2018 candidate tracking

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V	W	X	Y	Z	AA	AB	AC	AD	AE	AF	AG	AH	AI	AJ	AK	AL	AM	AN	AO	AP
1	District	Called?	Republican(s)	Democrat(s)	Geography	3Q Fundraising (thousands)	3Q COH (thousands)	Filing Deadline	Primary Date	2014 DPI	2016	2018	538	Cook Rating	Sabato Rating	Politico	Daily Kos	DDHQ	DCCC/NRCC/etc Targeted	Media Markets	MM Ranking	Endorsements	Open Seat	State Leg Overlap	Redistricting Overlap	Senate Overlap	Gov. Overlap	Mess with Rs	Hillary Won	DCCC	Swing Left	YESI	Sandler Phillips	MtG	L&G	POSSE	SV / AV?	Local c4 Groups (MVP)	Local c3 Civic Groups (MVP)	Notes	Jamaa Score	Jamaa Odds

2	AK AL	Don Young	Don Young	Alyse Galvin	Entire state	D: $643 R: $236	D: $275 R: $312	June 1	August 21	40.47	R +9	R +6.5	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	11									X				X								Alaska Center		0.5599817659	3 to 5
3	AL 2	Martha Roby	Martha Roby	Tabitha Isner	Southeast, Montgomery	D: $167 R: $300	D: $138 R: $460	February 9	June 5	32.56	R +17		Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	2		Dothan (36.00%) Montgomery (58.04%)	173 124										X							Black Church PAC, Black Voters Matter, WOKE VOTE	Faith in Action Alabama, Black Voters Matter, WOKE VOTE		0.4021152472	2 to 5
4	AR 2	French Hill	French Hill	Clarke Tucker	Little Rock	D: $695 R: $595	D: $230 R: $1,464	March 1	May 22	43.6	R +7	R +6.3	Likely R	Likely R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	16		Little Rock (100%)	58									X								Arkansas Community Organizations	Arkansas United Community Coalition, Arkansas Community Organizations		0.5876717206	3 to 5
5	AZ 1	Tom O'Halleran	Wendy Rogers	Tom O'Halleran	Northeast, Flagstaff	D: $506 R: $536	D: $766 R: $333	May 30	August 28	47.39	R +2	D +7.7	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	60		Phoenix (90.89%) Tucson (12.97%)	11 65	CWA: Tom O'Halleran		X		X					X	29					AV	LUCHA, Puente AZ Planned Parenthood Action	LUCHA, Puente AZ		0.7671103282	4 to 5
6	AZ 2	Ann Kirkpatrick	OPEN (Martha McSally) Lea Marquez-Peterson	Ann Kirkpatrick	Tucson	D: $1,922 R: $494	D: $1,016 R: $193	May 30	August 28	49.94	D +1	D +9.5	Solid D	Lean D	Leans D	Lean D	Lean D	71	NRCC pulled	Tucson (100%)	65	DCCC, EL, NARAL, Giffords, NDP: Ann Kirkpatrick DFA, JD: Mary Matiella	X	X		X			X	X	X	21	X		X		AV	LUCHA Mi Familia Vota	LUCHA Mi Familia Vota	Ann has a good team	0.8691337121	9 to 10
7	AZ 6	Dave Schweikert	Dave Schweikert	Anita Malik	North Phoenix	D: $191 R: $218	D: $150 R: $359	May 30	August 28	35.14	R +6		Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	3		Phoenix (100%)	11			X		X											AV	LUCHA	LUCHA CASE Coalition for Change		0.4222389696	2 to 5
8	AZ 9	Greg Stanton	Steve Ferrara	OPEN (Kyrsten Sinema) Greg Stanton	East Phoenix, Tempe	D: $554 R: $318	D: $596 R: $388	May 30	August 28	54.68	D +8		Solid D	Solid D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	87		Phoenix (100%)	11	Giffords, NDP: Greg Stanton	X	X		X			X								AV	LUCHA	CASE LUCHA		0.8001979141	4 to 5
9	CA 4	Tom McClintock	Tom McClintock	Jessica Morse	Tahoe, Yosemite	D: $1,365 R: $351	D: $1,065 R: $763	March 9	June 5	39.95	R +10	R +8.2	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	16		Sacramento (91.07%)	20																				0.5295382154	1 to 2
10	CA 10	Josh Harder	Jeff Denham	Josh Harder	Central Valley, Modesto	D: $3,525 R: $642	D: $1,523 R: $1,936	March 9	June 5	43.85	D +0	D +2.6	Lean D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	49		Sacramento (100%)	20	NDP, BO, JS: Josh Harder							X	X	X	33	X		X	X		Communities for a New CA	Communities for a New CA		0.7769957547	3 to 4
11	CA 21	TJ Cox	David Valadao	TJ Cox	Central Valley, Bakersfield	D: $919 R: $622	D: $505 R: $1,651	March 9	June 5	42.17	D +7	D +0.74	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	23	NRCC pulled out	Bakersfield (44.63%) Fresno (55.37%)	126 54	Giffords, BO, JS: TJ Cox							X	X	X		X					Communities for a New CA	Communities for a New CA		0.8574088386	17 to 20
12	CA 22	Devin Nunes	Devin Nunes	Andrew Janz	Central Valley	D: $4,375 R: $3,144	D: $1,430 R: $5,125	March 9	June 5	27.96	R +6	R +5.4	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	12		Fresno (100%)	54							X										Communities for a New CA	Communities for a New CA		0.4955721522	1 to 2
13	CA 25	Katie Hill	Steve Knight	Katie Hill	Northern LA County	D: $3,821 R: $448	D: $2,360 R: $420	March 9	June 5	46.66	D +2	D +8.7	Toss-up	Toss-Up	Lean R	Lean D	Toss-Up	49		Los Angeles (100%)	2	EL, NARAL, DCCC, NDP, BO, JS: Katie Hill							X	X	X	24	X		X					Katie appears to be EL preferred candidate	0.668214041	2 to 3
14	CA 39	Gil Cisneros	OPEN (Ed Royce) Young Kim	Gil Cisneros	Northern Orange County	D: $955 R: $911	D: $283 R: $341	March 9	June 5	31.46	D +3	D +3.1	Toss-up	Toss-Up	Lean R	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	52		Los Angeles (100%)	2	VV, SA, Giffords, DCCC, JS: Gil Cisneros	X						X	X	X	10	X					Orange Cty Voter Info Project	Orange Cty Voter Info Project	c4 and c3 tables focused on API and Latino work	0.6661224154	2 to 3
15	CA 45	Katie Porter	Mimi Walters	Katie Porter	Orange County, Irvine, Tustin, North Tustin, Orange, Laguna Hills, Lake Forest, Mission Viejo	D: $2,928 R: $958	D: $546 R: $926	March 9	June 5	34.88	D +5	D +4.5	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	50	NRCC pulled	Los Angeles (100%)	2	EL, PCCC, DFA, DCCC, BO, JS: Katie Porter							X	X	X	35	X		X	X		Orange Cty Voter Info Project	Orange Cty Voter Info Project	c4 and c3 tables focused on API and Latino work	0.7023699047	7 to 10
16	CA 48	Harley Rouda	Dana Rohrabacher	Harley Rouda	Orange County, Huntington Beach, Seal Beach, Sunset Beach, Midway City	D: $3,150 R: $421	D: $1,495 R: $506	March 9	June 5	35.88	R +4	D +7.1	Lean D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	50		Los Angeles (100%)	2	IN, BO, JS: Harley Rouda							X	X	X	17	X					Orange Cty Voter Info Project	Orange Cty Voter Info Project	c4 and c3 tables focused on API and Latino work	0.5865153315	3 to 5
17	CA 49	Mike Levin	OPEN (Darrell Issa) Diane Harkey	Mike Levin	Northern San Diego	D: $2,275 R: $616	D: $1,510 R: $190	March 9	June 5	39.83	D +3	D +7.4	Solid D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Likely D	66	DCCC pulled; CLF pulled	Los Angeles (23.30%) San Diego (76.70%)	2 29	PCCC, CPC, DFA, BO, JS: Mike Levin	X						X	X	X	13	X		X		SV	Orange Cty Voter Info Project Engage San Diego Action Fund	Orange Cty Voter Info Project Engage San Diego	c4 and c3 tables focused on API and Latino work	0.711884846	7 to 10
18	CA 50	Duncan Hunter	Duncan Hunter	Ammar Campa-Najjar	Inland San Diego	D: $1,379 R: $127	D: $685 R: $247	March 9	June 5	28.8	R +9	R +3.4	Likely R	Lean R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	22		Los Angeles (11.51%) San Diego (88.49%)	2 29	JD, WF, DFA, PCCC, CPC, BO, JS: Ammar Campa-Najjar															SV	Engage San Diego Action Fund	Engage San Diego	c4 and c3 tables focused on API and Latino work	0.4294879227	2 to 5
19	CO 3	Scott Tipton	Scott Tipton	Diane Mitsch Bush	Western Slope	D: $727 R: $397	D: $408 R: $491	March 20	June 26	35.7	R +8	R +8	Likely R	Likely R	Leans R	Likely R	Likely R	8		Albuquerque (10.70%) Colorado Springs (23.67%) Denver (39.47%) Grand Jct. (26.17%)	46 87 17 187	EL: Diane Mitsch Bush		X							X						SV / AV	CIRC Action	Western Colorado Congress CO Immigration Reform Coalition		0.6367656639	3 to 5
20	CO 6	Jason Crow	Mike Coffman	Jason Crow	Denver Southeast suburbs, Aurora, Littleton	D: $2,229 R: $841	D: $1,186 R: $989	March 20	June 26	42.99	D +4	D +11.2	Likely D	Lean D	Leans D	Lean D	Lean D	57	HMP pulled; CLF pulled	Denver (100%)	17	DCCC, SA, VV, Giffords, NARAL, NDP, JS, BO: Jason Crow		X					X	X	X	5	X		X		SV / AV	CO People's Action CIRC Action CO Crim Just Action	CO People's Alliance CO Immigration Reform Coalition CO Crim Just Reform Coalition	Jason Crow has right profile and ability to hit back	0.8291735239	4 to 5
21	CT 5	Jahana Hayes	Justin Bernier	OPEN (Elizabeth Esty) Jahana Hayes	Northwest, Danbury	D: $986 R: $31	D: $611 R: $14	June 12	August 14	53.24	D +1		Solid D	Solid D	Likely D	Likely D	Safe D	98		Hartford (77.48%) New York (22.52%)	32 1	BO: Jahana Hayes	X	X			X												CT Working Families PArty		0.9148038294	9 to 10
22	FL 6	Michael Waltz	(OPEN) Ron DeSantis Michael Waltz	Nancy Soderberg	Daytona Beach	D: $1,013 R: $494	D: $523 R: $465	May 4	August 28	37.46	R +10		Likely R	Lean R	Leans R	Likely R	Lean R	30		Orlando (95.95%)	18	EL, DCCC, NDP, JS, BO: Nancy Soderberg	X	X	X	X	X			X							SV / AV				0.5524881543	1 to 2
23	FL 7	Stephanie Murphy	Mike Miller	Stephanie Murphy	Orlando north suburbs	D: $628 R: $324	D: $1,151 R: $37	May 4	August 28	32.14	D +3		Solid D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	74		Orlando (100%)	18	EL, LCV, BO: Stephanie Murphy		X	X	X	X				X						SV / AV				0.6699690593	2 to 3
24	FL 15	Ross Spano	OPEN (Dennis Ross) Ross Spano	Kristen Carlson	Eastern Tampa suburbs toward Orlando including Polk Co.	D: $634 R: $223	D: $502 R: $166	May 4	August 28	39.72	R +6	R +6	Lean R	Toss-up	Leans R	Likely R	Lean R	23		Orlando (11.17%) Tampa (88.83%)	18 13	EL: Kristen Carlson	X	X	X	X	X				X		X	X			SV / AV	Organize Florida	Organize Florida Education Fund		0.7540218264	3 to 4
25	FL 16	Vern Buchanan	Vern Buchanan	David Shapiro	Sarasota	D: $863 R: $266	D: $435 R: $1,485	May 4	August 28	38.38	R +7	R +9.1	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	14		Tampa (100%)	13	Giffords: David Shapiro		X	X	X	X			X							SV / AV	Organize Florida	Organize Florida Education Fund		0.5442768507	1 to 2
26	FL 18	Brian Mast	Brian Mast	Lauren Baer	Treasure Coast: Northern Palm Beach to Port St. Lucie	D: $1,704 R: $972	D: $774 R: $1,446	May 4	August 28	40.22	R +6	R +8.6	Likely R	Likely R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	27		West Palm Beach (100%)	37	DCCC, NDP, BO: Lauren Baer		X	X	X	X			X	X			X			SV / AV				0.5980817924	3 to 5
27	FL 25	Mario Diaz-Balart	Mario Diaz-Balart	Mary Barzee Flores	Coral Gables, Naples	D: $628 R: $396	D: $411 R: $1,339	May 4	August 28	no D	R +4		Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	21						X	X	X	X						X
28	FL 26	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell	Carlos Curbelo	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell	The Keys, Everglades	D: $1,611 R: $862	D: $686 R: $1,570	May 4	August 28	48.54	D +7	D +1.8	Toss-up	Toss-Up	Leans R	Lean R	Toss-Up	40		Miami (100%)	16	EL, NARAL, DCCC, CPC, NDP, JB, BO: Debbie Mucarsel-Powell		X	X	X	X		X	X	X		X		X		SV / AV	New Florida Majority Engage Miami	New Florida Majority Ed Fund Engage Miami Civic Fund		0.8803482361	9 to 10
29	FL 27	Donna Shalala	OPEN (Ileana Ros-Lehtinen) Maria Elvira Salazar	Donna Shalala	Southeast, Miami	D: $948 R: $562	D: $439 R: $382	May 4	August 28	39.09	D +9	D +6	Likely D	Lean D	Leans D	Toss-Up	Lean D	53		Miami (100%)	16	JD: Michael Hepburn EL: Donna Shalala	X	X	X	X	X		X		X		X		X		SV / AV	New Florida Majority Engage Miami	New Florida Majority Ed Fund Engage Miami Civic Fund	Latino groups supporting Jose	1.008366704	2 to 1
30	GA 6	Lucy McBath	Karen Handel	Lucy McBath	Atlanta suburbs	D: $1,164 R: $535	D: $706 R: $979	March 9	May 22	33.96	R +2	D +1	Toss-up	Toss-Up	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	33		Atlanta (100%)	9	EL, COLL, Giffords, BO: Lucy McBath		NDRC							X	44	X				SV / AV	New Georgia Project Action	New Georgia Project		0.4166610123	2 to 5
31	GA 7	Rob Woodall	Rob Woodall	Carolyn Bourdeaux	Atlanta suburbs	D: $1,356 R: $294	D: $821 R: $548	March 9	May 22	34.61	R +4	R +.015	Likely R	Lean R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	34		Atlanta (100%)	9	EL, BO: Carolyn Bourdeaux		NDRC									X	X			SV / AV	New Georgia Project Action	New Georgia Project		0.3803135179	2 to 5
32	IA 1	Abby Finkenauer	Rod Blum	Abby Finkenauer	Dubuque, Cedar Rapids, Waterloo	D: $1,679 R: $552	D: $638 R: $1,272	March 16	June 5	48.79	R +3		Likely D	Lean D	Leans D	Lean D	Lean D	59	DCCC mostly pulled; CLF, NRCC pulled	Cedar Rapids (85.90%)	91	DCCC, EL, NARAL, JS, BO: Abby Finkenauer		X				X		X	X	1	X			X		Iowa CCI Action	Iowa CCI		0.8585368654	17 to 20
33	IA 3	Cindy Axne	David Young	Cindy Axne	Des Moines	D: $2,519 R: $624	D: $1,231 R: $1,155	March 16	June 5	42.23	R +3	D +2.1	Lean D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	37		Des Moines (79.48%) Omaha (20.52%)	68 74	EL, DCCC, BO: Cindy Axne		X						X	X	30	X	X	X			Iowa CCI Action	Iowa CCI		0.6801523653	7 to 10
34	IA 4	Steve King	Steve King	JD Scholten	Ames, Mason City	D: $673 R: $162	D: $622 R: $161	March 16	June 5		R +11	R +3.3	Likely R	Lean R	Leans R	Likely R	Likely R	20		Des Moines (38.02%) Rochester, MN (10.85%) Sioux City (37.73%)	68 153 148	OR: JD Scholten		X				X
35	IL 6	Sean Casten	Peter Roskam	Sean Casten	Chicago west suburbs	D: $2,648 R: $1,414	D: $1,392 R: $1,858	Dec 4, 2017	March 20	32.86	D +3	D +5.6	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	40	NRCC pulled	Chicago (100%)	3	LCV, DCCC, BO: Sean Casten					X		X	X	X	7	X	X				Citizen Action of Illinois? Reclaim Chicago?	Citizen Action of Illinois? Reclaim Chicago?		0.5475591932	1 to 2
36	IL 12	Brendan Kelly	Mike Bost	Brendan Kelly	Southwest border	D: $1,099 R: $547	D: $204 R: $698	Dec 4, 2017	March 20	41.89	R +9	R +6.1	Likely R	Lean R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	37		Paducah (36.41%) St. Louis (63.59%)	82 21	DCCC, VV, LCV, BD, SA, CWA, NDP, BO, JB, JS: Brendan Kelly					X			X	X	19						Reclaim Chicago?	Reclaim Chicago?		0.685100573	17 to 25
37	IL 13	Rodney Davis	Rodney Davis	Betsy Dirksen Londrigan	South central, Springfield	D: $1,662 R: $701	D: $1,122 R: $1,259	Dec 4, 2017	March 20	41.34	R +4	R +0.76	Likely R	Lean R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	32		Champaign (60.22%) St. Louis (31.27%)	88 21	EL, DCCC, BO: Betsy Dirksen Londrigan					X			X		42	X	X	X			Reclaim Chicago?	Reclaim Chicago?		0.7309660081	3 to 4
38	IL 14	Lauren Underwood	Randy Hultgren	Lauren Underwood	Chicago exurbs north and west	D: $2,056 R: $453	D: $1,690 R: $1,087	Dec 4, 2017	March 20	34.59	R +3	D +5	Lean D	Lean R	Lean D	Lean R	Lean R	24		Chicago (100%)	3	EL, DCCC, COLL, Giffords, MO: Lauren Underwood					X			X	X			X				Reclaim Chicago?	Reclaim Chicago?		0.3561561368	7 to 20
39	IN 2	Jackie Walorski	Jackie Walorski	Mel Hall	South Bend	D: $295 R: $508	D: $665 R: $780	February 9	May 8	38.29	R +13	R +9.6	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	13		South Bend (83.18%)	96	NDP: Mel Hall				X															0.4658917895	1 to 2
40	IN 9	Trey Hollingsworth	Trey Hollingsworth	Liz Watson	Southwest, Evansville	D: $871 R: $235	D: $495 R: $591	February 9	May 8	33.88	R +15		Likely R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	13		Indianapolis (53.43%) Louisville (46.57%)	28 49	EL, PCCC, CPC, CWA, WF, MO, JS: Liz Watson				X					X										0.3609596624	2 to 3
41	KS 2	Steve Watkins	OPEN (Lynn Jenkins) Steve Watkins	Paul Davis	Eastern KS, Topeka, Lawrence	D: $1,436 R: $304	D: $1,263 R: $151	June 1	August 7	38.62	R +11	R +0.85	Lean D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	49		Joplin (19.64%) Kansas City (37.70%) Topeka (36.57%)	152 33 139	DCCC, BD, NDP, JS: Paul Davis	X							X		23	X		X			Kansas People's Action?	Kansas People's Action?		0.4902037278	1 to 2
42	KS 3	Sharice Davids	Kevin Yoder	Sharice Davids	Kansas City and suburbs	D: $2,827 R: $1,107	D: $1,042 R: $1,289	June 1	August 7	39.98	R +0	D +9.6	Likely D	Lean D	Leans D	Lean D	Lean D	52	NRCC pulled	Kansas City (100%)	33	EL, BO: Sharice Davids							X		X	36	X	X	X			Kansas People's Action?	Kansas People's Action?		0.5809317963	3 to 5
43	KY 6	Andy Barr	Andy Barr	Amy McGrath	Lexington	D: $3,639 R: $1,206	D: $1,751 R: $1,298	January 30	May 22	40.01	R +9	R +3.2	Toss-up	Toss-Up	Lean R	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	45		Lexington (99.68%)	63	SA, VV, MO, DCCC, JS: Amy McGrath								X		28	watch	X	X			KYians for the Commonwealth Action	KYians for the Commonwealth		0.8195811115	4 to 5
44	MD 1	Andy Harris	Andy Harris	Jesse Colvin	Eastern Shore	D: $883 R: $254	D: $751 R: $1,337	February 27	June 26	29.49	R +14		Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	5		Baltimore (71.04%) Salisbury (28.96%)	26 143	SC: Michael Pullen																			0.5117711165	1 to 2
45	ME 2	Jared Golden	Bruce Poliquin	Jared Golden	North, Bangor	D: $2,720 R: $630	D: $638 R: $2,075	March 15	June 12	41.83	R +7	D +1	Lean D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	37		Bangor (52.66%) Portland, ME (36.52%) Presque Isle (10.82%)	156 79 206	VV, SA, DCCC, BO: Jared Golden		X			X			X	X	22	X	X			SV / AV	Maine People's Resource Council	Maine People's Alliance		0.7561536003	3 to 4
46	MI 1	Jack Bergman	Jack Bergman	Matthew Morgan	Upper Peninsula	D: $359 R: $282	D: $236 R: $447	April 24	August 7	45.28	R +9		Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	13						X																	0.3648051928	1 to 3
47	MI 6	Fred Upton	Fred Upton	Matt Longjohn	Southwest, Kalamazoo	D: $461 R: $626	D: $169 R: $1,384	April 24	August 7	40.38	R +6	R +4.5	Likely R	Lean R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	20		Grand Rapids (70.38%) South Bend (29.62%)	43 96	JD: David Benac		X	X	X	X						X				SV / AV				0.3381790686	1 to 3
48	MI 7	Tim Walberg	Tim Walberg	Gretchen Driskell	South central	D: $786 R: $433	D: $1,208 R: $1,220	April 24	August 7	41.17	R +10	R +7.6	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	27		Detroit (34.87%) Lansing (44.58%) Toledo (14.15%)	14 115 78	EL, LCV, BD, DCCC, CWA: Gretchen Driskell		X	X	X	X			X	X						SV / AV		Michigan People's Campaign, We the People		0.3001975958	3 to 10
49	MI 8	Elissa Slotkin	Mike Bishop	Elissa Slotkin	Lansing	D: $2,617 R: $807	D: $1,833 R: $1,278	April 24	August 7	42.06	R +5	D +3.8	Lean D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	34	CLF pulled	Detroit (60.21%) Lansing (39.79%)	14 115	EL, DCCC, LCV, SA, CWA, JB, JS: Elissa Slotkin		X	X	X	X			X	X	26			X	X	SV / AV	Michigan People's Action, Michigan Student Power Network	Michigan People's Campaign, We the People		0.4985631433	1 to 2
50	MI 11	Haley Stevens	OPEN (Dave Trott)  Lena Epstein	Haley Stevens	Detroit Western suburbs	D: $1,950 R: $474	D: $1,122 R: $363	April 24	August 7	40.47	R +3	D +6.6	Likely D	Leans D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Leans D	46		Detroit (100%)	14		X	X	X	X	X				X	4	X		X	X	SV / AV	Michigan People's Action, Michigan Student Power Network	Michigan People's Campaign, We the People		0.467072383	1 to 2
51	MN 1	Jim Hagedorn	Jim Hagedorn	OPEN (Tim Walz) Dan Feehan	South, Rochester	D: $2,128 R: $390	D: $1,448 R: $275	June 5	August 14	54.19	R +9	R +0.45	Toss-up	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	37		La Crosse (10.63%) Mankato (18.39% Minneapolis (27.73%) Rochester, MN (38.56%)	129 199 15 153	SA, VV, DCCC, JS: Dan Feehan	X	X		X	X			X	X	2		X	X		SV / AV	Minnesota Youth Collective	Minnesota Youth Collective		0.5222183649	13 to 25
52	MN 2	Angie Craig	Jason Lewis	Angie Craig	Twin Cities southern suburbs	D: $2,098 R: $662	D: $1,776 R: $1,145	June 5	August 14	38.87	R +2	D +5.5	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Toss-Up	55		Minneapolis (100%)	15	DCCC, CPC, EL, LCV, Giffords, NARAL, CWA, NDP: Angie Craig		X		X	X			X	X	9	X				SV / AV	TakeAction Minnesota Minnesota Youth Collective Planned Parenthood Action	TakeAction Minnesota EF Minnesota Youth Collective		0.4375380502	11 to 25
53	MN 3	Dean Phillips	Erik Paulsen	Dean Phillips	Twin Cities western suburbs	D: $1,714 R: $1,419	D: $269 R: $2,332	June 5	August 14	37.78	D +4	D +11.4	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	Lean D	Toss-Up	65		Minneapolis (100%)	15	DCCC, NARAL, CWA, Giffords, NDP: Dean Phillips		X		X	X		X	X	X	3	X		X		SV / AV	TakeAction Minnesota Minnesota Youth Collective Planned Parenthood Action	ACER, Inc (African immigrant engagement org) TakeAction Minnesota EF Minnesota Youth Collective		1.1161417	2 to 1
54	MN 7	Collin Peterson	David Hughes	Collin Peterson	Northwest			June 5	August 14	54.21	R +18		Solid D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	83		Fargo (39.16%) Minneapolis (57.19%)	113 15			X		X	X				X	25					SV / AV	Land Stewardship Action	Land Stewardship Project Minnesota Youth Collective (?)		0.2263491101	1 to 5
55	MN 8	Pete Stauber	Pete Stauber	OPEN (Rick Nolan) Joe Radinovich	Northeast, Duluth	D: $1,236 R: $530	D: $553 R: $419	June 5	August 14	48.51	R +10	R +5.5	Likely R	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Lean R	45		Duluth (46.76%) Minneapolis (53.24%)	140 15		X	X		X	X				X	6			X		SV / AV	TakeAction Minnesota Minnesota Youth Collective	TakeAction Minnesota EF Minnesota Youth Collective		0.7140811698	18 to 25
56	MO 2	Ann Wagner	Ann Wagner	Cort VanOstran	St. Louis suburbs	D: $766 R: $362	D: $378 R: $2,613	March 27	August 7	32.6	R +7	R +3.9	Likely R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	32		St. Lous (100%)	21	VV: Mark Osmack				X											AV		MOVE c4		0.4590628359	1 to 2
57	MT AL	Greg Gianforte	Greg Gianforte	Kathleen Williams	Entire state	D: $2,077 R: $1,119	D: $1,221 R: $398	March 12	June 5	40.41	R +12	R +4.6	Likely R	Lean R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	27		Billings (23.64%) Butte (17.02%) Great Falls (17.01%) Missoula (29.10%)	167 185 192 164	EL: Kathleen Williams				X						31		X			SV	Forward Montana Montana Native Vote MT League of Rural Voters	Forward Montana Foundation Western Native Voice Montana Women Vote		0.4504154647	1 to 2
58	NC 2	George Holding	George Holding	Linda Coleman	Central, Fayetteville	D: $389 R: $657	D: $445 R: $257	February 28	May 8	41.17	R +6	R +5.4	Likely R	Lean R	Leans R	Toss-Up	Lean R	34		Raleigh (100%)	25	CWA: Linda Coleman		NDRC							X				X		SV / AV				0.7485435084	3 to 4
59	NC 7	David Rouzer	David Rouzer	Kyle Horton		D: $305 R: $231	D: $287 R: $1,404						Likely R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	30
60	NC 8	Richard Hudson	Richard Hudson	Frank McNeill	South central	D: $178 R: $436	D: $151 R: $1,265	February 28	May 8	35.14	R +9		Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Solid R	Safe R	10		Charlotte (44.58%) Raleigh (51.63%)	23 25			NDRC													SV / AV				0.6865471786	7 to 10
61	NC 9	NEW ELECTION	(OPEN) Robert Pittenger Mark Harris	Dan McCready	Charlotte suburbs to Fayatteville	D: $1,639 R: $688	D: $1,648 R: $469	February 28	May 8	no D	R +7		Toss-up	Toss-Up	Leans D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	51		Charlotte (62.85%) Myrtle Beach (23.22%) Raleigh (10.36%)	23 101 25	DCCC, SA, VV, BD, LCV, CWA, NDP, JS: Dan McCready		NDRC						X			X		X		SV / AV	Advance Carolina, Ignite NC Action	Blueprint / BLOC, etc		0.8439084887	4 to 5
62	NC 13	Kathy Manning	Ted Budd	Kathy Manning	Greensboro, High Point, and Southwest	D: $957 R: $655	D: $976 R: $824	February 28	May 8	42.69	R +6	R +6	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	27		Charlotte (27.73%) Greensboro (72.27%)	23 48	EL, DCCC, NARAL, Giffords, NDP: Kathy Manning		NDRC						X	X	34	X		X		SV / AV	Advance Carolina, Ignite NC Action	Blueprint / BLOC, etc		0.6317866341	3 to 5
63	NE 2	Kara Eastman	Don Bacon	Kara Eastman	Omaha	D: $1,245 R: $544	D: $438 R: $917	March 1	May 15	48.9	R +2	R +2	Lean R	Lean R	Leans R	Lean R	Likely R	19		Omaha (100%)	74	PCCC, JD, MO, EL, JS: Kara Eastman									X	8	X		X			BOLD Nebraska	BOLD Nebraska		0.6248112468	3 to 5
64	NH 1	Chris Pappas	Eddie Edwards	OPEN (Carol Shea-Porter) Chris Pappas	East, Manchester	D: $813 R: $280	D: $560 R: $181	June 15	September 11	48.11	R +2	D +8.5	Likely D	Likely D	Leans D	Lean D	Lean D	70		Boston (92.23%)	10	VV, EL, SA: Maura Sullivan CWA: Mark Mackenzie Giffords: Chris Pappas	X	X							X	14					AV	Rights and Democracy	Rights and Democracy		0.6111563187	3 to 5
65	NH 2	Ann Kuster	Steve Negron	Ann Kuster	West, Nashua	D: $470 R: $65	D: $1,937 R: $33	June 15	September 11	54.87	D +0		Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	96		Boston (75.30%) Burlington (19.68%)	10 97	CWA, EL: Ann Kuster		X							X						AV	Rights and Democracy	Rights and Democracy		0.7077476111	7 to 10
66	NJ 2	Jeff Van Drew	OPEN (Frank LoBiondo) Seth Grossman	Jeff Van Drew	Cape May, Atlantic City	D: $509 R: $110	D: $875 R: $124	April 2	June 5	37.27	R +4	D +7.6	Solid D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	79	CLF, NRCC never reserved ad time	Philadelphia (94.55%)	4	BD, DCCC: Jeff Van Drew	X							X	X		X					New Jersey Organizing Project	New Jersey Organizing Project		0.7553460613	3 to 4
67	NJ 3	Andy Kim	Tom MacArthur	Andy Kim	South central - Philly to coast	D: $2,246 R: $502	D: $1,083 R: $918	April 2	June 5	44.35	R +4	D +1.3	Lean D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	49		New York (42.66%) Philadelphia (57.34%)	1 4	DCCC, PCCC, CPC, NARAL, Giffords, MO, BO, JB, JS: Andy Kim											X		X			New Jersey Organizing Project	New Jersey Organizing Project		0.9096866791	9 to 10
68	NJ 4	Chris Smith	Chris Smith	Josh Welle	Central	D: $753 R: $264	D: $335 R: $645	April 2	June 5	31.12	R +8		Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Likely R	Safe R	13		New York (86.06%) Philadelphia (13.94%)	1 4																				0.6182477088	3 to 5
69	NJ 5	Joshua Gottheimer	John McCann	Joshua Gottheimer	Northern suburbs, Hackensack	D: $1,087 R: $146	D: $5,059 R: $33	April 2	June 5	43.3	R +2		Solid D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	90		New York (100%)	1									X	X	16									0.7522593429	3 to 4
70	NJ 7	Tom Malinowski	Leonard Lance	Tom Malinowski	Northern central suburbs	D: $2,250 R: $559	D: $909 R: $1,032	April 2	June 5	38.77	R +1	D +5	Likely D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	54		New York (100%)	1	NDP, BO, JS: Tom Malinowski							X	X	X	43	X		X				New Jersey Citizen Action		0.6627783015	2 to 3
71	NJ 11	Mikie Sherrill	OPEN (Rodney Frelinghuysen) Jay Webber	Mikie Sherrill	Morris County	D: $2,763 R: $454	D: $2,667 R: $626	April 2	June 5	37.43	R +2		Likely D	Lean D	Leans D	Lean D	Lean D	60		New York (100%)	1	DCCC, EL, SA, VV, Giffords, NARAL, NDP, JB: Mikie Sherrill	X							X	X	11	X		X	X			New Jersey Citizen Action		0.7087132988	1 to 3
72	NM 2	Xochitl Torres Small	OPEN (Steve Pearce) Yvette Herrell	Xochitl Torres Small	Las Cruces, Roswell, southern Albuquerque	D: $1,921 R: $562	D: $1,085 R: $419	March 13	June 5	35.53	R +7	D +1.8	Toss-up	Toss-Up	Lean D	Lean R	Toss-Up	33		Albuquerque (59.07%) El Paso (30.48%)	46 93	EL, DCCC, MO: Xochitl Torres Small	X	X						X			X	X	X		SV / AV	OLE	OLÉ ProgressNow New Mexico		0.7449229745	3 to 4
73	NV 3	Susie Lee	Danny Tarkanian	OPEN (Jacky Rosen) Susie Lee	Southern Las Vegas suburbs	D: $1,773 R: $662	D: $787 R: $482	March 16	June 12	36.13	R +2		Likely D	Lean D	Leans D	Likely D	Lean D	71	NRCC redirected entire reservation to NV 4	Las Vegas (100%)	40	DCCC, EL, LCV, Giffords, NARAL, NDP, BO: Susie Lee	X	NDRC		X	X			X	X	32		X	X	X	SV / AV		PLAN Action		0.4294879227	21 to 50
74	NV 4	Steven Horsford	Cresent Hardy	Steven Horsford	Northern Las Vegas suburbs	D: $920 R: $283	D: $380 R: $108	March 16	June 12	45.76	D +2		Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	90		Las Vegas (96.43)	40	OR, JD, IN: Amy Vileva CPC, BO: Steven Horsford	X	NDRC		X	X			X	X						SV / AV		PLAN Action		1.036588812	2 to 1
75	NY 1	Lee Zeldin	Lee Zeldin	Perry Gershon	Suffolk County	D: $1,507 R: $1,008	D: $535 R: $1,844	April 12	June 26	45.54	R +7	R +7.5	Solid R	Likely R	Leans R	Likely R	Likely R	23		New York (100%)	1	JS: Perry Gershon									X						SV		Long Island Progressive Caucus		0.6287854796	2 to 3
76	NY 2	Peter King	Peter King	Liuba Grechen Shirley	Parts of Long Island	D: $737 R: $202	D: $274 R: $2,877	April 12	June 26	30.01	R +3	R +6.6	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	72		New York (100%)	1	IN, EL: Liuba Gretchen Shirley															SV				0.6017964072	3 to 5
77	NY 11	Max Rose	Daniel Donovan	Max Rose	Staten Island	D: $1,623 R: $338	D: $277 R: $277	April 12	June 26	42.14	R +6	D +6	Likely R	Likely R	Leans R	Likely R	Lean R	27		New York (100%)	1	DCCC, VV, BD, NARAL, SA, WF, NDP: Max Rose								X	X	49	X	X			SV		Citizen Action of New York		1.06915119	2 to 1
78	NY 19	Antonio Delgado	John Faso	Antonio Delgado	Northern Hudson Valley	D: $3,812 R: $1,019	D: $1,749 R: $1,436	April 12	June 26	35.49	R +5	D +2.8	Lean D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	47		Albany (31.35%) New York (52.96%)	60 1	COLL, DCCC, BO, JS: Antonio Delgado								X	X	15	X		X	X	SV	Citizen Action of New York, Community Voices Heard Power	Citizen Action of New York,Community Voices Heard		1.137366142	2 to 1
79	NY 21	Elise Stefanik	Elise Stefanik	Tedra Cobb	Plattsburgh	D: $713 R: $555	D: $553 R: $1,345	April 12	June 26	33.81	R +7		Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	9		Burlington (24.12%) Watertown (35.57%)	97 179	IN: Tedra Cobb															SV				0.5641802312	1 to 2
80	NY 22	Anthony Brindisi	Claudia Tenney	Anthony Brindisi	Binghamton	D: $1,414 R: $767	D: $837 R: $769	April 12	June 26	no D	R +9	D +1.3	Lean D	Toss-Up	Lean D	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	44		Binghamton (36.21%) Syracuse (23.41%) Utica (40.39%)	161 85 171	DCCC, BD, NARAL, CWA, WF, Giffords, NDP: Anthony Brindisi								X	X	12	X				SV		Citizen Action of New York		0.566041616	14 to 25
81	NY 23	Tom Reed	Tom Reed	Tracy Mitrano	Southern Tier	D: $855 R: $632	D: $684 R: $1,293	April 12	June 26	38.28	R +9		Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	5		Buffalo (36.81%) Elmira (28.73%) Syracuse (19.06%)	53 176 85																SV		Citizen Action of New York		0.5913560507	3 to 5
82	NY 24	John Katko	John Katko	Dana Balter	Syracuse	D: $1,538 R: $481	D: $886 R: $930	April 12	June 26	40.31	D +1	R +6.2	Likely R	Lean R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	25		Rochester (13.07%) Syracuse (86.93%)	76 85	WF, DFA, PCCC, IN, EL: Dana Balter							X		X		X	X			SV		Citizen Action of New York		0.8908806945	9 to 10
83	NY 27	OPEN (Chris Collins)	OPEN (Chris Collins)	Nate McMurray	suburbs of Buffalo and Rochester	D: $520 R: $33	D: $1,011 R: $434	April 12	June 26		R +11	R +0.6	Likely R	Likely R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	2					X										X
84	OH 1	Steve Chabot	Steve Chabot	Aftab Pureval	Cincinatti	D: $1,525 R: $434	D: $1,089 R: $882	February 7	May 8	36.78	R +5	R +5.3	Likely R	Lean R	Toss-Up	Toss-Up	Lean R	30		Cincinatti (100%)	35	DCCC, Giffords, MO, BO: Aftab Pureval		NDRC	X	X				X							SV / AV	Stand Up for Ohio	Ohio Organizing Collaborative, Ohio Voices		0.5385629734	1 to 2
85	OH 7	Bob Gibbs	Bob Gibbs	Ken Harbaugh	Northeast	D: $817 R: $267	D: $507 R: $1,640	February 7	May 8	n/a	R +17		Solid R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	19		Cleveland (86.43%) Columbus, OH (13.57)	19 34	SA, VV, JB, JS: Ken Harbaugh		NDRC	X	X				X					X		SV / AV				0.4494542495	2 to 5
86	OH 10	Mike Turner	Mike Turner	Theresa Gasper	Dayton and southwest	D: $430 R: $176	D: $139 R: $328	February 7	May 8	31.53	R +5		Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	8		Dayton (96.63%)	64	EL: Theresa Gasper		NDRC	X	X											SV / AV				0.5991862938	3 to 5
87	OH 12	Troy Balderson	OPEN (Pat Tiberi) Troy Balderson	Danny O'Connor	north of Columbus	D: $5,823 R: $691	D: $1,064 R: $388	February 7	May 8	27.75	R +7		Lean R	Lean R	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	40		Cleveland (10.36%) Columbus, OH (81.48%)	19 34		X	NDRC	X	X					X						SV / AV	Stand Up for Ohio	Ohio Organizing Collaborative, Ohio Voice		0.3717414235	2 to 5
88	OH 14	David Joyce	David Joyce	Betsy Rader	Northeast	D: $710 R: $553	D: $298 R: $1,123	February 7	May 8	33.02	R +7		Likely R	Likely R	Leans R	Likely R	Likely R	40		Cleveland (96.81%)	19	EL, CWA, MO: Betsy Rader		NDRC	X	X				X							SV / AV				0.6136962826	3 to 5
89	OH 15	Steve Stivers	Steve Stivers	Rick Neal	Central, Columbus suburbs	D: $274 R: $445	D: $609 R: $1,936	February 7	May 8	33.98	R +7		Solid R	Solid R	Likely R	Likely R	Safe R	8		Columbus, OH (92.31%)	34			NDRC				X									SV / AV				0.4473981328	2 to 5
90	OH 16	Anthony Gonzalez	OPEN (Jim Renacci) Anthony Gonzalez	Susan Moran Palmer	Northeast	D: $99 R: $399	D: $157 R: $434	February 7	May 8	36.26	R +10		Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	5		Cleveland (100%)	19		X	NDRC	X	X											SV / AV				0.5635302602	3 to 5
91	OK 5	Kendra Horn	Steve Russell	Kendra Horn								D +1.4
92	PA 1	Brian Fitzpatrick	Brian Fitzpatrick	Scott Wallace	Philly suburbs (Bucks County)	D: $431 R: $630	D: $1,417 R: $1,202	March 20	May 15	n/a	R +1	R +2.6	Toss-up	Toss-Up	Lean R	Toss-Up	Toss-up	44		Philadelphia (100%)	4	CPC, JS: Scott Wallace		NDRC	X					X			X				SV / AV		Keystone Progress
93	PA 5	Mary Gay Scanlon	Pearl Kim	Mary Gay Scanlon	Delaware County							D +30.2		Likely D
94	PA 6	Chrissy Houlahan	OPEN (Ryan Costello) Greg McCauley	Chrissy Houlahan	Philly suburbs (Chester County)	D: $900 R: $65	D: $2,631 R: $129	March 20	May 15	n/a	R +1	D +17.6	Solid D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Safe D	73	NRCC, CLF never reserved ad time	Philadelphia (100%)	4	DCCC, EL, VV, SA, Giffords, NARAL, NDP: Chrissy Houlahan		NDRC	X				X	X	X					X	SV / AV		Keystone Progress	Ryan Costello (R) - incumbent from same district, new 6th has 50.46% of voters from old 6th	0.7582079572	3 to 4
95	PA 7	Susan Wild	OPEN (Patrick Meehan) Martin Northstein	Susan Wild	Lehigh valley	D: $1,330 R: $325	D: $874 R: $289	March 20	May 15	n/a	D +0	D +11.3	Likely D	Lean D	Leans D	Lean D	Lean D	65		Philadelphia (91.72%)	4	EL, MO, DCCC, BO: Susan Wild	X	NDRC	X				X	X	X		X		X		SV / AV		Keystone Progress		0.9187913799	23 to 25
96	PA 8	Matthew Cartwright	John Chrin	Matthew Cartwright	Scranton, Wilkes-Barre	D: $494 R: $231	D: $1,273 R: $620	March 20	May 15	n/a	R +1		Solid D	Likely D	Leans D	Likely D	Likely D	68		Wilkes-Barre (91.87%)	57	LCV, CPC: Matt Cartwright		NDRC	X						X		X				SV / AV		Keystone Progress	Matt Cartwright (D) - incumbent from 17th, new 8th has 47.53% of voters from old 17th	1.20662088	2 to 1
97	PA 10	Scott Perry	Scott Perry	George Scott	Harrisburg, York	D: $901 R: $327	D: $521 R: $542	March 20	May 15		R +6	R +2.6	Lean R	Toss-Up	Leans R	Lean R	Lean R	25		Harrisburg (100%)	45			NDRC	X								X
98	PA 11	Lloyd Smucker	Lloyd Smucker	Jess King	Lancaster County	D: $632 R: $254	D: $601 R: $162	March 20	May 15	n/a	R +10		Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	12		Harrisburg (100%)	45	DFA, PCCC, OR, JD, WF, CPC, MO: Jess King	X	NDRC	X												SV / AV			Lloyd Smucker (R) - incumbent from old 16th, new 11th has 68.97% of voters from old 16th	0.4518908033	2 to 5
99	PA 12	Thomas Marino	Thomas Marino	Marc Freidenberg	Rural northeast PA, Williamsport	D: $43 R: $181	D: $52 R: $149	March 20	May 15	n/a	R +17		Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	4		Harrisburg (16.62%) Johnstown (12.64%) Wilkes-Barre (62.31%)	45 107 57			NDRC																	0.3876164866	2 to 5
100	PA 14	Guy Reschenthaler	OPEN (Pat Murphy) Guy Reschenthaler	OPEN (Conor Lamb) Bibiana Boerio	Rural southwest PA, southwest Pittsburgh exurbs	D: $121 R: $389	D: $234 R: $253	March 20	May 15	n/a	R +14		Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Safe R	20		Pittsburgh (100%)	24		X	NDRC	X												SV / AV				0.3051837754	3 to 10