| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | P | Q | R | S | T | U | V | W | X | Y | Z | |
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1 | Name of company | Novo Nordisk (NVO) | This and the cost of capital worksheets are the only ones that you have to input. The | |||||||||||||||||||||||
2 | Date of valuation | Nov-25 | other worksheets will depend on your choices. | |||||||||||||||||||||||
3 | Country of incorporation | Denmark | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
4 | Current Price per share = (all currency in DKK ) | $314.00 | Input cell | |||||||||||||||||||||||
5 | Number of shares outstanding = | 4443.00 | Computed cell (from another inputted item in worksheet) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
6 | Do you want to capitalize R&D or other expenses? | No | If yes, please enter numbers in R&D worksheet | |||||||||||||||||||||||
7 | Do you want to convert leases to debt? | Yes | If yes, please enter numbers in operating lease worksheet | |||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | Marginal tax rate to use (for cost of debt) | 20.60% | Marginal tax rate | Effective tax rate (high growth period) | Effective Growth rate (stable) | |||||||||||||||||||||
9 | Trapped cash balance | Patriot Games | 20.60% | 20.60% | 20.60% | |||||||||||||||||||||
10 | What tax regime do you want to use in valuation? | Wait-it-out | Wait-it-out | 20.60% | 20.40% | 20.60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
11 | Input page | Go Irish | 20.60% | 20.40% | 30.68% | |||||||||||||||||||||
12 | Market inputs for your company | $1,395,102.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
13 | Market Capitalization = | Measures of profitability, leverage & growth | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
14 | From the balance sheet | Most recent year | Previous year | ROE = | 71.78% | |||||||||||||||||||||
15 | Book value of equity = | $169,869.00 | $143,486.00 | ROIC = | 47.10% | |||||||||||||||||||||
16 | Total Debt Outstanding & Minority Interests | $101,214.00 | $102,787.00 | Net margin = | 32.64% | |||||||||||||||||||||
17 | Cash, Marketable Securities and Other Cross Holdings | $32,973.00 | $26,708.00 | Pre-tax operating margin = | 42.43% | |||||||||||||||||||||
18 | From the income statement | D/E ratio (book) = | 59.58% | |||||||||||||||||||||||
19 | Revenues | $315,603.00 | $290,403.00 | D/E ratio (market) = | 7.74% | Unadjusted | Adjusted (for R&D & Leases) | |||||||||||||||||||
20 | Operating income (EBIT) = | $132,659.00 | $128,339.00 | Growth rate (revenue) | 8.68% | Operating Income | $132,659.00 | $ 133,909.16 | ||||||||||||||||||
21 | Interest Expense | $8,000.00 | $1,838.00 | Growth Rate (EBIT) | 3.37% | Net Income | $103,000.00 | $ 103,000.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
22 | Effective tax rate = | 20.40% | (See tax rate WS) | Reinvestment Rate | 75.63% | See Reinvestment Worksheet | Invested Capital | $219,565.00 | $ 226,290.85 | |||||||||||||||||
23 | Net Income | $103,000.00 | Growth given current ROIC & Reinv Rate | 35.63% | Book Equity | $143,486.00 | $ 143,486.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
24 | Your high growth inputs | Reinvestment | $ 46,757.00 | $ 46,757.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
25 | Expected growth rate in operating income= | 11.13% | To solve for the implied growth in your market value, follow these steps: | Debt | $101,214.00 | $ 107,939.85 | ||||||||||||||||||||
26 | Do you want to use your current ROIC for future investments | Yes | 1. Open the Goal Seek function in Excel (under Tools) | |||||||||||||||||||||||
27 | If no, enter the ROIC for high growth period | 9.00% | 2. Set cell B31 to the value in cell B1 by changing cell B5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
28 | Return on Invested capital on growth investments= | 47.10% | 3. You should see the imputed growth rate in cell B5. | |||||||||||||||||||||||
29 | Length of growth period = | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
30 | Your stable growth inputs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
31 | Return on invested capital in stable growth = | 25.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
32 | Effective tax rate in stable growth = | 22.00% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
33 | Your cost of capital inputs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
34 | Cost of equity = | 8.41% | Use worksheet for Cost of Capital | |||||||||||||||||||||||
35 | Cost of capital = | 7.90% | Use worksheet for Cost of Capital | |||||||||||||||||||||||
36 | Riskfree rate = | 2.55% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
37 | Employee Options (if any) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
38 | Do you have employee options outstanding? | No | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
39 | Number of options outstanding = | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
40 | Average strike price = | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
41 | Average maturity = | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
42 | Standard deviation on stock price = | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
43 | Dividend yield on the stock = | 3.67% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
44 | Intrinsic Value | Market Value | So really, this stock is overvalued? | |||||||||||||||||||||||
45 | Value of assets in place = | $1,321,615.40 | Market value of equity | $1,395,102.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
46 | Value added by future growth = | $1,499,282.07 | Enterprise value | $1,463,343.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
47 | Intrinsic enterprise value | $2,820,897.47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
48 | + Cash and Cross holdings | $32,973.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
49 | - Debt and Minority Interests | $107,939.85 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | - Tax due on trapped cash brought back | $0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
51 | - Tax due on deferred taxes during high growth | $1,701.34 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
52 | Intrinsic equity value | $2,744,229.27 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
53 | Value of options (management) | $0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
54 | Intrinsic equity value per share | $617.65 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
55 | Growth Analysis | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
56 | Price you are paying for growth = | $141,727.60 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
57 | Value of this growth = | $1,499,282.07 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
58 | Price of growth/ Value of growth | 9.45% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
59 | Breakdown of multiples | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
60 | Actual | Intrinsic | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
61 | Total | Assets in Place | Growth | Total | Assets in place | Growth | ||||||||||||||||||||
62 | P/E | 13.54 | 12.17 | 1.38 | 26.72 | 12.17 | 14.56 | |||||||||||||||||||
63 | P/BV | 8.21 | 7.38 | 0.83 | 16.20 | 7.38 | 8.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
64 | EV/Sales | 4.42 | 4.19 | 0.23 | 8.94 | 4.19 | 4.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
65 | EV/Invested Capital | 5.86 | 5.55 | 0.31 | 11.85 | 5.55 | 6.30 | |||||||||||||||||||
66 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
67 | If you are interested in the mechanics of the valuation, here are the cash flows (for up to 10 years of high growth… if your growth period exceeds 10 years, this detailed cash flow table will not work) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
68 | No Growth Scenario | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
69 | Reinvestment Rate = | 0% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
70 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
71 | After-tax Operating Income | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | ||||||||||||||||||
72 | - Reinvestment | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||||||||||||||
73 | FCFF | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $105,596.56 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||||||||||||||
74 | $97,869.19 | $90,707.29 | $84,069.49 | $77,917.43 | $72,215.56 | $66,930.95 | $62,033.06 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
75 | Terminal year reinvestment (in year n+1) | $0.00 | $551,742.97 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
76 | Terminal year FCFF (in year n+1) | $103,474.02 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
77 | Terminal Value (in year n) | $1,310,525.09 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
78 | Value today | $1,321,615.40 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
79 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
80 | Growth Scenario | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
81 | Reinvestment Rate = | 23.63% | ! Expected growth rate in high growth rate/ Return on Invested capital in high growth | |||||||||||||||||||||||
82 | Reinvestment Rate (stable growth) | 10.2000% | ! Assume stable growth rate = riskfree rate; return on capital in stable growth = cost of capital | |||||||||||||||||||||||
83 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | ||||||||||||||||||
84 | After-tax Operating Income | $117,349.46 | $130,410.46 | $144,925.14 | $161,055.31 | $178,980.76 | $198,901.32 | $221,039.04 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | |||||||||||||||
85 | - Reinvestment | $24,951.04 | $27,728.09 | $30,814.22 | $34,243.85 | $38,055.19 | $42,290.73 | $46,997.69 | $22,545.98 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ||||||||||||||
86 | FCFF | -$24,951.04 | $89,621.37 | $99,596.23 | $110,681.29 | $123,000.12 | $136,690.04 | $151,903.64 | $198,493.06 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 | ||||||||||||||
87 | Terminal year operating income | $222,119.24 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
88 | Terminal year FCFF | $199,463.08 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
89 | Terminal Value | $3,731,339.95 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
90 | Value today | $2,820,897.47 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
91 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
92 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
93 | Value added by growth | 1,499,282.07 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
94 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | |||||||||||||||||||
95 | Taxes paid (based on effective tax rate for high growth period) | $30,074 | $33,422 | $37,142 | $41,275 | $45,869 | $50,975 | $56,648 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |||||||||||||||
96 | Taxes deferred (based on US marginal tax rate) | $295 | $328 | $364 | $405 | $450 | $500 | $555 | $0 | $0 | $0 | |||||||||||||||
97 | Cumulated Taxes Deferred | $295 | $623 | $987 | $1,391 | $1,841 | $2,341 | $2,896 | $2,896 | $2,896 | $2,896 | |||||||||||||||
98 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||