Month 93 - Members of "The 2 and 8 Club" in the Russell 1000 Index - Winter 2019 Update
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"The 2 and 8 Club" companies in the Russell 1000 Index ranked by Finance Value (Col E)TickerReward = 10-Yr Total Return/YrRisk Aversion = Total Return in 2018 (worst year of past 10)Finance Value = Col C + Col D5-Yr Total Return/YrDividend Yield5-Yr Div Growth3-Yr BetaP/EBMW Method 16-Yr CAGR (Px only)Recent Px TrendBMW Method Est. Loss @ -2SDROCEWACCLT-Debt: Total AssetsLT-Debt: Total CapitalTotal Debt: EBITDATBV:PxDiv:FCFS&P Bond RatingS&P Stock Rating (Stars)Px (50d avg)Shares BOTAmountNet Present Value: 10-Yr Holding Period @ 10% Discount RateGraham NumberPx (50d avg): Graham NumberPx: Book7-Yr P/EValue StockS&P Insider ActivityMorningstar RatingMarket Cap ($B)Dividend AchieverSCORE: Basic Quality Screen
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BoeingBA29.2%10.8%40.0%27.7%2.2%23.0%1.362117.5%up 2SD48%33.0%10.3%9%75%100%-5%29%AA+/M (4)$393.0813$5,110.04$5,815.14$15.522504%634.842unfavorablefairly valued$2093-
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Automatic Data ProcessingADP20.6%15.4%36.0%21.1%2.1%10.1%1.054214.6%up 2SD30%38.3%8.7%5%37%68%1%52%AAA/M (3)$146.3334$4,975.22$3,083.69$29.86480%14.247unfavorableovervalued$67yes4-
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NextEra EnergyNEE17.9%15.1%33.0%18.8%2.6%11.5%0.211416.5%up 1SD26%4.4%3.8%26%37%473%35%172%A-A/L (4)$183.5327$4,955.31$4,660.65$149.36121%2.725yesfavorableovervalued$93yes4
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Cisco SystemsCSCO14.9%14.9%29.8%22.7%2.7%14.2%1.07198.9%up 2SD38%15.6%8.1%19%30%172%4%47%AA-B+/M (5)$49.00102$4,998.00$643.03$23.84200%5.831unfavorableovervalued$2323-
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AmgenAMGN16.2%13.2%29.4%11.9%3.1%18.9%0.951510.0%on trendline46%19.5%6.8%44%64%276%-8%33%AB+/M (3)$190.3826$4,949.88$1,469.76$75.08255%9.625neutralfairly valued$1162
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Norfolk SouthernNSC21.3%3.8%25.1%15.7%1.9%9.8%1.451915.0%up 1SD31%11.6%10.5%30%40%226%32%48%BBB+A/M (3)$174.8129$5,069.49$3,318.01$110.73155%3.121yesunfavorableundervalued$484
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OmnicomOMC14.3%4.1%18.4%3.0%3.6%10.2%0.28126.9%on trendline33%22.5%4.1%18%59%212%-43%36%BBB+A+/M (3)$75.4266$4,977.72-$44.06$38.64195%6.617favorablefairly valued$161
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PaychexPAYX17.1%0.1%17.2%17.0%2.8%9.9%1.15289.9%up 2SD35%59.1%9.4%0%no LT-DebtNA4%68%no LT-DebtA/L (3)$74.8667$5,015.62$924.95$20.55354%11.738unfavorableovervalued$283-
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Southwest GasSWX17.8%-1.4%16.4%12.3%2.6%9.5%0.472312.3%on trendline26%5.5%4.7%29%46%379%43%neg FCFBBB+A-/L (4)$80.6262$4,998.44$2,953.68$59.30134%2.024yesfavorableNA$4yes4
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FastenalFAST17.2%-1.3%15.9%7.6%2.7%11.0%1.552413.5%on trendline33%34.6%11.6%15%18%44%13%89%low DebtA/M (4)$61.3482$5,029.88$2,748.40$21.78275%7.733unfavorableovervalued$18yes4-
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Texas InstrumentsTXN23.5%-8.2%15.3%21.2%2.8%20.8%1.121913.1%up 2SD45%45.8%8.9%25%31%66%4%42%A+A/M (3)$105.0948$5,044.32$3,133.15$34.60297%11.633unfavorablefairly valued$101yes3-
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Air Products and ChemicalsAPD15.5%-0.6%14.9%21.1%2.5%8.5%0.712412.5%up 1SD26%11.4%6.4%17%23%132%24%91%AA-/M (3)$173.9429$5,044.26$2,028.37$92.35183%3.734NAovervalued$41yes4-
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HersheyHSY15.2%-1.7%13.5%11.9%2.6%8.3%0.05209.6%on trendline36%32.3%2.8%42%56%226%-7%44%AA/L (3)$109.1646$5,021.36$593.30$28.94374%16.630unfavorablefairly valued$232-
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TargetTGT12.0%1.1%13.1%9.5%3.3%8.3%1.03146.1%up 1SD27%16.0%7.5%25%49%178%26%54%AB+/M (3)$73.6668$5,008.88-$393.17$52.01138%3.515yesunfavorableundervalued$41yes2
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TravelersTRV15.7%-7.1%8.6%12.5%2.3%9.0%1.011511.8%on trendline24%3.2%7.9%6%22%NA53%19%AB+/M (4)$129.2639$5,041.14$1,557.97$134.6694%1.514yesfavorableundervalued$36yes4
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T. Rowe PriceTROW16.6%-8.1%8.5%7.0%3.1%11.6%0.991411.4%down 1SD31%29.6%8.4%0%no LT-Debtno Debt22%34%no DebtA/M (4)$97.4251$4,968.42$1,745.43$64.88148%4.019yesfavorableundervalued$23yes4
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JPMorgan ChaseJPM15.8%-7.5%8.3%13.1%3.2%13.6%1.04119.9%up 1SD35%2.4%6.9%10%32%NA52%71%A-A-/L (4)$103.6348$4,974.24$1,137.63$119.3687%1.517yesfavorablefairly valued$3243
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Snap-onSNA21.3%-16.1%5.2%7.9%2.5%16.6%1.41313.7%down 1SD36%21.7%10.0%0%no LT-Debt109%23%29%A-A+/M (3)$159.4331$4,942.33$2,867.88$121.99131%2.820yesfavorablefairly valued$84
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Lockheed MartinLMT19.7%-15.7%4.0%16.1%3.0%10.6%1.321715.7%on trendline40%24.4%9.3%28%81%164%-16%126%BBB+A/M (5)$298.2417$5,070.08$4,240.24$44.31662%59.728unfavorableundervalued$83yes3-
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WatscoWSO19.0%-15.4%3.6%10.1%4.5%32.0%1.072114.6%down 1SD33%20.1%8.8%6%8%35%15%136%low DebtA/M (3)$143.8635$5,035.10$6,465.11$75.64190%3.631neutralNA$54-
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3MMMM18.3%-17.0%1.3%11.5%2.8%11.0%1.182310.8%on trendline33%26.6%8.8%37%55%159%-2%66%AA-A+/L (3)$203.3425$5,083.50$1,336.54$58.30344%12.326unfavorablefairly valued$117yes3
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U.S. BancorpUSB14.0%-13.1%0.9%4.6%3.1%8.7%1.21126.7%on trendline33%2.9%8.0%7%31%NA39%26%A+A/L (4)$50.8198$4,979.38-$375.82$51.0899%1.915yesunfavorablefairly valued$772
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CumminsCMI22.4%-22.3%0.1%4.6%2.9%12.8%1.331217.6%down 1SD50%18.8%9.9%8%16%83%21%45%A+B+/M (4)$152.4733$5,028.21$5,777.50$117.45127%3.417yesunfavorablefairly valued$25yes4
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PNC Financial ServicesPNC16.3%-17.2%-0.9%9.2%3.2%15.4%1.1118.3%on trendline35%2.6%7.0%15%53%NA65%29%A-A-/M (4)$124.5940$4,983.60$564.12$151.8082%1.416yesneutralundervalued$543
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Illinois Tool WorksITW19.4%-21.3%-1.9%14.3%2.8%19.0%1.261912.0%on trendline34%31.6%8.9%41%57%182%-5%46%A+A-/M (2)$140.4536$5,056.20$2,365.61$41.19334%14.426neutralfairly valued$47yes3-
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HubbellHUBB18.6%-24.0%-5.4%1.6%2.8%10.9%1.61810.1%down 1SD35%NA10.5%36%49%236%-12%41%BBB+A-/M (4)$115.5043$4,966.50$1,014.05$69.20162%3.821yesunfavorableNA$6yes3
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BlackRockBLK15.1%-20.9%-5.8%8.9%3.2%12.3%1.211615.1%down 1SD36%3.4%8.7%3%11%87%1%67%AA-A/M (4)$424.3912$5,092.68$3,999.40$349.48120%2.120yesfavorableundervalued$664
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Franklin ResourcesBEN9.2%-22.4%-13.2%-6.2%3.2%9.2%1103.7%down 1SD43%14.1%8.2%5%7%34%44%121%A+B+/M (3)$31.85157$5,000.45-$1,128.54$36.1087%1.811yesneutralfairly valued$16yes2
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International Business MachinesIBM6.5%-22.9%-16.4%-3.0%4.5%10.6%1.76155.6%down 1SD31%15.0%9.8%29%57%265%-18%50%AA-/M (4)$136.0637$5,034.22$42.08$63.49208%7.411unfavorableundervalued$124yes2
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Eaton VanceEV9.0%-36.5%-27.5%3.4%3.4%9.7%1.67126.8%down 1SD33%28.5%10.7%41%57%267%16%40%A-B+/M (3)$40.41124$5,010.84-$98.59$26.48150%4.318neutralundervalued$4yes2
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Ryder SystemR10.5%-42.5%-32.0%-3.7%3.7%9.7%2.02115.3%down 1SD36%5.6%8.3%44%60%330%73%neg FCFBBB+A-/M (4)$59.6184$5,007.24-$512.76$79.8373%1.19yesfavorableNA$3yes2
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Averagen = 3116.8%-8.5%8.2%10.8%3.0%12.8%1.1167741941711.1%on trendline35%20.0%8.2%20%41%180%16%60%AA-/L (4)$138.79$5,015.24$1,997.83$76.06283%27.22415/32neutralfairly valued$6620/32
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BENCHMARKS
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AppleAAPL30.3%-7.1%23.2%21.5%1.5%-24.9%0.991630.4%down 1SD55%28.5%7.7%26%42%142%12%21%AA+B+/M (4)$173.0029$5,017.00$21,895.30$82.44201%24.920favorableundervalued$8904
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Walt DisneyDIS20.6%-0.4%20.2%8.0%1.6%14.9%0.511512.8%down 1SD35%18.5%5.2%18%17%116%6%26%A+A+/M (5)$111.9645$5,038.20$1,925.25$74.22151%3.222yesunfavorableundervalued$1614
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Coca-ColaKO10.9%7.6%18.5%7.0%3.5%5.6%0.37319.8%down 1SD19%17.9%4.0%30%42%406%0%111%A+B+/L (4)$46.70107$4,996.90$853.66$11.59404%11.531neutralovervalued$197yes3-
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Berkshire HathawayBRK-B13.2%3.5%16.7%9.9%0.0%0.0%0.741229.5%on trendline24%4.9%6.8%13%19%252%47%no dividendAAB+/L (3)$202.9525$5,073.75-$476.85$72.09280%1.523yesNAundervalued$4913
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Procter & GamblePG11.4%5.1%16.5%8.5%2.8%3.6%0.22257.6%up 1SD16%16.4%3.5%18%25%178%-7%66%AA-A/L (4)$98.3651$5,016.36-$266.88$44.28219%4.828unfavorablefairly valued$255yes3
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SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETFDIA16.7%-3.6%13.1%12.2%2.1%9.2%0.98166.5%up 1SD27%$254.3320$5,086.60-$575.904.0yes$22
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SPDR S&P 500 ETFSPY16.6%-4.5%12.1%10.6%1.8%8.5%1176.5%up 1SD31%$274.7718$4,945.86-$663.553.3yes$261
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Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETFVYM16.6%-5.9%10.7%10.1%3.1%8.7%0.8714NANANA$84.01----2.5yes$31
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iShares Russell 1000 Value ETFIWD15.1%-8.4%6.7%7.9%2.4%9.3%0.9514NANANA$121.47----2.1yes$38
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WalmartWMT9.3%-3.3%6.0%7.8%2.2%2.0%0.64437.9%up 1SD23%16.3%5.8%18%38%178%14%35%AAA-/L (4)$97.8151$4,988.31-$437.19$35.68273%4.023yesfavorablefairly valued$285yes3
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CaterpillarCAT19.7%-17.3%2.4%9.3%2.7%7.5%1.41310.6%on trendline40%17.2%7.7%32%49%320%8%54%AB+/M (3)$133.5037$4,939.50$971.75$75.04178%5.528favorableundervalued$76yes3
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Kimco RealtyKIM11.1%-12.9%-1.8%1.8%6.1%4.5%0.73182.7%on trendline49%6.6%5.6%44%48%670%69%477%BBB+B+/M (3)$17.78281$4,996.18-$557.91$17.05104%1.520yesfavorablefairly valued$82
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Averagen = 1216.0%-3.9%12.0%9.6%2.5%4.1%0.783333333328.6666666710.4%on trendline32%15.8%5.9%25%35%283%19%113%A+A-/M (4)$134.72$5,009.87$2,266.77$51.55226%5.7247/11neutralfairly valued$2264/7
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Consumer Price Indexcpi1.7%0.3%2.0%1.3%
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Updated 4/3/2019
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