ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZAAABACADAEAFAGAHAIAJAK
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Helen Keller InternationalHelen Keller InternationalHelen Keller InternationalNutrition International
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Burkina FasoCameroonCôte d'IvoireDRCGuineaKenyaMadagascarMaliNigerNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeriaAngolaChadTogoUganda
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Supplemental calculations for the leverage/funging adjustmentunittypeOverallAdamawaAkwa IbomAnambraBenueDeltaEbonyiEdoEkitiImoKogiNasarawaOgunOsunRiversTaraba
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Final cost-effectiveness estimate (pulled from "Main calcs" sheet for visibility)
xbenchmark
main-22.615.98.516.910.94.815.932.859.321.54.42.39.55.213.53.85.93.24.212.04.82.37.729.05.620.114.96.3
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Costs
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GiveWell costs
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Grant size$input$1,000,000----------------------------
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Cost breakdown
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Percentage of total costs covered by the grantee%input-43%64%47%47%55%47%60%43%36%47%47%47%47%47%47%47%47%47%47%47%47%47%47%47%70%70%70%70%
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Percentage of total costs covered by Nutrition International (vitamin A capsule procurement)%input-6%6%7%7%5%7%7%8%8%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%7%0%0%0%0%
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Percentage of total costs covered by other philanthropic actors%input-6%0%13%13%10%13%0%18%26%13%13%13%13%13%13%13%13%13%13%13%13%13%13%13%0%0%0%0%
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Percentage of total costs covered by domestic governments (financial contributions)%input-15%0%3%3%0%3%3%0%0%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%3%0%0%0%0%
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Percentage of total costs covered by domestic governments (in-kind contributions)%input-30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%30%
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Total costs
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Total spending by all contributors$main-$2,319,842$1,561,670$2,145,967$2,145,967$1,809,082$2,145,967$1,671,375$2,312,317$2,764,820$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$2,145,967$1,428,571$1,428,571$1,428,571$1,428,571
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Total spending attributable to different actors
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Total spending contributed by grantee$main-$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000
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Total spending contributed by Nutrition International (vitamin A capsule procurement)$main-$148,960$93,169$149,591$149,591$88,034$149,591$116,508$195,582$218,092$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$149,591$0$0$0$0
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Total spending contributed by other philanthropic actors$main-$131,162$0$283,953$283,953$178,323$283,953$0$423,039$717,282$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$283,953$0$0$0$0
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Total spending contributed by domestic governments (financial contributions)$main-$343,768$0$68,633$68,633$0$68,633$53,454$0$0$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$68,633$0$0$0$0
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Total spending contributed by domestic governments (in-kind contributions)$main-$695,953$468,501$643,790$643,790$542,725$643,790$501,412$693,695$829,446$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$643,790$428,571$428,571$428,571$428,571
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Upstream / downstream spending
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Total spending causally upstream of donations to grantee$main-$1,474,930$1,000,000$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,178,323$1,352,586$1,053,454$1,423,039$1,717,282$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,352,586$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000
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Total spending causally downstream of donations to grantee$main-$844,913$561,670$793,381$793,381$630,759$793,381$617,920$889,277$1,047,538$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$793,381$428,571$428,571$428,571$428,571
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Counterfactual funding scenarios
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Probability of scenarios in the absence of philanthropic funding
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Scenario 1: Domestic governments would replace the grantee's costs%input-10%5%10%10%10%10%5%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%
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Scenario 2: Other philanthropic actors would replace the grantee's costs%input-20%33%35%10%35%25%20%25%20%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%30%40%30%30%
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Scenario 3: Other actors' upstream costs would stay the same (downstream costs would shrink in proportion to the total size of the program)%input-70%62%55%80%55%65%75%65%70%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%60%50%60%60%
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Scenario 4: Distributions would go unfunded%calc-0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
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Proportion of the program that would still occur in each scenario
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Scenario 1: Domestic governments would replace the grantee's costs%input100%----------------------------
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Scenario 2: Other philanthropic actors would replace the grantee's costs%input100%----------------------------
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Scenario 3: Other actors' upstream costs would stay the same (downstream costs would shrink in proportion to the total size of the program)%calc-32%0%26%26%15%26%5%30%42%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%26%0%0%0%0%
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Scenario 4: Distributions would go unfunded%input0%----------------------------
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Value of spending
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Cost-effectiveness of the program (before leverage and funging)
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Units of value generated per dollar spent (before final adjustments)UoVmain-0.0820.0630.0350.0550.0460.0190.0540.1300.2180.0740.0160.0090.0340.0190.0470.0140.0210.0120.0150.0420.0170.0090.0270.1000.0210.0990.0620.026
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Total supplemental grantee-level adjustment%main--22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-24%-24%-24%-24%
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Total supplemental intervention-level adjustment%main-67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%67%
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Units of value generated per dollar donated to grantee (after supplemental adjustments)UoVcalc-0.1060.0810.0460.0710.0600.0250.0700.1680.2830.0970.0210.0110.0440.0240.0610.0180.0270.0150.0200.0540.0230.0120.0350.1300.0260.1250.0780.034
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Lives saved by the program (before leverage and funging)
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Total lives saved (before final adjustments)#main-5534242393713131283658781,47550310860227127319951437910328311860184676141670416179
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Total supplemental grantee-level adjustment%calc--22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-22%-24%-24%-24%-24%
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Total supplemental intervention-level adjustment affecting lives saved%main-2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%
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Total lives saved (after supplemental adjustments)#calc-438336190294248102289695116739886471801002537511363822249348146535109517321138
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Counterfactual value of spending from non-philanthropic actors
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Counterfactual value per dollar spent by domestic governments on VAS programsUoVinput0.005----------------------------
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Counterfactual value per dollar spent by Nutrition InternationalUoVinput0.006----------------------------
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Counterfactual value per dollar spent by other philanthropic actors supporting VAS campaignsUoVinput-0.0120.0120.0120.0120.0120.0060.0120.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0060.0120.0120.0120.006
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Value generated across different counterfactual scenarios
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Scenario 1: Domestic governments would replace the grantee's spending
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Hypothetical impact of shifting government spending
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Amount of spending domestic governments would shift to the grantee program$calc-$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000
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Value generated by shifting government spending to the grantee programUoVcalc-106,24781,37645,97871,26760,18724,66170,064168,488283,13096,59520,82611,46843,53624,30861,25418,15727,40315,24119,82454,40422,66611,56735,356129,81726,403125,33677,83333,529
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Value lost by shifting spending away from programs domestic governments would otherwise have fundedUoVcalc-5,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,0575,057
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Net value generated by shifting government spending to the grantee programUoVcalc-101,19076,31940,92166,21055,13019,60465,007163,431278,07391,53815,7696,41138,47919,25156,19713,10022,34610,18414,76749,34717,6096,51030,299124,76021,346120,27972,77628,472
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Change in value generated by the grantee program if this scenario represented the true counterfactualUoVcalc--101,190-76,319-40,921-66,210-55,130-19,604-65,007-163,431-278,073-91,538-15,769-6,411-38,479-19,251-56,197-13,100-22,346-10,184-14,767-49,347-17,609-6,510-30,299-124,760-21,346-120,279-72,776-28,472
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Probability of this scenario representing the true counterfactual%feed-10%5%10%10%10%10%5%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%10%
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Expected change in value generated by the grantee programUoVcalc--10,119-3,816-4,092-6,621-5,513-1,960-3,250-16,343-27,807-9,154-1,577-641-3,848-1,925-5,620-1,310-2,235-1,018-1,477-4,935-1,761-651-3,030-12,476-2,135-12,028-7,278-2,847
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Scenario 2: Other philanthropic actors would replace the grantee's spending
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Hypothetical impact of shifting other philanthropic actors' spending
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Amount of spending other philanthropic actors would shift to the grantee program$calc-$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000$1,000,000
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Value generated by shifting other philanthropic actors' spending to the grantee programUoVcalc-106,24781,37645,97871,26760,18724,66170,064168,488283,13096,59520,82611,46843,53624,30861,25418,15727,40315,24119,82454,40422,66611,56735,356129,81726,403125,33677,83333,529
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Value lost by shifting spending away from programs the other philanthropic actors would otherwise have fundedUoVcalc-12,31012,31012,31012,31012,3105,63912,3105,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,6395,63912,31012,31012,3105,639
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Net value generated by shifting other philanthropic actors' spending to the grantee programUoVcalc-93,93769,06633,66858,95747,87719,02257,754162,849277,49190,95615,1875,82937,89718,66955,61512,51721,7639,60214,18548,76417,0275,92829,717124,17814,093113,02665,52327,890
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Change in value generated by the grantee program if this scenario represented the true counterfactualUoVcalc--93,937-69,066-33,668-58,957-47,877-19,022-57,754-162,849-277,491-90,956-15,187-5,829-37,897-18,669-55,615-12,517-21,763-9,602-14,185-48,764-17,027-5,928-29,717-124,178-14,093-113,026-65,523-27,890
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Probability of this scenario representing the true counterfactual%feed-20%33%35%10%35%25%20%25%20%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%15%30%40%30%30%
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Expected change in value generated by the grantee programUoVcalc--18,787-22,792-11,784-5,896-16,757-4,756-11,551-40,712-55,498-13,643-2,278-874-5,685-2,800-8,342-1,878-3,265-1,440-2,128-7,315-2,554-889-4,457-18,627-4,228-45,210-19,657-8,367
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Scenario 3: Other actors would spend the same amount and the program would be smaller
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Hypothetical impact of shifting government spending
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Amount of spending domestic governments would shift away from the grantee program$calc-$471,855$468,501$475,970$475,970$460,591$475,970$475,970$487,474$482,999$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$475,970$428,571$428,571$428,571$428,571
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Value generated by shifting spending toward programs domestic governments would otherwise have supportedUoVcalc-2,3862,3692,4072,4072,3292,4072,4072,4652,4432,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,1672,1672,1672,167
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Value lost by shifting government spending away from the grantee programUoVcalc-0000000000000000000000000000
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Net value generated by shifting government spending away from the grantee programUoVcalc-2,3862,3692,4072,4072,3292,4072,4072,4652,4432,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,4072,1672,1672,1672,167
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Hypothetical impact of shifting Nutrition International's spending
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Amount of spending Nutrition International would shift away from the grantee program$calc-$100,995$93,169$110,596$110,596$74,712$110,596$110,596$137,440$126,998$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$110,596$0$0$0$0
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Value generated by shifting spending toward programs Nutrition International would otherwise have supportedUoVcalc-5705256246244216246247757166246246246246246246246246246246246246246246240000
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Value lost by shifting Nutrition International's spending away from the grantee programUoVcalc-0000000000000000000000000000
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Net value generated by shifting Nutrition International's spending away from the grantee programUoVcalc-5705256246244216246247757166246246246246246246246246246246246246246246240000
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Overall impact of shifting spending
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Change in value generated by the grantee program if this scenario represented the true counterfactualUoVcalc--2,956-2,895-3,031-3,031-2,751-3,031-3,031-3,240-3,159-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-3,031-2,167-2,167-2,167-2,167
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Probability of this scenario representing the true counterfactual%feed-70%62%55%80%55%65%75%65%70%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%75%60%50%60%60%
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Expected change in value generated by the programUoVcalc--2,069-1,795-1,667-2,425-1,513-1,970-2,273-2,106-2,211-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-2,273-1,300-1,084-1,300-1,300