HousePrediction
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Popular Vote
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Dem VoteGOP VoteMarginSwing from '08
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2008 House Vote53.1842.5310.68House
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Predicted Outcome4654-8.00-18.68
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1-42010 ProjectionDemGOP
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Predicted HousePredictedCurrentChangeSeats within 1 point1679
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Democrats183257-74Seats within 3 points2756
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GOP25217874Seats within 5
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Margin-6979
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Seat projected to change partyHCR VoteStateCD numberLast NameFirst NamePartyStatus2008 Percentage2008 opponents %Dem Margin OR PVIPredicted Outcome183Polling - Setp 1 - 10from 2008PVUDem +3GOP +3
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176243171237
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R+14AL1BONNER,JO(R)Unopposed-14-32.68-32.6800R+140101
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R+16NoAL2Bright,Bobby(D)50.249.60.6-18.088.6000R+160101
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R+9AL3ROGERS,MIKE(R)45.854-8.2-26.88-0.2000R+90101
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R+26AL4ADERHOLT,ROBERT(R)25.174.8-49.7-68.38-41.7000R+260101
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R+12AL5Griffith,Parker(D)51.547.93.6-15.0811.6000R+120101
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R+29AL6BACHUS,SPENCER(R)Unopposed-29-47.68-47.6800R+290101
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D+18NoAL7Davis,Artur(D)Unopposed18-0.68-0.6800D+180000
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R+13AKAt :LargeYOUNG,DON(R)4550.2-5.2-23.882.8000R+130101
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R+6AZ1Kirkpatrick,Ann(D)55.939.416.5-2.1824.5000R+60100
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R+13AZ2FRANKS,TRENT(R)37.259.4-22.2-40.88-14.2000R+130101
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R+9AZ3SHADEGG,JOHN(R)retiring42.154.1-9-27.68-1.0000R+90101
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D+13AZ4Pastor,Ed(D)72.121.250.932.2258.9011D+131010
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R+5AZ5Mitchell,Harry(D)53.243.69.6-9.0817.6000R+50101
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R+15AZ6FLAKE,JEFF(R)34.562.5-28-46.68-20.0000R+150101
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D+6AZ7Grijalva,Raul(D)63.332.830.511.8238.5011D+61010
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R+4AZ8Giffords,Gabrielle(D)54.742.612.1-6.5820.1000R+40101
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R+8NoAR1Berry,Marion(D)retiringUnopposed-8-26.68-26.6800R+80101
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R+5AR2Snyder,Vic(D)Retiring23.2-5-23.68-23.6800R+50101
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R+16AR3BOOZMAN,JOHN(R)running for senate78.5-16-34.68-34.6800R+160101
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R+7AR4Ross,Mike(D)86.213.872.453.7280.401119R+71010
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D+13CA1Thompson,Mike(D)68.223.344.926.2252.9011D+131010
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R+11CA2HERGER,WALLY(R)57.942.115.8-2.8823.8000R+110100
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R+6CA3LUNGREN,DANIEL(R)4449.5-5.5-24.182.5000R+60101
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R+10CA4MCCLINTOCK,TOM(R)49.750.3-0.6-19.287.4000R+100101
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D+15CA5Matsui,Doris(D)74.320.953.434.7261.4011D+151010
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D+23CA6Woolsey,Lynn(D)71.724.147.628.9255.6011D+231010
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D+19CA7Miller,George(D)72.921.651.332.6259.3011D+191010
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D+35CA8Pelosi,Nancy(D)71.916.255.737.0263.7011D+351010
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D+37CA9Lee,Barbara(D)86.19.776.457.7284.4011D+371010
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D+11CA10Tauscher,Ellen(D)62.531.131.412.7239.4011D+111010
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R+1CA11McNerney,Jerry(D)55.344.710.6-8.0818.6000R+10101
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D+23CA12Speier,Jackie(D)75.218.556.738.0264.7011D+231010
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D+22CA13Stark,Fortney(D)76.518.55839.3266.0011D+221010
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D+21CA14Eshoo,Anna(D)69.822.347.528.8255.5011D+211010
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D+15CA15Honda,Michael(D)71.723.348.429.7256.4011D+151010
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D+16CA16Lofgren,Zoe(D)71.42447.428.7255.4011D+161010
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D+19CA17Farr,Sam(D)73.925.94829.3256.0011D+191010
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D+4CA18Cardoza,Dennis(D)Unopposed4-4-4.0000D+40101
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-9CA19RADANOVICH,GEORGE(R)retiringUnopposed-9-27.68-27.6800R+90101
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5CA20Costa,Jim(D)74.425.648.830.1256.8011D+51010
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-13CA21NUNES,DEVIN(R)31.674.4-42.8-61.48-34.8000R+130101
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-16CA22MCCARTHY,KEVIN(R)Unopposed-16-34.68-34.6800R+160101
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12CA23Capps,Lois(D)68.431.936.517.8244.5011D+121010
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-4CA24GALLEGLY,ELTON(R)41.858.2-16.4-35.08-8.4000R+40101
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-6CA25MCKEON,HOWARD(R)40.457.8-17.4-36.08-9.4000R+60101
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k - CA26DREIER,DAVID(R)40.452.7-12.3-30.98-4.3000R+30101
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CA27Sherman,Brad(D)68.624.843.825.1251.8011D+131010
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CA28Berman,Howard(D)Unopposed234.324.3211D+231010
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CA29Schiff,Adam(D)6926.7234.3231.0011D+141010
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CA30Waxman,Henry(D)Unopposed18-0.68-0.6800D+180000
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CA31Becerra,Xavier(D)Unopposed2910.3210.3211D+291010
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CA32Solis,Hilda(D)Unopposed15-3.68-3.6800D+150101
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CA33Watson,Diane(D)retiring87.612.43516.3216.3211D+351010
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CA34Roybal-Allard,Lucille(D)77.122.954.235.5262.2011D+221010
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CA35Waters,Maxine(D)82.613.369.350.6277.3011D+311010
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CA36Harman,Jane(D)68.731.337.418.7245.4011D+121010
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CA37Richardson,Laura(D)7524.450.631.9258.6011D+261010
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CA38Napolitano,Grace(D)81.818.263.644.9271.6011D+181010
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CA39Sanchez,Linda(D)69.730.339.420.7247.4011D+121010
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CA40ROYCE,EDWARD(R)37.462.6-25.2-43.88-17.2000R+80101
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CA41LEWIS,JERRY(R)61.738.323.44.7231.4011R+101010
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CA42MILLER,GARY(R)39.860.2-20.4-39.08-12.4000R+100101
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CA43Baca,Joe(D)69.230.838.419.7246.4011D+131010
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CA44CALVERT,KEN(R)48.851.2-2.4-21.085.6000R+60101
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CA45BONOMACK,(R)41.758.3-16.6-35.28-8.6000R+30101
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CA46ROHRABACHER,DANA(R)43.152.6-9.5-28.18-1.5000R+60101
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CA47Sanchez,Loretta(D)69.525.54425.3252.0011D+41010
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CA48CAMPBELL,JOHN(R)40.655.7-15.1-33.78-7.1000R+60101
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CA49ISSA,DARRELL(R)37.558.3-20.8-39.48-12.8000R+100101
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CA50BILBRAY,BRIAN(R)45.250.3-5.1-23.782.9000R+30101
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CA51FilnerBobDemocratic72.824.248.629.9256.6011D+81010
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CA52HUNTERDUNCAN(R)3956.4-17.4-36.08-9.4000R+90101
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CA53DavisSusan(D)68.527.54122.3249.0011D+141010
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CO1DeGetteDiana(D)71.923.848.129.4256.1011D+211010
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CO2PolisJared(D)62.633.928.710.0236.7011D+111010
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CO3SalazarJohn(D)61.638.423.24.5231.2011R+51010
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CO4MarkeyBetsy(D)56.243.812.4-6.2820.4000R+60101
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CO5LAMBORNDOUG(R)3760-23-41.68-15.0000R+140101
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CO6COFFMANMIKE(R)39.360.7-21.4-40.08-13.4000R+80101
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CO7PerlmutterEd(D)63.536.5278.3235.0011D+41010
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D+13CT1LarsonJohn(D)71.62645.626.9253.6011D+131010
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D+16CT2CourtneyJoe(D)65.732.433.314.6241.3011D+161010
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D+9CT3DeLauroRosa(D)77.419.757.739.0265.7011D+91010
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D+5CT4HimesJames(D)51.347.63.7-14.9811.7000D+50101
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D+2CT5MurphyChristopher(D)59.23920.21.5228.2011D+21000
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D+7DEALCASTLEMICHAEL(R)running for senate7-11.68-11.6801D+70101
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R+21FL1MILLERJEFF(R)29.870.2-40.4-59.08-32.4000R+210101
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R+6FL2BoydAllen(D)61.961.90-18.688.0000R+60101
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HousePrediction