Month 96 - Watch List: S&P 100 Companies in the Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF - June 2019
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Companies Ranked by Finance Value (Column E)TickerReward = 10-Yr Total Return/YrRisk Aversion = 2018 Total Return (S&P 500's worst year in the last 10)Finance Value = Col C + Col D5-Yr Total Return/YrDividend Yield5-Yr Div Growth/Yr3-Yr BetaP/EBMW Method: current 16-Yr CAGRBMW Method: current Px TrendBMW Method: Px loss after regression to mean from +2SDROCEWACCLT Debt: Total AssetsLT-Debt: Total CapitalTotal Debt: EBITDATBV:PxDiv:FCFS&P Bond RatingS&P Stock Rating (Stars)Px (50d avg)Shares BOTAmountNet Present Value @ 10-Yr Holding Period & 10% Discount RateGraham NumberPx (50d avg): Graham NumberPx:Book7-Yr P/EValue StockInsider ActivityMorningstar (Stars)Market Cap ($B)Dividend AchieverSCORE: Basic Quality ScreenOverpriced Stock"The 2 and 8 Club"DJCA Company
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PfizerPFE15.7%24.1%39.8%12.0%3.4%6.7%0.59218.8%up 1SD40%12.0%5.8%21%31%193%-11%55%AAB+/M (3)$41.63120$4,995.60$496.08$21.55192%3.625yesunfavorablefairly valued (4)$2393yes
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NextEra EnergyNEE17.6%15.1%32.7%18.7%2.6%11.5%0.211416.8%up 1SD26%4.4%3.8%26%37%473%33%172%A-A/L (4)$198.1125$4,952.75$4,795.63$98.30196%2.725yesfavorablefairly valued (2)$97yes4yesyes
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Cisco SystemsCSCO14.6%14.9%29.5%22.1%2.6%13.0%1.06219.3%up 2SD39%15.6%8.0%19%30%172%4%47%AA-B+/M (4)$55.1691$5,019.56$607.69$23.51233%6.133unfavorableovervalued (3)$2422.5yesyesyes
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AmgenAMGN16.0%13.2%29.2%12.0%3.1%18.9%0.971410.8%on trendline44%19.5%7.0%44%64%276%-9%33%AB+/M (3)$175.8428$4,923.52$1,963.55$70.53258%9.125favorableundervalued (4)$1122yes
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Duke EnergyDUK12.8%8.6%21.4%8.9%4.1%3.5%0.05248.6%on trendline20%4.0%2.9%34%50%608%38%neg FCFA-B+/L (3)$88.0957$5,021.13$529.79$74.81119%1.520yesunfavorablefairly valued (3)$64yes4yes
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Coca-ColaKO11.4%7.6%19.0%7.8%3.4%5.6%0.273210.6%on trendline19%17.9%3.5%30%42%406%0%111%A+B+/L (4)$49.47101$4,996.47$1,149.09$12.12392%11.531neutralovervalued (3)$218yes2.5yesyes
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IntelINTC15.2%2.7%17.9%12.2%2.4%7.0%0.49139.7%up 1SD38%20.8%5.0%20%25%83%19%39%A+B+/M (3)$48.35103$4,980.05$568.96$40.49129%3.521yesfavorableundervalued (4)$2163yes
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Procter & GamblePG11.7%5.1%16.8%10.8%2.8%3.0%0.22268.0%up 2SD17%16.4%3.6%18%25%178%-7%66%AA-A/L (4)$106.9847$5,028.06-$182.10$45.16232%4.729unfavorableovervalued (2)$275yes3yes
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Texas InstrumentsTXN21.3%-8.2%13.1%21.8%2.9%20.8%1.122113.1%up 1SD46%45.8%8.9%25%31%66%4%42%A+A/M (3)$111.3145$5,008.95$3,010.54$33.53334%12.935unfavorablefairly valued (3)$107yes2.5yesyes
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TargetTGT11.7%1.1%12.8%12.1%3.2%8.3%1.05156.8%up 1SD27%16.0%7.7%30%49%201%25%54%AB+/M (3)$80.6362$4,999.06-$239.14$52.85148%3.816yesfavorableundervalued (3)$44yes2yes
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PepsiCoPEP13.0%-3.3%9.7%11.9%2.9%7.8%0.58159.6%up 1SD19%18.7%5.5%36%60%253%-9%80%A+A-/L (4)$129.4539$5,048.55$693.36$44.89278%12.827neutralfairly valued (3)$185yes2.5yes
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SouthernSO11.3%-1.8%9.5%9.9%4.6%3.4%0.3249.0%up 1SD15%5.2%3.8%35%57%528%35%neg FCFA-B+/L (4)$53.8693$5,008.98$812.06$43.17122%2.124yesunfavorablefairly valued (3)$57yes4yes
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Johnson & JohnsonJNJ13.4%-4.8%8.6%9.2%2.6%6.3%0.69259.9%up 1SD24%17.5%6.2%18%31%108%-5%51%AAAA-/M (3)$138.8136$4,997.16$342.01$51.94266%6.230neutralfairly valued (3)$377yes3.5yesyes
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WalmartWMT11.4%-3.3%8.1%10.8%2.2%2.0%0.66468.7%up 2SD23%16.3%5.9%23%38%172%15%36%AAA-/L (4)$104.0448$4,993.92-$173.25$39.11257%4.123unfavorablefairly valued (3)$314yes2.5yesyes
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JPMorgan ChaseJPM15.2%-7.5%7.7%16.6%3.2%14.3%1.081210.5%up 2SD36%1.7%7.1%10%32%NA53%22%A-A-/L (4)$111.1345$5,000.85$1,352.94$122.3789%1.617yesfavorableundervalued (3)$3523yesyes
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ComcastCMCSA22.5%-15.2%7.3%12.4%1.9%-1.4%1.11614.2%on trendline47%8.5%7.5%43%59%372%-50%26%A-A-/M (5)$42.51118$5,016.18$2,512.47$31.33133%2.718yesunfavorableundervalued (3)$191yes2
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Lockheed-MartinLMT20.0%-15.7%4.3%20.6%2.6%10.6%1.461716.9%on trendline41%24.4%10.0%28%81%164%-14%126%A-A/M (5)$340.3115$5,104.65$5,014.08$61.93516%38.930unfavorableUNDER REVIEW$102yes2.5yes
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CaterpillarCAT18.3%-17.3%1.0%7.7%2.5%8.0%1.351410.2%on trendline39%11.7%8.9%17%29%50%58%117%AB+/M (3)$130.3738$4,954.06$1,031.52$80.81167%5.628favorableundervalued (4)$77yes3yesyes
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U.S. BancorpUSB14.0%-13.1%0.9%6.4%3.1%8.9%1.23127.2%on trendline33%2.6%8.2%7%31%NA39%26%A+A/L (4)$51.9396$4,985.28-$239.42$52.0598%1.815yesunfavorablefairly valued (3)$832yes
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PNC Financial ServicesPNC16.6%-17.2%-0.6%12.2%2.7%16.1%1.24139.2%up 1SD35%2.6%7.0%15%53%NA65%29%A-A-/M (4)$133.3637$4,934.32$852.19$155.3986%1.416yesneutralundervalued$643yes
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3MMMM14.7%-17.0%-2.3%6.6%2.8%11.0%1.2259.6%down 1SD33%26.6%8.9%37%55%159%-2%64%AA-A+/L (3)$178.0328$4,984.84$942.85$59.85329%11.327unfavorableovervalued (2)$99yes1.5yesyesyes
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Emerson ElectricEMR10.9%-13.2%-2.3%2.8%2.9%2.7%1.35207.7%on trendline26%20.9%9.9%15%23%127%-1%54%AA/M (4)$66.1076$5,023.60-$247.83$33.89204%5.323favorableundervalued (4)$41yes2
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Bank of New York MellonBK6.4%-10.8%-4.4%5.5%2.6%12.6%1.02114.2%on trendline38%1.6%8.0%8%27%NA39%25%AA-A/M (4)$46.11108$4,979.88-$1,193.39$58.6182%1.117yesfavorablefairly valued (3)$412yes
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BlackRockBLK13.8%-20.9%-7.1%10.6%3.1%11.3%1.171815.0%down 1SD35%12.8%9.1%3%11%87%1%67%AA-A/M (4)$453.6211$4,989.82$3,715.61$346.74130%2.321yesfavorableundervalued (3)$724yes
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United Parcel ServiceUPS11.3%-18.6%-7.3%2.6%3.4%7.5%1.41195.9%on trendline29%19.7%9.2%40%77%245%-3%47%A+B+/L (5)$101.8849$4,992.12-$385.03$21.80493%3027neutralfairly valued (3)$860.5yesyes
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Colgate-PalmoliveCL10.1%-18.8%-8.7%4.1%2.5%3.6%0.832711.1%down 1SD22%43.7%7.0%52%101%146%-7%55%AA-A-/L (2)$71.5970$5,011.30$1,041.45neg BVneg BVneg BV7unfavorablefairly valued (3)$62yes2.5yes
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Exxon MobilXOM4.4%-16.5%-12.1%-1.9%4.1%4.8%1.07174.6%down 1SD28%7.4%8.2%6%9%96%56%77%AA+B+/L (3)$76.5265$4,973.80-$632.49$66.43120%1.814yesfavorableundervalued (4)$324yes2yes
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Wells FargoWFC10.1%-22.4%-12.3%0.4%3.7%7.1%1.27116.7%down 1SD32%1.6%7.4%10%34%NA65%14%A-A/M (3)$46.46108$5,017.68-$106.49$63.0076%1.212yesneutralundervalued (4)$2062
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IBMIBM5.9%-22.9%-17.0%-1.4%4.5%8.1%1.68155.5%down 1SD32%15.0%9.5%29%57%265%-18%53%AA-/M (4)$136.1037$5,035.70-$99.63$63.04221%7.511unfavorableundervalued (3)$123yes1yesyes
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Averagen = 2913.5%-6.1%7.4%9.8%3.0%8.4%0.91209.6%on trendline31%14.9%7.0%24%43%226%14%59%A+A-/M (4)$116.13$4,999.24$963.21$66.76211%72214/29neutralfairly valued (3)$15418/292.610/2913/2916/29
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BENCHMARKS
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Simon Property GroupSPG17.5%2.2%19.7%3.7%4.7%10.6%0.542311.2%down 1SD39%72.1%5.1%71%82%555%6%83%AA/M (4)$170.1829$4,935.22$2,292.46$42.02423%16.933neutralfairly valued (3)$49yes2.5yes
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Berkshire HathawayBRK-B14.1%3.5%17.6%10.2%0.0%0.0%0.77199.5%on trendline25%4.9%6.9%13%20%252%47%no dividendAAB/L (3)$206.9424$4,966.56-$465.77$191.92108%1.523yesneutralundervalued (4)$5112
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SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETFDIA14.0%-3.6%10.4%10.7%2.1%9.2%0.97166.7%up 1SD27%$260.5119$4,949.69-$666.504$20
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SPDR S&P 500 ETFSPY13.8%-4.5%9.3%9.6%1.8%8.7%1186.7%up 1SD31%$287.8217$4,892.94-$774.833.3$249
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iShares S&P 100 ETFOEF13.3%-4.1%9.2%9.6%1.8%9.5%0.9918$127.793.4$5
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Vanguard Total Stock Market Index ETFVTI14.0%-5.1%8.9%9.3%1.9%9.3%1.0317$147.153$759
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Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index ETFVYM13.4%-5.9%7.5%8.0%3.1%7.8%0.8614$86.362.7$31
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Vanguard Value Index Fund ETFVTV12.9%-5.4%7.5%8.2%2.7%10.1%0.9415$109.112$75
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Vanguard Wellesley Income FundVWINX8.6%-2.6%6.0%5.3%3.0%4.7%0.6215$26.172.6$54
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Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF BND3.7%0.0%3.7%2.7%2.8%5.0%1.03NA4.0%down 1SD8%$81.5761$4,975.77-$1,387.01NA$225
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Averagen = 1012.5%-2.6%10.0%7.7%1.9%7.5%0.91197.6%on trendline26%38.5%6.0%42%51%404%27%AA-A-/M (4)$150.36$4,966.56-$200.33$116.97266%4.428neutralfairly valued (3)$1982.3
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Consumer Price Indexcpi1.8%0.3%2.1%1.6%
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Updated 7/6/2019
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