Best House Races & Strategic Giving as of 9/24/18 from NOPE
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U.S. House Best Strategic Races for Donations 2018
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Distr.DemocratRepublican (P=Priority Opponent)NOPE Donate linkVideoDCCC R2BCook RatingCook PVIHillary MarginObama MarginOpen SeatD-Cash LatestR-Cash LatestPolls
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Best
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PicksIA01FinkenauerBlum (P)DonateVideoYTossupD+1-3.513.7N$839K$1.607MD+1
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NowIA03AxneYoungVideoYTossupR+1-3.54.2N$465K$1.435MD+4
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IL06CastenRoskam (P)DonateVideoYTossupR+27-8.2N$1.392M$2.338MD+1
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IL12KellyBostVideoYTossupR+5-14.81.5N$1.009M$1.336MR+5
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IL13LondriganDavisVideoYLeanRR+3-5.5-0.3N$690K$1.592MR+3
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KS03DavidsYoderVideoYLeanRR+41.2-9.5N$399K*$1.869M
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ME02GoldenPoliquinVideoYTossupR+2-10.38.6N$357K$2.676M
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MI11StevensEpsteinVideoYTossupR+4-4.4-5.4Y$800K*$658K*
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NE02EastmanBaconDonateVideoYLeanRR+4-9.4-7.2N$258K$1.067M
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NY24BalterKatkoVideoYLikelyRD+33.615.9N$101K$1.609M
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OH12O'ConnorBaldersonDonateVideoYTossupR+7-11.3-10.5Y$150K$275KR+9,+11,+5
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PA10ScottPerry (P)VideoYLeanRR+6-8.9-6.6N$208K$554KR+4
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TX07FletcherCulbersonVideoYTossupR+71.4-21.3N$797K$1.263MR+2
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TX32AllredSessions (P)DonateVideoYTossupR+51.9-15.5N$943K$1.874M
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VA02LuriaTaylorDonateVideoYTossupR+3-3.4-2.3N$818K$1.007MR+6
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VA07SpanbergerBrat (P)DonateVideoYTossupR+6-6.5-2.3N$465K$917K
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Next FL18BaerMastVideoYLeanRR+5-9.2-3.7N$1.040M$1.980MR+1
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BestIL14UnderwoodHultgrenDonateVideo YLeanRR+5-3.9-10N$652K$1.020MR+4
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NM02Torres SmallHerrellVideo YLean RR+6-10.2-6.8Y$496K$100KR+2
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OH01PurevalChabotDonateVideoYTossupR+5-6.6-6.1N$1.349M$1.594MR+1
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VA05CockburnRigglemanDonateVideo NLeanRR+6-11.1-6.6Y$483K$208K
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WV03OjedaMillerVideoYLeanRR+23-49.3-32.2Y$163K$135KD+6
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AlsoCA21CoxValadaoYLikelyRD+515.511.1N$951K$1.625M
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GoodCA45PorterWaltersVideoYLeanRR+35.4-11.8N$781K$1.524MD+3
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KY06McGrathBarrDonateVideoYTossupR+9-15.3-13.6N$302K$2.768M
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NY01GershonZeldin (P)VideoNLikelyRR+5-12.30.5N$74K1,546K
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WA05BrownRogers (P)VideoYLeanRR+8-13.1-9.8N$921K$1.232MR+3
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BigAR02TuckerHillYLeanRR+7-11-12N$386K$1.645M
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ReachCA04MorseMcClintockYLikelyRR+10-33.1-18.3N$536K$671K
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CA50Campa-NajarHunterN
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FL06SoderbergTBDYLikelyRR+7-17.1-5.6Y$982K$617K*
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FL16ShapiroBuchananY
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GA06McBathHandelYLeanRR+8-1.5-23.3N$313K$1.003M
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GA07BourdeauxWoodallNLikelyRR+9-6.3-21.9N$98K*$528K
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MI06LongjohnUptonNLikelyRR+4-8.4-1.4N$261K*$1.661M
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MI07DriskellWalbergYLikelyRR+7-17-3.1N$897K$1.154M
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NC02ColemanHoldingNLikelyRR+6-9.6-13N$157K$253K
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OH10Gasper TurnerVideoN
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OH14RaderJoyceY
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PA16DiNicolaKellyYLeanRR+8-20.0-4.8N$343K$1.700M
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TX31HegarCarterVideoYLikelyRR+10-12.7-21.3N$867K$538K
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WA03LongHerrara BeutlerVideoYLikelyRR+4-7.4-1.3N$111K$1.022MR+5
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TooAZ02Kirkpatrick
Marquez Peterson
YLeanDR+14.9-1.5N$837K$509KR+5
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Good?CA10HarderDenhamYTossupEven33.6N$1.059M$2.394MD+4&R+3
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CA25HillKnightYTossupEven6.7-1.9N$853K$1.301KR+5
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CA39CisnerosKimYTossupEven8.6-3.7Y$760K$305KR+2
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CA48RoudaRohrabacherYTossupR+41.711.7N$483K$479KD+2
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CA49LevinHarkeyYLeanDR+17.5-6.7Y$850K$170KD+3
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CO06CrowCoffmanYTossupD+28.95.1N$1.295M$1.612KD+5
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FL26Mucarsel- PowellCurbeloYTossupD+616.311.5N$1.264M$2.601MD+2&R+5
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FL27ShalalaSalazarNLeanDD+519.66.7Y$1,131K*$578K
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MN02CraigLewis (P)DonateVideoYTossupR+2-1.10.1N$1.557M$1.288MR+1
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MN03PhillipsPaulsenYTossupD+19.40.8N$923K$2.810M
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NJ02Van DrewGrossmanYLikelyDR+1-3.58.1Y$675K$56KD+12-18
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NJ07MalinowskiLanceYTossupR+71.1-6.2N$1.635M$1.151MD+2
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NJ11SherrillWebberVideoYLeanDR+3-0.9-5.8Y$2.917M$172KD+4
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NY19DelgadoFasoDonateVideoYTossupR+2-6.86.2N$662K$1.261MD+7
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PA04DeanDavidNSolidDD+719.313.3Y$101K$202K
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PA05ScanlonKimNLikelyDD+1328.227.7Y$167K$294K
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PA06HoulahanMcCauleyYLikelyDD+29.33.2Y$2.806M$138K
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PA07WildThompsonYLeanDD+11.17Y$700K$406K
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PA17LambRothfusNTossupR+3-2.6-4.5**$1.754M$2.068M
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TX23Ortiz JonesHurdDonateVideoYLeanRR+13.4-2.6N$1.151M$2.019M
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VA10WextonComstock (P)DonateVideoYLeanDD+110-1.1N$766K$1.717MD+9
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WA08SchrierRossiYTossupEven31.6Y$938K*$1.834MD+1&R+2
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WellKS02DavisWatkinsYLeanRR+10-18.4-13.1Y$894K$400K*D+5
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FundedMI08SlotkinBishopYTossupR+4-6.7-3.1N$2.248M$1.688MR+6
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NC09McCreadyHarrisYLeanRR+7-23.3-11.7Y$1.804M$296KD+7
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NC13ManningBudd (P)YLeanRR+6-16.2-6.8N$1.345M$778KR+3
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NJ03KimMacArthurVideoYLeanRR+2-6.24.6N$1.671M$1.003MR+1, R+4,Even
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NY11RoseDonovanYLikelyRR+3-9.84.3N$1.275M$396K
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NY22BrindisiTenneyYTossupR+6-15.10.4N$1.430M$1.037MD+6
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PA01WallaceFitzpatrickVideoYLeanRR+121.6**$1.702M$1.652M
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UT04McAdamsLoveYLeanRR+13-43.7-37N$1.249M$1.233MR+6
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WI01BryceSteilYLeanRR+5-10.3-4.2$2.154M$619K
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WI06KohlGrothmanYLikelyRR+8-16.8-7.3N$1.145M$871K
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Preference for Dem House:
7.80%9/8/18
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The strategy is to support candidates where additional $ would be most helpful.
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All seats in the "Best Now & Next Best" category have a standout Dem nominee and/or have been chosen by the Dem Party DCCC for its "Red2Blue" support
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Cash - Latest cash as of June 30 FEC report, with some later updates if there was a recent primary of special election
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Dem odds is the odds for a Dem winning the seat at PredictIt. Note: Odds change very frequently and may not be quite up to date
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Polls are either latest or Real Clear Politics average. May not be completely up to date
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All seats are currently held by Republicans or redistricted PA seats.
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"Priority Opponent (P)" = Republican opponent is member of Freedom Caucus or
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DCCC - R2B - Dem. Congressional Campaign Committee's Red to Blue targets: https://redtoblue.dccc.org/
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Cook Rating - The Cook Report tracks, rates and reports on political races: https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings
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Cook PVI - Cook's Partisan Voter Index: https://www.cookpolitical.com/index.php/pvi-map-and-district-list
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