| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 129 entries | Actual deliveries ❯❯ | 139,300 | ||||||||||
2 | Average excluding min/max 10% ❯❯ | 143,185 | 143,905 | 143,994 | 96.63% | 3.37% | |||||||
3 | Median ❯❯ | 145,000 | 144,550 | 145,000 | 95.91% | 4.09% | |||||||
4 | Timestamp | Username | Q3 2020 Delivery Est [round 1, 24 Sep] | Q3 2020 Delivery Est [round 2, 30 Sep] | Q3 2020 Delivery Est [final estimate] | Accuracy | Error | Link to more info about your Q3 estimate [round 2] | Link to your calculation for 2021 | Comments [round 2] | |||
5 | 30 Sep 2020, 04:54 | 32no | 139,500 | 139,500 | 99.86% | 0.14% | |||||||
6 | 21 Sep 2020, 03:04 | Erwin | @epostema | 138,950 | 138,950 | 99.75% | -0.25% | ||||||
7 | 28 Sep 2020, 10:14 | ABEND | 138,950 | 138,950 | 99.75% | -0.25% | |||||||
8 | 30 Sep 2020, 16:19 | Tesla Crossroads | @Tesla_Indiana | 138,700 | 138,700 | 99.57% | -0.43% | ||||||
9 | 21 Sep 2020, 09:23 | Dragonite | @DragoniteDD | 140,000 | 140,000 | 99.50% | 0.50% | ||||||
10 | 23 Sep 2020, 21:36 | Josh | @Joshjoshnjosh | 140,000 | 140,000 | 99.50% | 0.50% | ||||||
11 | 24 Sep 2020, 13:23 | tsla007 | 140,000 | 140,000 | 99.50% | 0.50% | |||||||
12 | 28 Sep 2020, 12:58 | Chris D | @stofkri7 | 140,000 | 140,000 | 99.50% | 0.50% | Best guess | |||||
13 | 29 Sep 2020, 15:10 | Droulas | @droulas13 | 140,000 | 140,000 | 99.50% | 0.50% | ||||||
14 | 28 Sep 2020, 13:30 | Thinky78 | @Thinky78 | 138,555 | 138,555 | 99.47% | -0.53% | ||||||
15 | 21 Sep 2020, 03:35 | Varzel | @Varzelhaar | 138,500 | 138,500 | 99.43% | -0.57% | ||||||
16 | 28 Sep 2020, 08:14 | Tiki | 138,500 | 138,500 | 99.43% | -0.57% | |||||||
17 | 29 Sep 2020, 15:56 | Doggydogworld | 140,300 | 140,300 | 99.28% | 0.72% | Production 145k | ||||||
18 | 28 Sep 2020, 07:48 | Dr Eam Co Ding 🔋📈 $TSLA | @xDreamCoding | 140,420 | 140,420 | 99.20% | 0.80% | Let's go! | |||||
19 | 28 Sep 2020, 07:56 | Dan | 138,000 | 138,000 | 99.07% | -0.93% | |||||||
20 | 28 Sep 2020, 09:04 | iicsa | @iicsa3 | 138,000 | 138,000 | 99.07% | -0.93% | ||||||
21 | 28 Sep 2020, 19:41 | James | @TSLAFanMtl | 141,000 | 138,000 | 138,000 | 99.07% | -0.93% | US 56k, EU 27k, China 40k, Canada 5k, RoW 10k | ||||
22 | 28 Sep 2020, 07:45 | @cbotnyse | @cbotnyse | 137,500 | 137,500 | 98.71% | -1.29% | ||||||
23 | 28 Sep 2020, 07:45 | Jonathan Abraham | @Jonatha76691372 | 137,500 | 137,500 | 98.71% | -1.29% | ||||||
24 | 30 Sep 2020, 11:48 | DarknStormy614 | @DarknStormy614 | 142,433 | 141,402 | 141,402 | 98.49% | 1.51% | Great work, Troy. I think Europe registrations came in just a bit lower. | ||||
25 | 29 Sep 2020, 14:49 | Andreas Hopf | 141,422 | 141,422 | 98.48% | 1.52% | https://twitter.com/Andreas_Hopf/status/1311056289385111552 | ||||||
26 | 21 Sep 2020, 00:31 | VBRaj | @grajeevtvm | 142,000 | 142,000 | 98.06% | 1.94% | ||||||
27 | 21 Sep 2020, 16:28 | TSLA_John | @John10510 | 142,000 | 142,000 | 98.06% | 1.94% | ||||||
28 | 30 Sep 2020, 08:33 | ValueAnalyst | @ValueAnalyst1 | 142,000 | 142,000 | 98.06% | 1.94% | ||||||
29 | 21 Sep 2020, 09:22 | Bill_Freedom777 | @Bill_Freedom777 | 142,069 | 142,069 | 98.01% | 1.99% | ||||||
30 | 28 Sep 2020, 12:16 | Bradford | @bradsferguson | 142,069 | 142,069 | 98.01% | 1.99% | ||||||
31 | 28 Sep 2020, 14:36 | @B_HiTech | 142,069 | 142,069 | 98.01% | 1.99% | |||||||
32 | 29 Sep 2020, 16:45 | Glen Mullet | @glenmullet1 | 142,420 | 142,420 | 97.76% | 2.24% | https://twitter.com/glenmullet1/status/1307031839111106561?s=20 | |||||
33 | 21 Sep 2020, 03:22 | Fyx0z | @DiondeBoer | 142,500 | 142,500 | 97.70% | 2.30% | ||||||
34 | 30 Sep 2020, 04:28 | The Accountant | 142,500 | 142,500 | 97.70% | 2.30% | |||||||
35 | 22 Sep 2020, 00:03 | Naijamusings | @naijamusings | 142,599 | 142,599 | 97.63% | 2.37% | ||||||
36 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:32 | Mooroobee | @mooroobee | 136,000 | 136,000 | 97.63% | -2.37% | ||||||
37 | 28 Sep 2020, 07:54 | StultusVox | @StultusVox | 136,000 | 136,000 | 97.63% | -2.37% | ||||||
38 | 22 Sep 2020, 06:05 | goku1996 | @StodolakSzymon | 142,933 | 142,933 | 97.39% | 2.61% | ||||||
39 | 30 Sep 2020, 16:40 | Troy Teslike | @TroyTeslike | 143,051 | 143,051 | 97.31% | 2.69% | https://twitter.com/TroyTeslike/status/1311407099717525505 | |||||
40 | 30 Sep 2020, 16:47 | systim | @mrwgreig | 144,420 | 143,420 | 143,420 | 97.04% | 2.96% | 108420 Fremont; 35000 Shanghai | ||||
41 | 28 Sep 2020, 09:04 | Denis Szwarc | @DenisSzwarc1 | 135,110 | 135,110 | 96.99% | -3.01% | I think we shouldn't expect 144k, but 135k is very possible. | |||||
42 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:37 | Raj Jain | @JainRajsapan | 135,000 | 135,000 | 96.91% | -3.09% | ||||||
43 | 21 Sep 2020, 09:52 | Shahab Khatibi | @shahab_khatibi | 135,000 | 135,000 | 96.91% | -3.09% | ||||||
44 | 28 Sep 2020, 12:14 | Fish | 135,000 | 135,000 | 96.91% | -3.09% | |||||||
45 | 28 Sep 2020, 13:27 | FMF | 135,000 | 135,000 | 96.91% | -3.09% | |||||||
46 | 29 Sep 2020, 03:47 | Jason | 135,000 | 135,000 | 96.91% | -3.09% | |||||||
47 | 29 Sep 2020, 14:40 | elontusk | 135,000 | 135,000 | 96.91% | -3.09% | |||||||
48 | 30 Sep 2020, 19:10 | @scidood | @scidood | 134,500 | 134,948 | 134,948 | 96.88% | -3.12% | https://twitter.com/scidood/status/1311488080684224512?s=20 | This is an upper limit estimate. | |||
49 | 30 Sep 2020, 01:31 | garyblack00 | @garyblack00 | 144,100 | 144,100 | 96.55% | 3.45% | ||||||
50 | 21 Sep 2020, 07:46 | ValuePilot | 144,650 | 144,650 | 96.16% | 3.84% | |||||||
51 | 23 Sep 2020, 02:40 | Prin | @premoil | 144,840 | 144,840 | 96.02% | 3.98% | ||||||
52 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:15 | 김영백 | 145,000 | 145,000 | 95.91% | 4.09% | |||||||
53 | 20 Sep 2020, 23:01 | elonsworld | @elonsworld | 145,000 | 145,000 | 95.91% | 4.09% | ||||||
54 | 21 Sep 2020, 13:32 | NIOtime | @theniotime | 145,000 | 145,000 | 95.91% | 4.09% | ||||||
55 | 28 Sep 2020, 07:50 | Matt | 145,000 | 145,000 | 95.91% | 4.09% | |||||||
56 | 29 Sep 2020, 11:00 | Daniela | 146,278 | 145,123 | 145,123 | 95.82% | 4.18% | ||||||
57 | 28 Sep 2020, 09:46 | Mighty Tesla | @MightyTesla | 145,200 | 145,200 | 95.76% | 4.24% | ||||||
58 | 28 Sep 2020, 09:53 | xHitoBiteZ | @xhitobitez | 144,850 | 145,750 | 145,750 | 95.37% | 4.63% | Fremont 108750; Shanghai 37000 | ||||
59 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:14 | StocklyticsCo | @StocklyticsCo | 145,800 | 145,800 | 95.33% | 4.67% | ||||||
60 | 30 Sep 2020, 02:05 | @3xaprn3 | @3xaprn3 | 144,750 | 145,950 | 145,950 | 95.23% | 4.77% | |||||
61 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:48 | Lars Ove Skarseth | @Lskarseth | 146,000 | 146,000 | 95.19% | 4.81% | ||||||
62 | 28 Sep 2020, 08:01 | aBrohanLincoln | @therealbmaster | 146,000 | 146,000 | 95.19% | 4.81% | ||||||
63 | 29 Sep 2020, 03:57 | TeslafY | 146,000 | 146,000 | 146,000 | 95.19% | 4.81% | ||||||
64 | 21 Sep 2020, 11:51 | Napknicker | 146,235 | 146,235 | 95.02% | 4.98% | |||||||
65 | 28 Sep 2020, 07:46 | Princess Mononoke | @uwauRenato | 146,320 | 146,320 | 94.96% | 5.04% | ||||||
66 | 21 Sep 2020, 04:02 | XAVI | @xaviescm | 146,425 | 146,425 | 94.89% | 5.11% | ||||||
67 | 21 Sep 2020, 05:33 | Hee | @heemsen_ | 146,528 | 146,528 | 94.81% | 5.19% | ||||||
68 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:56 | OzStomper | @OzStomper | 132,000 | 132,000 | 94.76% | -5.24% | ||||||
69 | 20 Sep 2020, 23:23 | Donald trump | 132,000 | 132,000 | 94.76% | -5.24% | |||||||
70 | 21 Sep 2020, 04:48 | tslajackpot | 146,800 | 146,800 | 94.62% | 5.38% | |||||||
71 | 30 Sep 2020, 14:16 | Sawyer Merritt | @SawyerMerritt | 146,876 | 146,876 | 94.56% | 5.44% | https://twitter.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1311414228549611522?s=20 | |||||
72 | 20 Sep 2020, 23:09 | Esa | 147,000 | 147,000 | 94.47% | 5.53% | |||||||
73 | 23 Sep 2020, 03:36 | Lu | @Luyola | 147,000 | 147,000 | 94.47% | 5.53% | ||||||
74 | 20 Sep 2020, 23:26 | James | @Jamescarlisle35 | 147,240 | 147,240 | 94.30% | 5.70% | ||||||
75 | 28 Sep 2020, 09:05 | George Andersson | @lightningbolt | 147,350 | 147,350 | 94.22% | 5.78% | ||||||
76 | 28 Sep 2020, 08:51 | Lukey g | @lukegooderham1 | 147,358 | 147,358 | 94.22% | 5.78% | ||||||
77 | 21 Sep 2020, 08:42 | Daniel V | @smalltowndaniel | 147,741 | 147,741 | 93.94% | 6.06% | ||||||
78 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:19 | igm95 | @igm95 | 147,808 | 147,808 | 93.89% | 6.11% | ||||||
79 | 29 Sep 2020, 23:08 | skirtap | @skirtap | 147,875 | 147,875 | 93.84% | 6.16% | ||||||
80 | 21 Sep 2020, 14:51 | bumsi | @bumsitheburner | 147,999 | 147,999 | 93.76% | 6.24% | ||||||
81 | 21 Sep 2020, 10:01 | Duncana28 | 148,000 | 148,000 | 93.75% | 6.25% | |||||||
82 | 28 Sep 2020, 14:03 | JC_finance | @JC_finance | 148,000 | 148,000 | 93.75% | 6.25% | ||||||
83 | 30 Sep 2020, 07:57 | Serious Callers Only | @EthicsGradient | 148,000 | 148,000 | 93.75% | 6.25% | ||||||
84 | 21 Sep 2020, 03:10 | Luchezar Ivanov | 148,300 | 148,300 | 93.54% | 6.46% | |||||||
85 | 21 Sep 2020, 09:56 | Ragtime Joe | 148,300 | 148,300 | 93.54% | 6.46% | |||||||
86 | 28 Sep 2020, 12:07 | Tesla Intelligence UK | @TIntelUK | 148,350 | 148,350 | 93.50% | 6.50% | ||||||
87 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:13 | Sabonis | @Nurkbonis | 148,420 | 148,420 | 93.45% | 6.55% | ||||||
88 | 28 Sep 2020, 09:40 | Nooblade | @Nooblade | 148,436 | 148,436 | 93.44% | 6.56% | ||||||
89 | 21 Sep 2020, 00:09 | FiftyOne | @51industries | 148,500 | 148,500 | 93.40% | 6.60% | ||||||
90 | 30 Sep 2020, 22:28 | Professor Tournesol | @sjoerd87777991 | 148,535 | 148,535 | 93.37% | 6.63% | ||||||
91 | 28 Sep 2020, 07:46 | Benjamin | @DaBoosterCali | 148,550 | 148,550 | 93.36% | 6.64% | ||||||
92 | 28 Sep 2020, 08:51 | John Swith | 120,000 | 130,000 | 130,000 | 93.32% | -6.68% | ||||||
93 | 28 Sep 2020, 10:55 | Hadi A. | @giscope | 130,000 | 130,000 | 93.32% | -6.68% | Elon's tweet about the best quarter + trying to keep my own expectations low | |||||
94 | 28 Sep 2020, 10:06 | Jimmy | @jimmy_3110 | 149,000 | 149,000 | 93.04% | 6.96% | MIC 38k EU 32K APAC 10k NA 69K | |||||
95 | 28 Sep 2020, 10:44 | SraM | @SraMYaguchi | 149,000 | 149,000 | 93.04% | 6.96% | ||||||
96 | 28 Sep 2020, 12:56 | Kevinjreiling@yahoo.com | @kevin_reiling | 149,000 | 149,000 | 93.04% | 6.96% | ||||||
97 | 29 Sep 2020, 14:32 | Tesla Neutral | @TeslaNeutral | 129,600 | 129,600 | 93.04% | -6.96% | ||||||
98 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:15 | Marcus Christiansen | @crizzbee | 149,300 | 149,300 | 92.82% | 7.18% | ||||||
99 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:15 | Hans jain | 150,000 | 150,000 | 92.32% | 7.68% | |||||||
100 | 20 Sep 2020, 22:21 | raniva | 150,000 | 150,000 | 92.32% | 7.68% |