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ASSUMPTIONSEstimate the Number of cycles in india
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-Population of India is assumed to be 140 Cr.Step 1. Dividing The Population of India into Urban-Rural
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-Children will possess more cycles as compared to adults due to recreational and commute purposes.Population Of India140
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- Adults who are eligible to drive and ride will possess a lower number of cycles due to their main purpose being fitness and commute to work. Division On the Basis of Age3-1617-3435-5051-65+
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- Richer classes have them mainly for fitness but as we go lower, the need for cycles as a mode of commute to and from from work becomes more apparent.Population %17.60%34.10%19.70%28.60%
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- Adults belonging to a higher age group and senior citizens also possess cycles mainly for fitness(for richer classes) and for commute (for lower classes).Population (in crores)24.6447.7427.5840.04
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Division On the Basis of Annual IncomeDivision On the Basis of Annual Income
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STRUCTURE<5 Lakh (52%)12.8124.8214.3420.82<5 Lakh 52%
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Total Population Of India5-15 Lakh (28%)6.9013.377.7211.215-15 Lakh 28%
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X>15 Lakh (20%)4.939.555.528.01>15 Lakh 20%
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Division On The Basis Of AgeStep 2. Calculate The No. of People willing to or required to buy a cycle on the basis of age and income
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XAge/Economic Class>15 Lakh5-15 Lakh<5 LakhTotal
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Division on The Basis OF Income3-1690%50%20%10.45
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XNumber(In Crores)4.443.452.56Cycle TypeAge Of Cycle
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%Opting for Cycles from above division17-3440%20%20%11.46Road Bikes10
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XNumber(In Crores)3.822.674.96Mountain Bikes8
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Division based on Types Of Cyles required 35-5020%15%20%5.13Cyclocross Bikes8
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=Number(In Crores)1.101.162.87BMX Bikes6
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Total Cycles In India51-65+10%5%5%2.40Kids' Bikes3
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รทNumber(In Crores)0.800.561.04
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Average Age of CyclesTotal27.03
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=Step 3. Calculate The No. of People Buying Different types of cycles depending on their age and requirement
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Total Cycles Sold In India in 1 yearCycle Type3-16 Years17-34 Years
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>15 Lakh5-15 Lakh<5 Lakh>15 Lakh5-15 Lakh<5 Lakh
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Road Bikes20%25%27%50%60%65%
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BROWNIE POINTS0.98560.86240.69189121.90961.6040643.227224
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- Yulu Bikes on metro stands or elsewhere can also be taken and their Minimum Age Limit is 13-16 yearsMountain Bikes20%12%12%17%15%13%
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- Cycles Scraped after not being in use or having anomalies can be reduced.0.887040.4139520.30750720.6492640.4010160.6454448
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Cyclocross Bikes10%10%10%17%12%10%
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SANITY CHECK0.443520.344960.2562560.6492640.32081280.496496
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Total Market share of Cycles in IndiaStatista BMX Bikes15%12%10%15%12%10%
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0.665280.4139520.2562560.572880.32081280.496496
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Kids's Bikes45%41%41%1%1%1%
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1.995841.4143361.05064960.0381920.02673440.0496496
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Cycle Type35-50 Years51-65+ YearsTotalTotal/ Avg Age
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>15 Lakh5-15 Lakh<5 Lakh>15 Lakh5-15 Lakh<5 Lakh
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Road Bikes50%65%65%60%70%70%
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0.55160.7529341.8644080.480480.3923920.72872814.05132121.40513212
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Mountain Bikes15%15%12%12%12%10%
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0.165480.1737540.34419840.0960960.06726720.1041044.25512360.53189045
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Cyclocross Bikes23%15%19%23%14%15%
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0.2537360.1737540.54498080.1841840.07847840.1561563.9025980.48782475
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BMX Bikes11%4%3%4%3%4%
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0.1213520.04633440.08604960.0320320.01681680.04164163.06990320.5116505333
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Kids's Bikes1%1%1%1%1%1%
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0.0110320.01158360.02868320.0080080.00560560.01041044.65072441.550241467
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29.92967044.48673932
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Therefore, Total No. of Cycles In India are 29.93 Cr
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