Dominion Statistics

	A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J
1	Dominion Woodcutter Analysis
2	I’m using logged 2-player games from ceviri’s woodcutter. Before Renaissance, those are games from January 2018 to 14 September 2018 in which one opponent had at least mu=1.9 or is one of the named players with detailed statistics. Since Renaissance, I'm using all games in which the better player had at least mu=1.8 or the worse player had at least mu=1.3. I’m excluding games with more than 2 landscapes and games that ended before turn 3 of player 1.
3	Some caveats:	Last decision is not logged. This could be ending your buy phase, but it could also be buying the last Province if you can’t take any decision afterwards. Band of Misfits and Overlord had log issues before Renaissance. Only games since Renaissance release are included. Similarly, a few other games can’t be loaded. If some fancy play was responsible for that, it would be systematically excluded from the statistics. Sample size: when it comes to statistics for a particular card and player, there are fewer games making the estimates not very precise. More generally, if you look at over 300 cards, you’re expected to find a bunch of outliers because of sampling errors.
4	IMAGES WITH SUMMARY STATS FOR ALL CARDS BEFORE ALLIES				SUMMARY STATS SINCE ALLIES					explanatory video by aku chi
5	f.ds thread:	http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=18988
6	Logged Games:		before Menagerie		since Menagerie: part 1			part 2		End of Game Statistics
7	players with 100 logged games			available sheets with detailed statistics
8	name	games		name	games	average mu	stdev	mu opponent	stdev
9	sillypotter	20290		better	434143	2.02	0.29	1.10	0.54
10	Dingan	19255		winner	428763	1.81	0.50	1.31	0.66
11	JNails	18273		5-2 open	163125	1.56	0.63	1.56	0.63
12	nasmith99	17275		first player	434143	1.56	0.63	1.56	0.63
13	cider01	14357		markus	2217	2.15	0.19	1.60	0.45
14	Freaky	13082		Stef	12299	2.40	0.17	1.53	0.42
15	Stef	12299		RTT	6529	2.26	0.20	1.34	0.56
16	yurikamome	10542		Freaky	13082	2.51	0.28	0.99	0.61
17	WanderingWinder	8651		ceviri	2941	2.09	0.22	0.94	0.50
18	xyrix	8575		Sicomatic	5417	2.25	0.24	1.14	0.53
19	syamii4	8308		WanderingWinder	8651	2.26	0.17	1.38	0.54
20	elementmario222	7113		xyrix	8575	1.89	0.23	1.55	0.47
21	RTT	6361		LimeTime	2910	2.16	0.21	1.27	0.60
22	Rubesty	6012		Dingan	19255	2.12	0.13	1.18	0.46
23	Trev	5879		SamE	4765	2.05	0.18	1.77	0.40
24	auto_pp	5490		drsteelhammer	1988	1.89	0.17	1.37	0.56
25	Sicomatic	5417		nasmith99	17275	2.38	0.29	1.18	0.59
26	swordfishtrombone	5117		Seprix	1307	1.93	0.30	1.21	0.55
27	walt373	4869		Lemonspawn	4295	1.73	0.20	1.67	0.43
28	SamE	4765		JNails	18273	2.16	0.17	0.72	0.78
29	crabcat2	4739		Puzzle Box	3217	1.90	0.14	0.46	0.66
30	mayakuzuki	4715		hakha3	2581	2.11	0.28	1.61	0.45
31	mutaito	4654		hsypsx	3101	2.04	0.24	1.21	0.57
32	Gherald	4346		sillypotter	20290	2.18	0.17	1.23	0.45
33	Parmenas	4297		sangatsu	3815	2.24	0.23	0.93	0.48
34	Lemonspawn	4295		yudai214	1640	1.89	0.13	1.14	0.48
35	babyfrog	4181		kaplane	1270	2.24	0.33	1.21	0.58
36	topher1588	4071		pppppppppp	2440	1.71	0.22	1.34	0.58
37	sangatsu	3815		heron	3430	2.12	0.18	0.90	0.54
38	E.Honda	3644		Verjok	1601	1.86	0.20	1.42	0.54
39	DZ	3601		Personman	3139	1.80	0.21	1.48	0.46
40	Russ2	3494		recycle_garbage	2110	2.01	0.28	1.51	0.51
41	Mercury444F	3434		Russ2	3494	1.67	0.21	1.55	0.54
42	heron	3430		bobbydj18	2833	1.73	0.17	1.65	0.44
43	markdiscer	3282		cider01	14357	2.07	0.18	1.30	0.46
44	Xcentrick	3237		schadd	2793	1.93	0.18	1.21	0.56
45	Puzzle Box	3217
46	JoMa	3148		For each player, there are 7 tabs:
47	arkirarkira	3146		buys,gains,trashes: shows the percent of games each “card” is bought, gained and trashed by the considered player and their opponent as well as the average number of those buys, gains and trashes.
48	Personman	3139
49	hsypsx	3101		b,g,t detail: has the distribution of those buys, gains and trashes for the player of interest.
50	kaminarizumu	3086
51	yu-ne	3044		gain 1st: shows how likely a card is the first to be bought (or gained / trashed) once, twice, three times,...
52	Shakalaki	2999
53	ceviri	2941		gain 1st Qvist: shows the same as gain 1st but within the cost categories in the Qvist ranking (e.g. first $5 cost to be bought once or twice.
54	LimeTime	2910
55	VisitArmenia	2847		boards: shows some averages for games that had a particular card in the kingdom. First the number of turns (all turns by both players including extra turns are added). Then the total number of cards bought, gained and trashed by each player. The last columns have the win-loss statistic for the first player and for the player of interest on those boards. The first column of outperform shows how much the performance was above expectation according to the players’ skill mu. For example, if a player was expected to win 70% of the games, but they won 75% it will show up as +5%. The column with +/- has the standard error of this estimate and indicates how serious you should take the outperformance. Keep in mind that in this list there should be 15-20 cards for which the outperformance is off by more than twice the value in +/-.
56	bobbydj18	2833
57	agoo03	2799
58	schadd	2793
59	UsainBoltOnSpeed	2740
60	HappyFish	2588
61	hakha3	2581
62	Huevos Locos	2573
63	PerryGreen	2547		outperformance: performance of that player on those boards
64	oddly specific	2500		outperformance: performance of that player on those boards
65	actionman	2476		opponents: has the win-loss statistics for the opponents of specific players.
66	train	2444
67	pppppppppp	2440
68	yuuna	2430
69	mikechike	2422
70	catstealer419	2367
71	gloures	2246
72	Greenwash	2242
73	martlet	2226
74	tongni	2226
75	markus	2217
76	ramue	2216
77	phika	2140
78	SOWAKA	2138
79	Beyond Awesome	2116
80	MVP	2115
81	recycle_garbage	2110
82	Burning Skull	2081
83	Gmarle	2061
84	Koin	2052
85	night	2047
86	kiliana	2037
87	Nerdblaster	2005
88	drsteelhammer	1988
89	GrassWonder	1977
90	Aoneko	1954
91	TheWatchtower	1952
92	vsiewnar	1918
93	nidzela	1910
94	fastscooter	1898
95	dyersgoodness	1896
96	shamrockKeyChain	1890
97	axerman	1887
98	G3ri	1860
99	lightbulb	1859
100	707090	1834