ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ
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ParameterModel ValuePaper Value
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intercept0.4
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log # of pages-0.263.04
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p value-25.070.000318
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log # of authors-0.670.693
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% male authors0.9100%
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dummy for interaction effects-0.770
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log citations per year0.370
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discipline: economics0.270
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discipline: social psychology-0.771
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discipline: education-0.40
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discipline: political science0.10
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discipline: sociology-0.40
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discipline: marketing0.10
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discipline: orgbeh0.10
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discipline: criminology-0.20
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discipline: other psychology-0.20
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Replication Probability:0.4800087584
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Market:https://manifold.markets/TheReplicationProject/for-this-study-published-in-nature
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Paper:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04452-3.pdf
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Model:
https://fantasticanachronism.com/2021/11/18/how-i-made-10k-predicting-which-papers-will-replicate/#Early-Steps-A-Simple-Model
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