Arizona PPE 3.22.16 Voter Turnout by J Brakey AUDITAZ
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Unofficial 2016 Presidential Preference Election Results vs 2008 results
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http://apps.azsos.gov/election/2016/PPE/Results/PPE2016Results.htm#
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Registration
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#DIV/0!0.190.140.141.000.830.660.160.620.160.01-0.090.140.290.190.21-0.500.500.150.820.91
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CountyPercent ReportingTotal Ballots Cast 2016% of state vote by county2016 Total RegVoter Turnout 2016 Voter Turnout 2008Incr 2016 turnoutTotal Ballots Cast 2008Chg Ballots Cast 2016- 2008Total Reg 2008Incr reg: 2016-2008
Inc% reg
Expect 2016
Exp-Cast
ClintonSandersClintonSanders
Democratic
Clinton
Sanders
Green
Libertarian
Republican
OtherTOTAL
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Maricopa100%621,97659.49%1,238,50850.2%54.3%-4.1%605,27716,6991,114,208124,30011.2%672,801-50,825141,441102,96257.9%42.1%507,82627.9%20.3%2,15416,817691,241740,5301,958,568
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Pima100%202,93415.74%327,69961.9%52.4%9.5%175,58927,345335,114-7,415-2.2%171,70431,23060,65046,27356.7%43.3%178,30734.0%26.0%1,3503,684147,847162,370484,573
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Yavapai100%56,4543.94%82,05768.8%51.6%17.2%40,03616,41877,5874,4705.8%42,34314,1118,8547,84453.0%47.0%24,51236.1%32.0%21795954,15245,896125,736
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Pinal100%52,2214.71%98,11253.2%46.1%7.1%40,33611,88587,47710,63512.2%45,2406,98112,4867,43862.7%37.3%43,45128.7%17.1%1471,14353,79168,928167,460
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Mohave100%33,5523.14%65,40951.3%43.2%8.1%28,2535,29965,332770.1%28,2865,2664,6213,25858.6%41.4%20,37622.7%16.0%9864044,89645,826111,836
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Cochise100%24,3102.21%45,95252.9%43.5%9.4%20,1624,14846,316-364-0.8%20,0044,3065,2363,77158.1%41.9%18,94427.6%19.9%10642126,19825,59471,263
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updatedCoconino100%26,2782.18%45,38557.9%49.3%8.6%20,3675,91141,3124,0739.9%22,3753,9035,7386,94145.3%54.7%26,11222.0%26.6%20575617,61825,23269,923
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Yuma100%20,1052.11%43,93745.8%39.3%6.4%18,4771,62847,001-3,064-6.5%17,2722,8335,3932,87965.2%34.8%23,06823.4%12.5%2644820,07329,42873,043
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Navajo100%18,0662.03%42,25442.8%37.3%5.5%15,0872,97940,4471,8074.5%15,7612,3054,8652,95462.2%37.8%23,33520.8%12.7%4437618,35317,47159,579
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Gila100%11,6980.98%20,50357.1%50.9%6.1%11,955-25723,474-2,971-12.7%10,4421,2562,5061,56261.6%38.4%9,26727.0%16.9%2116811,0418,58229,079
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Apache100%11,3601.66%34,63532.8%28.1%4.7%8,8612,49931,5903,0459.6%9,7151,6455,2642,41568.6%31.4%26,78019.7%9.0%341437,65913,20347,819
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Santa Cruz100%6,0980.75%15,70738.8%33.8%5.0%5,0331,06514,8868215.5%5,3117872,7261,38366.3%33.7%11,66023.4%11.9%361313,7968,38124,004
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Graham100%5,9660.63%13,07345.6%38.3%7.4%5,06390313,226-153-1.2%5,00496294988551.7%48.3%5,58717.0%15.8%7607,4584,64517,757
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La Paz100%2,0040.27%5,59235.8%42.3%-6.5%2,381-3775,627-35-0.6%2,366-36230925954.4%45.6%2,18014.2%11.9%10373,3263,6339,186
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Greenlee100%1,5570.15%3,13149.7%44.1%5.6%1,516413,438-307-8.9%1,38117649732560.5%39.5%2,06724.0%15.7%0241,1691,3114,571
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Total1,094,579100.00%2,081,95452.57%51.28%1.30%998,39396,1861,947,035134,9196.9%1,070,005-24,575261,535191,14957.77%42.23%917,41128.5%20.8%4,62825,8071,105,5211,201,0303,254,397
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Total-Maricopa
472,60340.51%843,44656.03%47.20%8.83%393,11679,487832,82710,6191.3%397,20375,400120,09488,18757.66%42.34%894,343
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Maricopa621,97659.49%1,238,50850.22%54.32%-4.10%605,27716,6991,114,208124,30011.2%672,801-50,825141,441102,96257.87%42.13%23,06823.4%12.5%
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2016 voter turnout
Expected
Prob1 in
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Maricopa1,238,5081,238,508141,2010.01%13,688
Prob of 5.81% difference (56.03% other14 vs. 50.22% Maricopa) voter turnout in 2016
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% turnout50.22%63.10%0.00%602,628
Prob of 7.12% diff in turnout between Maricopa and other 14 in 2008
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turnout621,976781,499159,5230.00%9.13E+1391,283,180,559,332
probability of12.9% difference in projected vs.actual turnout
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Suppressed
50.22%
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Maricopa100%621,97659.49%1,238,50854.3%-4.1%605,27716,6991,114,208124,30011.2%672,801-50,825141,441102,96257.9%42.1%917,41115.4%11.2%4,62825,8071,105,5211,201,0303,254,397
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Democratic Party Candidates
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Voter Turnout 49% (465675 ballots cast for 948983 registered)
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GenderPctSandersClinton
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White80%68%32%
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Non white
20%40%60%
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Total100%62%38%
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RacePctSandersClinton
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White88%68%32%
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Non white
12%40%60%
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Total100%65%35%
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56
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2.05E-09
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487,488,0262.05E-09
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County
2016 Registration
VotesTurnout
2008 Turnout
Change
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Maricopa1,238,508621,97650.2%54.3%-4.1%
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Pima327,699202,93461.9%52.4%9.5%
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Yavapai82,05756,45468.8%51.6%17.2%
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Pinal98,11252,22153.2%46.1%7.1%
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Mohave65,40933,55251.3%43.2%8.1%
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Cochise45,95224,31052.9%43.5%9.4%
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Coconino45,38526,27857.9%49.3%8.6%
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Yuma43,93720,10545.8%39.3%6.4%
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Navajo42,25418,06642.8%37.3%5.5%
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Gila20,50311,69857.1%50.9%6.1%
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Apache34,63511,36032.8%28.1%4.7%
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Santa Cruz15,7076,09838.8%33.8%5.0%
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Graham13,0735,96645.6%38.3%7.4%
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La Paz5,5922,00435.8%42.3%-6.5%
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Greenlee3,1311,55749.7%44.1%5.6%
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Total2,081,9541,094,57952.6%51.3%1.3%
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