シャドウバース ドロー確率表
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デッキ枚数40←構築では40に2枚以上の確率のシートはお目当てのカードを1枚だけ引いた場合を考慮してなくて狂ってたっぽいので非表示にしました
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初期手札3←ルール上固定。後攻でドローが1枚増える場合は一つ右の列を参照してください
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マリガン枚数3←全マリなら3。全キープなら0。狙いのカードが引けたらキープする前提
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最低1枚以上引く確率(関数に使えてない。式をシート毎に書いてるから大変。)
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それぞれの確率初期手札マリガン後その後のドロー
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投入枚数12345678910
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17.50%8.11%2.70%5.41%8.11%10.81%13.51%16.22%18.92%21.62%24.32%27.03%
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214.62%15.77%5.41%10.66%15.77%20.72%25.53%30.18%34.68%39.04%43.24%47.30%
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321.36%22.99%8.11%15.77%22.99%29.78%36.16%42.15%47.75%52.97%57.84%62.36%
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427.73%29.78%10.81%20.72%29.78%38.04%45.55%52.36%58.51%64.04%69.00%73.43%
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533.76%36.16%13.51%25.53%36.16%45.55%53.80%61.02%67.31%72.76%77.45%81.48%
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639.43%42.15%16.22%30.18%42.15%52.36%61.02%68.33%74.46%79.57%83.79%87.27%
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744.78%47.75%18.92%34.68%47.75%58.51%67.31%74.46%80.23%84.84%88.50%91.37%
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849.80%52.97%21.62%39.04%52.97%64.04%72.76%79.57%84.84%88.88%91.95%94.25%
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954.50%57.84%24.32%43.24%57.84%69.00%77.45%83.79%88.50%91.95%94.45%96.23%
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1058.91%62.36%27.03%47.30%62.36%73.43%81.48%87.27%91.37%94.25%96.23%97.58%
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1163.02%66.54%29.73%51.20%66.54%77.36%84.91%90.10%93.61%95.95%97.49%98.48%
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1266.84%70.40%32.43%54.95%70.40%80.85%87.81%92.38%95.33%97.20%98.36%99.06%
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1370.39%73.95%35.14%58.56%73.95%83.91%90.25%94.21%96.64%98.10%98.95%99.44%
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1473.68%77.21%37.84%62.01%77.21%86.59%92.28%95.66%97.62%98.73%99.34%99.67%
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1576.72%80.18%40.54%65.32%80.18%88.92%93.96%96.79%98.34%99.17%99.60%99.81%
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全て含めた確率初期手札マリガン後その後のドロー
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投入枚数12345678910
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17.50%15.00%17.30%19.59%21.89%24.19%26.49%28.78%31.08%33.38%35.68%37.97%
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214.62%28.08%31.96%35.74%39.42%42.98%46.44%49.78%53.02%56.16%59.18%62.09%
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321.36%39.43%44.34%48.98%53.35%57.47%61.34%64.96%68.35%71.52%74.46%77.20%
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427.73%49.25%54.74%59.77%64.37%68.56%72.37%75.82%78.94%81.75%84.27%86.52%
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533.76%57.71%63.43%68.51%73.01%76.98%80.46%83.52%86.18%88.48%90.47%92.17%
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639.43%64.96%70.64%75.54%79.73%83.31%86.34%88.90%91.05%92.84%94.32%95.54%
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744.78%71.14%76.60%81.15%84.92%88.03%90.57%92.63%94.29%95.63%96.68%97.51%
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849.80%76.39%81.50%85.61%88.90%91.51%93.57%95.18%96.42%97.38%98.10%98.64%
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954.50%80.82%85.48%89.11%91.91%94.05%95.68%96.89%97.79%98.46%98.94%99.28%
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1058.91%84.53%88.71%91.85%94.18%95.89%97.13%98.03%98.67%99.11%99.42%99.63%
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1163.02%87.62%91.30%93.96%95.86%97.20%98.13%98.77%99.21%99.50%99.69%99.81%
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1266.84%90.18%93.37%95.58%97.09%98.12%98.80%99.25%99.54%99.73%99.84%99.91%
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1370.39%92.29%95.00%96.80%97.99%98.76%99.25%99.55%99.74%99.85%99.92%99.96%
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1473.68%94.00%96.27%97.72%98.63%99.20%99.54%99.74%99.86%99.92%99.96%99.98%
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1576.72%95.39%97.26%98.40%99.09%99.49%99.72%99.85%99.92%99.96%99.98%99.99%
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マリガン前に引けてない状態から引ける確率
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初期手札マリガン後その後のドロー
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投入枚数1t2t3t4t5t6t7t8t9t10t
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18.11%10.59%13.08%15.56%18.04%20.53%23.01%25.49%27.98%30.46%32.94%
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215.77%20.32%24.75%29.05%33.22%37.27%41.19%44.98%48.65%52.19%55.61%
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322.99%29.23%35.13%40.69%45.92%50.84%55.45%59.76%63.78%67.53%71.01%
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429.78%37.37%44.33%50.69%56.49%61.77%66.55%70.86%74.75%78.23%81.34%
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536.16%44.79%52.46%59.25%65.24%70.51%75.12%79.13%82.61%85.61%88.18%
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642.15%51.53%59.61%66.53%72.44%77.45%81.68%85.22%88.18%90.63%92.63%
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747.75%57.63%65.87%72.70%78.32%82.92%86.65%89.67%92.08%93.99%95.49%
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852.97%63.14%71.33%77.88%83.09%87.19%90.39%92.87%94.77%96.21%97.30%
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957.84%68.09%76.07%82.22%86.93%90.49%93.17%95.15%96.61%97.66%98.41%
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1062.36%72.53%80.16%85.83%90.00%93.03%95.21%96.75%97.84%98.58%99.09%
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1166.54%76.49%83.67%88.80%92.43%94.95%96.69%97.86%98.65%99.16%99.49%
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1270.40%80.00%86.67%91.24%94.33%96.39%97.75%98.62%99.17%99.51%99.72%
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1373.95%83.10%89.20%93.21%95.81%97.46%98.49%99.12%99.50%99.73%99.85%
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1477.21%85.83%91.34%94.80%96.94%98.24%99.01%99.46%99.71%99.85%99.93%
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1580.18%88.22%93.13%96.07%97.80%98.80%99.36%99.67%99.84%99.92%99.96%
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