OWL S2 Stage Playoff Odds

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J	L	M	N	O	P	Q	R	S	T	U	W	X	Y	Z	AA	AB	AC	AD	AE	AF
1	Seed	Team	Elo rating	Champion	Finalist	Semifinalist	E(prize$)				Elo win probabilities
2	1	NYE	1057	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	$25,000														Elo odds for specific match result
3	2	VAN	1128	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	$50,000				Win 1 map		NYE	VAN	HZS	SFS	SEO	VAL	HOU	SHD	Team	VAN	SFS
4	3	HZS	1132	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	$25,000					Elo	1057	1128	1132	1251	1094	1177	946	1188	Elo rating	1128	1251
5	4	SFS	1251	0.0%	100.0%	100.0%	$100,000				NYE	1057		39.9%	39.4%	24.7%	44.7%	33.4%	65.5%	32.0%
6	5	SEO	1094	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	$25,000				VAN	1128	60.1%		49.4%	33.0%	54.9%	43.0%	74.0%	41.5%	Each map	33.0%	67.0%	Each map
7	6	VAL	1177	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	$50,000				HZS	1132	60.6%	50.6%		33.5%	55.4%	43.6%	74.5%	42.0%	Bo5	20.5%	79.5%	Bo5
8	7	HOU	946	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	$25,000				SFS	1251	75.3%	67.0%	66.5%		71.2%	60.5%	85.3%	59.0%	Bo7	16.8%	83.2%	Bo7
9	8	SHD	1188	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	$200,000				SEO	1094	55.3%	45.1%	44.6%	28.8%		38.3%	70.1%	36.8%
10											VAL	1177	66.6%	57.0%	56.4%	39.5%	61.7%		79.1%	48.4%	Exact score
11											HOU	946	34.5%	26.0%	25.5%	14.7%	29.9%	20.9%		19.9%	Bo5 3-0	3.6%	30.1%	Bo5 0-3
12	Visual bracket - based on highest probability scenarios										SHD	1188	68.0%	58.5%	58.0%	41.0%	63.2%	51.6%	80.1%		Bo5 3-1	7.2%	29.8%	Bo5 1-3
13																					Bo5 3-2	9.7%	19.7%	Bo5 2-3
14	Quarterfinals				Semifinals			Finals		Champion	Win Bo5		NYE	VAN	HZS	SFS	SEO	VAL	HOU	SHD
15	1	NYE	0.0%									Elo	1057	1128	1132	1251	1094	1177	946	1188	Bo7 4-0	1.2%	20.1%	Bo7 0-4
16	8	SHD	100.0%	2	VAN	0.0%					NYE	1057		31.6%	30.7%	10.0%	40.1%	21.1%	77.2%	19.0%	Bo7 4-1	3.2%	26.6%	Bo7 1-4
17											VAN	1128	68.4%		48.9%	20.5%	59.1%	37.0%	88.6%	34.3%	Bo7 4-2	5.3%	21.9%	Bo7 2-4
18	4	SFS	100.0%				8	SHD	100.0%		HZS	1132	69.3%	51.1%		21.3%	60.1%	38.1%	89.1%	35.3%	Bo7 4-3	7.1%	14.5%	Bo7 3-4
19	5	SEO	0.0%	8	SHD	100.0%					SFS	1251	90.0%	79.5%	78.7%		85.2%	69.1%	97.5%	66.5%
20											SEO	1094	59.9%	40.9%	39.9%	14.8%		28.8%	83.8%	26.4%	Matchup odds overrides
21	3	HZS	0.0%							SHD	VAL	1177	78.9%	63.0%	61.9%	30.9%	71.2%		93.5%	47.0%	Use these cells to override the Elo win probabilities with match odds (like Winston's Lab prediction contest)
22	6	VAL	100.0%	4	SFS	100.0%					HOU	946	22.8%	11.4%	10.9%	2.5%	16.2%	6.5%		5.7%	Input % team in rows on left beats team listed on top of column.
23											SHD	1188	81.0%	65.7%	64.7%	33.5%	73.6%	53.0%	94.3%		QF (Bo5)
24	2	VAN	100.0%				4	SFS	0.0%												SF/F (Bo7)
25	7	HOU	0.0%	6	VAL	0.0%					Win Bo7		NYE	VAN	HZS	SFS	SEO	VAL	HOU	SHD	Not used		8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1
26												Elo	1057	1128	1132	1251	1094	1177	946	1188	Eliminated		SHD	HOU	VAL	SEO	SFS	HZS	VAN	NYE
27	Final 4		If you make a copy and want to refer to the original or check for updates, web link below								NYE	1057		18.5%	17.2%	0.9%	32.0%	6.6%	91.8%	5.1%	1	NYE
28	8		Stage Playoff Odds calculator								VAN	1128	81.5%		48.0%	6.2%	66.7%	26.8%	98.8%	22.4%	2	VAN
29	4										HZS	1132	82.8%	52.0%		6.8%	68.5%	28.4%	98.9%	23.9%	3	HZS
30	6		Other links:								SFS	1251	99.1%	93.8%	93.2%		97.4%	82.5%	100.0%	78.7%	4	SFS
31	2		Season schedule simulation								SEO	1094	68.0%	33.3%	31.5%	2.6%		14.8%	96.7%	11.8%	5	SEO
32			Elo calculator								VAL	1177	93.4%	73.2%	71.6%	17.5%	85.2%		99.7%	44.5%	6	VAL
33											HOU	946	8.2%	1.2%	1.1%	0.0%	3.3%	0.3%		0.2%	7	HOU
34											SHD	1188	94.9%	77.6%	76.1%	21.3%	88.2%	55.5%	99.8%		8	SHD
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