ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUV
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Note: All Utah demand, solar & wind supply profiles came from Microsoft CoPilot AI with actual demands used to verify the data.
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Assumptions
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Solar: Based on regional utility-scale generation estimates from Millard, Beaver, and Iron Counties
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Wind: Based on the NREL WIND Toolkit and Cambium data for Wyoming’s high-quality wind zones
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Demand: Based on EIA’s Western Interconnection hourly data average winter months
Wind Adjustment Factor
0.5
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Solar Adjustment Factor
1
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Original Profile
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HourDemand (MW)Solar (MW)Wind (MW)Battery Discharge (MW)Battery Charge (MW)Total Supply (MW)
Hour
Demand (MW)
Solar (MW)
Wind (MW)
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0:00552068201306820:0055201,364
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1:00518071001927101:0051801,419
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2:00501073002297302:0050101,460
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3:00493077902867793:0049301,558
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4:00501080803078084:0050101,615
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5:00535082802938285:0053501,656
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6:00587080202158026:0058701,603
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7:00656076901137697:0065601,538
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8:0072526268202199448:007252621,364
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9:0077752259503401,1179:007775221,189
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10:0081270955404511,26310:008127091,108
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11:0084781250804731,32011:008478121,015
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12:0086586246104581,32312:00865862922
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13:0088281248204121,29413:00882812963
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14:0089970950803181,21714:008997091,015
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15:0091652255401601,07615:009165221,108
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16:0093326259577093316:009332621,189
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17:00968116642210096817:009681161,284
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18:001,000068231801,00018:001,00001,364
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19:009830730253098319:0098301,460
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20:009140779135091420:0091401,558
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21:00847080840084721:0084701,615
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22:00777082805182822:0077701,656
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23:006560849019384923:0065601,697
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Total18,1445,58816,3601,0324,83622,980Total18,1445,58832,720
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Total without oversupply18,1445,58812,5561,0324,83619,176
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Oversupply3,804
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Note: wind oversupply will either be curtailed or sold.
Microsoft CoPilot profiles:
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❄️ Winter Wind Generation Matrix
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Equipment Size
8628491,032Hour
Normalized Output
Actual Output (MW)
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0:001.011,364
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Note: All $/MWh cost data came from https://www.lazard.com/media/eijnqja3/lazards-lcoeplus-june-2025.pdf
1:001.051,419
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2:001.081,460
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Low $/ MWh$38$37$1453:001.151,558
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High $/MWh$79$86$319Total Cost4:001.191,615
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CostLow$212,344$464,572$149,640$826,5565:001.221,656
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High$441,452$1,079,816$329,208$1,850,4766:001.181,603
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7:001.131,538
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8:001.011,364
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9:000.881,189
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Assumptions10:000.821,108
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CCNG fixed at 600 MW: Represents steady, efficient baseload
11:000.751,015
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GT Peaker ramps dynamically: Fills the gap between demand and CCNG + renewables
12:000.68922
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Demand: Based on EIA’s Western Interconnection hourly data average winter months
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14:000.751,015
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📋 Hourly Energy Matrix — Multi-Day Energy Matrix: Historical (Utah, July 9–11, 2024)
15:000.821,108
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16:000.881,189
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HourDemand (MW)CCNG (MW)GT Peaker NG (MW)17:000.951,284
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05524807218:001.011,364
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15184803819:001.081,460
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25014802120:001.151,558
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34934801321:001.191,615
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45014802122:001.221,656
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55354805523:0011,697
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6587480107
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7656480176
This profile reflects stronger and more consistent wind speeds in winter, especially overnight and early morning, with a midday dip typical of basin and plateau regions.
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8725480245
71
9777480297
72
10812480332
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11847480367
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12865480385
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13882480402
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14899480419
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15916480436
78
16933480453
79
17968480488
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181,000480520
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19983480503
82
20914480434
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21847480367
84
22777480297
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23656480176
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Total18,14411,5206,624
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Low $/ MWh$48$149
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High $/MWh$107$251Total Cost
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CostLow$552,960$986,976$1,539,936
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High$1,232,640$1,662,624$2,895,264
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Cost Comparison
W/S/BGasVariance% Variance
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Low$826,556$1,539,936$713,380186.31%
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High$1,850,476$2,895,264$1,044,788156.46%
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