Model Draft Consensus
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1
ProspectRankActual PickOverall AverageKevin Pelton's WARP Model (@kpelton)Andrew Johnson's PAWS Model (@countingbaskets)Dan Dickey's WAR Model (@Hoops_Nerd)Layne Vashro's EWP Model (@VJL_bball)Jessie Fischer's SMO Model (Rank not proj. #s) (@jessiefischer33)(@masseffectlenk)'s GREED ModelMathketball's ModelAll models' projections of future performance are normalized using min-max normailzation to insure all model results are on the same 0-100 scale. This makes model comparison easier and allows for averaging.
2
Joel Embiid1387.3388.1484.5051.16100.0098.41100.0089.11
3
Marcus Smart2685.64100.0085.42100.0072.37100.0066.1575.51Kevin Pelton: @KPelton
4
Clint Capela32578.7096.6198.3441.15
http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/draft2014/story/_/id/11102133/nba-draft-marcus-smart-tops-kevin-pelton-prospect-projection-rankings
5
Jabari Parker4276.1181.3695.7696.1668.4293.6544.8252.64
6
Jordan Adams52274.8289.83100.0081.5976.3271.4334.2870.32Andrew Johnson: @countingbaskets
7
Nikola Jokic64173.5691.5394.2834.88
http://counting-the-baskets.typepad.com/my-blog/2014/06/p-aws-draft-model-two-point-o.html
8
Jusuf Nurkic71671.2594.9282.1036.73
9
Kyle Anderson83070.9564.4190.0442.1690.1384.1338.2287.60Dan Dickey: @Hoops_Nerd
10
Noah Vonleh9969.2479.6693.3653.3070.3990.4836.3961.12http://hoopsnerd.com/?p=600
11
Dante Exum10567.8094.9240.68
12
Aaron Gordon11463.9167.8093.1737.9969.0892.0644.1443.15Layne Vashro: @VJL_bball
13
Tyler Ennis121862.7372.8888.3829.4671.7187.3023.5265.85
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gnZwVQtMDlfPnlKaeoeA9y6vYUaBYfgsg0UbAUkXj48/edit#gid=534831852
14
Julius Randle13759.7166.1074.3552.5247.3796.8327.9852.85
15
Andrew Wiggins14159.0961.0270.1129.9953.2995.2440.5763.42Jessie Fischer: @jessiefischer33
16
Elfrid Payton151058.8052.5471.5950.5860.5388.8937.9949.47http://tothemean.com/2014/06/22/draft-analysis.html
17
Jarnell Stokes163558.6971.1978.7862.7950.0073.0225.7049.33
18
Spencer Dinwiddie173857.6057.6353.1459.7142.1155.5635.05100.00@masseffectlenk
19
Dario Saric181256.9262.7174.5433.50
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/183lz4uq51xqLxrXR7LTgYgw3Mq_ZMBwFQkoTe0jdafw/edit#gid=1638187264
20
Damien Inglis193155.4759.3278.2328.86
21
Gary Harris201955.4671.1975.8334.4746.7182.5419.8057.67Mathketball
22
Langston Galloway2152.8354.2451.43
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xMbj24U72UGjYX4yYoksGvN14maNane9-dozdOblCXg/edit#gid=1547496129
23
K.J. McDaniels223251.5564.4163.6543.1236.1866.6732.0154.82
24
Nik Stauskas23850.2959.3260.157.2827.6385.7138.7173.21
25
T.J. Warren241449.1349.1566.7954.2845.3974.6015.6338.03
26
Shabazz Napier252448.6757.6354.9833.1331.5880.9520.2662.18
27
Javon McCrea2647.5576.2743.4346.7124.5346.80
28
Langston Hall2746.4445.7647.12
29
Mitch McGary282146.3552.5450.3719.0348.6868.2534.6550.93
30
Austin Hollins2945.2645.26
31
Khem Birch3044.3364.4169.0013.9038.1634.9220.8069.10
32
Vasilije Micic315242.1249.1551.2941.2726.75
33
Walter Tavares324341.9355.9352.5817.26
34
Mateusz Ponitka3341.7041.70
35
Doug McDermott3441.0469.4967.901.8917.1179.3712.2539.31
36
CJ Wilcox3540.3865.0815.67
37
Zach LaVine361338.5754.2456.460.0026.3269.8427.4735.65
38
Ryan Harrow3738.3738.37
39
James Young381738.1552.5459.784.5324.3477.7816.6831.43
40
P.J. Hairston392637.6172.8844.2814.0819.18
41
Taylor Braun4037.4842.3725.0023.7958.74
42
Devon Collier4137.3740.6834.07
43
Talib Zanna4237.0737.07
44
Luke Hancock4337.0137.01
45
Glenn Robinson III444036.7849.1556.640.0027.6366.6721.4935.87
46
Malcolm Miller4536.5036.50
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Bryce Cotton4636.1454.2447.0519.2233.3314.5548.49
48
Ioannis Papapetrou4735.8540.6842.6224.24
49
Kendrick Perry4835.7839.4732.08
50
Roy Devyn Marble495635.4249.1517.4639.65
51
Chris Udofia5035.3142.7627.86
52
Scottie Wilbekin5135.2355.9323.0322.2239.73
53
Jerami Grant523934.3332.2057.561.6927.6358.7323.2139.26
54
Adreian Payne531533.5437.2930.6311.7213.1676.1924.5041.27
55
Chase Fieler5433.1633.16
56
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
555132.7049.1528.2320.72
57
Eric Atkins5632.3032.30
58
Chane Behanan5732.2347.4625.2224.02
59
Chaz Williams5832.1232.12
60
George Beamon5931.9738.9824.95
61
Nick Johnson604231.9638.9842.444.7116.4552.3815.9052.88
62
Travis McKie6131.7731.77
63
Sim Bhullar6231.3751.850.4633.5513.6457.35
64
Travis Bader6330.5630.5130.62
65
Russ Smith644730.1833.9032.4717.1125.0053.9716.8032.02
66
De'Mon Brooks6530.0512.5047.60
67
Bogdan Bogdanovic
662729.5242.3728.9717.23
68
Lamar Patterson674829.4854.2444.287.9718.4226.9812.5441.92
69
Jordair Jett6829.1829.18
70
Rodney Hood692329.0935.5929.700.009.2160.3211.2857.55
71
Jeremy Ingram7028.8928.89
72
Philipp Neumann7128.8128.81
73
Shayne Whittington
7228.3829.3424.1231.69
74
Cleveland Melvin7327.9927.99
75
Michale Kyser7427.9227.92
76
Geron Johnson7527.5433.9021.19
77
Joe Jackson7627.5015.7939.20
78
Eric Moreland7727.0349.1532.100.0025.4028.50
79
Cleanthony Early783426.9338.9830.817.296.5863.4911.1030.28
80
Okaro White7926.5422.3713.8943.37
81
Deonte Burton8026.0735.5927.490.276.5844.4423.5644.54
82
Daniel Miller8125.9335.5919.0815.3833.67
83
Markel Brown824425.6728.8131.000.009.2131.7517.0461.86
84
Aaron Craft8325.6540.6824.910.0013.1647.627.8645.34
85
Ondrej Balvin8425.5336.9014.16
86
Kendall Williams8524.6943.733.5619.744.7618.1458.23
87
Patric Young8624.1633.9027.864.5216.4557.1412.0517.18
88
Ian Miller8724.1024.10
89
Devon Saddler8823.6023.60
90
Alessandro Gentile895323.0223.7328.7816.56
91
Jordan Clarkson904622.9530.5114.210.007.2461.9014.3332.48
92
Davante Gardner9122.3413.2031.48
93
Rasmus Larsen9222.3222.32
94
Jordan McRae935822.2015.2540.040.003.2942.8612.5841.39
95
Melvin Ejim9422.1035.5934.321.369.2123.818.9841.45
96
Adjehi Baru9521.9721.97
97
Semaj Christon965521.6813.5613.100.0012.5049.2118.7944.61
98
Juvonte Reddic9721.4147.4642.807.5125.006.357.3713.38
99
Cameron Bairstow984921.1228.237.0710.5338.67
100
T.J. Bray9921.0729.6112.54
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NormOverall
@KPelton
@countingbaskets
@Hoops_Nerd
@VJL_bball
@JessieFischer33
@masseffectlenk
Mathketball
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