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studylatest_dateR0R0_lowerR0_upperinterval_typeurlapproachdata_consideredlatest_data_datedata_includedcode_includedreproduciblenotes
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imai20202020-01-252.61.53.5uncertainty
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-2019-nCoV-transmissibility.pdf
branching process, NB offspringpoint estimate of 4000 infected2020-01-18ynngeneration distribution not specified
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riou20202020-01-242.21.43.8hpd
https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058
branching process, NB offspring, gamma generation time
range of 1000-9700 infected2020-01-18yyyuses HPC and hard-coded paths, but could be reproduced locally
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bedford20202020-01-25N/A1.53.5uncertaintyhttps://nextstrain.org/narratives/ncov/sit-rep/2020-01-25?n=11simple branching processrange of 600-15000 infected2020-01-25yyy
https://github.com/nextstrain/ncov/blob/master/scripts/branching_process.py
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read20202020-01-273.12.44.1
95% confidence interval
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.20018549v2deterministic metapopulation SEIR transmission modelspatiotemporal counts, transport data2020-01-22y/nyy/n
uses proprietary air travel data; preprint not updated to reflect new data
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liu20202020-01-262.92.33.6
95% confidence interval
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.25.919787v1regressioncumulative cases2020-01-23y/nnndata can be extracted from figure; also used Wallinga-Teunis method?
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zhao20202020-01-243.32.74
95% confidence interval
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.916395v1regressioncumulative cases2020-01-22nnn
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majumder20202020-01-26N/A23.1uncertaintyhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3524675regression (IDEA model)cumulative cases2020-01-26nnn
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kucharski20202020-01-29N/A1.54time-varyinghttps://cmmid.github.io/ncov/wuhan_early_dynamics/index.htmlstochastic SEIR fitted by sequential Monte Carlomultiple datasets of daily incidence/exports2020-01-28yyy
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li20202020-01-292.21.43.9
95% confidence interval
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2001316renewal equation
date of onset between 2019-12-10 and 2020-01-04
2020-01-04nnn
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abbott20202020-01-3022.790% credible intervalhttps://zenodo.org/record/3631830#.XjNFS7-nwnc
branching process, NB offspring, gamma generation time
within 5% number of observed cases on 2020-01-25
2020-01-25yyyalso uses Docker/Binder for reproducibility
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wu20202020-01-312.72.52.995% credible interval
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30260-9/fulltext
deterministic metapopulation SEIR transmission modelspatiotemporal counts, transport data2020-01-25nnnuses proprietary air and land travel data
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