What Happened Last Tuesday: Part 2 – Who Did They Vote For?

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	K	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	V	W	X	Y	Z	AA	AB	AC	AD	AE	AF	AG	AH	AI	AJ	AK
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2		Estimated Voting Patterns																																			Updated as of 05/21/2019
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4		Percent of Electorate							Democratic Vote Margin						2018 House			2016 President			2014 House			2012 President			2010 House			2008 President			Composition Change		Dem Margin Change
5	Group	2018	2016	2014	2012	2010	2008	2006*	2018	2016	2014	2012	2010	2008	Dem	Rep	Other	Dem	Rep	Other	Dem	Rep	Other	Dem	Rep	Other	Dem	Rep	Other	Dem	Rep	Other	2014 to 2018	2016 to 2018	2014 to 2018	2016 to 2018	Group

6	Total*	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	+7	+2	-3	+4	-5	+8	53	46	1	48	46	6	47	50	3	51	47	2	46	51	3	53	45	1	0	0	+10	+5	Total*
7	Modeled Historical Republican	34	33	40	35	41	34	38	-67	-67	-76	-74	-73	-73	16	83	1	14	81	5	11	88	1	12	86	2	12	85	3	13	86	1	-6	+0	+9	-0	Modeled Historical Republican
8	Modeled Historical Middle	31	31	26	29	25	29	27	+11	-1	-1	+3	-1	+7	55	44	1	45	46	9	47	48	5	50	47	3	48	49	3	52	45	2	+5	+0	+12	+12	Modeled Historical Middle
9	Modeled Historical Democrat	35	35	34	36	34	37	35	+76	+70	+80	+81	+76	+82	87	12	1	83	13	5	89	9	2	90	9	1	87	11	2	91	8	1	+1	-0	-4	+6	Modeled Historical Democrat
10	White	75	74	79	76	79	77	82	-11	-19	-17	-15	-19	-8	44	55	1	37	56	7	41	57	2	41	57	2	39	58	3	45	53	2	-4	+0	+6	+8	White
11	Black	12	12	11	13	11	12	9	+90	+93	+74	+93	+80	+90	94	5	1	96	3	1	85	11	4	96	3	0	89	9	2	95	5	0	+1	-0	+15	-3	Black
12	Hispanic/Latino	8	9	6	7	6	7	5	+42	+46	+27	+38	+21	+27	70	28	1	71	24	5	61	33	6	67	30	3	58	37	5	63	36	1	+3	-0	+15	-4	Hispanic/Latino
13	Asian/Other	5	5	4	5	4	4	4	+32	+31	+8	+35	+19	+26	65	33	2	62	31	7	50	42	8	67	32	1	57	39	4	62	36	2	+1	-0	+24	+1	Asian/Other
14	18-29	11	14	8	14	9	16	9	+34	+25	+20	+26	+10	+29	66	32	1	56	30	14	58	38	4	62	36	3	53	43	4	64	35	1	+3	-3	+14	+9	18-29
15	30-44	21	22	18	23	20	24	23	+26	+14	-3	+7	-0	+14	62	36	2	53	39	8	47	50	4	52	45	3	48	48	4	56	42	1	+2	-2	+29	+11	30-44
16	45-64	39	39	43	40	45	40	44	+0	-3	-6	+2	-5	+3	49	49	1	46	49	5	46	52	2	50	48	1	46	51	3	51	48	1	-4	+0	+6	+3	45-64
17	65+	29	25	31	23	26	20	24	-6	-14	-5	-8	-13	-8	46	53	1	42	56	2	46	52	2	46	53	1	43	55	2	45	53	2	-2	+4	-1	+8	65+
18	18-24	6	8	4	8	5	9	5	+25	+20	+19	+27	+10	+33	62	37	1	52	32	16	57	38	4	62	35	3	53	43	4	66	33	1	+2	-2	+6	+5	18-24
19	25-29	5	7	4	6	4	7	4	+43	+31	+21	+25	+11	+24	71	28	1	60	28	12	58	37	4	61	36	2	53	42	5	62	38	1	+2	-1	+22	+12	25-29
20	30-39	13	15	11	14	12	15	13	+31	+19	-0	+11	+3	+17	65	34	2	55	36	9	48	48	4	54	43	3	49	47	4	58	41	1	+2	-1	+31	+12	30-39
21	40-49	15	16	16	18	19	20	21	+10	+2	-8	+2	-6	+5	54	44	1	48	46	6	45	52	3	50	48	2	45	51	3	52	47	1	-0	-1	+17	+7	40-49
22	50-64	31	30	34	31	34	29	33	-1	-3	-6	+2	-4	+3	49	50	1	46	50	4	46	52	2	50	48	1	47	51	2	51	48	1	-4	+1	+4	+2	50-64
23	65+	29	25	31	23	26	20	24	-6	-14	-5	-8	-13	-8	46	53	1	42	56	2	46	52	2	46	53	1	43	55	2	45	53	2	-2	+4	-1	+8	65+
24	Non-College	65	66	66	67	68	69	69	+1	-2	-1	+2	-6	+8	50	49	1	46	48	5	48	49	3	50	48	2	45	52	3	53	45	2	-2	-1	+2	+3	Non-College
25	College	35	34	34	33	32	31	31	+19	+11	-7	+9	-1	+7	59	40	1	52	41	7	45	53	2	54	45	2	48	49	3	53	46	1	+2	+1	+26	+8	College
26	Female	54	54	53	55	53	55	53	+17	+12	+4	+12	+4	+13	58	41	1	53	42	5	51	47	2	55	43	1	51	47	2	56	43	1	+1	-1	+13	+5	Female
27	Male	46	46	47	45	47	45	47	-4	-9	-11	-5	-14	+1	47	51	2	42	51	7	43	54	4	47	51	2	41	55	4	50	48	2	-1	+1	+7	+5	Male
28	White Non-College	47	48	52	50	53	52	56	-21	-28	-17	-21	-23	-10	39	60	1	33	61	6	40	57	2	39	59	2	37	60	3	44	54	2	-4	-1	-4	+7	White Non-College
29	White College	28	27	28	26	26	25	26	+6	-4	-17	-6	-11	-4	53	46	1	44	48	8	41	58	1	46	52	2	43	54	2	47	51	1	-0	+1	+23	+10	White College
30	Non-White Non-College	17	18	15	17	15	17	13	+62	+66	+55	+67	+54	+64	80	19	1	82	15	3	75	21	4	83	16	1	75	21	4	81	18	1	+3	-1	+7	-5	Non-White Non-College
31	Non-White College	8	8	6	7	6	6	5	+63	+61	+34	+63	+44	+48	81	18	1	78	18	4	64	30	7	81	18	2	70	27	3	74	25	1	+2	+0	+29	+2	Non-White College
32	White Women	39	40	41	40	41	41	43	-3	-12	-11	-9	-12	-4	48	51	1	41	53	5	44	55	1	45	54	2	43	55	2	48	51	1	-2	-0	+8	+9	White Women
33	White Men	36	35	38	35	38	35	39	-20	-28	-23	-23	-27	-13	39	59	2	32	60	8	37	60	3	37	61	2	35	61	4	42	56	2	-3	+1	+3	+8	White Men
34	Non-White Women	15	15	12	14	12	14	10	+71	+73	+55	+70	+60	+63	85	14	1	84	11	4	76	21	4	85	15	1	79	19	2	81	18	1	+3	-0	+16	-2	Non-White Women
35	Non-White Men	11	11	9	10	9	10	8	+50	+53	+40	+59	+39	+54	74	24	1	75	22	3	66	27	7	78	19	2	67	28	5	76	22	1	+2	-0	+10	-3	Non-White Men
36	Single	41	43	37	41	37	40	38	+30	+22	+20	+25	+15	+26	64	34	1	57	36	7	58	39	3	61	37	2	56	41	3	62	36	2	+4	-2	+10	+8	Single
37	Married	59	57	63	59	63	60	62	-8	-12	-17	-10	-16	-5	45	53	1	41	54	5	41	57	2	44	54	2	41	57	3	47	52	1	-4	+2	+8	+4	Married
38	Single Female	24	25	21	24	22	24	22	+38	+29	+27	+31	+21	+31	68	31	1	62	32	6	62	36	2	65	34	2	60	39	2	65	34	1	+2	-2	+11	+8	Single Female
39	Single Male	17	18	15	17	15	16	16	+19	+11	+10	+16	+6	+19	59	40	2	52	41	8	52	43	5	57	41	3	51	45	4	58	39	3	+2	-1	+10	+8	Single Male
40	Married Female	30	29	32	30	31	31	31	+1	-4	-12	-4	-8	-1	50	49	1	46	50	4	44	55	1	48	51	1	45	53	2	49	50	1	-1	+1	+12	+4	Married Female
41	Married Male	29	28	32	28	31	29	31	-18	-22	-22	-17	-24	-9	40	58	2	36	58	7	38	59	3	41	57	2	36	60	4	45	54	2	-3	+1	+4	+4	Married Male
42	White College Men	13	13	14	12	13	12	13	-2	-12	-24	-15	-18	-5	48	50	2	39	51	10	37	61	2	42	56	2	39	57	3	47	52	1	-0	+1	+22	+10	White College Men
43	White Non-College Men	22	22	25	23	25	24	26	-31	-37	-23	-28	-31	-17	34	65	2	28	65	7	37	60	3	35	63	2	33	64	4	40	57	3	-2	+0	-8	+6	White Non-College Men
44	White College Women	14	14	14	14	13	13	14	+14	+4	-10	+2	-4	-3	57	42	1	49	45	6	45	55	1	50	48	2	47	51	2	48	51	1	+0	+0	+24	+10	White College Women
45	White Non-College Women	25	26	27	27	28	28	29	-13	-20	-11	-14	-16	-4	43	56	1	37	58	5	44	55	1	42	56	2	41	57	2	47	52	1	-2	-1	-2	+7	White Non-College Women
46	Non-White Non-College Men	7	7	6	7	6	7	6	+51	+57	+45	+60	+43	+59	75	24	1	77	21	2	70	24	6	79	19	2	69	26	5	79	20	2	+1	-0	+6	-6	Non-White Non-College Men
47	Non-White Non-College Women	10	11	9	10	9	10	8	+69	+73	+61	+71	+62	+67	84	15	1	84	11	4	79	18	3	85	14	1	80	18	3	83	16	1	+2	-0	+8	-4	Non-White Non-College Women
48	Non-White College Men	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	+48	+45	+27	+56	+30	+42	73	25	2	70	26	4	59	32	9	77	20	3	63	33	4	70	29	1	+1	+0	+21	+3	Non-White College Men
49	Non-White College Women	4	4	3	4	3	4	3	+75	+73	+39	+68	+54	+53	87	12	1	84	11	5	67	28	4	84	16	1	76	22	2	76	23	1	+1	+0	+36	+2	Non-White College Women
50	White 18-29	7	9	6	9	6	11	7	+14	+1	+1	+1	-9	+10	56	42	1	42	41	18	49	48	3	49	48	3	43	52	4	55	45	1	+2	-2	+13	+13	White 18-29
51	White 30-44	14	15	13	16	15	18	18	+8	-9	-20	-17	-20	-4	53	45	2	41	49	10	38	59	3	40	57	3	38	58	4	47	51	2	+1	-1	+28	+16	White 30-44
52	White 45-64	29	29	34	31	36	31	37	-19	-24	-20	-16	-18	-11	40	59	1	35	59	5	40	59	1	41	57	1	40	58	2	44	55	1	-5	+0	+1	+5	White 45-64
53	White 65+	24	21	26	19	22	17	21	-20	-29	-15	-22	-23	-18	39	59	1	34	64	2	42	57	2	39	60	1	37	61	2	40	58	3	-2	+4	-5	+9	White 65+
54	Non-White 18-29	4	5	2	5	3	5	2	+69	+71	+66	+74	+57	+70	84	15	1	81	10	8	80	14	7	86	12	1	77	20	3	85	15	0	+2	-1	+3	-2	Non-White 18-29
55	Non-White 30-44	6	7	5	7	5	7	5	+66	+67	+45	+65	+55	+61	82	16	1	81	15	4	69	24	7	81	16	2	75	20	5	80	19	1	+2	-1	+21	-1	Non-White 30-44
56	Non-White 45-64	10	9	9	9	9	8	8	+58	+63	+46	+62	+47	+56	79	20	1	81	18	2	70	25	5	81	19	1	72	25	3	77	22	1	+1	+0	+12	-5	Non-White 45-64
57	Non-White 65+	5	4	5	4	4	3	3	+59	+58	+48	+65	+50	+49	79	20	1	78	20	1	73	25	3	82	17	1	74	24	2	74	25	1	+0	+1	+11	+1	Non-White 65+
58	White 18-24	4	5	3	5	3	6	3	+0	-8	-1	-1	-11	+13	50	49	1	36	44	20	48	49	3	48	49	3	43	53	4	56	43	1	+1	-1	+2	+8	White 18-24
59	White 25-29	4	4	3	4	3	5	3	+28	+10	+3	+2	-8	+6	63	36	1	48	37	15	50	47	4	50	48	3	44	51	5	52	47	1	+1	-1	+24	+17	White 25-29
60	White 30-39	9	10	8	10	9	11	10	+15	-3	-17	-13	-17	-1	56	42	2	43	46	11	40	57	3	42	55	3	40	57	4	48	50	2	+1	-1	+32	+18	White 30-39
61	White 40-49	11	12	12	13	14	15	17	-12	-23	-25	-21	-23	-12	43	55	2	35	58	7	37	62	2	38	60	2	37	60	3	43	55	1	-1	-1	+13	+11	White 40-49
62	White 50-64	23	23	27	24	28	23	27	-19	-24	-19	-15	-16	-10	40	59	1	36	59	5	40	59	1	42	57	1	41	57	2	44	54	1	-4	+1	-1	+4	White 50-64
63	White 65+	24	21	26	19	22	17	21	-20	-29	-15	-22	-23	-18	39	59	1	34	64	2	42	57	2	39	60	1	37	61	2	40	58	3	-2	+4	-5	+9	White 65+
64	Non-White 18-24	2	3	1	3	1	3	1	+67	+70	+65	+75	+56	+74	83	16	1	80	10	10	79	14	7	87	12	2	76	21	3	87	13	0	+1	-1	+2	-3	Non-White 18-24
65	Non-White 25-29	2	2	1	2	1	2	1	+72	+72	+67	+73	+58	+65	85	14	1	82	11	7	81	13	6	86	13	1	77	19	4	82	17	0	+1	-0	+4	+0	Non-White 25-29
66	Non-White 30-39	4	5	3	4	3	4	3	+67	+67	+46	+65	+57	+63	83	16	1	81	14	4	69	23	7	81	16	2	76	19	5	81	18	1	+1	-0	+21	-0	Non-White 30-39
67	Non-White 40-49	5	5	4	5	4	5	4	+61	+64	+44	+63	+49	+56	80	19	1	81	17	3	69	25	6	81	18	1	73	23	4	77	21	1	+1	-0	+18	-2	Non-White 40-49
68	Non-White 50-64	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	+58	+63	+46	+62	+48	+56	78	21	1	81	18	2	71	24	5	81	19	1	72	25	3	77	21	1	+0	+0	+11	-5	Non-White 50-64
69	Non-White 65+	5	4	5	4	4	3	3	+59	+58	+48	+65	+50	+49	79	20	1	78	20	1	73	25	3	82	17	1	74	24	2	74	25	1	+0	+1	+11	+1	Non-White 65+
70	White Single Women	16	17	15	16	16	16	17	+16	+3	+11	+7	+2	+12	58	41	1	48	45	7	55	44	1	52	46	2	50	48	1	56	43	1	+0	-1	+5	+14	White Single Women
71	White Single Men	12	13	12	12	12	12	13	+1	-13	-4	-7	-9	+1	50	49	2	39	51	10	46	50	4	45	52	3	43	52	4	49	48	3	+0	-0	+5	+13	White Single Men
72	White Married Women	24	23	26	24	26	25	26	-16	-22	-24	-20	-21	-14	42	57	1	37	59	4	38	61	1	39	59	2	39	60	2	42	57	1	-2	+1	+8	+6	White Married Women
73	White Married Men	23	22	26	23	26	24	26	-31	-36	-32	-31	-34	-21	34	65	2	28	64	7	33	65	2	33	65	2	31	65	3	39	59	2	-3	+1	+1	+5	White Married Men
74	Non-White Single Women	8	9	6	8	6	7	5	+80	+81	+66	+80	+70	+74	90	10	1	89	7	4	81	15	3	90	10	1	84	14	2	87	13	0	+2	-1	+14	-1	Non-White Single Women
75	Non-White Single Men	5	5	4	5	4	4	3	+63	+67	+52	+71	+54	+67	81	18	1	82	16	2	73	20	7	84	13	2	74	21	5	83	16	1	+1	-0	+11	-3	Non-White Single Men
76	Non-White Married Women	7	6	6	6	6	6	5	+60	+62	+43	+57	+49	+51	80	20	1	79	16	5	69	27	4	78	21	1	73	24	3	75	24	1	+1	+0	+17	-2	Non-White Married Women
77	Non-White Married Men	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	+38	+39	+30	+48	+29	+43	68	30	2	68	29	3	61	32	7	73	25	2	62	33	5	71	27	2	+0	+0	+8	-1	Non-White Married Men
78	Urban**	19	21	18	20	19	20	18	+49	+46	+36	+44	+33	+43	74	25	1	70	24	6	66	31	3	71	27	2	65	32	4	71	28	1	+2	-1	+13	+3	Urban**
79	Suburban	55	53	54	55	54	57	59	+9	+3	-5	+3	-8	+5	54	45	1	48	45	6	47	51	2	51	48	2	45	53	3	52	47	1	+1	+2	+13	+5	Suburban
80	Rural	26	26	29	26	27	23	23	-27	-34	-24	-23	-25	-17	36	63	1	30	64	6	36	61	3	37	61	2	36	61	3	41	58	1	-3	-1	-3	+6	Rural
81	Urban White	11	11	11	11	12	12	11	+32	+22	+23	+20	+16	+27	65	33	1	57	35	8	60	37	3	59	39	3	56	40	4	62	36	2	-0	-0	+9	+10	Urban White
82	Suburban White	42	41	43	42	44	45	49	-8	-16	-18	-15	-21	-9	45	53	1	39	54	7	40	58	1	42	57	2	39	59	2	45	54	2	-1	+1	+10	+8	Suburban White
83	Rural White	22	23	25	22	24	20	21	-38	-45	-32	-34	-33	-27	30	68	1	24	70	6	33	65	2	32	66	2	32	66	2	36	63	1	-3	-1	-6	+8	Rural White
84	Urban Non-White	9	10	7	9	7	9	6	+69	+73	+55	+74	+58	+65	84	15	1	85	12	4	76	20	4	86	12	1	77	19	4	82	17	1	+2	-1	+14	-4	Urban Non-White
85	Suburban Non-White	13	13	11	13	10	12	10	+61	+63	+47	+64	+48	+56	80	19	1	80	17	4	71	24	5	81	17	1	72	25	3	78	21	1	+3	+0	+14	-2	Suburban Non-White
86	Rural Non-White	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	+46	+46	+38	+51	+43	+56	73	26	1	71	25	3	65	27	7	75	24	1	70	26	4	77	21	2	-0	-0	+9	+0	Rural Non-White
87	Urban White College	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	+47	+36	+25	+31	+27	+28	73	26	1	64	27	9	62	37	1	64	33	3	62	35	3	63	35	1	+0	-0	+22	+11	Urban White College
88	Suburban White College	17	16	17	16	16	16	17	+5	-5	-21	-10	-17	-7	52	47	1	43	48	8	39	60	1	44	54	2	40	57	2	46	53	1	+0	+1	+26	+10	Suburban White College
89	Rural White College	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	-22	-33	-35	-22	-25	-23	38	60	1	30	63	8	31	67	2	38	60	2	36	61	3	38	61	1	-0	+0	+13	+11	Rural White College
90	Urban White Non-College	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	+20	+12	+21	+13	+9	+26	59	39	1	52	41	7	59	37	4	55	42	2	52	43	4	62	36	2	-0	-0	-1	+9	Urban White Non-College
91	Suburban White Non-College	25	24	26	26	28	29	32	-17	-23	-16	-18	-23	-10	41	58	1	35	58	6	41	57	2	40	58	2	37	60	2	44	54	2	-1	+0	-1	+6	Suburban White Non-College
92	Rural White Non-College	17	17	19	17	18	15	17	-43	-50	-31	-37	-36	-28	28	71	1	22	72	5	33	64	2	30	68	2	31	67	2	36	63	1	-3	-1	-12	+7	Rural White Non-College
93	Urban 18-29	3	4	2	3	2	4	2	+62	+58	+56	+62	+41	+57	81	18	1	73	15	13	76	20	4	80	17	3	69	27	4	78	21	1	+1	-1	+6	+5	Urban 18-29
94	Urban 30-44	5	5	4	5	4	5	4	+62	+56	+40	+51	+42	+50	80	18	2	74	18	7	68	27	5	74	23	3	69	26	5	74	25	1	+1	-0	+22	+6	Urban 30-44
95	Urban 45-64	7	7	7	7	8	7	8	+43	+42	+34	+40	+32	+38	71	28	1	69	27	4	66	31	3	69	30	1	64	32	3	68	30	2	-0	-0	+9	+1	Urban 45-64
96	Urban 65+	5	4	5	4	4	3	4	+37	+29	+27	+27	+21	+26	68	31	1	64	35	2	62	35	2	63	36	1	59	38	3	62	36	3	-0	+0	+10	+8	Urban 65+
97	Suburban 18-29	6	7	4	8	5	9	5	+34	+25	+20	+23	+7	+27	66	33	1	55	30	16	58	38	4	60	37	2	51	45	4	63	36	1	+2	-1	+14	+9	Suburban 18-29
98	Suburban 30-44	11	12	10	12	11	14	13	+27	+15	-5	+5	-3	+10	62	36	2	54	39	8	46	51	3	52	46	2	47	50	4	54	44	2	+1	-1	+32	+12	Suburban 30-44
99	Suburban 45-64	22	21	23	22	24	23	26	+2	-1	-8	+2	-8	+2	50	48	1	47	48	5	45	53	2	50	49	1	45	53	2	50	49	1	-2	+1	+10	+3	Suburban 45-64
100	Suburban 65+	16	13	17	12	14	12	15	-4	-12	-7	-9	-15	-12	47	52	1	43	55	2	46	53	2	45	54	1	42	57	2	43	55	2	-1	+3	+2	+8	Suburban 65+
101	Rural 18-29	2	3	2	3	2	3	2	-5	-16	-13	-7	-17	-1	47	52	1	35	51	14	41	54	5	45	52	2	39	56	5	49	50	0	+0	-1	+8	+12	Rural 18-29
102	Rural 30-44	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	-16	-29	-33	-32	-32	-12	41	57	2	31	60	10	31	64	5	33	65	3	32	64	4	43	56	1	-0	-1	+17	+13	Rural 30-44
103	Rural 45-64	10	11	13	11	13	10	11	-32	-36	-26	-22	-22	-21	33	65	1	30	66	4	36	62	2	38	60	2	38	60	2	39	60	1	-2	-0	-6	+4	Rural 45-64
104	Rural 65+	9	7	9	7	7	5	5	-33	-41	-20	-25	-27	-24	33	66	1	29	70	2	39	59	2	37	62	1	35	63	2	37	61	2	-1	+1	-13	+8	Rural 65+
105
106	* Data from 2006 is based on a slightly incomplete national file, and has more uncertainty.
107
108	** In midterm years, candidate preferences are projected for voters in uncontested races, to make trends more comparable across all years. As a result, "Total" numbers do not add up to the exact national topline
109
110	*** Urbanity is defined by the population density of census tracts
111	Urban = 75-100th Percentile
112	Suburban = 25-75th Percentile
113	Rural = 0-25th Percentile
114
115	Some estimates may be rounded for ease of display. If you click on a cell, it will show more detail.
116
117	The Catalist Data provided herein is done so on an "AS IS" basis for informational purposes only. Catalist makes no representations or warranties regarding the Catalist Data and disclaims any warranties, express or implied. By using the Catalist Data, you agree that such use shall be for non-commercial political or governmental purposes in strict accordance with all applicable laws, rules, and regulations. Catalist, LLC © All Rights Reserved.
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