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Tax-Free CompoundingI know that steady returns and steady inflation each year is not how the real world works. I also know that RRIF withdrawals are unlikely to be once per year. Modeling these factors more accurately would only distract from the purpose here which is to show the value of tax-free compounding.
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Assumptions:
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Capital GainsDividendsInterest
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Yearly Return8%Return Breakdown:70%20%10%
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Inflation rate4%
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Marginal Tax Rate40%20%18.70%40%dividend tax rate computation just an approximation
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Yearly turnover:10%(equity turnover during accumulation phase resulting in capital gains taxes)
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Yearly Savings (rising with inflation)$6,000.00RRSP contribution to give the same out-of-pocket as savings:$10,000.00
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Assume saving for 35 years and live off savings for 25 years.
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RRSP Savings ApproachNon-Registered Savings Approach
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Year #New ContributionRRSP BalanceNew SavingsInterest (after tax)Dividends (after tax)Realized Cap GainAdjusted Cost BaseCap Gains TaxesSavings Balance
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1$10,400.00$10,400.00$6,240.00$0.00$0.00$0.00$6,240.00$0.00$6,240.00
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2$10,816.00$22,048.00$6,489.60$29.95$81.17$0.00$12,840.72$0.00$13,190.16
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3$11,248.64$35,060.48$6,749.18$63.31$171.58$34.94$19,852.75$6.99$20,905.90
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4$11,698.59$49,563.90$7,019.15$100.35$271.94$105.31$27,328.45$21.06$29,447.01
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5$12,166.53$65,695.55$7,299.92$141.35$383.05$211.86$35,322.24$42.37$38,877.98
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6$12,653.19$83,604.38$7,591.91$186.61$505.72$355.57$43,890.95$71.11$49,268.28
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7$13,159.32$103,452.05$7,895.59$236.49$640.88$537.73$53,094.10$107.55$60,692.72
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8$13,685.69$125,413.90$8,211.41$291.33$789.49$759.86$62,994.22$151.97$73,231.77
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9$14,233.12$149,680.13$8,539.87$351.51$952.60$1,023.76$73,657.21$204.75$86,971.98
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10$14,802.44$176,456.99$8,881.47$417.47$1,131.33$1,331.48$85,152.65$266.30$102,006.38
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11$15,394.54$205,968.08$9,236.72$489.63$1,326.90$1,685.37$97,554.20$337.07$118,434.92
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12$16,010.32$238,455.85$9,606.19$568.49$1,540.60$2,088.07$110,939.94$417.61$136,364.94
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13$16,650.74$274,183.06$9,990.44$654.55$1,773.84$2,542.50$125,392.77$508.50$155,911.70
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14$17,316.76$313,434.47$10,390.06$748.38$2,028.10$3,051.89$141,000.82$610.38$177,198.92
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15$18,009.44$356,518.66$10,805.66$850.55$2,305.00$3,619.81$157,857.89$723.96$200,359.31
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16$18,729.81$403,769.96$11,237.89$961.72$2,606.27$4,250.14$176,063.89$850.03$225,535.29
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17$19,479.00$455,550.57$11,687.40$1,082.57$2,933.76$4,947.14$195,725.33$989.43$252,879.58
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18$20,258.17$512,252.78$12,154.90$1,213.82$3,289.46$5,715.42$216,955.85$1,143.08$282,555.93
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19$21,068.49$574,301.49$12,641.10$1,356.27$3,675.49$6,560.01$239,876.71$1,312.00$314,739.91
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20$21,911.23$642,156.84$13,146.74$1,510.75$4,094.14$7,486.32$264,617.39$1,497.26$349,619.70
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21$22,787.68$716,317.07$13,672.61$1,678.17$4,547.85$8,500.23$291,316.21$1,700.05$387,397.00
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22$23,699.19$797,321.62$14,219.51$1,859.51$5,039.26$9,608.08$320,120.95$1,921.62$428,287.89
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23$24,647.16$885,754.51$14,788.29$2,055.78$5,571.17$10,816.69$351,189.55$2,163.34$472,523.92
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24$25,633.04$982,247.91$15,379.82$2,268.11$6,146.59$12,133.44$384,690.83$2,426.69$520,353.10
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25$26,658.36$1,087,486.10$15,995.02$2,497.69$6,768.75$13,566.23$420,805.28$2,713.25$572,041.10
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26$27,724.70$1,202,209.69$16,634.82$2,745.80$7,441.11$15,123.58$459,725.87$3,024.72$627,872.41
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27$28,833.69$1,327,220.15$17,300.21$3,013.79$8,167.36$16,814.65$501,658.96$3,362.93$688,151.70
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28$29,987.03$1,463,384.80$17,992.22$3,303.13$8,951.48$18,649.27$546,825.20$3,729.85$753,205.16
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29$31,186.51$1,611,642.10$18,711.91$3,615.38$9,797.69$20,638.00$595,460.59$4,127.60$823,382.04
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30$32,433.98$1,773,007.44$19,460.39$3,952.23$10,710.55$22,792.15$647,817.48$4,558.43$899,056.18
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31$33,731.33$1,948,579.37$20,238.80$4,315.47$11,694.92$25,123.87$704,165.76$5,024.77$980,627.74
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32$35,080.59$2,139,546.30$21,048.35$4,707.01$12,756.01$27,646.20$764,794.09$5,529.24$1,068,525.03
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33$36,483.81$2,347,193.82$21,890.29$5,128.92$13,899.37$30,373.09$830,011.15$6,074.62$1,163,206.39
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34$37,943.16$2,572,912.49$22,765.90$5,583.39$15,130.99$33,319.52$900,147.04$6,663.90$1,265,162.32
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35$39,460.89$2,818,206.38$23,676.53$6,072.78$16,457.23$36,501.53$975,554.81$7,300.31$1,374,917.65
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Inflation-adjusted RRSP withdrawal amount:$44,975.50After tax withdrawal:$26,985.30Inflation-adjusted after-tax withdrawal Amount:$18,574.11
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WithdrawalRRIF BalanceWithdrawalInterest (after tax)Dividends (after tax)Req'd WithdrawalAdjusted Cost BaseCap Gains TaxesSavings Balance
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36$184,576.42$2,859,086.47$76,226.89$6,599.60$17,884.93$54,933.60$936,577.40$3,191.24$1,396,979.44
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37$191,959.48$2,895,853.91$79,275.97$6,705.50$18,171.91$58,237.20$897,533.41$3,838.64$1,416,973.08
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38$199,637.85$2,927,884.37$82,447.01$6,801.47$18,431.99$61,740.14$858,426.21$4,526.59$1,434,583.43
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39$207,623.37$2,954,491.75$85,744.89$6,886.00$18,661.06$65,455.47$819,258.96$5,257.64$1,449,464.63
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40$215,928.30$2,974,922.79$89,174.69$6,957.43$18,854.64$69,397.19$780,034.64$6,034.57$1,461,237.46
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41$224,565.44$2,988,351.18$92,741.67$7,013.94$19,007.78$73,580.32$740,756.15$6,860.37$1,469,486.44
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42$233,548.05$2,993,871.22$96,451.34$7,053.53$19,115.08$78,020.97$701,426.41$7,738.25$1,473,756.70
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43$242,889.97$2,990,490.94$100,309.39$7,074.03$19,170.63$82,736.43$662,048.46$8,671.70$1,473,550.65
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44$252,605.57$2,977,124.64$104,321.77$7,073.04$19,167.95$87,745.25$622,625.58$9,664.47$1,468,324.23
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45$262,709.80$2,952,584.82$108,494.64$7,047.96$19,099.96$93,067.37$583,161.46$10,720.65$1,457,483.02
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46$273,218.19$2,915,573.41$112,834.43$6,995.92$18,958.94$98,724.19$543,660.39$11,844.62$1,440,377.88
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47$284,146.92$2,864,672.37$117,347.80$6,913.81$18,736.44$104,738.72$504,127.50$13,041.17$1,416,300.32
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48$295,512.79$2,798,333.37$122,041.71$6,798.24$18,423.23$111,135.70$464,569.11$14,315.46$1,384,477.43
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49$307,333.30$2,714,866.73$126,923.38$6,645.49$18,009.28$117,941.76$424,993.10$15,673.15$1,344,066.41
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50$319,626.64$2,612,429.43$132,000.32$6,451.52$17,483.62$125,185.58$385,409.48$17,120.39$1,294,148.56
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51$332,411.70$2,489,012.08$137,280.33$6,211.91$16,834.28$132,898.09$345,831.19$18,663.96$1,233,722.78
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52$345,708.17$2,342,424.88$142,771.54$5,921.87$16,048.27$141,112.75$306,275.15$20,311.34$1,161,698.51
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53$359,536.50$2,170,282.37$148,482.41$5,576.15$15,111.37$149,865.78$266,763.90$22,070.91$1,076,887.84
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54$373,917.96$1,969,987.01$154,421.70$5,169.06$14,008.16$159,196.66$227,328.11$23,952.17$977,996.90
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55$388,874.68$1,738,711.29$160,598.57$4,694.39$12,721.78$169,148.66$188,010.76$25,966.26$863,616.06
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56$404,429.66$1,473,378.53$167,022.51$4,145.36$11,233.92$179,769.99$148,874.51$28,126.75$732,208.58
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57$420,606.85$1,170,641.97$173,703.41$3,514.60$9,524.57$191,115.77$110,016.37$30,451.52$582,096.49
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58$437,431.12$826,862.20$180,651.55$2,794.06$7,571.91$203,253.24$71,601.46$32,967.67$411,440.65
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59$454,928.37$438,082.81$187,877.61$1,974.92$5,352.02$216,278.80$33,963.28$35,728.12$218,202.52
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60$473,125.50$3.93$195,392.72$1,047.37$2,838.38$230,417.57-$1,901.28$38,910.60$4.29
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