Tesla Delivery Estimates Survey
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129 entries
Actual deliveries ❯❯
139,300
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Average excluding min/max 10% ❯❯
143,185143,905143,99496.63%3.37%
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Median ❯❯145,000144,550145,00095.91%4.09%
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TimestampUsernameTwitterQ3 2020 Delivery Est [round 1, 24 Sep]Q3 2020 Delivery Est [round 2, 30 Sep]Q3 2020 Delivery Est [final estimate]AccuracyErrorLink to more info about your Q3 estimate [round 2]Link to your calculation for 2021Comments [round 2]
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30 Sep 2020, 04:5432no139,500139,50099.86%0.14%
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21 Sep 2020, 03:04Erwin@epostema138,950138,95099.75%-0.25%
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28 Sep 2020, 10:14ABEND138,950138,95099.75%-0.25%
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30 Sep 2020, 16:19Tesla Crossroads@Tesla_Indiana138,700138,70099.57%-0.43%
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21 Sep 2020, 09:23Dragonite@DragoniteDD140,000140,00099.50%0.50%
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23 Sep 2020, 21:36Josh@Joshjoshnjosh140,000140,00099.50%0.50%
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24 Sep 2020, 13:23tsla007140,000140,00099.50%0.50%
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28 Sep 2020, 12:58Chris D@stofkri7140,000140,00099.50%0.50%Best guess
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29 Sep 2020, 15:10Droulas@droulas13140,000140,00099.50%0.50%
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28 Sep 2020, 13:30Thinky78@Thinky78138,555138,55599.47%-0.53%
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21 Sep 2020, 03:35Varzel@Varzelhaar138,500138,50099.43%-0.57%
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28 Sep 2020, 08:14Tiki138,500138,50099.43%-0.57%
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29 Sep 2020, 15:56Doggydogworld140,300140,30099.28%0.72%Production 145k
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28 Sep 2020, 07:48Dr Eam Co Ding 🔋📈 $TSLA@xDreamCoding140,420140,42099.20%0.80%Let's go!
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28 Sep 2020, 07:56Dan138,000138,00099.07%-0.93%
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28 Sep 2020, 09:04iicsa@iicsa3138,000138,00099.07%-0.93%
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28 Sep 2020, 19:41James@TSLAFanMtl141,000138,000138,00099.07%-0.93%US 56k, EU 27k, China 40k, Canada 5k, RoW 10k
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28 Sep 2020, 07:45@cbotnyse@cbotnyse137,500137,50098.71%-1.29%
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28 Sep 2020, 07:45Jonathan Abraham
@Jonatha76691372
137,500137,50098.71%-1.29%
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30 Sep 2020, 11:48DarknStormy614@DarknStormy614142,433141,402141,40298.49%1.51%Great work, Troy. I think Europe registrations came in just a bit lower.
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29 Sep 2020, 14:49Andreas Hopf141,422141,42298.48%1.52%https://twitter.com/Andreas_Hopf/status/1311056289385111552
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21 Sep 2020, 00:31VBRaj@grajeevtvm142,000142,00098.06%1.94%
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21 Sep 2020, 16:28TSLA_John@John10510142,000142,00098.06%1.94%
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30 Sep 2020, 08:33ValueAnalyst@ValueAnalyst1142,000142,00098.06%1.94%
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21 Sep 2020, 09:22Bill_Freedom777@Bill_Freedom777142,069142,06998.01%1.99%
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28 Sep 2020, 12:16Bradford@bradsferguson142,069142,06998.01%1.99%
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28 Sep 2020, 14:36@B_HiTech142,069142,06998.01%1.99%
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29 Sep 2020, 16:45Glen Mullet@glenmullet1142,420142,42097.76%2.24%https://twitter.com/glenmullet1/status/1307031839111106561?s=20
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21 Sep 2020, 03:22Fyx0z@DiondeBoer142,500142,50097.70%2.30%
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30 Sep 2020, 04:28The Accountant142,500142,50097.70%2.30%
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22 Sep 2020, 00:03Naijamusings @naijamusings 142,599142,59997.63%2.37%
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20 Sep 2020, 22:32Mooroobee @mooroobee136,000136,00097.63%-2.37%
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28 Sep 2020, 07:54StultusVox@StultusVox 136,000136,00097.63%-2.37%
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22 Sep 2020, 06:05goku1996@StodolakSzymon142,933142,93397.39%2.61%
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30 Sep 2020, 16:40Troy Teslike@TroyTeslike143,051143,05197.31%2.69%https://twitter.com/TroyTeslike/status/1311407099717525505
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30 Sep 2020, 16:47systim@mrwgreig144,420143,420143,42097.04%2.96%108420 Fremont; 35000 Shanghai
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28 Sep 2020, 09:04Denis Szwarc@DenisSzwarc1135,110135,11096.99%-3.01%I think we shouldn't expect 144k, but 135k is very possible.
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20 Sep 2020, 22:37Raj Jain @JainRajsapan 135,000135,00096.91%-3.09%
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21 Sep 2020, 09:52Shahab Khatibi@shahab_khatibi135,000135,00096.91%-3.09%
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28 Sep 2020, 12:14Fish135,000135,00096.91%-3.09%
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28 Sep 2020, 13:27FMF135,000135,00096.91%-3.09%
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29 Sep 2020, 03:47Jason135,000135,00096.91%-3.09%
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29 Sep 2020, 14:40elontusk135,000135,00096.91%-3.09%
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30 Sep 2020, 19:10@scidood@scidood134,500134,948134,94896.88%-3.12%https://twitter.com/scidood/status/1311488080684224512?s=20This is an upper limit estimate.
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30 Sep 2020, 01:31garyblack00@garyblack00144,100144,10096.55%3.45%
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21 Sep 2020, 07:46ValuePilot144,650144,65096.16%3.84%
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23 Sep 2020, 02:40Prin@premoil144,840144,84096.02%3.98%
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20 Sep 2020, 22:15김영백145,000145,00095.91%4.09%
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20 Sep 2020, 23:01elonsworld@elonsworld145,000145,00095.91%4.09%
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21 Sep 2020, 13:32NIOtime@theniotime145,000145,00095.91%4.09%
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28 Sep 2020, 07:50Matt145,000145,00095.91%4.09%
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29 Sep 2020, 11:00Daniela146,278145,123145,12395.82%4.18%
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28 Sep 2020, 09:46Mighty Tesla@MightyTesla145,200145,20095.76%4.24%
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28 Sep 2020, 09:53xHitoBiteZ@xhitobitez144,850145,750145,75095.37%4.63%Fremont 108750; Shanghai 37000
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20 Sep 2020, 22:14StocklyticsCo@StocklyticsCo145,800145,80095.33%4.67%
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30 Sep 2020, 02:05@3xaprn3@3xaprn3144,750145,950145,95095.23%4.77%
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20 Sep 2020, 22:48Lars Ove Skarseth@Lskarseth146,000146,00095.19%4.81%
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28 Sep 2020, 08:01aBrohanLincoln@therealbmaster146,000146,00095.19%4.81%
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29 Sep 2020, 03:57TeslafY146,000146,000146,00095.19%4.81%
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21 Sep 2020, 11:51Napknicker146,235146,23595.02%4.98%
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28 Sep 2020, 07:46Princess Mononoke @uwauRenato146,320146,32094.96%5.04%
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21 Sep 2020, 04:02XAVI@xaviescm146,425146,42594.89%5.11%
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21 Sep 2020, 05:33Hee@heemsen_146,528146,52894.81%5.19%
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20 Sep 2020, 22:56OzStomper@OzStomper132,000132,00094.76%-5.24%
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20 Sep 2020, 23:23Donald trump 132,000132,00094.76%-5.24%
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21 Sep 2020, 04:48tslajackpot146,800146,80094.62%5.38%
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30 Sep 2020, 14:16Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt146,876146,87694.56%5.44%https://twitter.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1311414228549611522?s=20
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20 Sep 2020, 23:09Esa147,000147,00094.47%5.53%
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23 Sep 2020, 03:36Lu@Luyola147,000147,00094.47%5.53%
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20 Sep 2020, 23:26James@Jamescarlisle35147,240147,24094.30%5.70%
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28 Sep 2020, 09:05George Andersson @lightningbolt147,350147,35094.22%5.78%
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28 Sep 2020, 08:51Lukey g @lukegooderham1147,358147,35894.22%5.78%
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21 Sep 2020, 08:42Daniel V@smalltowndaniel147,741147,74193.94%6.06%
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20 Sep 2020, 22:19igm95@igm95147,808147,80893.89%6.11%
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29 Sep 2020, 23:08skirtap@skirtap147,875147,87593.84%6.16%
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21 Sep 2020, 14:51bumsi@bumsitheburner147,999147,99993.76%6.24%
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21 Sep 2020, 10:01Duncana28148,000148,00093.75%6.25%
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28 Sep 2020, 14:03JC_finance@JC_finance148,000148,00093.75%6.25%
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30 Sep 2020, 07:57Serious Callers Only@EthicsGradient148,000148,00093.75%6.25%
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21 Sep 2020, 03:10Luchezar Ivanov148,300148,30093.54%6.46%
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21 Sep 2020, 09:56Ragtime Joe148,300148,30093.54%6.46%
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28 Sep 2020, 12:07Tesla Intelligence UK@TIntelUK148,350148,35093.50%6.50%
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20 Sep 2020, 22:13Sabonis @Nurkbonis 148,420148,42093.45%6.55%
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28 Sep 2020, 09:40Nooblade@Nooblade148,436148,43693.44%6.56%
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21 Sep 2020, 00:09FiftyOne@51industries148,500148,50093.40%6.60%
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30 Sep 2020, 22:28Professor Tournesol@sjoerd87777991148,535148,53593.37%6.63%
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28 Sep 2020, 07:46Benjamin @DaBoosterCali148,550148,55093.36%6.64%
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28 Sep 2020, 08:51John Swith120,000130,000130,00093.32%-6.68%
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28 Sep 2020, 10:55Hadi A.@giscope130,000130,00093.32%-6.68%
Elon's tweet about the best quarter + trying to keep my own expectations low
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28 Sep 2020, 10:06Jimmy@jimmy_3110149,000149,00093.04%6.96%MIC 38k EU 32K APAC 10k NA 69K
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28 Sep 2020, 10:44SraM@SraMYaguchi149,000149,00093.04%6.96%
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28 Sep 2020, 12:56Kevinjreiling@yahoo.com @kevin_reiling 149,000149,00093.04%6.96%
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29 Sep 2020, 14:32Tesla Neutral@TeslaNeutral129,600129,60093.04%-6.96%
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20 Sep 2020, 22:15Marcus Christiansen@crizzbee149,300149,30092.82%7.18%
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20 Sep 2020, 22:15Hans jain150,000150,00092.32%7.68%
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20 Sep 2020, 22:21raniva150,000150,00092.32%7.68%