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RiskMeasure by OzLeap
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ABOUT
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RiskMeasure
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Monte Carlo risk analysis in plain Excel.
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The tabs are colour-coded
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INPUTRisk RegisterYour risks: chance, impact, distribution.
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INPUTCorrelationWhich risks move together. Often skipped — it matters.
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OUTPUTResultsMean, P80, P90, S-curve and tornado.
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ENGINESimulationRuns by itself. Nothing to change here.
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LEARNLearnHow it works, and how to read the output.
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ABOUTAbout OzLeapLicence, and how to say thanks.
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Four steps
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1.Enter your risks on the gold Risk Register tab.
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2.Set which risks move together on the gold Correlation tab.
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3.Press F9 (Windows) or ⌘ + = (Mac) to run 1,000 iterations.
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4.Read your contingency figures on the green Results tab.
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Worth knowing
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Results shift a little each time you press F9. That is Monte Carlo working, not an error.
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A simulation does not create information. It shows the consequences of the estimates you give it.
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Correlation is an assumption you make, not something the model discovers. Only you know if your risks are linked.
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Shaded cells are the ones to fill in.
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© OzLeap · ozleap.com
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