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To make this work go File -> Make a copy. This will make a copy of the spreadsheet that you own, so you'll be able to create your own scenarios. Current as of 6 Aug 2023
Success statesMedian reached?Median rolls
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0000001111TRUE101
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Edit cells of this colourn rollsState after n rollsGoal Achieved
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Level8
You have 100 gold. Buying 6 copies of a tier 4 champion will cost 24 gold. This means you can afford to roll 38 times in your search
01.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00Tier odds0.25
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Tier4
You have a 2.36% chance of finding at least 6 copies after 38 rolls
10.920.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00Champ Pool876543210
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Copies to buy6
The median number of rolls required to reach your goal is 101
20.840.150.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00Tier Pool114113112111110109108107106
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Tier 4 copies owned by everyone3030.770.210.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00Pp0.017543859650.015486725660.013392857140.011261261260.0090909090910.0068807339450.004629629630.0023364485980
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Desired champ copies owned by everyone440.700.260.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00Transition Matrix per slot
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Gold to spend10050.640.290.060.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.98245614040.0175438596500000000
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Cost of buying 6 tier 4 copies2460.590.320.080.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.0000.98451327430.015486725660000000
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Gold left to roll with7670.540.350.100.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.00000.98660714290.01339285714000000
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Rolls this will get you3880.490.370.120.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.000000.98873873870.0112612612600000
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You will find 90.450.380.140.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.0000000.99090909090.0090909090910000
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Exact Copies %Cumulative Copies %100.410.390.160.040.010.000.000.000.000.000.00000000.99311926610.006880733945000
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=03.46%>=0100.00%110.380.390.180.040.010.000.000.000.000.000.000000000.99537037040.0046296296300
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=114.41%>=196.54%120.350.390.190.050.010.000.000.000.000.000.0000000000.99766355140.0023364485980
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=226.34%>=282.12%130.320.390.210.060.010.000.000.000.000.000.000000000010
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=327.60%>=355.78%140.290.390.230.080.020.000.000.000.000.000.000000000001
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=418.15%>=428.18%150.270.380.240.090.020.000.000.000.000.000.00Transition Matrix per roll
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=57.67%>=510.03%160.240.380.250.100.020.000.000.000.000.000.000.91530504610.08206661940.0025927858480.000035346075730.00000020215099810.00000000037252235090000
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=62.03%>=62.36%170.220.370.270.110.030.000.000.000.000.000.0000.9249279020.073057235240.0019919719130.000022785759450.00000010497739010.0000000001461039495000
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=70.31%>=70.33%180.200.360.280.120.030.010.000.000.000.000.00000.93480553840.063723096970.0014578840070.000013433872780.00000004674375798000
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=80.02%>=80.02%190.190.350.290.130.040.010.000.000.000.000.000000.94494765290.054049272450.00099612605950.0000069323916190.0000000161943930800
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=90.00%>=90.00%200.170.340.290.140.040.010.000.000.000.000.0000000.95536442180.044019987480.00061272456950.0000028628176560.000000003367577780
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210.160.330.300.160.050.010.000.000.000.000.00000000.96606652880.033618569340.00031416270720.00000073913847070
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220.140.310.300.170.060.010.000.000.000.000.000000000.97706519660.0228273860.00010741744090
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230.130.300.310.180.060.010.000.000.000.000.0000000000.98837221950.011627780470
28
240.120.290.310.190.070.020.000.000.000.000.000000000010
29
250.110.280.310.200.080.020.000.000.000.000.000000000001
30
260.100.270.310.210.090.020.000.000.000.000.00
31
270.090.260.310.220.090.030.000.000.000.000.01
32
280.080.240.310.220.100.030.010.000.000.000.01
33
290.080.230.310.230.110.030.010.000.000.000.01
34
300.070.220.300.240.120.040.010.000.000.000.01
35
310.060.210.300.250.130.040.010.000.000.000.01
36
320.060.200.300.250.130.050.010.000.000.000.01
37
330.050.190.290.260.140.050.010.000.000.000.01
38
340.050.180.290.260.150.060.010.000.000.000.01
39
350.050.170.280.270.160.060.010.000.000.000.02
40
360.040.160.280.270.170.070.020.000.000.000.02
41
370.040.150.270.270.170.070.020.000.000.000.02
42
380.030.140.260.280.180.080.020.000.000.000.02
43
390.030.140.260.280.190.080.020.000.000.000.03
44
400.030.130.250.280.200.090.020.000.000.000.03
45
410.030.120.240.280.200.090.030.000.000.000.03
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420.020.110.240.280.210.100.030.010.000.000.04
47
430.020.110.230.280.220.110.030.010.000.000.04
48
440.020.100.220.280.220.110.040.010.000.000.04
49
450.020.100.220.280.230.120.040.010.000.000.05
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460.020.090.210.280.230.120.040.010.000.000.05
51
470.020.080.200.280.240.130.050.010.000.000.06
52
480.010.080.190.270.240.140.050.010.000.000.06
53
490.010.070.190.270.250.140.050.010.000.000.06
54
500.010.070.180.270.250.150.060.010.000.000.07
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510.010.070.170.260.250.160.060.010.000.000.08
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520.010.060.170.260.260.160.060.010.000.000.08
57
530.010.060.160.260.260.170.070.020.000.000.09
58
540.010.050.160.250.260.170.070.020.000.000.09
59
550.010.050.150.250.260.180.080.020.000.000.10
60
560.010.050.140.250.270.190.080.020.000.000.10
61
570.010.040.140.240.270.190.090.020.000.000.11
62
580.010.040.130.240.270.200.090.020.000.000.12
63
590.010.040.130.230.270.200.100.030.000.000.12
64
600.000.040.120.230.270.210.100.030.000.000.13
65
610.000.030.120.220.270.210.100.030.000.000.14
66
620.000.030.110.220.270.220.110.030.000.000.15
67
630.000.030.110.210.270.220.110.030.000.000.15
68
640.000.030.100.210.270.230.120.040.000.000.16
69
650.000.030.100.200.270.230.120.040.010.000.17
70
660.000.020.090.200.270.240.130.040.010.000.18
71
670.000.020.090.190.270.240.140.040.010.000.19
72
680.000.020.080.190.270.240.140.050.010.000.19
73
690.000.020.080.180.270.250.150.050.010.000.20
74
700.000.020.080.180.260.250.150.050.010.000.21
75
710.000.020.070.170.260.250.160.060.010.000.22
76
720.000.020.070.170.260.260.160.060.010.000.23
77
730.000.020.070.160.260.260.170.060.010.000.24
78
740.000.010.060.160.250.260.170.060.010.000.25
79
750.000.010.060.150.250.260.180.070.010.000.25
80
760.000.010.060.150.250.270.180.070.010.000.26
81
770.000.010.050.150.250.270.190.070.010.000.27
82
780.000.010.050.140.240.270.190.080.010.000.28
83
790.000.010.050.140.240.270.200.080.010.000.29
84
800.000.010.050.130.240.270.200.080.020.000.30
85
810.000.010.040.130.230.280.210.090.020.000.31
86
820.000.010.040.120.230.280.210.090.020.000.32
87
830.000.010.040.120.230.280.210.100.020.000.33
88
840.000.010.040.120.220.280.220.100.020.000.34
89
850.000.010.040.110.220.280.220.100.020.000.35
90
860.000.010.030.110.220.280.230.110.020.000.36
91
870.000.010.030.100.210.280.230.110.020.000.37
92
880.000.010.030.100.210.280.240.120.030.000.38
93
890.000.000.030.100.200.280.240.120.030.000.39
94
900.000.000.030.090.200.280.240.120.030.000.40
95
910.000.000.030.090.200.280.250.130.030.000.41
96
920.000.000.020.090.190.280.250.130.030.000.42
97
930.000.000.020.080.190.280.260.140.030.000.43
98
940.000.000.020.080.180.280.260.140.030.000.43
99
950.000.000.020.080.180.270.260.150.040.000.44
100
960.000.000.020.070.180.270.270.150.040.000.45