Feb 28-29 Storm
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Feb. 28-29 storm
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Forecast "as of" dateWCCOKSTPFoxKAREStrib (blog)NWSMPR (blog)Weather.com@NovakWeatherRandy in ChamplinWCCO Mike Lynch
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Pre-Sunday EveningLatest model runs are “bullseyeing” the Twin Cities. A good 2 inches of flat out moisture. Expects widespread school closings10:12 a.m. Paralyzing Winter Storm still on track 4 so. MN incl. MSP metro TUE/WED.
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Sunday Evening6-12 inches (5 p.m. news, Matt Brickman)6-12 inches. "Twin Cities in the heart of it" (also reflected in graphic). 5 p.m. Dave Dahl9:30 p.m. Southern track most favored at this point. Warned it will change. Waived snow meter quickly but seemed to be 7.5 inches for central metro. Will start 6 a.m. Tuesday and be wet, heavy, cement-like snow.Displayed "best chance of heavy snow" shading over central Minn in horizontal stripe between Duluth and MSP metro. Says 1.5 to 2 inches of "flat out moisture." Jerrid Sebesta5-10 inches per Paul Douglas tweet at 6 p.m. Per 7:15 blog: My gut: 3-4" south metro, maybe 6-10" north metro, with a foot still possible far northern and western suburbs.//Per tweet at 9:50, "still on track for 6-12" MSP metro."7 p.m. 8-11 inches per graphic shown on FacebookMidnight update: But at this point here's what I expect:Widespread 6" to 12"+ snowfall totals from Alexandria through St. Cloud south into the Twin Cities metro by late Wednesday. There still is a chance for 12"+ totals in the metro, if the storm follows the NAM's "southern solution."10 p.m. Gut feeling is that MSP metro will lie along the axis of heaviest snows. Confidence is high that 10"-14"+ of snow will fall in the heaviest snow band. Still too early to throw out exact totals. This monster has a good 48 hours to change its mind.8:20 p.m. widespread 8-11 for the metro, expect at this time expect 8-9" at MSP confidence level 5 out of 10, quite frankly major changes may be needed either way by Monday morning/afternoon
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Monday morning7:45 a.m. Not specific (8-14" north of I-94)8-12" if stays all snow, 4-8" if mix with sleetnot captured6:30 a.m. 6-12 metro/ mid-morning tweet of 4 inches8:53 a.m. 5-8" in metro//10:37 2-4"7:15 a.m. 6-10 inches//mid-day update shows msp between 3-6 and 6-12-inch bands8:39 a.m. Not specific but made clear "greatly reduced snowfall totals" for TC metro7:46 a.m. ICE is a growing concern 4 extreme so. MN incl. RST. Snow will be dominant from MSP metro north on TUE/WED.
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Monday late afternoon5 p.m. 3-6" category4:21 tweet from Dahl: 3-6 inches//6:30 news (Barlow), 4-8 inches//9:40 Barlow still 4-8Per 4:42 tweet: Metro: wind/rain/wet sloppy snow tues afternoon/evening 1"-2"...turning to snow overnight into wed morning with another 3"-5"4:11 p.m., website: 1-4" of snowfall by Tuesday evening4:32 (weather.gov) 1-3 Tuesday; 3-5 Tuesday night; Snow Wednesday5:18 p.m. Overall I would say a range of 2" to 4" looks likely for the metro, with the best chance of 4" in the northwest metro.2-4 inches3:40 5-6" for MSP. 4-7 south metro; 7-12 north metro
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Monday night10:20 Shaffer shows 1.5" of snow by late Wed.11:20 p.m. We have 4 to 8 on here but I'm definitely leaning toward the 4. Won't all be on the ground at once.10 p.m. 1-4"10:09 PD Tweet Hope I'm wrong, but I suspect mostly rain Tuesday, ending as 1-2" slush. Blog update at 10:26 headlines 1-3" on Wed. am.9:31 p.m. 3-6 in southern Twin Cities, winter storm warning in effect from Tuesday 6 p.m. to Wednesday 6 p.m.10:16 p.m. I now expect mostly rain with this system...but the metro could pick up 1" to 2" on the systems back side Wednesday.11 p.m. 1-3 inches9 p.m. 1-3 inches12:51 a.m. 1-2 south metro; 2-3 central metro; 3-7 north metro
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Tuesday morning (Final forecast)1-3" for downtown areas5:59 a.m. tweet: 1-2" south metro; 3-6 north metro8:22 a.m. tweet: 1-2" se metro, 2-4" nw metroKARE morning blog: 1-3" before changeover; 1-4" after changeover; 2-5" in total but not all will be seen on ground9:04 blog headline: 1-3"4-8" per weather.gov9:36 a.m. It still looks like the metro could pick up 1" to 2"+ of snowfall on the backside of the system Wednesday. For zipcode 55116: Around 1 inch today; less than an inch on Wednesday8 a.m. 1-3"mid-moning update: south metro 1-3; central metro 3-6; north metro 6-126:18 a.m. tweet: 3-6 inches
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Tuesday eveningAfternoon blog: This should change back to all snow late tonight and continue on Wednesday, with total accumulations in the 3 to 6 inch category by the time the storm moves out late tomorrow.1.7 inches in metro through tomorrow6:08 tweet: Getting more concerned about possible ice storm/power outages tonight. 6 p.m. update: far south metro..6-10; the rest of the metro 9-13; MSP 10-13
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