| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z | AA | AB | AC | AD | AE | AF | AG | AH | AI | AJ | AK | AL | AM | AN | AO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/10/24/cnn.poll.pdf | 2016 ELECTION MODEL | https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_U.S._states | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | http://www.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx | http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR858.html | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | Party-ID | Vote shares >>>> | 9 Polls | Adjust | Poll ID | Ipsos/Reuters | Poll ID | IBD/Tipp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | Gallup | Pct | Clinton | Trump | Johnson | Stein | Clinton | 1 | Pct | Clinton | Trump | Johnson | Stein | Other | 2 | Pct | Clinton | Trump | Johnson | Stein | Other | Clinton% Dem | Trump%Rep | Clinton% Ind | Trump% Ind | Clinton% Ind | Trump% Ind | Clinton% Dem | Trump%Rep | Trump%Dem | Clinton% Rep | ||||||||||
6 | INPUT IN GREY CELLS BELOW | Ind | 40.0% | 33.78% | 43.56% | 8.89% | 3.78% | 0% | Ind | 17% | 21% | 29% | 15% | 8% | 27.0% | Ind | 37% | 30% | 47% | 16% | 3% | 4.0% | 88.11% | 87.78% | 33.78% | 43.56% | 33.78% | 44.67% | 88.00% | 87.33% | |||||||||||
7 | Party-ID | Gallup | 9 polls | EDay | NEP | Dem | 32.0% | 88.11% | 6.89% | 1.33% | 1.67% | 0% | Dem | 45% | 81% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 5.0% | Dem | 34% | 87% | 7% | 0% | 3% | 3.0% | Ipsos | 81% | 86% | 21% | 29% | 21% | 29% | 81% | 86% | 7% | 6% | ||||
8 | Poll Shares | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Turnout | Rep | 28.0% | 5.56% | 87.78% | 3.89% | 0.33% | 0% | Rep | 32% | 6% | 86% | 5% | 1% | 2.0% | Rep | 29% | 6% | 85% | 5% | 0% | 4.0% | IBD | 87% | 85% | 30% | 47% | 30% | 47% | 87% | 88% | 7% | 6% | ||
9 | Poll ID | 10 | Ind | 40% | 28.9% | 38.0% | 31% | 100% | PreUVA | 94.7% | 43.26% | 44.20% | 5.07% | 2.14% | Calc | 86.5% | 41.9% | 35.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 13.5% | Calc | 96.3% | 42.4% | 44.4% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | Rasmussen | 85% | 88% | 30% | 42% | 30% | 52% | 89% | 87% | 12% | 5% | ||
10 | NEP | 11 | Dem | 32% | 38.7% | 30.5% | 36% | 100% | Votes | 128,963 | 55,792 | 57,007 | 6,540 | 2,757 | Poll | 90.0% | 42.0% | 39.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 10.0% | Poll | 98.0% | 43.0% | 45% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | Quinnipiac | 90% | 81% | 37% | 42% | 37% | 42% | 90% | 90% | 4% | 4% | ||
11 | 9 Polls | 10 | Rep | 28% | 29.3% | 27.0% | 33% | 100% | EVote | 537 | 231 | 306 | GallupID | 85.9% | 36.0% | 36.8% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 14.1% | GallupID | 98.0% | 41.9% | 45.3% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | Fox News | 89% | 87% | 39% | 44% | 39% | 44% | 86% | 91% | 6% | 6% | ||||
12 | StateWtd | UVA | 100.0% | 44.33% | 48.43% | 5.07% | 2.14% | CNN | 93% | 89% | 43% | 44% | 43% | 44% | 86% | 85% | 6% | 6% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
13 | UVA Trump | 75% | Gallup | Ind | Dem | Rep | Votes | 136,216 | 60,387 | 65,967 | 6,908 | 2,912 | 3 | Rasmussen | 4 | Quinnipiac | ABC | 90% | 90% | 40% | 49% | 40% | 49% | 90% | 81% | 7% | 7% | ||||||||||||||
14 | Total | MoE | 2.5% | Nov1-6 | 36% | 31% | 27% | Evote | 538 | 182 | 356 | Ind | 32% | 30% | 42% | 4% | 2% | 22.0% | Ind | 26% | 37% | 42% | 8% | 2% | 11.0% | Gravis | 92% | 93% | 32% | 43% | 32% | 43% | 93% | 89% | 7% | 5% | |||||
15 | Poll | MoE | 3.0% | Nov9-13 | 40% | 30% | 27% | Recorded | 98.77% | 48.25% | 46.17% | 3.29% | 1.07% | Dem | 40% | 85% | 12% | 1% | 1% | 1.0% | Dem | 40% | 90% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2.0% | LA Times | 86% | 91% | 32% | 52% | 32% | 52% | 92% | 93% | 6% | 5% | |||
16 | EDay | 38% | 30.5% | 27% | Votes | 136,216 | 65,719 | 62,890 | 4,483 | 1,454 | Rep | 19% | 5% | 88% | 3% | 0% | 4.0% | Rep | 34% | 4% | 81% | 11% | 1% | 3.0% | 88.11% | 87.78% | 33.78% | 43.56% | 33.78% | 44.67% | 88.22% | 87.78% | 6.89% | 5.56% | |||||||
17 | NEP | 31% | 36% | 33% | EVote | 538 | 232 | 306 | Calc | 82.8% | 44.6% | 35.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 17.2% | Calc | 95.3% | 47.0% | 40.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 4.7% | |||||||||||||||||||
18 | 9Polls | 28.89% | 38.67% | 29.33% | (View Pre UVA Sensitivity analysis in cell X45) | Poll | 94.0% | 45.0% | 43.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 6.0% | Poll | 95.0% | 47.0% | 40.0% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 5.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
19 | Pre-election | Party-ID | Poll | Electoral Vote | 75% | Post UVA Reported | Pre UVA | Post UVA | GallupID | 93.0% | 40.6% | 45.3% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 7.0% | GallupID | 94.1% | 44.7% | 40.8% | 7.2% | 1.4% | 5.9% | |||||||||||||||||||
20 | Polls | Ind | Dem | Rep | Clinton | Trump | Clinton | Trump | Undecided | Clinton | Trump | Win Prob | Win Prob | %Ind | %Dem | %Rep | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
21 | 1 | Ipsos | 17% | 45% | 32% | 42.0% | 39.0% | 298 | 240 | 10.0% | 44.5% | 46.5% | 11.3% | 76.4% | 5 | Fox News | 6 | CNN | Johnson | Stein | Johnson | Stein | Johnson | Stein | Clinton | Trump | |||||||||||||||
22 | 2 | IBD | 37% | 34% | 29% | 43.0% | 45.0% | 202 | 336 | 2.0% | 43.5% | 46.5% | 77.1% | 86.2% | Ind | 19% | 39% | 44% | 11% | 4% | 2.0% | Ind | 43% | 43% | 44% | 6% | 4% | 3.0% | 1 | 15% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 42 | 39 | ||||
23 | 3 | Rasmussen | 32% | 40% | 19% | 45.0% | 43.0% | 313 | 225 | 6.0% | 46.5% | 47.5% | 22.9% | 63.6% | Dem | 43% | 89% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 1.0% | Dem | 31% | 93% | 6% | 0% | 1% | 0.0% | 2 | 16% | 3% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 43 | 45 | ||||
24 | 4 | Quinnipiac | 26% | 40% | 34% | 47.0% | 40.0% | 378 | 160 | 5.0% | 48.3% | 43.8% | 0.4% | 5.5% | Rep | 29% | 6% | 87% | 5% | 1% | 1.0% | Rep | 26% | 6% | 89% | 2% | 0% | 3.0% | 3 | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 45 | 43 | ||||
25 | 5 | Fox News | 19% | 43% | 29% | 48.0% | 44.0% | 317 | 221 | 1.0% | 48.3% | 44.8% | 7.8% | 10.9% | Calc | 89.9% | 47.4% | 36.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 10.1% | Calc | 97.9% | 48.9% | 43.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4 | 8% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 11% | 1% | 47 | 40 | ||||
26 | 6 | CNN | 43% | 31% | 26% | 49.0% | 44.0% | 362 | 176 | 2.0% | 49.5% | 45.5% | 4.0% | 8.4% | Poll | 99.0% | 48.0% | 44.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | Poll | 98.0% | 49.0% | 44.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 5 | 11% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 48 | 44 | ||||
27 | 7 | ABC | 29% | 37% | 30% | 47.0% | 44.0% | 317 | 221 | 3.0% | 47.8% | 46.3% | 14.1% | 30.1% | GallupID | 98.6% | 45.8% | 43.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | GallupID | 98.0% | 48.6% | 44.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 6 | 6% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 49 | 44 | ||||
28 | 8 | Gravis | 27% | 40% | 33% | 47.0% | 45.0% | 294 | 244 | 4.0% | 48.0% | 48.0% | 23.9% | 50.0% | 7 | 7% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 47 | 44 | ||||||||||||||||||
29 | 9 | LA Times | 30% | 38% | 32% | 44.0% | 47.0% | 202 | 336 | 0.0% | 44.0% | 47.0% | 85.9% | 85.9% | 7 | ABC | 8 | Gravis | 8 | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 47 | 45 | ||||||||||||||
30 | Average | 28.89% | 38.67% | 29.33% | 45.78% | 43.44% | 298.1 | 239.9 | 5.4% | 46.7% | 46.2% | 15.3% | 41.6% | Ind | 29% | 40% | 49% | 7% | 4% | 0.0% | Ind | 27% | 32% | 43% | 3% | 2% | 20.0% | 9 | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 44 | 47 | |||||
31 | ADJUSTED | Indep %-Pre-elec polls | Adj Poll (Gallup) | ElecVote pre UVA | 75% | Post UVA Gallup | Pre-UVA | Post UVA | Dem | 37% | 90% | 7% | 0% | 2% | 1.0% | Dem | 40% | 92% | 7% | 0% | 1% | 0.0% | 8.89% | 3.78% | 1.33% | 1.67% | 3.89% | 0.33% | 45.78 | 43.44 | |||||||||||
32 | GALLUP | Clinton | Trump | Diff | Clinton | Trump | Clinton | Trump | Undecided | Clinton | Trump | Win Prob | Win Prob | Rep | 30% | 7% | 90% | 2% | 0% | 1.0% | Rep | 33% | 5% | 93% | 2% | 0% | 0.0% | ||||||||||||||
33 | 1 | Ipsos | 21% | 29% | 8% | 36.0% | 36.8% | 239 | 299 | 14.1% | 39.5% | 47.4% | 64.0% | 99.8% | Calc | 95.3% | 47.0% | 43.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.7% | Calc | 94.6% | 47.1% | 45.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 5.4% | |||||||||||||
34 | 2 | IBD | 30% | 47% | 17% | 41.9% | 45.3% | 202 | 336 | 2.0% | 42.4% | 46.9% | 89.9% | 94.7% | Poll | 97.0% | 47.0% | 44.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | Poll | 96% | 47.0% | 45.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 4.0% | |||||||||||||
35 | 3 | Rasmussen | 30% | 42% | 12% | 40.6% | 45.3% | 167 | 371 | 7.0% | 42.4% | 50.6% | 96.2% | 99.8% | GallupID | 99.4% | 46.8% | 47.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | GallupID | 92% | 43.6% | 45.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 8.0% | |||||||||||||
36 | 4 | Quinnipiac | 37% | 42% | 5% | 44.7% | 40.8% | 335 | 203 | 5.9% | 46.2% | 45.2% | 6.5% | 35.8% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
37 | 5 | Fox News | 39% | 44% | 5% | 45.8% | 43.9% | 298 | 240 | 1.4% | 46.1% | 44.9% | 24.7% | 33.6% | 9 | LA Times | http://cesrusc.org/election/ | 10 | Gallup | 9 Polls | |||||||||||||||||||||
38 | 6 | CNN | 43% | 44% | 1% | 48.6% | 44.4% | 335 | 203 | 2.0% | 49.2% | 46.0% | 7.0% | 13.7% | Ind | 30% | 32% | 52% | 10% | 5% | 1.0% | Ind | 40.0% | 33.8% | 43.6% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 10.0% | |||||||||||||
39 | 7 | ABC | 40% | 49% | 9% | 46.8% | 47.0% | 249 | 289 | 0.6% | 46.9% | 47.5% | 53.9% | 58.0% | Dem | 38% | 86% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 5.0% | Dem | 32.0% | 88.1% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | |||||||||||||
40 | 8 | Gravis | 32% | 43% | 11% | 43.6% | 45.5% | 216 | 322 | 8.0% | 45.6% | 51.5% | 75.0% | 97.5% | Rep | 30% | 5% | 91% | 4% | 0% | 0.0% | Rep | 28.0% | 5.6% | 87.8% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 2.4% | |||||||||||||
41 | 9 | LA Times | 32% | 52% | 20% | 41.7% | 48.2% | 85 | 453 | 2.0% | 42.2% | 49.7% | 99.1% | 99.6% | Calc | 95.8% | 43.8% | 45.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 4.2% | Calc | 94.7% | 43.26% | 44.20% | 5.07% | 2.14% | 5.3% | |||||||||||||
42 | Average | 33.78% | 43.56% | 9.78% | 43.31% | 44.13% | 236.2 | 301.8 | 4.8% | 44.50% | 47.72% | 64.5% | 91.4% | Poll | 100.0% | 44.0% | 47.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 9PollAvg | 94.6% | 43.31% | 44.13% | 5.07% | 2.14% | 5.4% | ||||||||||||||
43 | Before UVA | PostUVA | 44.33% | 48.43% | - | 95.8% | GallupID | 98.0% | 41.7% | 48.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | UVA | 100.0% | 44.33% | 48.43% | 5.07% | 2.14% | 0.0% | |||||||||||||||||||||
44 | Snapshot EV | 231 | 306 | StateWtd | 182 | 356 | Recorded | 98.77% | 48.25% | 46.17% | 3.29% | 1.07% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
45 | Expected EV | 232.0 | 306.0 | Exp. EV | 176.8 | 361.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
46 | SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
47 | 2012 | 2016 | VOTE SHARES BEFORE UVA | 9 Polls | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
48 | Average | 38.3% | 36.3% | 25.3% | 30.4% | 29.0% | 40.7% | 57.1% | 42.11% | 45.24% | 5.15% | 2.14% | 75% | Ind | Dem | Rep | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
49 | Wtd Avg | 39.9% | 35.3% | 24.8% | 31.6% | 28.1% | 40.3% | 55.6% | 43.18% | 44.25% | 5.09% | 2.14% | Vote(000) | Electoral Vote | UVA Trump | Party ID | 40.0% | 32.0% | 28.0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | ElecVote | Vote | Dem | Rep | Ind | Dem | Rep | Ind | Ind2pty% | Clinton | Trump | Johnson | Stein | Clinton | Trump | Johnson | Stein | Clinton | Trump | PostUVA | Turnout | 100% | 100% | 100% | |||||||||||||||||
51 | 538 | 136,216 | 40.5% | 35.2% | 24.2% | 32.0% | 28.0% | 40.0% | 55.6% | 43.18% | 44.25% | 5.09% | 2.14% | 58,820 | 60,273 | 6,934 | 2,922 | 231 | 306 | 356 | 94.42% | Trump | % Rep | ||||||||||||||||||
52 | AK | 3 | 319 | 12.8% | 26.7% | 60.5% | 10.1% | 21.2% | 68.7% | 87.2% | 33.3% | 49.2% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 106 | 157 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 92.42% | Trump | 83.8% | 85.8% | 87.8% | 89.8% | 91.8% | ||||||||||||||
53 | AL | 9 | 2,123 | 35.0% | 49.0% | 16.0% | 27.6% | 39.0% | 33.4% | 54.7% | 37.8% | 50.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 802 | 1,076 | 103 | 39 | 9 | 9 | 94.81% | % Ind | Trump | ||||||||||||||||||
54 | AR | 6 | 1,131 | 37.0% | 44.0% | 19.0% | 29.2% | 35.0% | 35.8% | 55.1% | 39.8% | 48.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 450 | 546 | 56 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 94.66% | 44.6% | 43.5% | 44.0% | 44.6% | 45.2% | 45.7% | ||||||||||||||
55 | AZ | 11 | 2,573 | 28.9% | 34.4% | 36.7% | 22.8% | 27.3% | 49.8% | 68.6% | 38.5% | 47.3% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 989 | 1,217 | 149 | 61 | 11 | 11 | 93.72% | 43.6% | 43.1% | 43.6% | 44.20% | 44.8% | 45.3% | ||||||||||||||
56 | CA | 55 | 14,182 | 43.3% | 28.1% | 28.6% | 34.2% | 22.3% | 43.5% | 56.0% | 46.0% | 40.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 6,529 | 5,801 | 736 | 324 | 55 | 94.20% | 42.6% | 42.7% | 43.2% | 43.8% | 44.4% | 44.9% | |||||||||||||||
57 | CO | 9 | 2,780 | 30.9% | 32.9% | 36.2% | 24.4% | 26.2% | 49.5% | 67.0% | 39.6% | 46.2% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1,102 | 1,284 | 160 | 66 | 9 | 9 | 93.75% | Clinton | |||||||||||||||||||
58 | CT | 7 | 1,645 | 36.4% | 20.8% | 42.8% | 28.7% | 16.5% | 54.7% | 65.6% | 44.7% | 40.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 736 | 663 | 97 | 43 | 7 | 93.44% | 44.6% | 42.9% | 42.9% | 42.9% | 42.9% | 42.9% | |||||||||||||||
59 | DC | 3 | 313 | 80.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 63.1% | 8.0% | 28.9% | 31.4% | 65.8% | 23.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 206 | 75 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 95.34% | 43.6% | 43.3% | 43.3% | 43.26% | 43.3% | 43.3% | |||||||||||||||
60 | DE | 3 | 442 | 47.5% | 28.0% | 24.5% | 37.5% | 22.3% | 40.2% | 51.8% | 47.9% | 39.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 211 | 175 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 94.43% | 42.6% | 43.7% | 43.7% | 43.7% | 43.7% | 43.7% | |||||||||||||||
61 | FL | 29 | 9,420 | 38.8% | 35.0% | 26.2% | 30.6% | 27.8% | 41.5% | 57.6% | 42.6% | 44.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 4,009 | 4,204 | 488 | 205 | 29 | 29 | 94.30% | Vote Share Margin | |||||||||||||||||||
62 | GA | 16 | 4,115 | 39.0% | 43.0% | 18.0% | 30.8% | 34.2% | 35.0% | 53.2% | 40.9% | 47.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1,681 | 1,950 | 200 | 80 | 16 | 16 | 94.73% | 44.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | ||||||||||||||
63 | HI | 4 | 438 | 49.0% | 35.0% | 16.0% | 38.7% | 27.8% | 33.5% | 46.4% | 46.9% | 41.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 205 | 182 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 94.88% | 43.6% | -0.2% | 0.4% | 0.94% | 1.5% | 2.1% | |||||||||||||||
64 | IA | 6 | 1,566 | 31.1% | 32.0% | 36.9% | 24.5% | 25.4% | 50.0% | 67.1% | 39.9% | 45.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 625 | 717 | 90 | 37 | 6 | 6 | 93.72% | 42.6% | -1.0% | -0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | ||||||||||||||
65 | ID | 4 | 690 | 27.0% | 52.0% | 21.0% | 21.3% | 41.3% | 37.3% | 63.7% | 33.7% | 54.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 233 | 373 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 94.51% | Vote Margin (000) | |||||||||||||||||||
66 | IL | 20 | 5,536 | 47.0% | 35.0% | 18.0% | 37.1% | 27.8% | 35.1% | 48.6% | 46.1% | 42.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2,551 | 2,340 | 260 | 113 | 20 | 94.76% | 44.6% | 802 | 1,525 | 2,247 | 2,969 | 3,691 | |||||||||||||||
67 | IN | 11 | 2,741 | 37.0% | 44.0% | 19.0% | 29.2% | 35.0% | 35.8% | 55.1% | 39.8% | 48.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1,090 | 1,324 | 135 | 54 | 11 | 11 | 94.66% | 43.6% | -229 | 493 | 1,215 | 1,937 | 2,660 | ||||||||||||||
68 | KS | 6 | 1,184 | 24.7% | 44.1% | 31.2% | 19.5% | 35.1% | 45.4% | 70.0% | 34.5% | 51.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 408 | 615 | 67 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 93.98% | 42.6% | -1,261 | -539 | 183 | 906 | 1,628 | ||||||||||||||
69 | KY | 8 | 1,924 | 30.0% | 30.0% | 40.0% | 23.7% | 23.9% | 52.5% | 68.9% | 39.9% | 45.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 768 | 874 | 114 | 47 | 8 | 8 | 95.32% | ||||||||||||||||||||
70 | LA | 8 | 2,029 | 27.1% | 27.7% | 45.2% | 21.4% | 22.0% | 56.6% | 72.6% | 39.2% | 45.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 795 | 922 | 125 | 52 | 8 | 8 | 93.27% | ||||||||||||||||||||
71 | MA | 11 | 3,325 | 35.3% | 10.9% | 53.8% | 27.9% | 8.7% | 63.5% | 69.5% | 46.5% | 37.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1,545 | 1,236 | 211 | 96 | 11 | 92.87% | |||||||||||||||||||||
72 | MD | 10 | 2,781 | 54.9% | 25.7% | 19.4% | 43.3% | 20.4% | 36.2% | 45.5% | 51.6% | 36.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1,434 | 1,021 | 128 | 60 | 10 | 94.73% | |||||||||||||||||||||
73 | ME | 4 | 748 | 31.9% | 27.1% | 41.0% | 25.2% | 21.5% | 53.3% | 67.9% | 41.4% | 43.9% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 309 | 328 | 44 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 93.51% | 136,216 | 58,820 | 60,273 | |||||||||||||||||
74 | MI | 16 | 4,799 | 44.0% | 37.0% | 19.0% | 34.7% | 29.4% | 35.9% | 50.8% | 44.3% | 43.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2,128 | 2,104 | 230 | 97 | 16 | 16 | 94.70% | 12,330 | 6,529 | 5,801 | CA | ||||||||||||||||
75 | MN | 10 | 2,945 | 44.0% | 39.0% | 17.0% | 34.7% | 31.0% | 34.3% | 49.7% | 43.9% | 44.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1,293 | 1,311 | 139 | 58 | 10 | 10 | 94.80% | 6,505 | 3,698 | 2,808 | NY | ||||||||||||||||
76 | MO | 10 | 2,809 | 39.0% | 44.0% | 17.0% | 30.8% | 35.0% | 34.2% | 52.7% | 40.6% | 47.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1,141 | 1,341 | 135 | 54 | 10 | 10 | 94.78% | 117,380 | 48,593 | 51,664 | NET | ||||||||||||||||
77 | MS | 6 | 1,209 | 38.0% | 46.0% | 16.0% | 30.0% | 36.6% | 33.4% | 52.7% | 39.8% | 48.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 481 | 589 | 58 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 94.82% | 41.40% | 44.01% | ||||||||||||||||||
78 | MT | 3 | 497 | 33.0% | 51.0% | 16.0% | 26.0% | 40.5% | 33.4% | 56.2% | 36.5% | 51.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 181 | 258 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 94.80% | ||||||||||||||||||||
79 | NC | 15 | 4,742 | 41.7% | 30.4% | 27.9% | 32.9% | 24.2% | 42.9% | 56.6% | 44.8% | 42.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2,126 | 2,000 | 246 | 107 | 15 | 15 | 94.23% | ||||||||||||||||||||
80 | ND | 3 | 344 | 36.0% | 47.0% | 17.0% | 28.4% | 37.4% | 34.2% | 54.6% | 38.7% | 49.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 133 | 171 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 94.76% | ||||||||||||||||||||
81 | NE | 5 | 844 | 30.9% | 48.3% | 20.8% | 24.4% | 38.4% | 37.2% | 60.4% | 36.2% | 51.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 306 | 436 | 43 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 94.54% | ||||||||||||||||||||
82 | NH | 4 | 742 | 27.2% | 30.1% | 42.7% | 21.5% | 23.9% | 54.6% | 71.8% | 38.7% | 46.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 287 | 343 | 45 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 93.40% | ||||||||||||||||||||
83 | NJ | 14 | 3,907 | 32.7% | 19.7% | 47.6% | 25.8% | 15.7% | 58.5% | 69.4% | 43.4% | 41.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1,695 | 1,602 | 240 | 105 | 14 | 14 | 93.18% | ||||||||||||||||||||
84 | NM | 5 | 798 | 46.6% | 31.2% | 22.2% | 36.8% | 24.8% | 38.4% | 51.1% | 46.8% | 41.0% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 373 | 328 | 39 | 17 | 5 | 94.55% | |||||||||||||||||||||
85 | NV | 6 | 1,125 | 39.7% | 34.6% | 25.7% | 31.3% | 27.5% | 41.2% | 56.8% | 43.0% | 44.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 484 | 498 | 58 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 94.33% | ||||||||||||||||||||
86 | NY | 29 | 7,455 | 49.4% | 23.9% | 26.7% | 39.0% | 19.0% | 42.0% | 51.9% | 49.6% | 37.7% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 3,698 | 2,808 | 372 | 171 | 29 | 94.33% | |||||||||||||||||||||
87 | OH | 18 | 5,496 | 41.0% | 42.0% | 17.0% | 32.4% | 33.4% | 34.2% | 51.4% | 41.9% | 46.5% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 2,305 | 2,554 | 262 | 107 | 18 | 18 | 94.79% | ||||||||||||||||||||
88 | OK | 7 | 1,453 | 43.7% | 43.6% | 12.7% | 34.5% | 34.7% | 30.8% | 47.2% | 42.7% | 46.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 621 | 672 | 66 | 27 | 7 | 7 | 95.02% | ||||||||||||||||||||
89 | OR | 7 | 2,001 | 37.8% | 29.9% | 32.3% | 36.0% | 28.0% | 36.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | 43.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 909 | 871 | 95 | 41 | 7 | 7 | 94.62% | ||||||||||||||||||||
90 | PA | 20 | 6,115 | 49.5% | 36.7% | 13.8% | 39.1% | 29.2% | 31.8% | 44.8% | 46.8% | 42.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2,860 | 2,577 | 274 | 119 | 20 | 94.99% | |||||||||||||||||||||
91 | RI | 4 | 414 | 41.5% | 10.9% | 47.6% | 32.8% | 8.7% | 58.6% | 64.1% | 49.1% | 35.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 203 | 146 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 93.22% | |||||||||||||||||||||
92 | SC | 9 | 2,103 | 39.0% | 44.0% | 17.0% | 30.8% | 35.0% | 34.2% | 52.7% | 40.6% | 47.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 854 | 1,004 | 101 | 40 | 9 | 9 | 94.78% | ||||||||||||||||||||
93 | SD | 3 | 370 | 33.8% | 46.2% | 20.0% | 26.7% | 36.7% | 36.6% | 57.8% | 37.9% | 50.0% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 140 | 185 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 94.60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
94 | TN | 11 | 2,508 | 35.0% | 47.0% | 18.0% | 27.6% | 37.4% | 35.0% | 55.9% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 959 | 1,253 | 124 | 48 | 11 | 11 | 94.71% | ||||||||||||||||||||
95 | TX | 38 | 8,969 | 37.0% | 41.0% | 22.0% | 29.2% | 32.6% | 38.2% | 56.7% | 40.4% | 47.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 3,628 | 4,239 | 453 | 183 | 38 | 38 | 94.51% | ||||||||||||||||||||
96 | UT | 6 | 1,131 | 26.0% | 59.0% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 46.9% | 32.6% | 61.3% | 31.7% | 56.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 359 | 642 | 56 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 94.82% | ||||||||||||||||||||
97 | VA | 13 | 3,983 | 40.0% | 42.0% | 18.0% | 31.6% | 33.4% | 35.0% | 52.6% | 41.5% | 46.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1,653 | 1,862 | 193 | 78 | 13 | 13 | 94.73% | ||||||||||||||||||||
98 | VT | 3 | 320 | 47.0% | 31.0% | 22.0% | 37.1% | 24.6% | 38.3% | 50.8% | 47.0% | 40.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 151 | 131 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 94.56% | |||||||||||||||||||||
99 | WA | 12 | 3,184 | 45.0% | 45.0% | 10.0% | 35.5% | 35.8% | 28.7% | 44.7% | 43.0% | 46.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1,368 | 1,476 | 141 | 57 | 12 | 12 | 95.16% | ||||||||||||||||||||
100 | WI | 10 | 2,976 | 43.0% | 41.0% | 16.0% | 33.9% | 32.6% | 33.5% | 49.6% | 43.0% | 45.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1,280 | 1,355 | 140 | 58 | 10 | 10 | 94.85% |
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