2011 IPSP Gen
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2011 IPSP (2016 forecast)2011 IPSP (2017 forecast)2011 IPSP (2018 forecast)2016 Q4 OEREstimated CurrentOER var to 2011 IPSP (2016 projection)Estimated current Variance to OER
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Non-Hydro Renewables
9,45710,39610,7207,2667,195-2,191-71
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Hydro9,0009,0009,0008,7198,423-281-296
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Gas (CHP)10,16710,47710,30010,2268,89259-1,334
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Nuclear10,4219,5409,02412,97812,0282,557-950
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Total39,04539,41339,04439,18936,538144-2,651
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OER = Ontario Energy Report Q4 2016. https://www.ontarioenergyreport.ca/pdfs/6001_IESO_Q4OER2016_Electricity_EN.pdf
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IPSP = Integrated Power System Plan (not publicly released)
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Estimated current from analysis of IESO contract list, microFIT reporting, and OPG financial reporting
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2008 IPSP (2025 forecast)2011 IPSP (2016 forecast)2013 LTEP (2016 forecast)2016 Q4 OEREstimated CurrentOER var to 2011 IPSP (2016 projection)OER var to 2008 IPSP (2025 forecast)2011 IPSP 2025Change 2008 IPSP to 2011 IPSPCurrent to 2008 IPSP for 2025
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Non-Hydro Renewables
5,3979,4578,3307,2667,195-2,1911,86910,7005,3031,798
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Hydro10,7689,0009,0288,7198,423-281-2,0499,000-1,768-2,345
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Gas (CHP)10,07110,1679,27610,2268,8925915510,004-67-1,179
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Nuclear13,29010,42111,29512,97812,0282,557-31211,852-1,438-1,262
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Total39,52639,04537,92939,18936,538144-33741,5562,030-2,988
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OER = Ontario Energy Report Q4 2016. https://www.ontarioenergyreport.ca/pdfs/6001_IESO_Q4OER2016_Electricity_EN.pdf
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IPSP = Integrated Power System Plan (not publicly released)
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Estimated current from analysis of IESO contract list, microFIT reporting, and OPG financial reporting
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2008 IPSP (2016 forecast)2011 IPSP (2016 forecast)2013 LTEP (2016 forecast)2016 Q4 OEREstimated CurrentOER var to 2011 IPSP (2016 projection)OER var to 2008 IPSP (2016 forecast)2011 IPSP 2025Change 2008 IPSP to 2011 IPSP2011 to 20132016 OER to 2013Current to 2008 IPSP for 2016
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Non-Hydro Renewables
4,0169,4578,3307,2667,195-2,1913,2505,441-1,127-1,0643,179
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Hydro8,9359,0009,0288,7198,423-281-2166528-309-512
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Gas (CHP)12,15710,1679,27610,2268,89259-1,931-1,990-891950-3,265
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Nuclear9,72610,42111,29512,97812,0282,5573,2526958741,6832,302
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Total34,83439,04537,92939,18936,5381444,35504,211-1,1161,2601,704
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OER = Ontario Energy Report Q4 2016. https://www.ontarioenergyreport.ca/pdfs/6001_IESO_Q4OER2016_Electricity_EN.pdf
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IPSP = Integrated Power System Plan (not publicly released)
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Estimated current from analysis of IESO contract list, microFIT reporting, and OPG financial reporting
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2008 IPSP (2018 forecast)2011 IPSP (2018 forecast)2013 LTEP (2018 forecast)2016 Q4 OEREstimated Currently Committed for 2018Currently Committed to 2011 IPSP (2018 projection)Currently Committed to 2008 IPSP (2016 forecast)2011 IPSP 2025Change 2008 IPSP to 2011 IPSP2011 to 20132016 OER to 2013Current to 2008 IPSP for 2016
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Non-Hydro Renewables
4,55310,7009,3387,2669,240-1,4604,6876,147-1,362-2,0724,687
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Hydro8,9569,0009,0728,7198,596-281-2374472-353-360
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Gas (CHP)12,15710,30010,13910,2269,891-74-1,931-1,857-16187-2,266
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Nuclear9,0249,02411,29512,97812,0283,9543,954 02,2711,6833,004
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Total35,26539,04440,47239,18939,7552,1396,47303,7791,428-1,2834,490
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OER = Ontario Energy Report Q4 2016. https://www.ontarioenergyreport.ca/pdfs/6001_IESO_Q4OER2016_Electricity_EN.pdf
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IPSP = Integrated Power System Plan (not publicly released)
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Estimated current from analysis of IESO contract list, microFIT reporting, and OPG financial reporting
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non-hydro renewables Targets (MW)2008 IPSP (forecast for 2018)2011 IPSP (2018 Target)2016 Q4 Contracted*Estimated Contracted
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wind3,9777,0356,0555,770
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solar883,1192,6892,714
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Bioenergy488546495464
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TOTAL4,55310,7009,2408,948
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*A Progress Report on Contracted Electricity Supply: FOURTH QUARTER 2016
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last year of forecast2008 IPSP (2027)2011 IPSP (2031)2013 LTEP (2032)2016 Q4 OEREstimated Currently CommittedCurrently Committed to 2011 IPSP finalCurrently Committed to 2008 IPSP final2011 IPSP 2025Change 2008 IPSP to 2011 IPSP2011 to 20132016 OER to 2013Current to 2008 IPSP for 2016
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Non-Hydro Renewables
5,31210,70010,5067,2669,240-1,4603,9285,388-194-3,2403,928
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Hydro10,7719,0009,2958,7198,596-404-2,1752025-1,771295-576-2,175
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Gas (CHP)10,05710,0049,91310,2269,891-113-1665,388-53-91313-166
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Nuclear13,22511,8529,85212,97812,028176-1,197 -1,771-1,373-2,0003,126-1,197
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Total39,36541,55639,56639,18939,755-1,80139036172,191-1,990-377390
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Intertie1,750
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Conservation/
Demand Response
6,2181,7291,990
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Other82521
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Total48,15843,30641,556
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OER = Ontario Energy Report Q4 2016. https://www.ontarioenergyreport.ca/pdfs/6001_IESO_Q4OER2016_Electricity_EN.pdf
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IPSP = Integrated Power System Plan (not publicly released)
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Estimated current from analysis of IESO contract list, microFIT reporting, and OPG financial reporting
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Comparison
2008 IPSP
IPSP 2011 summary
LTEP 2013
Estimated annual Capacity history
Data
Pivot Table 1
2016 Q4 OER
2016 Q4 contract summary
Scott's 2016 Q4 estimates
Contracted after July2011
Misc
OPO nuclear projection