ABCDEFGHI
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Nigeria, Gombe state (Taimaka)25th-75th percentileCost-effectiveness over this range
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Grant
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Grant size to charity$4,787,985
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Cost per child (illustrative only)$105
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Benefits from reducing mortality among malnourished children
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Number of additional children receiving treatment as a result of the program
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Number of severely malnourished children treated45,42420,000- 70,0004-13x
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Proportion of children reached who would have received government treatment in the absence of Taimaka5%
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Number of additional children receiving treatment as a result of the program43,309
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Annual mortality rate from all causes among children 6-59 months with untreated malnutrition
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Annual mortality rate from all causes among children 6-59 months with untreated malnutrition - initial estimate13.2%
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Annual mortality rate from all causes among children 6-59 months with untreated malnutrition - plausibility discount33%
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Annual mortality rate from all causes among children 6-59 months with untreated malnutrition - best guess4.3%3%-8%6-16x
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Sensitivity checks on plausibility discount - illustrative only; change input in source sheets to test effect on CEA
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Prevalence of untreated severe acute malnutrition3%
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Prevalence of untreated moderate acute malnutrition9%
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ICF - severe acute malnutrition8.00
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ICF - moderate acute malnutrition4.18
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Malnutrition treatment's effect on mortality
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Reduction in all-cause mortality from receiving NGO-supported malnutrition treatment, instead of no treatment59%15%-70%2-10x
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Increased reduction in all-cause mortality from receiving NGO-supported malnutrition treatment, instead of standard treatment10%
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Total number of deaths averted among malnourished children1,128
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Malnutrition treatment's effect on income increases
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Ratio of value generated from income increases to value generated from mortalities averted0.20
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Percentage of program impact coming from different benefits
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Reduced mortality among malnourished children 83%
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Income increases in later life17%
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Supplemental adjustments
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Adjustment for additional program benefits and downsides-2%
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Adjustment for leverage/funging-10%
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Final cost-effectiveness estimate
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Moral value of averting the death of a person under age five118
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Final cost-effectiveness in terms of multiples of GiveDirectly's unconditional cash transfer program8.8
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