Transition matrixes
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ABCDEFGHIJKL
1
Poorest quantile
2
Regime at time t+1
3
Regime at time tTransitionState breakdownForeign occupationHereditary monarchyHereditary monarchy plus limited elite selectionLimited elite selectionSelf-selectionExecutive-guided transitionHereditary monarchy plus competitive electionCompetitive authoritarianCompetitive electoral
4
Transition44%4%0%0%2%6%4%8%0%17%15%
5
212001324087
6
State breakdown12%74%3%0%0%2%5%2%0%2%0%
7
743200131010
8
Foreign occupation3%0%84%0%0%6%0%0%0%3%3%
9
102700200011
10
Hereditary monarchy4%0%0%88%4%4%0%0%0%0%0%
11
100221100000
12
Hereditary monarchy plus limited elite selection0%0%0%0%89%0%4%0%4%4%0%
13
000024010110
14
Limited elite selection1%1%0%0%0%95%2%0%0%1%1%
15
33000537131064
16
Self-selection3%0%1%0%0%0%86%8%0%1%0%
17
80200123522040
18
Executive-guided transition2%2%0%0%0%1%2%90%0%2%2%
19
4310024180033
20
Hereditary monarchy plus competitive election0%0%0%0%5%0%0%0%95%0%0%
21
000010002000
22
Competitive authoritarian1%2%0%0%0%1%4%0%0%89%3%
23
2400027001565
24
Competitive electoral1%1%0%0%0%2%3%0%0%1%93%
25
2200047002218
26
27
Richest quantile
28
Regime at time t+1
29
Regime at time tTransitionState breakdownForeign occupationHereditary monarchyHereditary monarchy plus limited elite selectionLimited elite selectionSelf-selectionExecutive-guided transitionHereditary monarchy plus competitive electionCompetitive authoritarianCompetitive electoral
30
Transition43%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%57%
31
30000000004
32
State breakdown0%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
33
013000000000
34
Foreign occupation0%0%0%0%100%0%0%0%0%0%0%
35
00001000000
36
Hereditary monarchy1%0%0%99%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
37
1001000000000
38
Hereditary monarchy plus limited elite selection0%0%1%1%97%0%0%0%0%0%0%
39
001171000000
40
Limited elite selection2%0%0%0%0%95%0%0%0%3%0%
41
100006000020
42
Self-selection6%0%0%0%0%0%94%0%0%0%0%
43
200000300000
44
Executive-guided transition0%0%0%0%0%3%3%93%0%0%0%
45
000001127000
46
Hereditary monarchy plus competitive election...........
47
00000000000
48
Competitive authoritarian0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%96%4%
49
000000000512
50
Competitive electoral0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%100%
51
01000210001339
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