Note: There may be minor discrepancies with the figures from the blog post due to corrections made since it was published (Arb is paying $5 per corrected cell to anyone who points out errors). Holden intends to revise the post if discrepancies grow to the point where the high-level take seems off, but not for minor changes that don't affect the high-level take.

The summary statistics script is on Github here

I suggest ignoring from here on - it was done for subanalysis

Correctness

Target Year

Resolution notes

Strict correct

Resolved score

tech plus resolved Imputed scores

Strictly correct and dated tech

Strict and resolved

Embarrassment

Very embarrassing

Very impressive

HK sorting metric

HK bucketing metric

Prioritize real dates >=30y out, then prioritize category relevance

Sorts by difficulty and then HK sorting metric, so we can look at one difficulty slice at a time. Groups difficulty 4-5 together b/c there were only 3 difficulty-5 q's.

In case I want to undo my sort

Now that the military has asked for, and gotten, millions of dollarsfor [...] military robots [...] we should start worrying about a higher level of values.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

almost too vague to mean anything

““smart” microphones which can distinguish between the sound of a person's voice, a cough, or the clatter of a dropped ashtray, and instantly adjust the volume accordingly.”

Built into the table are "smart" microphones, which can distinguish between the sound of a person's voice, a cough, or the clatter of a dropped ashtray, and instantly adjust the volume accordingly.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Halley Archer began antideath hormone therapy in 2002, at 92.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

By 2019, more and more of the descendants of those factory drones, like the descendants of immigrants who came to the New World, will be working at more upscale jobs: They will be undersea explorers, heavy-construction workers, crime fighters, nuclear power plant inspectors, cybernetic companions, and astronauts.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/jul/08/police-bomb-robot-explosive-killed-suspect-dallas https://www.aclu.org/news/privacy-technology/robot-police-dogs-are-here-should-we-be-worried

By 2019, more and more of the descendants of those factory drones, like the descendants of immigrants who came to the New World, will be working at more upscale jobs: They will be undersea explorers, heavy-construction workers, crime fighters, nuclear power plant inspectors, cybernetic companions, and astronauts.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Nah https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AIBO#History

“By 2019 […] the descendants of […] factory drones heavy-construction workers

By 2019, more and more of the descendants of those factory drones, like the descendants of immigrants who came to the New World, will be working at more upscale jobs: They will be undersea explorers, heavy-construction workers, crime fighters, nuclear power plant inspectors, cybernetic companions, and astronauts.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Engineering-Construction/Dam-built-by-robots-Japan-s-Obayashi-tests-it-out

“By 2019 […] the descendants of […] factory drones nuclear power plant inspectors

By 2019, more and more of the descendants of those factory drones, like the descendants of immigrants who came to the New World, will be working at more upscale jobs: They will be undersea explorers, heavy-construction workers, crime fighters, nuclear power plant inspectors, cybernetic companions, and astronauts.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

“By 2019 […] the descendants of […] factory drones” will be: undersea explorers

By 2019, more and more of the descendants of those factory drones, like the descendants of immigrants who came to the New World, will be working at more upscale jobs: They will be undersea explorers, heavy-construction workers, crime fighters, nuclear power plant inspectors, cybernetic companions, and astronauts.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2017/02/under-the-sea-3-p-o/517425/

“computer-controlled converters and decoders” allowing one to start, renew, or cancel TV subscriptions from home

the widespread use of computer-controlled converters and decoders will make it as easy to change the channels a subscriber receives as it is to buy a new magazine, perhaps even on a daily basis.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

“engineers are now working on computers that program computers. As such machines come on the market, thousands of programmers will have to retrain”

engineers are now working on computers that program computers. As such machines come on the market, thousands of programmers will have to retrain

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

in 2019, [AI will] be flirting with the beginnings of human-level abilities

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Not right but not totally wrong

in 2019, everyday passengers will sail along at Mach 2

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

“In team sports, there will be more minutes in each game and more games in each season, though […] each club will have fewer members”

In team sports, there will be more minutes in each game and more games in each season, though […] each club will have fewer members

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

“Instead of […] Nielsen ratings, pay-TV networks will measure their popularity by the daily change in their subscriber rolls”

Instead of […] Nielsen ratings, pay-TV networks will measure their popularity by the daily change in their subscriber rolls

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

“it is unlikely that IMAX will ever be used in its current form for theatrical films”

it is unlikely that IMAX will ever be used in its current form for theatrical films

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

large-scale aquaculture to […] feed the globe's exploding population

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

“near-death societies” who attempt to recreate the blissful experiences of near-death, without actually dying

Perhaps the most morbid (and dangerous!) of the necrophiliac preoccupations of the twenty-first century, however, are the near-death experience (NDE) societies [...] The practitioners use drugs, asphyxiation, and other means of almost finishing themselves off in order to feel the extraordinary "white light" and extrasomatic sensations that, in the last century, allegedly accompanied close brushes with death due to accident, heart attack, and so on.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

nearly every American home will have some kind of home video player

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

The last two decades, an era stretching from 1973 through 1993, has produced no tangible progress in space exploration.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

People who enter the hospital […] will recover far more quickly

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Actually true (UK up to 2000) https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1124147/

“some clerical and maintenance jobs will be eliminated [by] computers […] Computer mavens, however, will find openings in medicine”

some clerical and maintenance jobs will be eliminated [by] computers […] Computer mavens, however, will find openings in medicine

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Sure, e.g. legal document discovery https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/01/automation-paradox/424437/ But not net unemployment

During oxygen metabolism, unstable atoms break off in the cells' molecules and careen around the cytoplasm like crazed teenagers in stolen stratocruisers on a Saturday night [...] Furthermore, restraining seats for babies and traffic law enforcement have cut down on the number of auto and stratocruiser accidents, the primary source of donor organs.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

“Students will write term papers on their computers, then send them on-line to their professors, who will return them electronically, graded and annotated”

“Students will write term papers on their computers, then send them on-line to their professors, who will return them electronically, graded and annotated”

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

“technology will […] give us more leisure time […] for those who […] want to pass the time with frivolous diversions, there will be plenty of opportunities. In short, the future will be fun […] Television and mass media will cater to tastes not now served.”

technology will […] give us more leisure time […] for those who […] want to pass the time with frivolous diversions, there will be plenty of opportunities. In short, the future will be fun […] Television and mass media will cater to tastes not now served.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

“the number of hospital admissions will continue to drop, and the average length of stay decrease. Outpatient clinics will [eliminate] many hospital stays altogether”

the number of hospital admissions will continue to drop, and the average length of stay decrease. Outpatient clinics will [eliminate] many hospital stays altogether

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Mixed. No trend in admissions, which is actually pretty good, per-capita https://www.statista.com/statistics/459718/total-hospital-admission-number-in-the-us/

“TV will […] continue to be the single greatest source of lowest-common-denominator programming”

TV will […] continue to be the single greatest source of lowest-common-denominator programming

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

the use of the word “programming” makes this statement essentially unfalsifiable

These adjustments will [...] control pollution while avoiding engine roughness or knocking. What's more, the car will never need a tune-up.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

“will the computer eventually replace the practitioner? […] More likely, the computer will be used as a consultant of sorts, the source a doctor turns to for a second opinion, or […] additional background on a disorder.”

will the computer eventually replace the practitioner? […] More likely, the computer will be used as a consultant of sorts, the source a doctor turns to for a second opinion, or […] additional background on a disorder.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

...thanks to the development of remote-handling devices in the atomic energy field. Any activity which depends on these senses can, therefore, be carried out over radio circuits. The time will certainly come when surgeons will be able to operate a world away from their patients, and every hospital will be able to call on the services of the best specialists,...

Profiles Of The Future

Rare and dodgy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Remote_surgery#Applications

[graphic design on computers] will open the field of graphic design up to amateurs

Amateur graphic artists will have a medium in which a simple decision - "put that over there" - will free them from the need for a designer's skill with paper knife and pastepot [...] home graphics technology will no longer limit would-be artists. Only talent and practice will matter.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

...be used for all except the bulkiest cargoes; and one day, even for these. Air transport is just at the beginning of its evolution; to set limits to what it may become would be folly, as the examples I have quoted clearly show. Though less than 0.1 per cent of today's freight travels by air, the time may come when...

Profiles Of The Future

Custom-made bones

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Preclinical https://www.nature.com/articles/d42473-020-00044-9

...we have been trying to imagine. As the punched-tape of the Jacquard loom controls the weaving of the most complex fabrics (and has done so for 200 years) so we may one day have machines that can lay a three-dimensional warp and woof, organizing solid matter in space from the atoms upwards. But for us to attempt the design of...

Profiles Of The Future

...the mild steel used in V.2) is due to the employ- ment of elaborate cooling systems. Making fairly optimistic assumptions about future progress in this direction, it appears that motors may eventually be built to operate at temperatures and pressures yielding exhaust velocities around 4-4.5 kms/sec. It must be pointed out that the above argument is quite general and depends...

Interplanetary Flight

https://www.google.com/search?q=rocket+exhaust+velocity&client=ubuntu&hs=9a9&sxsrf=ALiCzsZ_yp398rAjfabkd5dAwQaCnj97og%3A1654256394075&ei=CvOZYuinBMaUgQbF94joDQ&ved=0ahUKEwjo1PGlmZH4AhVGSsAKHcU7At0Q4dUDCA4&uact=5&oq=rocket+exhaust+velocity&gs_lcp=Cgdnd3Mtd2l6EAMyBAgAEEMyBQgAEIAEMgUIABCABDIECAAQHjIGCAAQHhAFMgYIABAeEAUyBggAEB4QBTIGCAAQHhAFMgYIABAeEAUyBggAEB4QCEoECEEYAEoECEYYAFAAWABgvQFoAHABeACAAYoBiAGKAZIBAzAuMZgBAKABAcABAQ&sclient=gws-wiz

To develop Showscan, its inventors wired test audiences to machines that measured pulse and respiration rates, perspiration, electromyogram activity, and an electroencephalogram. These human guinea pigs were shown films taken and projected at various frame rates to measure their physiological responses to the scenes. When the number of frames per second topped sixty, the filmmaker saw the meters on the measuring equipment jump [...] Settling on this speed, Trumbull discovered that audiences became more intensely involved with Showscan, so much so that too many action scenes could rapidly tire viewers [...] So far, Showscan has been demonstrated only with short films for expositions and world's fairs but, backed by the resources of one of the most successful theater chains, Trumbull plans to make theatrical feature-length films by the end of the 1980s. When moviegoers have the opportunity to see Showscan, he is certain they will no longer be satisfied with conventional film technology.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_films_with_high_frame_rates

8mm video will become the video "home movie" medium of the near future.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Those with specialized interests or points of view will soon use these desktop systems to publish limited-circulation magazines and publications with the professional appearance of better-known journals. Part-time novelists and authors will produce their own books.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

A brain connected by wire or radio links to suitable organs could participate in any conceivable experience, real or imaginary.

...a very dull sort of life, you have not fully understood what has already been said about the senses. A brain connected by wire or radio links to suitable organs could participate in any conceivable experience, real or imaginary. When you touch something, are you really aware that your brain is not at your fingertips, but three feet away? And...

Profiles Of The Future

The most elite residency in 2019 will be space science. Accidents in zero-g will require specially trained physicians to treat the injured.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_medicine

As the low-cost, easy accessibility of cyclosporine and its derivatives revolutionized transplant surgery, it also created a whole new class of dead people, people more sought-after dead than alive. Organs became worth many times more than their proverbial weight in gold.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

wrong, urban legends notwithstanding

a proliferation of home testing kits for various conditions, along the lines of pregnancy tests

By the year 2000, home tests for bladder infections, diabetes, venereal diseases, and asthma will have become so sophisticated - even fail-proof - that patients will be able to disagnose their own ailments.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Even the most optimistic social prophets concede that the poor and unemployed will suffer under the evolving health-care system.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

two factors will finally eliminate [the aluminium bat] ban: First, the ever-increasing speed, precision, and pitch selection of major league hurlers will convince the powers-that-be to give the hitters a break; and second, a scarcity of hickory (the primary wood used in bat-making) will require a change.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

ability to forecast future health issues by examining genetics, grey hair, fertility problems, susceptibility to cancer

Genetic Profile: Yunis Test shows missing sub-band on chromosome 5, indicating premature graying of hair. Will be totally gray by age 22. Bands on one chromosome upside down; could have fertility problems. Nicked chromosome indicates a greater than average vulnerability to lung cancer.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

23andme isn't totally useless for big stuff like cancer

In normal operation, the suspension will be electronically controlled, offering a stiff ride for the freeway or a softer ride over city potholes.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

advanced prosthetics including artificial limbs, bones, reproductive organs and more

Virtually every body part will have an artificial counterpart. Prosthetic technology will offer hope to accident victims whose limbs have been smashed beyond repair. Custom-made bones will replace hips ravaged by cancer; bionic arms will respond to the thoughts of their owners. Women who are infertile because of a faulty fallopian tube will conceive with the aid of an artificial one.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

...and would require the same total velocity. The characteristic velocity for the round trip would therefore be about 40 kmjsec, or just under 30 kmjsec if 100 per cent. air-braking could be used at the Earth landing. It will be realised that such journeys could only be carried out at the times when the planets were in the correct relative...

Interplanetary Flight

If I may be allowed the modest cough of the minor prophet- (AUTOSEC MARK iii: THAT PHRASE ALREADY USED IN LAST THREE DOCUMENT FILES. Shut up, Hal, or I'll reprogram you.) -as I was saying before I was rudely interrupted[...]

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feduc.2020.572367/full

TI343: DO YOU EVER HEAR VOICES? ALMA M.: Oh, come on. I was vaccinated against schizophrenia as a child. I only hear voices when I want to. TI£$£: WHEN YOU WANT TO? ALMA M.: Are you parroting me? Oh, that's right, this is the Rogerian program.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

[Stanford helpers] are precursors of the electronic companion-valet, a robotic module with mix-and-match components [...] the homebot would seek out its utility closet and pop on a new hand or a new tool or even a new set of sensors with the same ease with which we change our clothes.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

...by men, but by other, 'almost intelligent' computers. And not only designed, but also built - for they will have far too many components for manual assembly. It is even possible that the first genuine thinking machines may be grown rather than constructed; already some crude but very stimulating experiments have been carried out along these lines. Several artificial organisms...

Profiles Of The Future

...further accelerated when VTOL (Vertical Take-off and Landing) aircraft are perfected. Though the helicopter, for all its importance in more specialized fields, has had little effect on public transportation, this will not be true of its successors, the short- and medium-range air-buses of the near future. What form they will take, and what principle they will operate on, no one...

Profiles Of The Future

aircraft with onboard computers fine-tuning pilots' movements, as well as able to fly and even land in autopilot

On-board computers adjusted [the aircrafts'] controls twenty times a second. The aircraft were aerial acrobats, ready to snap into a roll or turn at the slightest provocation, requiring computers to remain under control whether maneuvering or flying straight ahead. These same computers acted as versatile autopilots. They could land the fighters on the deck of an aircraft carrier pitching in heavy seas or fly low in darkness and fog, hugging rugged terrain, scanning it with little squirts of radar, flying around hills when necessary.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lockheed_Martin_F-22_Raptor#Avionics

...seemed quite reasonable that there would be giant space-stations in orbit round the Earth and - a little later - manned expeditions to the planets. In an ideal world, that would have been possible: the Vietnam War would have paid for everything that Stanley Kubrick showed on the Cinerama screen. Now we realize that it will take a little longer.... 2001 will not arrive by 2001. Yet - barring accidents - by that date almost everything depicted in the book and the movie will be in the advanced planning stage. Except for communication with alien intelligences: that is something that can never be planned - only anticipated. No one knows whether it will...

2001 - A Space Odyssey (Foreword)

all-CGI animated films to largely replace traditional animation, on the basis of being cheaper to produce

Animation, once the most visually exciting area of film, today has, except for an occasional Disney film, almost vanished. Computer graphics will cut the cost of animation in the next century, and cartoons featuring solid-looking, three-dimensional characters will breathe new life into this art form.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

By the 1990s, the world had nearly achieved zero population growth.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Actually, by 2019 the helmet will not be a separate part of the football uniform. It will be directly attached to the "donuts" - the rings of padding that players wear around the neck - and the donuts, in turn, will be connected to the rest of the outfit.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

an accessory allowing its user to replace the TV characters they are watching with their own image

A nifty television accessory of 2019 will substitute its owner's image for any other human figure in a television program.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

An alcohol detector will prevent the driver from starting up if he's had too many for the road.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

http://alcolock.co.uk/index.php?route=information/information&information_id=32

annual “national field days” designed to find potential athletic stars who have slipped through the cracks, in order to send them to special sports schools

some late bloomers will certainly slip through the cracks. But they will be discovered on national field days held annually in the elementary schools.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

no sign in particular

...hardly worth wasting energy to refute it. I am almost tempted to argue that only unintelligent machines can be malevolent; anyone who has tried to start a balky outboard will probably agree. Those who picture machines as active enemies are merely projecting their own aggressive instincts, inherited from the jungle, into a word where such things do not exist. The...

Profiles Of The Future

Going to use Krakovna as counterexamples https://www.deepmind.com/blog/specification-gaming-the-flip-side-of-ai-ingenuity

Ordinary reconaissance satellites were no match for the Soviet antisatellite weapons, which could maneuver into orbit alongside, then detonate.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Basically none of them are space based https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-satellite_weapon#History

Apollo 11's landing remaining the most-watched television event “in the history of the planet”

Across the world, more television viewers watched the landing and the subsequent walk than any other single event in the history of the planet

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_most-watched_television_broadcasts#List

...been able to classify as a real event or an hallucination. Artificial memories, if they could be composed, taped and then fed into the brain by electrical or other means, would be a form of vicarious experience, far more vivid (because affecting all the senses) than anything that could be produced by the massed resources of Hollywood. They would, indeed,...

Profiles Of The Future

...limit of possible compactness. For the cells composing our brains are slow-acting, bulky and wasteful of energy - compared with the scarcely more than atom-sized computer elements that are theoretically possible. The mathematician, John von Neumann, once calculated that electronic cells could be 10 billion times more efficient than protoplasmic ones; already they are a million times swifter in operation,...

Profiles Of The Future

as a result [of plane/spacecraft hybrids], fusion-powered starships that travel to Mars in nine days

the Defense Department will be pursuing its "Star Wars" defense system. This name is more apt than people realize. One of its spinoffs may well be the first spaceship suitable for interstellar flight. And while such a mission will take place later rather than sooner, even the early versions of this ship will be capable of flying to Mars in as little as nine days.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

As far as transportation at ground level is concerned, we may well have reached (if not passed) the practical limit of speed, and future improvements must lie in other directions.

...transport, and there are times when it is positively undesirable - especially if it conflicts with safety, comfort or economics. As far as transportation at ground level is concerned, we may well have reached (if not passed) the practical limit of speed, and future improvements must lie in other directions. No one wants to travel down Oxford Street at the...

Profiles Of The Future

...the energy of the nucleus ever could be released almost certainly pictured complicated electrical devices - 'atom smashers' and so forth - doing the job. (In the long run, this will probably be the case; it seems that we will need such machines to fuse hydrogen nuclei on the industrial scale. But once again, who knows?) The wholly unexpected discovery...

Profiles Of The Future

all over the place

The factory of 2019 won't have humans on the production lines. The factory of the future will resemble a more sophisticated version of Japan's Fujitsu Fanuc factory, where a hundred robots and only sixty humans produce ten thousand electric motors every month [...] Rarely will there be a human in sight. Those who are visible will be there in a strictly subservient capacity: tuning up, adjusting, baby-sitting the steel-collar workers.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://www.automate.org/industry-insights/should-manufacturers-turn-off-the-lights

These adjustments will [...] control pollution while avoiding engine roughness or knocking.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Notoriously, Volkswagen https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vehicle_emissions_control#Emissions_control

A radar system will warn of cars in the blind spots, and there may even be automatic collision avoidance, to brake or steer out of impending disasters. And in normal operation, the suspension will be electronically controlled, offering a stiff ride for the freeway or a softer ride over city potholes.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

HDTV, which will achieve mass popularity by the mid-1990s, will be downwardly compatible with [...] older standards in much the same way color television broadcasts can be received on precolor TV sets.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

...needed. Existing power systems can supply our houses - but what about our automobiles and aircraft, in the Post-Petroleum Age? The desirable solution is some means of storing electricity which will be at least ten, and preferably a hundred, times more compact than the clumsy and messy batteries that have not improved fundamentally since the time of young Tom Edison....

Profiles Of The Future

Videocassettes will remain the favorite method of feeding [...] video systems throughout the twentieth century. The Beta and VHS home videocassette standards will last for the next two decades or so, not because of their technical superiority, but because of the huge numbers of these recorders already in homes.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

DODGERS PLAYERS Pitchers Rufus Lincoln - right-hander [...] bionic shoulder and elbow implant [...] Tom "Twitch" Sully - their right-handed ace. He had augmented electrical muscle impulses cloned from Hall-of-Famer Dwight Gooden's muscles [...] Ralph Shandy - 15-year-old rookie relief pitcher [...] It seems the Dodgers have been racing him along too fast with the growth hormones [...] Infielders Jerry Rodriguez - right-handed third baseman. Diludin-crystal derivatives could only hold off his aging process so long [...] Outfielders Lance Nihilator - switch-hitting center fielder [...] The Dodgers's steroid program has helped him get down to 8.7 seconds in the 100-meter dash, and .3 off the world record.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Opportunities for nurses will increase appreciably in the twenty-first century as they start their own corporations. One of the first of these, the Health Control Centers in Denver, Colorado, is run exclusively by nurses who provide patients (often referred by physicians) with such self-healing tools as biofeedback. Using a device called the Mind Mirror, which is similar to an electroencephalograph (EEG), nurses monitor the the rhythms of both hemispheres of the brain [...] The Denver nurses use this tool to help patients reach a state of deep meditation, which they believe promotes the body's healing properties. Slowly, health insurers will begin to recognize the validity of such procedures and will be more willing to provide coverage for holistic methods.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://www.qegateshead.nhs.uk/sites/default/files/users/user1/leaflets/IL68%20Biofeedback%20clinic.pdf

Karin's "security guard" analyzes her image and voice print to confirm that the person wanting access to her office is indeed Karin Rogers.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Blood and urine tests can quickly diagnose anorexia, phobias, obsessions, compulsions, double identity, existential angst, and many other problems.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

By 2019, we will be able to call on a breed of machine known as the risk-taker, a kind of automated daredevil that will do deadly or deadly dull work: police work, inspecting the interior of a nuclear reactor or the depths of a coal mine, searching for survivors inside a burning building, and helping authorities defuse terrorist bombs, to name a few.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

bookstores in which no hard copies are kept, but books are rather printed on-demand

bookstores in which no hard copies are kept, but books are rather printed on-demand

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

...experiment. In principle, the sense impressions from any other living creature - animal or human - might be wired directly into the appropriate sections of the brain. And so one could look through another man's eyes, and even gain some idea of what it must be like to inhabit a non-human body. We assume that our familiar senses give us...

Profiles Of The Future

The dream of whole-brain transplantation is not yet realized. However, a right cortex of one Doberman pinscher has been successfully transplanted to another dog, a beagle.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brain_transplant#Partial_brain_transplant

...to enter into temporary unions with any sufficiently sophisticated machines, thus being able not merely to control but to become a spaceship or a submarine or a TV network. This would give far more than purely intellectual satisfaction; the thrill that can be obtained from driving a racing car or flying an aeroplane may be only a pale ghost of...

Profiles Of The Future

...computers that could be located anywhere on Earth: the information stored in them could be read off on high-speed printers whenever any of the firm's officers needed it. The time may come when half the world's business will be transacted through vast memory banks beneath the Arizona desert, the Mongolian Steppes, the Labrador muskeg or wherever land is cheap and...

Profiles Of The Future

cable television and satellite television to be in competition into the new millennium

Still, many homes, especially in urban areas, lack a clear view of the satellite belt in the sky. Some form of cable TV will still be needed.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

...meteors can be detected over great distances once they enter the Earth's atmosphere, but only because they produce an intense ionization trail. 12 9 INTERPLANETARY FLIGHT Equipment available even today would give an accurate map of all land and sea areas, if such divisions exist, and would even enable approximate contours to be drawn. 13deg Chapter 10 OPENING FRONTIERS HAVING...

Interplanetary Flight

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mapping_of_Venus

...a few generations, the velocity of travel has been multiplied a hundredfold; indeed, there are good grounds for thinking that the acceleration that has taken place round the mid-twentieth century will never again be matched. Speed, however, is not the only criterion of transport, and there are times when it is positively undesirable - especially if it conflicts with safety,...

Profiles Of The Future

Sheet-metal bodies will have gone the way of wood paneling. Instead, the bodies will be built of plastics and composites, reinforced with glass or graphite fibers.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

The engine and its transmission will operature under microprocessor control.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

In case of real trouble, like a breakdown out in the desert, the car will transmit an emergency call to a watching satellite.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Beacons exist but obsolete because of phones

...or psychologically, inside such a city. But how long would a man from 1800 survive in one of ours? Even if they are banned from the city, motor vehicles are likely to dominate the short (10-100 mile) range of transportation for a long time to come. There are few men now alive who can remember when it was otherwise; the...

Profiles Of The Future

https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Passenger_mobility_statistics

These adjustments will [...] control pollution while avoiding engine roughness or knocking. What's more, the car will never need a tune-up. It also may never need cooling water or even motor oil. While the gasoline engine should hold its own, it may face stiff competition from advanced diesels. These will be built with ceramics capable of resisting high temperatures.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

most HDTV sets will use glass cathode ray tubes for direct viewing

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Computer graphics hold myriad implications for the movies of the twenty-first century. It will be more practical and cost effective to design sets and synthesize almost any location on Earth or off using computers. Special effects that now require models and miniatures can be replaced by digital picture-making.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

civilian casualties in war to be massively reduced as a result of more sophisticated weaponry

it rapidly became clear [...] that the Soviets were interested in attacking targets of military significance, using precision-guided munitions, and that hotels and apartments did not fall into that category. There would be no mass-bombing of cities this time, nor would civilians be made targets en masse. It was not that the Soviet high command was humane or respectful of human life [...] But in a war against NATO's professional forces, the Soviets appreciated that a strict attention to military targets was the most effective way to fight.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

Weapons didn't have much to do with it? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civilian_casualty_ratio https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/deaths-in-state-based-conflicts-per-100000?country=Africa~Europe~Americas~OWID_WRL~Middle+East~Asia+%26+Oceania

combined sporting events in the style of the triathlon, such as American football/baseball/basketball matches, “paraskiing”, and “parascuba”

as time goes on, more and more athletes will tire of these one-dimensional sports, and follow the lead of today's triathletes, who swim, then bike, then run long distance all during one continuous event.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century

commercial aeroplanes that drop off passengers and baggage, load the next set of passengers and baggage, and take off, within twenty minutes

They do not spend hours sitting and waiting. Rather, they taxi up to the gates, discharge a load of passengers and baggage, take on a new load, and are off on another trip, all within twenty minutes or less.

July 20, 2019: Life in the 21st Century