Value of toy world

	A	B	C	D
1	Description	Value (arbitrary units)	Difference from baseline	Instructions

2	baseline world	19.3T	—	just apply model
3	increase human population growth by 0.5%/year	28T	8.69T	humanPopulationGrowthPerYear now to(-0.01, 0.05) + 0.005
4	5% more economic growth per year	27.3T	7.84T	yearlyEconomicGrowth now to(-0.05, 0.1) + 0.05
5	~1% less existential risk per year if possible	23.9T	4.63T	yearlyProbabilityOfXrisk now truncateLeft(to(0.001, 0.05) - 0.01, 0)
6	halve existential risk per year	23.6T	4.28T	yearlyProbabilityOfXrisk now to(0.001, 0.05)/2
7	no existential risk	33.8T	14.5T	yearlyProbabilityOfXrisk now delta(0)
8	1% more economic growth per year	21.0T	1.46T	yearlyEconomicGrowth now to(-0.05, 0.1) + 0.01
9	one-off doubling of consumption	20.8T	1.46T	initialYearlyIncomeDistribution now 2 * to(200, 10k)
10	increase human population growth by 0.1%/year	20.7T	1.39T	humanPopulationGrowthPerYear now to(-0.01, 0.05) + 0.001
11	give $100 (adjusted with growth) to the bottom 5% per year forever	20.3T	0.99T	initialYearlyIncomeDistribution now mx(truncateRight(to(200, 10k), 200) + 100, truncateLeft(to(200, 10k), 200), [0.05, 0.95] )
12	reduce existential risk per year by 10%	20T	0.67T	yearlyProbabilityOfXrisk now to(0.001, 0.05)*0.9
13	0.1% more economic growth per year	19.6T	0.26T	yearlyEconomicGrowth now to(-0.05, 0.1) + 0.001
14	give $100 (adjusted with growth) to the bottom 1% per year forever	19.4T	0.1T	initialYearlyIncomeDistribution now mx(truncateRight(to(200, 10k), inv(to(200, 10k), 0.01)) + 100, truncateLeft(to(200, 10k), inv(to(200, 10k), 0.01)), [0.01, 0.99] )
15	give $100 to the bottom 5% for the first year as a one-off	19.4T	0.1T	initialYearlyIncomeDistribution now a function: initialYearlyIncomeDistributionFun(t) = if t<1 then mx(truncateRight(to(200, 10k), inv(to(200, 10k), 0.05)) + 100, truncateLeft(to(200, 10k), inv(to(200, 10k), 0.05)), [0.01, 0.99] ) else to(200, 10k); then change references to it when necessary.
16	0.01% more economic growth per year	~baseline	~0T	yearlyEconomicGrowth now to(-0.05, 0.1) + 0.0001
17	give $100 to the bottom 1% for the first year as a one-off	~baseline	~0T	initialYearlyIncomeDistribution now a function: initialYearlyIncomeDistributionFun(t) = if t<1 then mx(truncateRight(to(200, 10k), inv(to(200, 10k), 0.01)) + 100, truncateLeft(to(200, 10k), inv(to(200, 10k), 0.01)), [0.01, 0.99] ) else to(200, 10k); then change references to it when necessary.
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