| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | H | I | J | K | L | M | N | O | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | |||||||||||||||
2 | 2011 IPSP (2016 forecast) | 2011 IPSP (2017 forecast) | 2011 IPSP (2018 forecast) | 2016 Q4 OER | Estimated Current | OER var to 2011 IPSP (2016 projection) | Estimated current Variance to OER | ||||||||
3 | Non-Hydro Renewables | 9,457 | 10,396 | 10,720 | 7,266 | 7,195 | -2,191 | -71 | |||||||
4 | Hydro | 9,000 | 9,000 | 9,000 | 8,719 | 8,423 | -281 | -296 | |||||||
5 | Gas (CHP) | 10,167 | 10,477 | 10,300 | 10,226 | 8,892 | 59 | -1,334 | |||||||
6 | Nuclear | 10,421 | 9,540 | 9,024 | 12,978 | 12,028 | 2,557 | -950 | |||||||
7 | Total | 39,045 | 39,413 | 39,044 | 39,189 | 36,538 | 144 | -2,651 | |||||||
8 | OER = Ontario Energy Report Q4 2016. https://www.ontarioenergyreport.ca/pdfs/6001_IESO_Q4OER2016_Electricity_EN.pdf | ||||||||||||||
9 | IPSP = Integrated Power System Plan (not publicly released) | ||||||||||||||
10 | Estimated current from analysis of IESO contract list, microFIT reporting, and OPG financial reporting | ||||||||||||||
11 | |||||||||||||||
12 | 2008 IPSP (2025 forecast) | 2011 IPSP (2016 forecast) | 2013 LTEP (2016 forecast) | 2016 Q4 OER | Estimated Current | OER var to 2011 IPSP (2016 projection) | OER var to 2008 IPSP (2025 forecast) | 2011 IPSP 2025 | Change 2008 IPSP to 2011 IPSP | Current to 2008 IPSP for 2025 | |||||
13 | Non-Hydro Renewables | 5,397 | 9,457 | 8,330 | 7,266 | 7,195 | -2,191 | 1,869 | 10,700 | 5,303 | 1,798 | ||||
14 | Hydro | 10,768 | 9,000 | 9,028 | 8,719 | 8,423 | -281 | -2,049 | 9,000 | -1,768 | -2,345 | ||||
15 | Gas (CHP) | 10,071 | 10,167 | 9,276 | 10,226 | 8,892 | 59 | 155 | 10,004 | -67 | -1,179 | ||||
16 | Nuclear | 13,290 | 10,421 | 11,295 | 12,978 | 12,028 | 2,557 | -312 | 11,852 | -1,438 | -1,262 | ||||
17 | Total | 39,526 | 39,045 | 37,929 | 39,189 | 36,538 | 144 | -337 | 41,556 | 2,030 | -2,988 | ||||
18 | OER = Ontario Energy Report Q4 2016. https://www.ontarioenergyreport.ca/pdfs/6001_IESO_Q4OER2016_Electricity_EN.pdf | ||||||||||||||
19 | IPSP = Integrated Power System Plan (not publicly released) | ||||||||||||||
20 | Estimated current from analysis of IESO contract list, microFIT reporting, and OPG financial reporting | ||||||||||||||
21 | |||||||||||||||
22 | 2008 IPSP (2016 forecast) | 2011 IPSP (2016 forecast) | 2013 LTEP (2016 forecast) | 2016 Q4 OER | Estimated Current | OER var to 2011 IPSP (2016 projection) | OER var to 2008 IPSP (2016 forecast) | 2011 IPSP 2025 | Change 2008 IPSP to 2011 IPSP | 2011 to 2013 | 2016 OER to 2013 | Current to 2008 IPSP for 2016 | |||
23 | Non-Hydro Renewables | 4,016 | 9,457 | 8,330 | 7,266 | 7,195 | -2,191 | 3,250 | #REF! | 5,441 | -1,127 | -1,064 | 3,179 | ||
24 | Hydro | 8,935 | 9,000 | 9,028 | 8,719 | 8,423 | -281 | -216 | #REF! | 65 | 28 | -309 | -512 | ||
25 | Gas (CHP) | 12,157 | 10,167 | 9,276 | 10,226 | 8,892 | 59 | -1,931 | #REF! | -1,990 | -891 | 950 | -3,265 | ||
26 | Nuclear | 9,726 | 10,421 | 11,295 | 12,978 | 12,028 | 2,557 | 3,252 | #REF! | 695 | 874 | 1,683 | 2,302 | ||
27 | Total | 34,834 | 39,045 | 37,929 | 39,189 | 36,538 | 144 | 4,355 | #REF! | 4,211 | -1,116 | 1,260 | 1,704 | ||
28 | OER = Ontario Energy Report Q4 2016. https://www.ontarioenergyreport.ca/pdfs/6001_IESO_Q4OER2016_Electricity_EN.pdf | ||||||||||||||
29 | IPSP = Integrated Power System Plan (not publicly released) | ||||||||||||||
30 | Estimated current from analysis of IESO contract list, microFIT reporting, and OPG financial reporting | ||||||||||||||
31 | |||||||||||||||
32 | 2008 IPSP (2018 forecast) | 2011 IPSP (2018 forecast) | 2013 LTEP (2018 forecast) | 2016 Q4 OER | Estimated Currently Committed for 2018 | Currently Committed to 2011 IPSP (2018 projection) | Currently Committed to 2008 IPSP (2016 forecast) | 2011 IPSP 2025 | Change 2008 IPSP to 2011 IPSP | 2011 to 2013 | 2016 OER to 2013 | Current to 2008 IPSP for 2016 | |||
33 | Non-Hydro Renewables | 4,553 | 10,700 | 9,338 | 7,266 | 9,240 | -1,460 | 4,687 | 6,147 | -1,362 | -2,072 | 4,687 | |||
34 | Hydro | 8,956 | 9,000 | 9,072 | 8,719 | 8,596 | -281 | -237 | 44 | 72 | -353 | -360 | |||
35 | Gas (CHP) | 12,157 | 10,300 | 10,139 | 10,226 | 9,891 | -74 | -1,931 | -1,857 | -161 | 87 | -2,266 | |||
36 | Nuclear | 9,024 | 9,024 | 11,295 | 12,978 | 12,028 | 3,954 | 3,954 | 0 | 2,271 | 1,683 | 3,004 | |||
37 | Total | 35,265 | 39,044 | 40,472 | 39,189 | 39,755 | 2,139 | 6,473 | 0 | 3,779 | 1,428 | -1,283 | 4,490 | ||
38 | OER = Ontario Energy Report Q4 2016. https://www.ontarioenergyreport.ca/pdfs/6001_IESO_Q4OER2016_Electricity_EN.pdf | ||||||||||||||
39 | IPSP = Integrated Power System Plan (not publicly released) | ||||||||||||||
40 | Estimated current from analysis of IESO contract list, microFIT reporting, and OPG financial reporting | ||||||||||||||
41 | |||||||||||||||
42 | non-hydro renewables Targets (MW) | 2008 IPSP (forecast for 2018) | 2011 IPSP (2018 Target) | 2016 Q4 Contracted* | Estimated Contracted | ||||||||||
43 | wind | 3,977 | 7,035 | 6,055 | 5,770 | ||||||||||
44 | solar | 88 | 3,119 | 2,689 | 2,714 | ||||||||||
45 | Bioenergy | 488 | 546 | 495 | 464 | ||||||||||
46 | TOTAL | 4,553 | 10,700 | 9,240 | 8,948 | ||||||||||
47 | *A Progress Report on Contracted Electricity Supply: FOURTH QUARTER 2016 | ||||||||||||||
48 | |||||||||||||||
49 | last year of forecast | 2008 IPSP (2027) | 2011 IPSP (2031) | 2013 LTEP (2032) | 2016 Q4 OER | Estimated Currently Committed | Currently Committed to 2011 IPSP final | Currently Committed to 2008 IPSP final | 2011 IPSP 2025 | Change 2008 IPSP to 2011 IPSP | 2011 to 2013 | 2016 OER to 2013 | Current to 2008 IPSP for 2016 | ||
50 | Non-Hydro Renewables | 5,312 | 10,700 | 10,506 | 7,266 | 9,240 | -1,460 | 3,928 | 5,388 | -194 | -3,240 | 3,928 | |||
51 | Hydro | 10,771 | 9,000 | 9,295 | 8,719 | 8,596 | -404 | -2,175 | 2025 | -1,771 | 295 | -576 | -2,175 | ||
52 | Gas (CHP) | 10,057 | 10,004 | 9,913 | 10,226 | 9,891 | -113 | -166 | 5,388 | -53 | -91 | 313 | -166 | ||
53 | Nuclear | 13,225 | 11,852 | 9,852 | 12,978 | 12,028 | 176 | -1,197 | -1,771 | -1,373 | -2,000 | 3,126 | -1,197 | ||
54 | Total | 39,365 | 41,556 | 39,566 | 39,189 | 39,755 | -1,801 | 390 | 3617 | 2,191 | -1,990 | -377 | 390 | ||
55 | Intertie | 1,750 | |||||||||||||
56 | Conservation/ Demand Response | 6,218 | 1,729 | 1,990 | |||||||||||
57 | Other | 825 | 21 | ||||||||||||
58 | Total | 48,158 | 43,306 | 41,556 | |||||||||||
59 | OER = Ontario Energy Report Q4 2016. https://www.ontarioenergyreport.ca/pdfs/6001_IESO_Q4OER2016_Electricity_EN.pdf | ||||||||||||||
60 | IPSP = Integrated Power System Plan (not publicly released) | ||||||||||||||
61 | Estimated current from analysis of IESO contract list, microFIT reporting, and OPG financial reporting | ||||||||||||||
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