Workings

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	J	M	T	U	W	X	Y	Z	AB	AD
1	~ 2nd June (Most recent)
2	Pollster	Sample size					Lib-Lab-Con-UKIP		Delta from	Weighted VI *		Delta from			Pop * 100
3							Forced to 100%		recent weighted average			recent weighted average			Weighted
4												Yougov
5	Ashcroft	1000							4802
6
7
8	Con		164				27.56302521	CON	3.691876751	25	Con	3.691876751		Con	25000
9	Lab		250				42.01680672	LAB	0.2782446312	34	Lab	0.2782446312		Lab	34000
10	LD		40				6.722689076	LD	0.898225957	6	LD	0.898225957		LD	6000
11	UKIP		141		595		23.69747899	UKIP	4.311858077	19	UKIP	4.311858077		UKIP	19000
12														Other	16000
13
14	Populus	2062
15	Con		392				27.50877193	CON	3.746130031	32.40660295	Con	3.746130031		Con	66822.41529
16	Lab		572				40.14035088	LAB	1.598211214	36.75065161	Lab	1.598211214		Lab	75779.84361
17	LD		129				9.052631579	LD	1.431716546	10.42571677	LD	1.431716546		LD	21497.82798
18	UKIP		332		1425		23.29824561	UKIP	3.912624699	13.03214596	UKIP	3.912624699		UKIP	26872.28497
19														Other	15227.62815
20	Yougov 1st June			2090
21
22	Con		515				33.92621871	CON	2.671316748	32.99934896	CON	1.332968265		Con	68968.63932
23	Lab		645				42.49011858	LAB	0.7515564856	35.90234375	LAB	0.3764418453		Lab	75035.89844
24	LD		107				7.048748353	LD	0.5721666796	7.405598958	LD	0.3047152348		LD	15477.70182
25	UKIP		251				16.53491436	UKIP	2.850706554	14.69270833	UKIP	1.404694875		UKIP	30707.76042
26					1518									Other	18810
27
28
29
30
31
32	Yougov 3rd June		1740
33											Headline VI
34	Con		425	Con			33.41194969	CON	2.157047725	29.75555556	Con	0.8186992415		Con	51774.66667
35	Lab		499	Lab			39.22955975	LAB	2.509002343	36.11111111	Lab	2.884116983		Lab	62833.33333
36	LD		91	LD			7.15408805	LD	0.4668269824	8.088888889	LD	0.1993755376		LD	14074.66667
37	UKIP		257	UKIP			20.20440252	UKIP	0.8187816007	17.04444444	UKIP	2.264793279		UKIP	29657.33333
38					1272									Other	15660
39
40	Yougov 4th June		1962
41
42	Con		442				31.03932584	CON	0.2155761181	32.1729295	CON	1.553924601		Con	63123.28767
43	Lab		629				44.17134831	LAB	2.432786223	36.00603242	LAB	2.057671583		Lab	70643.83562
44	LD		110				7.724719101	LD	0.1038040684	8.294583386	LD	0.3712555132		LD	16273.9726
45	UKIP		243				17.06460674	UKIP	2.321014173	13.76146789	UKIP	0.8750024947		UKIP	27000
46					1424									Other	19158.90411
47
48	Yougov 5th June		1951
49
50	Con		453				31.81179775	CON	0.556895792	31.79026485	CON	0.7814526912		Con	62022.80673
51	Lab		598				41.99438202	LAB	0.255819931	37.14173228	LAB	0.1192947093		Lab	72463.51969
52	LD		106				7.443820225	LD	0.177094808	7.262705798	LD	0.0903566368		LD	14169.53901
53	UKIP		259				18.18820225	UKIP	1.197418668	12.80529707	UKIP	0.248593011		UKIP	24983.13457
54					1416									Other	21461
55	Weighted average			1st June -> 5th June												Yougov Only
56
57	2391			0.3125490196				CON	28.17952587						337711.8157	245889.4004
58	3193			0.4173856209				LAB	37.63162949						390756.4307	280976.5871
59	583			0.07620915033				LD	6.871042905						87493.70808	59995.8801
60	1483			0.1938562092		7650		UKIP	17.47814173						158220.5133	112348.2283
61					7650			Others	9.83966	537.8501305					106317.5323	75089.90411
62
63										89.64168841					1080500	774300
64
65
66	Weighted average YOUGOV ONLY			1st June -> 5th June
67
68	1835			0.3259325044				CON	29.39				Weighted Average:		31.25514	Weighted Average:	31.8
69	2371			0.4211367673				LAB	37.97						36.16441	Yougov	36.3
70	414			0.07353463588				LD	6.63						8.09752		7.7
71	1010			0.1793960924		5630		UKIP	16.17						14.64327		14.5
72					5630			Others	9.83966	361.2350132					9.83966		9.7
73
74										9.83966			Overall		2.41	31
75													Weighting adjustment		-1.67	36
76													Yougov		1.07	8
77															-1.67	15
78
79	*	Ashcroft is from published figures
80													Overall		3.075614125
81		Others are derived for more accuracy											Weighting adjustment		-1.467219493
82															1.226477095
83															-2.834871728
84
85					87.46427842
86
87					0.01120457423
88
89
90
91
92
93	Populus	2006	4-6th June
94
95	Con		426				31.18594436
96	Lab		514				37.62811127
97	LD		108				7.906295754
98	UKIP		318				23.27964861
99
100					1366