Regional Projections Percent Evaluation

Regional Projections Percent Evaluation : Publish


1	Evaluating the Preseason Projections			Evaluating the Final Projections
2	All Divisions Aggregate			All Divisions Aggregate
3	Projected Percent (P)	Actual Percent	Teams Given (P) Percent Chance to win Regionals	Number who actually won their Regional		Projected Percent (P)	Actual Percent	Teams Given (P) Percent Chance to win Regionals	Number who actually won their Regional
4	90 or above	93.8%	16	15	1	90 or above	88.7%	71	63	8
5	80 to 89	79.2%	24	19	5	80 to 89	87.5%	16	14	2
6	70 to 79	77.4%	31	24	7	70 to 79	80.0%	15	12	3
7	60 to 69	81.8%	33	27	6	60 to 69	88.9%	9	8	1
8	50 to 59	53.1%	32	17	15	50 to 59	50.0%	8	4	4
9	40 to 49	50.0%	38	19	19	40 to 49	46.2%	13	6	7
10	30 to 39	46.7%	60	28	32	30 to 39	48.0%	25	12	13
11	20 to 29	16.5%	91	15	76	20 to 29	15.9%	44	7	37
12	10 to 19	13.3%	150	20	130	10 to 19	12.2%	49	6	43
13	5 to 9	2.1%	141	3	138	5 to 9	5.9%	68	4	64
14	1 to 4	1.2%	410	5	405	1 to 4	2.5%	282	7	275
15	<1	0.0%	646	0	646	<1	0.0%	403	0	403
16			1672					1003
17
18	95	102.7%	84.8%	no		95	93.0%	84.5%	no	lower than 95%
19	85	91.2%	67.2%	no		85	102.2%	72.8%	no
20	75	90.2%	64.6%	no		75	98.4%	61.6%	no
21	65	95.5%	68.2%	no		65	115.0%	62.7%	no
22	55	67.6%	38.7%	yes	good	55	78.9%	21.1%	no
23	45	63.3%	36.7%	yes	good	45	68.9%	23.5%	no	good
24	35	56.8%	36.5%	yes	higher than 35	35	63.7%	32.3%	yes	good
25	25	24.0%	9.0%	yes	lower than 25	25	26.6%	5.2%	no	good
26	15	18.1%	8.5%	yes	good	15	20.6%	3.9%	no
27	7.5	5.8%	-1.5%	no		7.5	11.1%	0.6%	no
28	2.5	2.5%	0.0%	no		2.5	4.0%	1.0%	no	good

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