ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ
1
TabDescription
2
Derived distributions CDFsCumulative distribution functions of the derived distributions.
3
Derived distributions parametersEstimation of the parameters of distributions derived based on the data of tab "AI Timelines predictions".
4
AI Timelines predictionsQuantitative predictions for TAI mentioned in AI Timelines: Where the Arguments, and the "Experts," Stand.
5
AI expertsDerivation of the forecasts of AI experts.
6
Metaculus predictionsMetaculus predictions for the "Date of Artificial General Intelligence".
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100