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5
2026 California Voter Index Tracking Survey III - Primary Crosstabs
6
Notes:
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(1) Survey Conducted: April 30-May 2, 2026
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(2) Weighted Cross-tabulated Results
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(3) Blue shading indicates statistically significant differences across categories. Confidence Level = 95%. Some percentages may not sum to 100% due to rounding.
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(4) Only subgroups with a sample size of 100 or greater are displayed.
11
Pink shading indicates a category or questions where statistically significant differences exist across subgroups and question categories
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*Socio-economic status is a composite of education level, income, homeownership, and household size.
**Responses from voters residing in the Central Coast region fell below the subgroup sample size of 100 and have therefore not been cross-tabulated.
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Party Registration On File (Aggregated)Q6. Party Self-Identification (Aggregated)Q12. Gender Region (Aggregated On File)**Self-Reported Age (5 Categories)Age (Under 55)Q21. Race Or Ethnicity (Mutually Exclusive)Q21. Race Or Ethnicity: Asian American, Pacific Islander, Or South AsianQ21. Race Or Ethnicity: Black Or African AmericanQ21. Race Or Ethnicity: Hispanic Or LatinoQ21. Race Or Ethnicity: WhiteParty Registration On File (Aggregated) / Q12. Gender (Aggregated)Party Registration On File (Aggregated) / Age (Under 55)Q21. Race Or Ethnicity: Hispanic Or Latino / Q12. Gender (Aggregated)Q21. Race Or Ethnicity: White / Q12. Gender (Aggregated)Q21. Race Or Ethnicity (Mutually Exclusive) / Q12. Gender (Aggregated)Q5. Political Ideology (Disaggregated)Q16. Union Household (Aggregated)Generation: NativityQ19. Respondent NativityQ11. Disability StatusQ8. Housing Status (Aggregated)Q14. Education Level (Aggregated)Q15. Income (Aggregated)
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DemocratRepublicanNPP/Minor PartyDemocratRepublicanNPP/Minor PartyYesYesLatino (Of Any Race)White, Non-Hispanic (Alone)
15
TotalDemocratRepublicanNPP/Minor PartyTotal Democrat (With Leans)Purely IndependentTotal Republican (With Leans)WomanManLos AngelesInland EmpireOther Southern CaliforniaSan Francisco Bay AreaCentral ValleyGreater Sacramento Region/Far North18-2930-3940-4950-6465+Under 5555 Or OlderAsian American (Alone)Black, Non-Hispanic (Alone Or In Combination)Latino (Of Any Race)White, Non-Hispanic (Alone)YesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoWomenMenWomenMenWomenMenUnder 5555 Or OlderUnder 5555 Or OlderUnder 5555 Or OlderWomenMenWomenMenWomenMenWomenMenProgressiveLiberalModerateSomewhat ConservativeVery ConservativeUnion MemberNon-Union Household1st Generation Immigrant2nd Generation Immigrant3rd Generation Immigrant4th Generation Immigrant/ Non-Immigrant BackgroundNon-USUSYesNoOwnRentHigh School/ VoTech or lessSome CollegeCollege+Less Than $50,000
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Unweighted Sample Size1,2006033572406671023585955662901492042431151291151641793164265626382031342874532099911431,057287913498702350241143200102125304299136221122118119167284206119167262184238232295210140248907218274169487218953165983684346157341678213
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Q1. In June of this year, there will be a primary election for Governor, Congress, state and local offices, and ballot measures. What are the chances that you will vote in that election?
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Q1. June 2026 Election Vote Likelihood (Aggregated)
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Definitely Vote (10)
20
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21
Probably Vote (1-9)
22
Column %11%9%8%19%10%21%10%10%11%13%6%11%11%16%9%25%14%12%10%6%15%7%21%13%11%8%20%9%12%11%11%11%8%14%8%11%10%7%16%20%12%6%13%5%24%12%9%13%9%8%9%13%9%7%9%11%15%11%4%11%10%15%15%7%8%15%10%13%10%7%13%13%10%10%11%
23
Don't Know/Prefer Not To Answer
24
Column %1%0%1%2%0%3%1%1%0%1%1%0%2%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%4%0%0%1%0%1%1%2%2%0%1%0%2%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%2%1%1%2%0%0%1%2%1%3%0%1%0%2%0%1%0%
25
Q1. June 2026 Election Vote Likelihood (Disaggregated)
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1
27
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
28
2
29
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
30
3
31
Column %1%0%1%3%0%4%1%1%1%0%0%0%2%0%3%2%1%0%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%0%4%3%0%0%1%1%2%5%1%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%2%0%1%1%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%
32
4
33
Column %1%1%1%0%1%3%1%1%1%0%1%2%1%1%0%0%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%0%1%2%0%0%1%1%1%1%0%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%0%1%2%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%
34
5
35
Column %1%1%0%4%2%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%3%1%0%6%0%2%1%0%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%0%0%3%5%2%0%0%0%5%2%3%2%1%1%3%2%1%1%2%1%2%0%0%2%1%2%3%0%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%2%1%1%1%
36
6
37
Column %0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%
38
7
39
Column %1%1%1%1%1%3%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%5%1%3%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%0%0%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%0%1%2%0%0%1%2%0%0%1%2%1%0%2%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%
40
8
41
Column %2%2%1%4%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%3%2%2%1%7%4%2%1%0%4%0%4%2%1%2%4%2%1%2%1%2%2%2%1%3%2%0%5%4%3%1%2%0%8%0%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%3%1%2%2%0%2%2%3%3%2%1%3%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%2%1%
42
9
43
Column %4%4%3%6%5%6%4%3%5%9%2%3%3%6%2%7%7%5%5%2%6%3%10%8%4%3%9%4%7%4%4%4%3%6%3%6%2%4%4%6%6%3%5%2%8%3%2%6%2%4%2%6%2%3%3%6%7%3%3%5%4%6%8%3%3%6%4%7%4%3%5%6%4%4%6%
44
Will Definitely Vote (10)
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46
Don't Know/Unsure
47
Column %1%0%1%2%0%3%1%1%0%1%1%0%2%1%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%4%0%0%1%0%1%1%2%2%0%1%0%2%0%1%0%0%0%0%1%2%1%1%2%0%0%1%2%1%3%0%1%0%2%0%1%0%
48
Prefer Not To Answer
49
Column %0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
50
Q2. In general, do you think things in California are headed in the right direction, or do you feel that things are off on the wrong track?
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Q2. Direction (Disaggregated)
52
Right Direction
53
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54
Wrong Track
55
Column %55%33%93%52%31%67%95%49%63%55%60%57%50%60%62%36%41%60%66%57%48%62%50%43%52%58%50%56%43%56%52%57%57%53%32%36%94%94%44%60%30%36%91%95%47%58%46%58%49%68%46%58%49%69%26%28%55%88%95%50%56%59%47%54%59%59%55%57%55%63%46%67%59%51%55%
56
Mixed
57
Column %6%9%1%5%8%2%0%7%5%6%4%6%6%6%4%16%10%6%3%2%9%2%9%3%7%4%8%5%3%6%7%5%4%7%9%9%1%1%7%3%14%4%2%0%7%2%9%4%5%3%9%4%5%4%9%8%7%1%0%7%5%4%10%6%3%4%6%5%6%3%9%9%5%5%6%
58
Don’t Know
59
Column %9%13%2%8%13%5%2%10%7%9%5%10%11%7%8%9%15%7%7%9%10%8%18%7%9%7%17%8%9%9%9%9%8%10%14%13%2%1%9%5%13%14%3%1%8%8%11%8%9%5%11%8%9%4%12%14%11%3%1%10%8%7%12%8%7%7%9%3%9%6%11%4%9%9%7%
60
Prefer Not To Answer
61
Column %2%3%1%4%2%5%1%3%2%3%1%4%2%0%3%0%4%1%2%3%2%3%3%10%1%1%3%2%9%2%1%3%1%3%3%2%1%1%6%3%2%4%0%1%4%5%1%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%4%2%3%1%1%3%2%3%1%0%3%3%2%4%2%3%2%0%2%3%3%
62
Q3. If the June Primary election for California Governor were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were…?
63
Q3. Initial Vote Choice (Aggregated)
64
Total Thurmond
65
Column %1%2%0%2%2%0%0%1%1%3%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%2%2%1%1%1%5%3%1%1%4%1%3%1%1%1%1%2%1%3%0%0%4%0%1%2%0%0%4%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%3%2%0%0%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%
66
Total Porter
67
Column %8%13%1%6%13%3%1%10%6%7%7%9%10%5%6%8%9%8%4%10%8%8%8%10%6%9%7%8%9%8%6%8%9%7%14%12%1%0%7%5%11%16%2%0%8%4%5%8%12%5%5%8%13%5%16%12%5%3%0%12%7%7%8%10%8%7%8%14%7%9%7%3%7%9%10%
68
Total Mahan
69
Column %7%10%1%7%9%10%2%8%5%4%7%6%12%5%5%7%5%4%5%9%5%8%9%2%4%8%9%6%3%7%4%7%8%5%12%8%1%0%7%6%7%14%0%2%5%9%6%1%11%5%6%1%10%6%4%9%13%5%0%3%7%8%6%9%5%8%6%5%7%7%7%6%7%7%7%
70
Total Hilton
71
Column %18%2%48%11%1%22%49%13%22%16%14%22%10%26%24%3%8%9%22%26%8%26%14%5%13%21%14%18%4%19%13%19%21%14%1%2%43%49%9%14%1%2%27%59%7%17%12%14%14%30%12%14%14%30%1%1%13%37%60%11%20%24%10%21%19%24%17%16%18%25%7%22%23%15%13%
72
Total Becerra
73
Column %18%29%1%18%30%12%0%23%13%22%22%16%15%14%12%26%22%19%18%14%21%15%16%24%29%15%17%18%28%17%29%15%15%21%31%26%0%1%29%9%30%27%2%0%18%19%34%25%21%8%34%25%22%8%32%33%15%2%0%18%18%11%26%19%16%11%19%14%19%15%24%17%15%20%22%
74
Total Bianco
75
Column %14%0%40%10%1%13%39%12%17%10%30%13%8%24%20%6%12%21%19%12%16%13%12%10%15%15%13%15%11%15%15%14%14%14%0%1%43%39%10%10%0%0%55%31%11%9%10%19%11%18%10%19%12%18%1%2%9%35%33%15%14%11%12%15%17%11%15%15%14%17%11%17%17%12%11%
76
Total Steyer
77
Column %12%18%1%15%18%9%1%10%14%16%6%8%17%10%7%22%20%9%8%10%15%10%11%10%10%13%11%12%9%12%10%12%13%11%13%23%1%1%9%21%19%16%1%1%18%12%8%11%11%15%8%11%10%15%23%15%12%6%0%19%11%13%10%10%13%13%12%12%12%10%15%9%9%14%12%
78
Total Villaraigosa
79
Column %2%3%0%2%3%1%1%2%2%2%3%1%1%3%0%3%3%1%2%2%3%2%2%1%5%1%2%2%1%2%5%1%1%3%3%4%0%0%1%3%4%3%0%0%3%2%4%6%1%1%4%6%1%1%2%2%3%1%1%3%2%5%3%2%1%5%2%3%2%1%3%3%3%1%3%
80
Total Yee
81
Column %1%1%0%1%1%1%0%2%0%0%0%1%1%1%3%0%1%3%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%2%0%1%0%2%0%2%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%2%0%1%0%2%0%1%2%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%2%0%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%0%2%
82
Total Swalwell
83
Column %1%1%0%0%1%2%0%1%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%0%2%0%0%0%2%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%0%0%1%1%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%2%1%0%0%2%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%2%
84
Some Other Candidate
85
Column %1%1%1%1%1%3%0%1%2%0%0%3%1%2%1%2%4%1%1%0%2%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%1%1%2%3%0%1%1%3%0%0%2%1%1%0%2%1%1%2%1%1%1%0%3%1%0%3%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%
86
Undecided Not Leaning Toward Anyone
87
Column %14%17%6%22%18%22%4%14%15%16%8%17%17%9%17%21%12%19%14%12%17%12%20%31%13%13%19%14%28%14%13%15%14%15%17%16%6%7%15%28%19%14%11%4%20%24%12%13%13%14%12%13%13%13%16%16%20%9%3%12%14%14%15%11%14%14%14%18%14%12%18%15%11%16%14%
88
Will Skip/Prefer Not To Answer
89
Column %3%3%1%4%3%1%2%3%3%2%1%2%5%1%4%1%3%3%3%3%2%3%1%2%3%2%1%3%2%3%3%3%2%4%3%4%1%1%5%3%3%4%0%2%4%4%5%1%2%2%5%1%2%2%0%3%5%2%2%1%3%3%3%0%2%3%3%1%3%2%4%3%2%3%1%
90
Q3. Initial Vote Choice (Disaggregated)
91
Tony Thurmond
92
Column %1%1%0%2%2%0%0%1%1%2%0%1%1%0%0%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%3%0%1%2%1%3%1%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%0%4%0%1%1%0%0%4%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%0%3%1%0%0%2%1%2%0%2%1%2%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%
93
Lean Thurmond
94
Column %0%1%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%2%0%0%0%2%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%
95
Katie Porter
96
Column %6%11%1%4%11%3%0%8%5%7%4%7%8%4%4%3%6%7%4%9%5%7%5%9%5%8%5%7%8%6%5%7%7%5%12%10%1%0%5%3%7%15%2%0%5%4%4%7%11%3%4%7%11%4%14%12%3%1%0%9%6%6%6%7%7%6%7%13%6%8%5%2%6%8%7%
97
Lean Porter
98
Column %1%2%0%2%2%0%1%2%1%0%3%1%2%1%2%5%3%1%1%1%2%1%3%1%1%1%2%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%2%2%0%0%2%2%3%1%0%0%3%0%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%0%3%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%1%2%1%3%2%2%1%3%
99
Matt Mahan
100
Column %6%9%1%7%7%10%2%8%4%4%7%5%11%3%5%7%3%4%5%9%4%8%7%2%3%8%8%6%3%6%3%7%8%4%11%7%1%0%7%5%5%13%0%2%5%9%5%1%10%5%5%1%9%5%3%9%11%4%0%3%7%8%5%8%4%8%5%5%6%6%7%6%6%6%6%