2018 Midterm Benchmarks
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ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAKALAM
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Spreadsheet by George Elliott Morris, @gelliottmorris. Data from DailyKOS, FiveThirtyEight, Wikipedia, Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections, and others where noted.
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🚨 2018 House Midterm Election Forecast: www.thecrosstab.com/2018-midterms-forecast/ 🚨
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CodeFreshman 2018Party (1=Dem)Open 2018?Obama 2008McCain 2008Margin 2008Obama 2012Romney 2012Margin 2012PVI 2014Clinton
2016
Trump
2016
Margin 2016PVI 20182012.Dem2012.GOP2012 House Margin2014.Dem2014.GOP2014 House Margin2014 Residual2016.Dem2016.GOP2016 House MarginTrend 12 162018 Projection16 Dem Loss18 Dem LossFlip to GOP in 2018?Flip to Dem in 2018?Clinton Win + GOP DIstrict?DistrictIncumbent2016 Dem House Margin2016 Clinton Margin2018 Dem Projected MarginModeled RatingIncumbent
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AK-AL-1.038.159.7-21.641.255.3-14.1-16.037.652.8-15.2-14.930.969.1-38.241.051.0-10.06.036.050.3-14.31.1-12.41.01.0NoNoNoAK-ALYoung, Don-14.3-15.2-12.4Likely R
Young, Don
5
AL-01 -1.038.560.9-22.437.461.8-24.4-23.934.163.5-29.4-28.20.0100.031.768.2-36.5-12.60.096.4-96.4-4.3-25.71.01.0NoNoNoAL-01Byrne, Bradley-96.4-29.4-25.7Safe R
Byrne, Bradley
6
AL-02-1.035.064.5-29.536.462.9-26.5-27.333.064.9-31.9-30.636.363.7-27.432.667.3-34.8-7.540.548.8-8.3-3.3-28.11.01.0NoNoNoAL-02Roby, Martha-8.3-31.9-28.1Safe R
Roby, Martha
7
AL-03-1.036.662.6-26.036.862.3-25.5-25.632.365.3-33.0-31.135.964.1-28.233.766.1-32.4-6.832.966.9-34.0-5.5-28.61.01.0NoNoNoAL-03Rogers, Mike-34.0-33.0-28.6Safe R
Rogers, Mike
8
AL-04-1.025.573.3-47.824.074.8-50.8-50.117.480.4-63.0-60.025.974.1-48.20.0100.0-100.00.098.5-98.5-9.9-57.51.01.0NoNoNoAL-04Aderholt, Robert-98.5-63.0-57.5Safe R
Aderholt, Robert
9
AL-05-1.036.362.6-26.334.963.9-29.0-28.331.364.7-33.4-32.335.065.0-30.00.074.4-74.433.266.7-33.5-4.0-29.81.01.0NoNoNoAL-05Brooks, Mo-33.5-33.4-29.8Safe R
Brooks, Mo
10
AL-06-1.025.074.1-49.124.774.3-49.6-49.526.170.8-44.7-45.928.771.3-42.623.776.2-52.5-3.025.474.5-49.13.6-43.41.01.0NoNoNoAL-06Palmer, Gary-49.1-44.7-43.4Safe R
Palmer, Gary
11
AL-071.071.528.143.472.427.145.344.869.828.641.242.275.924.151.8100.00.0100.098.40.098.4-2.656.70.00.0NoNoNoAL-07Sewell, Terri98.441.256.7Safe D
Sewell, Terri
12
AR-01-1.039.258.0-18.836.361.0-24.7-23.230.265.0-34.8-32.341.059.0-18.032.463.3-30.9-7.60.076.3-76.3-9.1-29.81.01.0NoNoNoAR-01Crawford, Rick-76.3-34.8-29.8Safe R
Crawford, Rick
13
AR-02-1.044.353.8-9.542.954.7-11.8-11.241.752.4-10.7-11.041.758.3-16.643.651.9-8.33.036.858.3-21.50.3-8.51.01.0NoNoNoAR-02Hill, French-21.5-10.7-8.5Lean RHill, French
14
AR-03-1.033.963.7-29.831.665.5-33.9-32.930.561.9-31.4-32.00.0100.00.079.4-79.40.077.3-77.30.9-29.51.01.0NoNoNoAR-03Womack, Steve-77.3-31.4-29.5Safe R
Womack, Steve
15
AR-04-1.037.459.9-22.535.961.8-25.9-25.131.364.2-32.9-31.238.161.9-23.842.653.8-11.213.90.074.9-74.9-6.1-28.71.01.0NoNoNoAR-04Westerman, Bruce-74.9-32.9-28.7Safe R
Westerman, Bruce
16
AZ-01YES1.047.851.0-3.247.950.4-2.5-2.746.647.7-1.1-1.551.948.13.852.647.45.27.950.743.47.31.213.10.00.0NoNoNoAZ-01O'Halleran, Tom7.3-1.113.1Likely D
O'Halleran, Tom
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AZ-02-1.048.949.8-0.948.449.9-1.5-1.449.644.74.93.350.449.60.849.950.0-0.11.343.057.0-14.04.75.81.00.0NoYesYesAZ-02McSally, Martha-14.04.95.8Lean D
McSally, Martha
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AZ-031.058.240.717.561.436.924.522.862.432.529.928.661.138.922.255.744.211.5-11.388.10.088.15.843.10.00.0NoNoNoAZ-03Grijalva, RaΓΊl88.129.943.1Safe D
Grijalva, RaΓΊl
19
AZ-04-1.034.464.2-29.831.067.2-36.2-34.627.567.7-40.2-39.229.870.2-40.425.870.0-44.2-9.628.571.5-43.0-4.6-36.71.01.0NoNoNoAZ-04Gosar, Paul-43.0-40.2-36.7Safe R
Gosar, Paul
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AZ-05YES-1.036.362.6-26.334.663.8-29.2-28.536.557.6-21.1-23.132.867.2-34.430.469.6-39.2-10.735.964.1-28.25.4-20.61.01.0NoNoNoAZ-05Biggs, Andy-28.2-21.1-20.6Safe R
Biggs, Andy
21
AZ-06-1.041.257.7-16.538.859.5-20.7-19.742.452.4-10.0-12.735.264.8-29.635.164.9-29.7-10.137.962.1-24.27.0-10.21.01.0NoNoNoAZ-06Schweikert, David-24.2-10.0-10.2Likely R
Schweikert, David
22
AZ-071.064.734.130.671.726.545.241.671.822.649.248.2100.00.074.90.074.975.224.750.56.762.70.00.0NoNoNoAZ-07Gallego, Ruben50.549.262.7Safe D
Gallego, Ruben
23
AZ-08-1.0YES38.460.6-22.236.961.7-24.8-24.237.058.1-21.1-22.035.664.4-28.80.075.8-75.80.068.5-68.52.1-13.51.01.0NoNoNoAZ-08OPEN-68.5-21.1-13.5Likely R
Franks, Trent
24
AZ-091.0YES51.347.43.951.146.64.54.454.738.416.313.452.247.84.454.741.912.88.560.939.021.99.021.90.00.0NoNoNoAZ-09OPEN21.916.321.9Safe D
Sinema, Kyrsten
25
CA-01-1.042.053.0-11.040.356.6-16.3-15.036.556.2-19.7-18.942.657.4-14.839.061.0-22.1-7.140.959.1-18.2-3.9-16.41.01.0NoNoNoCA-01LaMalfa, Doug-18.2-19.7-16.4Safe R
LaMalfa, Doug
26
CA-021.071.025.046.069.027.042.043.069.023.345.744.871.228.842.475.025.050.07.076.923.153.81.859.30.00.0NoNoNoCA-02Huffman, Jared53.845.759.3Safe D
Huffman, Jared
27
CA-031.055.042.013.054.343.111.211.753.040.412.612.354.245.88.452.747.35.4-6.259.440.618.80.626.80.00.0NoNoNoCA-03Garamendi, John18.812.626.8Safe D
Garamendi, John
28
CA-04-1.043.054.0-11.039.557.9-18.4-16.639.354.0-14.7-15.638.961.1-22.20.0100.0-100.037.362.7-25.40.9-13.11.01.0NoNoNoCA-04McClintock, Tom-25.4-14.7-13.1Likely R
McClintock, Tom
29
CA-051.070.026.044.069.727.542.242.769.224.344.944.274.525.549.075.70.075.776.923.153.81.658.70.00.0NoNoNoCA-05Thompson, Mike53.844.958.7Safe D
Thompson, Mike
30
CA-061.068.029.039.069.128.340.840.469.224.444.843.875.124.950.272.727.345.45.075.424.650.83.558.30.00.0NoNoNoCA-06Matsui, Doris50.844.858.3Safe D
Matsui, Doris
31
CA-071.051.046.05.050.846.84.04.352.340.911.49.651.748.33.450.449.60.8-3.551.248.82.45.324.10.00.0NoNoNoCA-07Bera, Ami2.411.424.1Safe DBera, Ami
32
CA-08-1.042.055.0-13.041.755.6-13.9-13.739.654.7-15.1-14.80.0100.032.467.7-35.3-21.637.762.3-24.6-1.1-12.31.01.0NoNoNoCA-08Cook, Paul-24.6-15.1-12.3Likely RCook, Paul
33
CA-091.056.041.015.057.840.117.717.056.638.018.618.455.644.411.252.447.64.7-12.357.442.614.81.432.90.00.0NoNoNoCA-09McNerney, Jerry14.818.632.9Safe D
McNerney, Jerry
34
CA-10-1.050.047.03.050.647.03.63.548.545.53.03.247.352.7-5.443.956.2-12.3-15.848.351.7-3.4-0.35.71.00.0NoYesYesCA-10Denham, Jeff-3.43.05.7Lean D
Denham, Jeff
35
CA-111.069.028.041.067.630.037.638.571.522.748.846.069.730.339.467.332.734.5-3.972.127.944.27.660.50.00.0NoNoNoCA-11DeSaulnier, Mark44.248.860.5Safe D
DeSaulnier, Mark
36
CA-121.084.013.071.084.112.571.671.586.28.777.576.085.114.970.283.316.866.5-5.080.90.080.94.690.50.00.0NoNoNoCA-12Pelosi, Nancy80.977.590.5Safe D
Pelosi, Nancy
37
CA-131.087.010.077.087.59.078.578.187.46.880.680.1100.00.088.511.577.0-1.290.89.281.62.094.60.00.0NoNoNoCA-13Lee, Barbara81.680.694.6Safe D
Lee, Barbara
38
CA-141.073.024.049.074.223.650.650.276.918.258.756.778.921.157.876.723.353.43.280.919.161.86.571.20.00.0NoNoNoCA-14Speier, Jackie61.858.771.2Safe D
Speier, Jackie
39
CA-151.067.030.037.068.029.838.237.969.924.245.743.8100.00.069.830.239.61.773.826.247.65.958.30.00.0NoNoNoCA-15Swalwell, Eric47.645.758.3Safe D
Swalwell, Eric
40
CA-161.057.040.017.058.639.419.218.758.036.421.621.057.442.614.850.749.31.5-17.258.042.016.02.435.50.00.0NoNoNoCA-16Costa, Jim16.021.635.5Safe DCosta, Jim
41
CA-17YES1.069.028.041.071.925.546.445.173.920.553.451.773.526.547.0100.00.0100.0100.00.0100.06.666.20.00.0NoNoNoCA-17Khanna, Ro100.053.466.2Safe D
Khanna, Ro
42
CA-181.070.027.043.068.228.939.340.273.420.253.249.770.529.541.067.832.335.5-4.771.128.942.29.564.20.00.0NoNoNoCA-18Eshoo, Anna42.253.264.2Safe D
Eshoo, Anna
43
CA-191.068.029.039.071.226.544.743.372.921.551.449.773.226.846.4100.00.0100.073.926.147.86.564.20.00.0NoNoNoCA-19Lofgren, Zoe47.851.464.2Safe D
Lofgren, Zoe
44
CA-20YES1.071.026.045.070.926.244.744.870.423.247.246.674.125.948.275.20.075.270.829.241.61.861.10.00.0NoNoNoCA-20Panetta, Jimmy41.647.261.1Safe D
Panetta, Jimmy
45
CA-21-1.052.046.06.054.643.511.19.855.239.715.514.442.257.8-15.642.257.8-15.7-25.543.356.7-13.44.616.91.00.0NoYesYesCA-21Valadao, David-13.415.516.9Safe D
Valadao, David
46
CA-22-1.042.055.0-13.041.656.6-15.0-14.542.652.1-9.5-10.938.161.9-23.828.072.0-44.1-29.632.467.6-35.23.6-8.41.01.0NoNoNoCA-22Nunes, Devin-35.2-9.5-8.4Lean R
Nunes, Devin
47
CA-23-1.036.061.0-25.036.161.5-25.4-25.336.158.1-22.0-22.90.0100.025.274.8-49.7-24.430.869.2-38.42.5-20.41.01.0NoNoNoCA-23McCarthy, Kevin-38.4-22.0-20.4Safe R
McCarthy, Kevin
48
CA-24YES1.056.041.015.054.143.111.012.056.736.520.217.955.144.910.251.948.13.9-8.153.446.66.85.932.40.00.0NoNoNoCA-24Carbajal, Salud6.820.232.4Safe D
Carbajal, Salud
49
CA-25-1.049.048.01.047.849.7-1.9-1.250.343.66.74.645.254.8-9.60.0100.0-100.046.953.1-6.25.77.11.00.0NoYesYesCA-25Knight, Steve-6.26.77.1Lean D
Knight, Steve
50
CA-261.056.041.015.054.043.710.311.557.936.021.919.052.747.35.451.348.72.7-8.860.439.620.87.533.50.00.0NoNoNoCA-26Brownley, Julia20.821.933.5Safe D
Brownley, Julia
51
CA-271.061.035.026.062.635.027.627.266.028.437.635.164.036.028.059.440.618.7-8.567.432.634.87.949.60.00.0NoNoNoCA-27Chu, Judy34.837.649.6Safe DChu, Judy
52
CA-281.070.026.044.070.326.543.843.972.122.349.848.376.523.553.076.50.076.578.022.056.04.562.80.00.0NoNoNoCA-28Schiff, Adam56.049.862.8Safe D
Schiff, Adam
53
CA-291.074.023.051.077.020.556.555.177.716.860.959.8100.00.074.625.449.2-5.9100.00.0100.04.774.30.00.0NoNoNoCA-29Cardenas, Tony100.060.974.3Safe D
Cardenas, Tony
54
CA-301.066.031.035.065.332.133.233.769.125.743.440.9100.00.065.634.431.3-2.472.627.445.27.255.40.00.0NoNoNoCA-30Sherman, Brad45.243.455.4Safe D
Sherman, Brad
55
CA-311.056.041.015.057.240.616.616.257.736.621.120.00.0100.051.748.33.5-12.756.143.912.23.834.50.00.0NoNoNoCA-31Aguilar, Pete12.221.134.5Safe D
Aguilar, Pete
56
CA-321.062.035.027.065.232.532.731.366.627.738.937.465.734.331.459.740.319.3-12.0100.00.0100.06.151.90.00.0NoNoNoCA-32Napolitano, Grace100.038.951.9Safe D
Napolitano, Grace
57
CA-331.064.033.031.060.636.823.825.667.826.541.336.9100.00.059.240.818.4-7.266.433.632.811.351.40.00.0NoNoNoCA-33Lieu, Ted32.841.351.4Safe DLieu, Ted
58
CA-34YES1.077.019.058.083.014.168.966.283.610.772.971.985.614.471.2100.00.0100.0100.00.0100.05.786.40.00.0NoNoNoCA-34Gomez, Jimmy100.072.986.4Safe D
Gomez, Jimmy
59
CA-351.064.032.032.067.430.636.835.667.726.940.839.8100.00.0100.00.0100.072.427.644.84.254.30.00.0NoNoNoCA-35Torres, Norma44.840.854.3Safe D
Torres, Norma
60
CA-361.050.047.03.050.747.53.23.252.243.48.87.452.947.15.854.245.88.45.262.137.924.24.321.90.00.0NoNoNoCA-36Ruiz, Raul24.28.821.9Safe DRuiz, Raul
61
CA-371.084.013.071.084.912.772.271.985.79.676.175.186.413.672.884.315.768.6-3.3100.00.0100.03.289.60.00.0NoNoNoCA-37Bass, Karen100.076.189.6Safe D
Bass, Karen
62
CA-381.061.035.026.064.933.031.930.467.027.439.637.767.532.535.059.140.918.2-12.270.529.541.07.352.20.00.0NoNoNoCA-38SΓ‘nchez, Linda41.039.652.2Safe D
SΓ‘nchez, Linda
63
CA-39-1.047.049.0-2.047.150.8-3.7-3.351.542.98.65.542.257.8-15.631.568.5-37.1-33.842.857.2-14.48.88.01.00.0NoYesYesCA-39Royce, Ed-14.48.68.0Lean DRoyce, Ed
64
CA-401.077.019.058.081.516.565.063.382.212.869.468.3100.00.0100.00.0100.071.40.071.45.182.80.00.0NoNoNoCA-40
Roybal-Allard, Lucille
71.469.482.8Safe D
Roybal-Allard, Lucille
65
CA-411.059.038.021.061.536.325.224.261.033.127.927.259.041.018.056.643.413.3-10.965.035.030.03.141.70.00.0NoNoNoCA-41Takano, Mark30.027.941.7Safe D
Takano, Mark
66
CA-42-1.043.054.0-11.041.456.5-15.1-14.141.453.4-12.0-12.839.460.6-21.234.365.7-31.5-17.441.258.8-17.61.3-10.31.01.0NoNoNoCA-42Calvert, Ken-17.6-12.0-10.3Likely R
Calvert, Ken
67
CA-431.075.022.053.078.020.058.056.878.416.761.760.8100.00.071.029.041.9-14.876.123.952.24.075.30.00.0NoNoNoCA-43Waters, Maxine52.261.775.3Safe D
Waters, Maxine
68
CA-44YES1.081.016.065.084.713.671.169.683.012.370.770.8100.00.086.70.086.7100.00.0100.01.285.30.00.0NoNoNoCA-44Barragan, Nanette100.070.785.3Safe D
Barragan, Nanette
69
CA-45-1.046.051.0-5.043.054.8-11.8-10.149.844.45.41.141.558.5-17.034.965.1-30.2-20.141.458.6-17.211.23.61.00.0NoYesYesCA-45Walters, Mimi-17.25.43.6Tossup
Walters, Mimi
70
CA-46YES1.058.039.019.061.436.225.223.766.327.938.435.163.936.127.859.740.319.4-4.3100.00.0100.011.549.60.00.0NoNoNoCA-46Correa, Lou100.038.449.6Safe D
Correa, Lou
71
CA-471.058.039.019.060.037.522.521.662.631.031.629.356.643.413.256.044.012.0-9.663.736.327.47.743.80.00.0NoNoNoCA-47Lowenthal, Alan27.431.643.8Safe D
Lowenthal, Alan
72
CA-48-1.046.051.0-5.043.054.7-11.7-10.047.946.21.7-1.739.061.0-22.035.964.1-28.2-18.241.758.3-16.68.40.81.00.0NoYesYesCA-48
Rohrabacher, Dana
-16.61.70.8Tossup
Rohrabacher, Dana
73
CA-49-1.049.048.01.045.752.4-6.7-4.850.743.27.54.041.858.2-16.439.860.2-20.3-15.649.750.3-0.68.76.51.00.0NoYesYesCA-49Issa, Darrell-0.67.56.5Lean D
Issa, Darrell
74
CA-50-1.039.058.0-19.037.660.4-22.8-21.939.654.6-15.0-17.032.367.7-35.428.871.2-42.4-20.636.563.5-27.04.9-14.51.01.0NoNoNoCA-50Hunter, Duncan-27.0-15.0-14.5Likely R
Hunter, Duncan
75
CA-511.065.032.033.069.428.940.538.671.822.849.046.971.528.543.068.831.237.6-1.072.827.245.68.261.40.00.0NoNoNoCA-51Vargas, Juan45.649.061.4Safe D
Vargas, Juan
76
CA-521.055.043.012.052.145.76.47.858.135.622.518.551.248.82.451.648.43.2-4.656.543.513.010.733.00.00.0NoNoNoCA-52Peters, Scott13.022.533.0Safe D
Peters, Scott
77
CA-531.061.036.025.061.436.425.025.064.529.634.932.461.438.622.858.841.217.7-7.367.033.034.07.446.90.00.0NoNoNoCA-53Davis, Susan34.034.946.9Safe D
Davis, Susan
78
CO-011.070.927.643.369.028.840.241.069.023.245.844.471.828.243.665.829.036.8-4.167.927.740.23.458.90.00.0NoNoNoCO-01DeGette, Diana40.245.858.9Safe D
DeGette, Diana
79
CO-021.0YES61.237.224.057.939.518.419.856.234.921.320.659.140.918.256.743.313.5-6.356.937.219.70.829.10.00.0NoNoNoCO-02OPEN19.721.329.1Safe DPolis, Jared
80
CO-03-1.048.449.9-1.545.851.8-6.0-4.940.052.0-12.0-10.543.556.5-13.035.758.0-22.3-17.440.354.6-14.3-5.6-8.01.01.0NoNoNoCO-03Tipton, Scott-14.3-12.0-8.0Lean R
Tipton, Scott
81
CO-04-1.041.956.4-14.539.258.5-19.3-18.134.357.4-23.1-22.238.661.4-22.829.264.7-35.5-17.431.763.5-31.8-4.1-19.71.01.0NoNoNoCO-04Buck, Ken-31.8-23.1-19.7Safe RBuck, Ken
82
CO-05-1.039.758.8-19.138.359.1-20.8-20.433.257.2-24.0-23.20.0100.040.259.8-19.60.830.962.3-31.4-2.8-20.71.01.0NoNoNoCO-05Lamborn, Doug-31.4-24.0-20.7Safe R
Lamborn, Doug
83
CO-06-1.053.644.98.751.646.55.16.050.241.38.98.048.951.1-2.243.051.9-8.9-14.942.650.9-8.32.010.51.00.0NoYesYesCO-06Coffman, Mike-8.38.910.5Likely D
Coffman, Mike
84
CO-071.057.440.716.756.141.314.815.351.439.412.012.756.743.313.455.144.910.1-5.155.239.815.4-2.627.20.00.0NoNoNoCO-07Perlmutter, Ed15.412.027.2Safe D
Perlmutter, Ed
85
CT-011.065.832.932.963.335.627.729.059.436.323.124.371.528.543.062.336.126.3-2.764.133.830.3-4.838.80.00.0NoNoNoCT-01Larson, John30.323.138.8Safe D
Larson, John
86
CT-021.058.640.018.655.942.613.314.648.745.82.95.569.930.139.862.335.526.812.263.233.729.5-9.120.00.00.0NoNoNoCT-02Courtney, Joe29.52.920.0Safe D
Courtney, Joe
87
CT-031.062.636.226.462.636.326.326.355.940.415.518.274.725.349.467.132.934.27.969.031.038.0-8.132.70.00.0NoNoNoCT-03DeLauro, Rosa38.015.532.7Safe D
DeLauro, Rosa
88
CT-041.059.639.719.955.144.011.113.359.636.623.020.060.040.020.053.746.37.5-5.859.940.119.86.734.50.00.0NoNoNoCT-04Himes, Jim19.823.034.5Safe DHimes, Jim
89
CT-051.056.442.414.053.545.38.29.749.945.84.15.151.348.72.653.345.87.5-2.158.042.016.0-4.519.60.00.0NoNoNoCT-05Esty, Elizabeth16.04.119.6Safe D
Esty, Elizabeth
90
DE-ALYES1.061.936.925.058.640.018.620.253.441.911.513.365.834.231.659.336.822.52.355.541.014.5-6.927.80.00.0NoNoNoDE-AL
Blunt Rochester, Lisa
14.511.527.8Safe D
Blunt Rochester, Lisa
91
FL-01YES-1.032.066.8-34.830.168.5-38.4-37.528.267.5-39.3-39.128.171.9-43.823.470.2-46.8-9.330.969.1-38.2-1.6-36.61.01.0NoNoNoFL-01Gaetz, Matt-38.2-39.3-36.6Safe R
Gaetz, Matt
92
FL-02YES-1.035.263.4-28.234.064.6-30.6-30.030.666.2-35.6-34.447.352.7-5.450.549.41.131.129.967.3-37.4-4.4-31.91.01.0NoNoNoFL-02Dunn, Neal-37.4-35.6-31.9Safe RDunn, Neal
93
FL-03-1.044.254.6-10.441.956.6-14.7-13.640.256.2-16.0-15.733.466.6-33.232.365.0-32.7-19.139.856.6-16.8-2.1-13.21.01.0NoNoNoFL-03Yoho, Ted-16.8-16.0-13.2Likely RYoho, Ted
94
FL-04YES-1.034.864.2-29.432.866.1-33.3-32.334.162.1-28.0-29.30.0100.00.078.3-78.327.670.2-42.63.0-26.81.01.0NoNoNoFL-04Rutherford, John-42.6-28.0-26.8Safe R
Rutherford, John
95
FL-05YES1.063.235.927.363.635.428.228.061.335.925.426.172.927.145.865.534.530.93.064.235.828.4-1.940.60.00.0NoNoNoFL-05Lawson, Al28.425.440.6Safe DLawson, Al
96
FL-06-1.050.148.71.446.652.2-5.6-3.939.956.9-17.0-14.242.857.2-14.437.562.5-25.1-21.241.458.6-17.2-10.3-11.71.01.0NoNoNoFL-06DeSantis, Ron-17.2-17.0-11.7Likely R
DeSantis, Ron
97
FL-07YES1.051.148.03.149.449.40.00.851.444.17.35.541.358.7-17.432.163.6-31.5-32.251.548.53.04.720.00.00.0NoNoNoFL-07Murphy, Stephanie3.07.320.0Safe D
Murphy, Stephanie
98
FL-08-1.043.854.9-11.142.156.6-14.5-13.737.758.4-20.7-19.238.961.1-22.234.165.8-31.7-18.132.563.1-30.6-5.5-16.71.01.0NoNoNoFL-08Posey, Bill-30.6-20.7-16.7Safe RPosey, Bill
99
FL-09YES1.054.644.510.155.643.412.211.754.841.912.912.762.537.525.054.043.110.9-0.857.542.515.01.127.20.00.0NoNoNoFL-09Soto, Darren15.012.927.2Safe D
Soto, Darren
100
FL-10YES1.060.938.522.460.738.422.322.361.834.926.925.848.351.7-3.438.561.5-23.1-45.464.935.129.83.440.30.00.0NoNoNoFL-10Demings, Val29.826.940.3Safe D
Demings, Val
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Main Data
Polling
Retirements
2017 Specials
Tipping Points and D/RMPI
Competitiveness Rank
Retirement Bonus
Demographics
Historical Retirements
Misc. Model Vars