| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Companies ranked by Finance Value (Col E) | Ticker | Reward = Total Return/Yr Since 9/1/00 | Risk = Correction of 4/11 to 10/11 | Finance Value = Col C + Col D | 5-yr Total Return/Yr | Div Yield | Historic Div Growth | 5-yr Beta | P/E | EV/ EBITDA | BMW Method 20-yr CAGR (price only) | BMW Method Price Trend | Predicted BMW Method Loss vs. Trendline @ -2SD | 2015 Barron's Rank | 2014 Barron's Rank | S&P Bond Rating | S&P Stock Rating | |
2 | McDonald's | MCD | 11.5% | 17.2% | 28.7% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 20.2% | 0.64 | 24 | 12 | 10.7% | on trendline | 45% | 425 | 253 | A- | A/M | |
3 | Southern | SO | 11.4% | 13.3% | 24.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 0.22 | 20 | 11 | 12.1% | down 1SD | 26% | 321 | 378 | A- | A-/L | |
4 | Johnson & Johnson | JNJ | 7.8% | 9.0% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 3.2% | 13.8% | 0.99 | 17 | 11 | 7.9% | on trendline | 27% | 189 | 127 | AAA | A+/L | |
5 | Procter & Gamble | PG | 8.8% | 3.5% | 12.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 9.6% | 0.93 | 31 | 12 | 7.5% | down 1SD | 26% | 348 | 261 | AA- | A/L | |
6 | NextEra Energy | NEE | 13.2% | -1.5% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 0.58 | 16 | 9.2 | 11.6% | up 1SD | 25% | 179 | 297 | A- | A/L | |
7 | IBM | IBM | 2.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 14.3% | 0.88 | 13 | 7.9 | 9.1% | down 1SD | 42% | 344 | 113 | AA- | A+/M | |
8 | Coca-Cola | KO | 5.6% | 1.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 11.9% | 0.88 | 25 | 16 | 5.3% | up 1SD | 36% | 444 | 333 | AA | A/L | |
9 | Wal-Mart Stores | WMT | 3.0% | 0.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 12.6% | 0.82 | 12 | 6.7 | 6.3% | on trendline | 48% | 386 | 332 | AA | A+/L | |
10 | Microsoft | MSFT | 4.4% | -1.1% | 3.3% | 16.1% | 3.1% | 22.8% | 0.86 | 32 | 9.3 | 5.1% | up 1SD | 50% | 215 | 201 | AAA | A-/M | |
11 | Norfolk Southern | NSC | 13.4% | -11.0% | 2.4% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 1.22 | 13 | 7.6 | 9.9% | on trendline | 46% | 370 | 380 | BBB+ | A/M | |
12 | Chevron | CVX | 8.7% | -13.2% | -4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 1.13 | 14 | 7.2 | 11.3% | down 2SD | 28% | 495 | 487 | AA | A-/M | |
13 | Exxon Mobil | XOM | 7.2% | -13.2% | -6.0% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 0.88 | 15 | 8.4 | 9.4% | down 2SD | 29% | 494 | 486 | AAA | A/L | |
14 | United Technologies | UTX | 9.6% | -16.5% | -6.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 8.8% | 1.11 | 13 | 8 | 12.0% | down 1SD | 28% | 183 | 71 | A | A+/M | |
15 | 3M | MMM | 10.6% | -21.9% | -11.3% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 8.3% | 1.19 | 19 | 11 | 8.9% | up 1SD | 28% | 170 | 128 | AA- | A+/L | |
16 | CSX | CSX | 15.6% | -28.7% | -13.1% | 8.9% | 2.5% | 6.9% | 1.45 | 14 | 7.3 | 13.3% | on trendline | 51% | 320 | 306 | BBB+ | A/M | |
17 | Caterpillar | CAT | 11.9% | -34.2% | -22.3% | -0.4% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 0.97 | 12 | 8.7 | 12.7% | down 2SD | 40% | 470 | 452 | A | A/M | |
18 | Average | n = 16 | 9.1% | -5.5% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 10.4% | 0.92 | 18 | 9.6 | 9.6% | on trendline | 36% | 326 | 277 | AA | A/M | |
19 | |||||||||||||||||||
20 | BENCHMARKS | ||||||||||||||||||
21 | Vanguard Interm-Term Bond Index Fund | VBIIX | 6.1% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | -3.2% | ~0 | NA | 38 | 6.3% | down 2SD | 8% | |||||
22 | Vanguard Wellesley Income Fund | VWINX | 7.3% | 0.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.0% | -0.7% | 0.49 | 17 | NA | ||||||||
23 | Vanguard Balanced Index Fund | VBINX | 5.0% | -7.2% | -2.2% | 9.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 0.9 | 21 | 11 | ||||||||
24 | SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average Trust | DIA | 5.2% | -10.7% | -5.5% | 11.8% | 2.5% | -0.2% | 0.92 | 17 | 11 | ||||||||
25 | Berkshire Hathaway | BRK-A | 8.3% | -14.8% | -6.5% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.25 | 18 | 9.4 | 8.1% | on trendline | 28% | 248 | 123 | AA | B/M | |
26 | SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust | SPY | 3.9% | -14.2% | -10.3% | 13.7% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 1 | 21 | 11 | ||||||||
27 | Vanguard 500 Index Fund | VFINX | 3.8% | -14.3% | -10.5% | 13.6% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 1 | 21 | 11 | ||||||||
28 | |||||||||||||||||||
29 | Standard Indices (price only) | ||||||||||||||||||
30 | Dow Jones Composite Average | ^DJA | 4.2% | -12.2% | -8.0% | 9.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA | NA | NA | ||||||||
31 | Dow Jones Industrial Average | ^DJI | 2.9% | -11.8% | -8.9% | 9.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.92 | 17 | 11 | 4.1% | on trendline | 27% | |||||
32 | S&P 500 Index | ^GSPC | 1.9% | -15.1% | -13.2% | 11.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1 | 21 | 11 | 3.2% | up 1SD | 33% | |||||
33 | PHLX Gold/Silver Sector | ^XAU | 0.4% | -13.9% | -13.5% | -22.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | NA | NA | NA | 5.1% | down 2SD | 56% | |||||
34 | Dow Jones Commodity Average | ^DJC | -1.2% | -17.5% | -18.7% | -9.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.08 | NA | NA | 1.4% | down 2SD | 35% | |||||
35 | |||||||||||||||||||
36 | BLS Inflation (dqydj.net) | cpi | 2.0% | 1.6% | |||||||||||||||
37 | |||||||||||||||||||
38 | updated @ COB 9/28/15 |