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YearQuestionResultResultCorrect answerCorrect y/nType
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2003Who is most likely to be wearing a different uniform in 2004 -- Alex Rodriguez, Nomar Garciaparra or Ken Griffey Jr.?Responses: Garciaparra 10, Griffey 3, Rodriguez 3. (One GM said Nomar and A-Rod will get traded for each other.)GarciaparraRodriguez yes; Garciaparra no; Griffey noNo1
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2003If the price was right, which shortstop would you sign, Miguel Tejada or Kaz Matsui?Responses: Tejada 13, Matsui 2.TejadaTejada, who produced nearly double the WARP in season 1 as Matsui's career totalYes2
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2003Where will Vladimir Guerrero play in 2004?Responses: Baltimore 6, Montreal 4, Yankees 3, Seattle 2, Los Angeles 1.BaltimoreAnaheimNo1
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2003Kevin Millwood or Bartolo Colon?Responses: Colon 10, Millwood 4, one tie.ColonMillwoodNo2
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2003What will Greg Maddux sign for as a free agent?Not as much as he and his agent, Scott Boras, would prefer. The estimates ranged from a low of one year at $4 million to a high of two years and $20 million.1 or 2 years at $7 million per yearThree years, $24 millionNo1
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2004Where does Adrian Beltre sign, and for how much?Responses: Seattle (4), Los Angeles (3), Don't Know (3), Detroit (2).SeattleSeattleYes1
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2004Will Billy Beane trade Tim Hudson?Yes (12), no (0).YesYesYes1
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2004Where will he (Hudson) go? Possible destinations: Los Angeles (5); Don't Know (4); Baltimore (1); St. Louis (1); Atlanta (1).DodgersAtlantaNo1
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2004Will Jason Giambi be the Yankees' Opening Day first baseman?No (10), yes (2).NoYesNo1
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2005Where will Manny Ramirez be playing on Opening Day?Boston Red Sox 10, New York Mets 4, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim 1.BostonBostonYes1
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2005Which team will sign Paul Konerko, and how much will it take?Responses: Chicago White Sox 10, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim 4, Los Angeles Dodgers 1.ChicagoChicagoYes1
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2005Will Roger Clemens return to pitch in 2006?11 say Clemens will pitch again next season, 4 say no.YesYes, but not until midseasonYes1
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2005If money were no object, which premium closer would you rather sign -- Billy Wagner or B.J. Ryan?12 for Wagner, 2 for Ryan, and one no-decision.WagnerWagnerYes2
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2005Will Rafael Palmeiro return to play in 2006?12 of those surveyed say Palmeiro is finished, while three think he'll play one more season.NoNoYes1
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2005Of the following "oldies but goodies" -- Jeff Bagwell, Mike Piazza, Sammy Sosa or Frank Thomas -- which player is most likely to have a productive, bounce-back season next year?Thomas 8, Piazza 5, Bagwell 1, one no-decision.Thomas most, Sosa leastThomas was an MVP candidate; Piazza played well; Sosa missed the season; Bagwell retiredYes2
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2006Given a choice between Barry Zito and Daisuke Matsuzaka, which free-agent pitcher do you prefer?Matsuzaka 13, Zito 5 and two undecidedMatsuzakaDaisuke probablyyes2
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2006Where do you think Barry Bonds will sign?San Francisco 15, Oakland 3, Detroit 1, Angels 1.GiantsGiantsYes1
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2006Alfonso Soriano or Carlos Lee?Soriano 19, Lee 1.SorianoSoriano, probablyYes, probably2
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2006Where will Roger Clemens be pitching in 2007, or will he retire?Houston 10, Boston 3, retire 3, Yankees 2, Rangers 1 and one undecided.AstrosYankees, midseasonNo1
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2006Which player with a no-trade clause -- Manny Ramirez, Alex Rodriguez or Pat Burrell -- is most likely to be traded?Burrell 15, Ramirez 2. Two respondents said none of the players will be moved. One undecided.BurrellNoneNo1
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2006Which "second tier" starter do you like best: Adam Eaton, Ted Lilly, Gil Meche, Vicente Padilla or Randy Wolf? Lilly 8, Padilla 6, Wolf 3, Meche 1, Eaton 1 and one undecided.LillyLillyYes2
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2007Where do you expect Alex Rodriguez to be playing next year?Los Angeles Angels, 7½; New York Mets, 3; Los Angeles Dodgers, 2½; Baltimore Orioles, 1; Florida Marlins, 1.AngelsYankees, midseasonNo1
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2007Where do you expect Barry Bonds to be in 2008?Oakland Athletics, 3; Texas Rangers, 2; Seattle, 2; Los Angeles Angels, 1; St. Louis Cardinals, 1; New York Yankees, 1; Tokyo Yomiuri Giants, 1. Three respondents predicted that Bonds will retireA's or retireRetiredBy a plurality1
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2007Who would you want in center field, Torii Hunter or Andruw Jones?Hunter, 14½; Jones, ½.HunterHunterYes2
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2007What will the Minnesota Twins do with Johan Santana? Fourteen respondents think Santana will be with Minnesota on Opening Day. One predicted he will be traded during the offseason.Keep and/or extendTradeNo1
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2007If you had to sign one of these six free-agent starters …Would you choose Bartolo Colon, Josh Fogg, Livan Hernandez, Kyle Lohse, Carlos Silva or Jeff Weaver? Silva, 4; Lohse, 4; Hernandez, 3; Colon, 3; none 1Silva and Lohse, no consensusAll were terrible. N/A2
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2008Which team will sign left-hander CC Sabathia?New York Yankees 12, Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim 1, Los Angeles Dodgers 1, "no idea" 1.YankeesYankeesYes1
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2008Which team will sign Manny Ramirez?Los Angeles Dodgers 10, New York Mets 4, New York Yankees 1.DodgersDodgersYes1
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2008Will the Padres trade pitcher Jake Peavy?13 say Peavy will be traded, 2 say no.YesNoNo1
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2008Will the Rockies trade outfielder Matt Holliday?9 say Holliday will be traded, 6 say no. Boston 1, Philadelphia 1, Washington 1, New York Mets 1, Cleveland 1, Arizona 1, and 3 "not sure."YesYesYes, but didn't get destination1
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2008Who would you rather sign to a four-year deal, Derek Lowe or A.J. Burnett? Lowe 9, Burnett 6.LoweBurnettNo2
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2008Left fielder Pat Burrell or right fielder Bobby Abreu?Burrell 8, Abreu 7.BurrellAbreuNo2
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2008Will Ken Griffey Jr. play in 2009? If so, where?14 say yes, and one says yes only on the condition that Griffey is willing to accept a reduced role.YesYesYes (also got team correct)1
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2009If money and length of contract were no object, which outfielder would you sign: Matt Holliday or Jason Bay?Holliday 11, Bay 9HollidayHollidayYes2
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2009Where will John Lackey, the top starting pitcher on the market, sign in the winter?Yankees 8, Mets 4, Angels 3. The Dodgers, Astros, Orioles and Brewers received one vote eachYankeesBostonNo1
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2009Which free agent do you most expect to be back with the Yankees in 2010 -- Andy Pettitte, Johnny Damon or Hideki Matsui?Pettitte 13, Damon 3, Matsui 2. Another opted for both Pettitte and Damon.PettittePettitteYes1
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2009Where will Aroldis Chapman sign? For how many years and how much money?Yankees 8, Red Sox 7YankeesRedsNo1
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2009Which player is most likely to be traded during the winter -- Roy Halladay, Adrian Gonzalez or Felix Hernandez?Gonzalez 9, Halladay 8, Hernandez 0GonzalezHalladayNo1
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2009Which of these late-career, Hall of Fame-caliber players could pay the most dividends on a one-year contract: John Smoltz, Randy Johnson, Ken Griffey Jr., Pedro Martinez or Jim Thome?Smoltz 9, Thome 6, Martinez 4.SmoltzSmoltz --; Johnson --; Griffey -0.8; Martinez --; Thome 3.3 No2
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2009Which player is more difficult to trade -- Milton Bradley or Vernon Wells?Wells 20, Bradley 0.WellsBoth players were traded; Bradley got a terrible contract as a return; Wells traded for value. But a year later.N/A2
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2010Which team will sign Cliff Lee? New York Yankees 11; Texas Rangers 5; Los Angeles Angels 1. YankeesPhilliesNo1
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2010If you had an outfield opening, which guy would you take: Carl Crawford or Jayson Werth?Crawford 12; Werth 5.CrawfordWerthNo2
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2010Do you think the Royals will trade Zack Greinke this winter?Yes 4; No 12. One participant said it's "50/50."NoYesNo1
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2010Which soon-to-be free agent do you think is more likely to get traded this offseason: Prince Fielder or Adrian Gonzalez?Fielder 8; Gonzalez 7; Neither one 2.FielderNeitherNo1
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2010Which aging DH has the most left in the tank: Lance Berkman, Manny Ramirez, Vlad Guerrero, Hideki Matsui, Jim Thome or Johnny Damon?Thome 5; Guerrero 4; Ramirez 4; Berkman 3; Matsui 1.ThomeBerkman 4.3; Guerrero -0.3; Ramirez -0.3; Matsui 0.6; Thome 1.4; Damon 1.5No2
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2010Which pitcher coming off arm problems would you be most interested in taking a shot on? Brandon Webb, Chris Young, Erik Bedard or Jeff Francis?Webb 6; Francis 5; Young 4. None 2.WebbWebb --; Francis 183/0.6; Young 24/0.3; Bedard 91/0.6No2
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2010Assuming Jeter signs with the Yankees, what will he get in years and dollars?The consensus is that the Yankees will sign him for three years at a total cost of $50 million to $60 million.3/$55 million3/$51 millionYes1
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2011Which 2011 free-agent signee has the best chance of rebounding next season? Adam Dunn, Carl Crawford or Jayson Werth.Responses: Crawford 22, Werth 5, Dunn 1.CrawfordDunnNo2
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2011Which 2011 September-collapse team has a better chance of making the playoffs next year: Boston or Atlanta?Responses: Boston 18, Atlanta 7. BostonAtlantaNo2
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