew is running again. Western NOVA
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951
Hala Ayala*Rich AndersonDefendElizabeth Warren Endorses Hala Ayala53/4755/446$141.5K$131.1K$55.2K$23.3KHala defeated Anderson fairly strongly in 2017, but he is mobilized for rematch
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1021
Kelly Convirs-Fowler*Shannon KaneDefendVideo52/4756/429$81.8K$55.2K$43.4K$12.3KThis VA Beach district remains competitive. Kane is VA Beach Council member.
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VA Senate
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118
Missy Cotter SmasalBill DeSteph*FlipVideo41/5950/49-3$187.3K$193.6K$93.9K$85.0KMissy is a veteran with strong roots in Virginia Beach and is a strong challenger-3.45
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1212
Debra RodmanS. Dunnavant*Flip38/5852/47-1$233.7K$331.9K$146.8K$141.2KMostly Henrico District is trending Bluer. Rodman is giving up HoD Seat (73) to vie for this one.
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* Legislative District Index (LDI) score. This score represents the average vote in a representative statewide race within that district. We pull out any big blowouts that might skew the results. A score of 100 means that statewide Democrats average 100% of the vote and a -100 means that Republicans average 100% of the vote. For a more realistic example, a district with a score of -2 votes for Republicans in statewide elections by about a 2% margin on average.
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Many thanks to Jim Shelton / 31st Street Swing Left for compiling this data.
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