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EIGENLAYER - INPUT ASSUMPTIONS | PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL | FINALITY CAPITAL PARTNERS
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INPUT DRIVERSCURRENT YEARFUTURE YEAR: 5
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CURRENTSCENARIO A: DOWNSIDESCENARIO B: BASESCENARIO C: UPSIDEPROBABILITY-WEIGHTEDNotes / Footnotes
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ETHN/ANo Change to ETH Price &
Typical PoS Staked Ratio
No Change to ETH Price &
Typical PoS Staked Ratio
No Change to ETH Price &
Typical PoS Staked Ratio
N/A
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Restaking UptakeN/AMedium InterestStrong InterestFundamental InnovationN/A
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Network YieldN/AMedium Trusted Complement to EthereumTrusted Ethereum InfrastructureFully Trusted Critical Infrastructure for EthereumN/A
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xProbabilistic Composite
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Probabilistic Weights (%)25.0%50.0%25.0%N/A
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xETH
Total Addressable Market: ETH Price x Restaking Uptake
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ETH Price$1,700 $1,700 $1,700 $1,700 $1,700 See Sensitivity Analysis on Restaking TAM in columns K-R
Probability-Weighted
Restaking Uptake
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ETH Price CAGR (%)N/A0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%$11 5.0%10.0%20.0%33.0%40.0%50.0%
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ETH Quantity (M)120.5120.5120.5120.5120.5Stable ETH SupplyETH Supply (EtherScan)ETH Price$1,000 $1.0B $2.0B $4.1B $6.7B $8.1B $10.2B
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ETH Staked Ratio (%)14.7%60.0%60.0%60.0%60.0%See PoS Staking % tab and StakingRewards.com for source dataData on Staked ETH$1,700 $1.7B $3.5B $6.9B $11.4B $13.8B $17.3B
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$3,500 $3.6B $7.1B $14.2B $23.5B $28.5B $35.6B
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xRestaking Uptake$5,000 $5.1B $10.2B $20.3B $33.6B $40.7B $50.8B
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Restaked Share of ETH Stake (%)10.0%33.0%50.0%31.5%
Liquid Staking currently represents 45% uptake. If restaking mirrors liquid staking uptake, that would represent our upside case
$7,500 $7.6B $15.3B $30.5B $50.3B $61.0B $76.3B
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# of Staked ETH Opted-In (M)7.2 23.9 36.2 22.8 https://dune.com/eliasimos/Eth2-Liquid-Stakinghttps://pro.nansen.ai/eth2-deposit-contract
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xNetwork Yield
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Typical Staking Reward APY9.0%9.0%9.0%See Staking Reward Comparison tab for source data
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EigenLayer APY Compression50.0%70.0%90.0%
FCP estimate. Using a restaking service such as EigenLayer will lower the required token emissions that are typically used to bootstrap new networks
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Individual Network Yield4.5%2.7%0.9%
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# of Networks on EigenLayer51040
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Aggregate Yield Across All Networks (%)22.5%27.0%36.0%28.1%
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xSummary Financials
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Total Addressable Market$2,765,475,000 $10,951,281,000 $22,123,800,000 $10,889,057,813 Represents potential annual restaking revenue
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